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Diversity on the Interannual Variations of Spring Monthly Precipitation in Southern China and the Associated Tropical Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies 被引量:2
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作者 郭如月 潘蔚娟 +2 位作者 柯敏玲 魏维 王子谦 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 SCIE 2023年第3期337-346,共10页
There is a continuous and relatively stable rainy period every spring in southern China(SC).This spring precipitation process is a unique weather and climate phenomenon in East Asia.Previously,the variation characteri... There is a continuous and relatively stable rainy period every spring in southern China(SC).This spring precipitation process is a unique weather and climate phenomenon in East Asia.Previously,the variation characteristics and associated mechanisms of this precipitation process have been mostly discussed from the perspective of seasonal mean.Based on the observed and reanalysis datasets from 1982 to 2021,this study investigates the diversity of the interannual variations of monthly precipitation in spring in SC,and focuses on the potential influence of the tropical sea surface temperature(SST)anomalies.The results show that the interannual variations of monthly precipitation in spring in SC have significant differences,and the correlations between each two months are very weak.All the interannual variations of precipitation in three months are related to a similar western North Pacific anomalous anticyclone(WNPAC),and the southwesterlies at the western flank of WNPAC bring abundant water vapor for the precipitation in SC.However,the WNPAC is influenced by tropical SST anomalies in different regions each month.The interannual variation of precipitation in March in SC is mainly influenced by the signal of El Nino-Southern Oscillation,and the associated SST anomalies in the equatorial central-eastern Pacific regulate the WNPAC through the Pacific-East Asia(PEA)teleconnection.In contrast,the WNPAC associated with the interannual variation of precipitation in April can be affected by the SST anomalies in the northwestern equatorial Pacific through a thermally induced Rossby wave response.The interannual variation of precipitation in May is regulated by the SST anomalies around the western Maritime Continent,which stimulates the development of low-level anomalous anticyclones over the South China Sea and east of the Philippine Sea by driving anomalous meridional vertical circulation. 展开更多
关键词 spring precipitation monthly diversity interannual variation southern China tropical sea surface temperature
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Studies on the Northern Early Summer Teleconnection Patterns, Their Interannual Variations and Relation to Drought / Flood in China 被引量:10
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作者 施能 朱乾根 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 1993年第2期155-168,共14页
By using the one-point correlation method, calculations have been made of the northern early summer 500 hPa teleconnection patterns. Seven teleconnection patterns are revealed, namely, the Western Atlantic (WA), the E... By using the one-point correlation method, calculations have been made of the northern early summer 500 hPa teleconnection patterns. Seven teleconnection patterns are revealed, namely, the Western Atlantic (WA), the Eastern Atlantic (EA), the Eurasian (EU), the Bengal / Northern Pacific (BNP), the Western Pacific (WP), the East Asian / Pacific (EAP), and the Huanghe / East Asian (HEA) patterns. Their centers are determined and their yearly intensity indices (1951-1990) are calculated. On this basis the relationship between their interannual variations and the drought / flood in China is examined. It is noted that the EU, HEA and EAP wave trains are closely related to the drought / flood in China. The HEA and EAP patterns strongly influence the precipitation in eastern China. For example, the fierce floods experienced in 1991 early summer over China are related to the weak EAP and strong HEA patterns. 展开更多
关键词 Their interannual variations and Relation to Drought Flood in China Studies on the Northern Early Summer Teleconnection Patterns
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Relationship between land cover and monsoon interannual variations in east Asia 被引量:5
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作者 XIANG Bao, LIU Ji-yuan (Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing 100101, China) 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2002年第1期42-48,共7页
Asian monsoon have multiple forms of variations such as seasonal variation, intra-seasonal variation, interannual variation, etc. The interannual variations have not only yearly variations but also variations among se... Asian monsoon have multiple forms of variations such as seasonal variation, intra-seasonal variation, interannual variation, etc. The interannual variations have not only yearly variations but also variations among several years. In general, the yearly variations are described with winter temperature and summer precipitation, and the variations among several years are reflected by circulation of ENSO events. In this study, at first, we analyze the relationship between land cover and interannual monsoon variations represented by precipitation changes using Singular Value Decomposition method based on the time series precipitation data and 8km NOAA AVHRR NDVI data covering 1982 to 1993 in east Asia. Furthermore, after confirmation and reclassification of ENSO events which are recognized as the strong signal of several year monsoon variation, using the same time series NDVI data during 1982 to 1993 in east Asia, we make a Principle Component Analysis and analyzed the correlation of the 7th component eigenvectors and Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) that indicates the characteristic of ENSO events, and summed up the temporal-spatial distribution features of east Asian land cover’s inter-annual variations that are being driven by changes of ENSO events. 展开更多
关键词 east Asian land cover monsoon climate interannual variations Singular Value Decomposition ENSO events Principle Component Analysis
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Quantifying the Contribution of Track Changes to Interannual Variations of North Atlantic Intense Hurricanes 被引量:1
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作者 Jun LU Liguang WU Shunwu ZHOU 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2022年第2期260-271,共12页
Previous studies have linked interannual variability of tropical cyclone(TC)intensity in the North Atlantic basin(NA)to Sahelian rainfall,vertical shear of the environmental flow,and relative sea surface temperature(S... Previous studies have linked interannual variability of tropical cyclone(TC)intensity in the North Atlantic basin(NA)to Sahelian rainfall,vertical shear of the environmental flow,and relative sea surface temperature(SST).In this study,the contribution of TC track changes to the interannual variations of intense hurricane activity in the North Atlantic basin is evaluated through numerical experiments.It is found that that observed interannual variations of the frequency of intense hurricanes during the period 1958–2017 are dynamically consistent with changes in the large-scale ocean/atmosphere environment.Track changes can account for~50%of the interannual variability of intense hurricanes,while no significant difference is found for individual environmental parameters between active and inactive years.The only significant difference between active and inactive years is in the duration of TC intensification in the region east of 60°W.The duration increase is not due to the slow-down of TC translation.In active years,a southeastward shift of the formation location in the region east of 60°W causes TCs to take a westward prevailing track,which allows TCs to have a longer opportunity for intensification.On the other hand,most TCs in inactive years take a recurving track,leading to a shorter duration of intensification.This study suggests that the influence of track changes should be considered to understand the basin-wide intensity changes in the North Atlantic basin on the interannual time scale. 展开更多
关键词 interannual variations intense hurricanes track changes vertical shear
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Relationship between the Interannual Variations of Total Ozone in the Northern Hemisphere and the QBO of Basic Flow in the Tropical Stratosphere
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作者 黄荣辉 王连英 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 1990年第1期47-56,共10页
The harmonic analyses of monthly mean total ozone in the atmosphere over the Northern Hemisphere for 26 years (1960-1985) are made by using the Fourier expansion. The analysed results show that there is obviously a qu... The harmonic analyses of monthly mean total ozone in the atmosphere over the Northern Hemisphere for 26 years (1960-1985) are made by using the Fourier expansion. The analysed results show that there is obviously a quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) in the interannual variations of the amplitudes of total ozone. Generally, the amplitudes of wavenumber 1 and 2 during the westerly of the equatorial QBO are larger than those during the easterly. In the early winter, the amplitude of wavenumber 1 during the easterly phase is larger, and in the late winter, it is larger during the westerly phase. These are in good agreement with the observational distributions. 展开更多
关键词 Relationship between the interannual variations of Total Ozone in the Northern Hemisphere and the QBO of Basic Flow in the Tropical Stratosphere
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Prediction of the Asian-Australian Monsoon Interannual Variations with the Grid-Point Atmospheric Model of IAP LASG(GAMIL) 被引量:9
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作者 吴志伟 李建平 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2008年第3期387-394,共8页
Seasonal prediction of Asian-Australian monsoon (A-AM) precipitation is one of the most important and challenging tasks in climate prediction. In this paper, we evaluate the performance of Grid Atmospheric Model of ... Seasonal prediction of Asian-Australian monsoon (A-AM) precipitation is one of the most important and challenging tasks in climate prediction. In this paper, we evaluate the performance of Grid Atmospheric Model of IAP LASG (GAMIL) on retrospective prediction of the A-AM interannual variation (IAV), and determine to what extent GAMIL can capture the two major observed modes of A-AM rainfall IAV for the period 1979-2003. The first mode is associated with the turnabout of warming (cooling) in the Nifio 3.4 region, whereas the second mode leads the warming/cooling by about one year, signaling precursory conditions for ENSO. We show that the GAMIL one-month lead prediction of the seasonal precipitation anomalies is primarily able to capture major features of the two observed leading modes of the IAV, with the first mode better predicted than the second. It also depicts the relationship between the first mode and ENSO rather well. On the other hand, the GAMIL has deficiencies in capturing the relationship between the second mode and ENSO. We conclude: (1) successful reproduction of the E1 Nifio-excited monsoon-ocean interaction and E1 Nifio forcing may be critical for the seasonal prediction of the A-AM rainfall IAV with the GAMIL; (2) more efforts are needed to improve the simulation not only in the Nifio 3.4 region but also in the joining area of Asia and the Indian-Pacific Ocean; (3) the selection of a one-tier system may improve the ultimate prediction of the A-AM rainfall IAV. These results offer some references for improvement of the GAMIL and associated seasonal prediction skill. 展开更多
关键词 Asian-Australian monsoon interannual variation ENSO atmospheric general circulation model GAMIL
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Spatial distributions and interannual variations of snow cover over China in the last 40 years 被引量:8
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作者 ChengHai Wang ZhiLan Wang Yang Cui 《Research in Cold and Arid Regions》 2009年第6期509-518,共10页
By using the observational snow data of more than 700 weather stations,the interannual temporal and spatial characteristics of seasonal snow cover in China were analyzed.The results show that northern Xinjiang,northea... By using the observational snow data of more than 700 weather stations,the interannual temporal and spatial characteristics of seasonal snow cover in China were analyzed.The results show that northern Xinjiang,northeastern China–Inner Mongolia,and the southwestern and southern portions of Tibetan Plateau are three regions in China with high seasonal snow cover and also an interannual anomaly of snow cover.According to the trend of both the snow depth and snow cover days,there are three changing patterns for the seasonal snow cover:The first type is that both snow depth and snow cover days simultaneously increase or decrease;this includes northern Xinjiang,middle and eastern Inner Mongolia,and so on.The second is that snow depth increases but snow cover days decrease;this type mainly locates in the eastern parts of the northeastern plain of China and the upper reaches of the Yangtze River.The last type is that snow depth decreases but snow cover days increase at the same time such as that in middle parts of Tibetan Plateau.Snow cover in China appears to have been having a slow increasing trend during the last 40 years.On the decadal scale,snow depth and snow cover days slightly increased in the 1960s and then decreased in the 1970s;they again turn to increasing in the 1980s and persist into 1990s. 展开更多
关键词 snow cover snow depth and snow cover days spatial-temporal characters interannual and decadal variation
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Latitudinal and interannual variations of the spring phytoplankton bloom peak in the East Asian marginal seas 被引量:1
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作者 CHEN Cheng MAO Zhihua +3 位作者 HAN Guoqi ZHU Qiankun GONG Fang WANG Tianyu 《Acta Oceanologica Sinica》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2016年第12期81-88,共8页
Combined studies of latitudinal and interannual variations of annual phytoplankton bloom peak in East Asian marginal seas(17°–58°N, including the northern South China Sea(SCS), Kuroshio waters, the Sea of J... Combined studies of latitudinal and interannual variations of annual phytoplankton bloom peak in East Asian marginal seas(17°–58°N, including the northern South China Sea(SCS), Kuroshio waters, the Sea of Japan and the Okhotsk Sea) are rarely. Based on satellite-retrieved ten-year(2003–2012) median timing of the annual Chlorophyll a concentration(Chl a) climax, here we report that this annual spring bloom peak generally delays from the SCS in January to the Okhotsk Sea in June at a rate of(21.20±2.86) km/d(decadal median±SD). Spring bloom is dominant feature of the phytoplankton annual cycle over these regions, except for the SCS which features winter bloom. The fluctuation of the annual peak timing is mainly within ±48 d departured from the decadal median peak date, therefore this period(the decadal median peak date ±48 d) is defined as annual spring bloom period. As sea surface temperature rises, earlier spring bloom peak timing but decreasing averaged Chl a biomass in the spring bloom period due to insufficient light is evident in the Okhotsk Sea from 2003 to 2012. For the rest of three study domains, there are no significant interannual variance trend of the peak timing and the averaged Chl a biomass. Furthermore this change of spring phytoplankton bloom timing and magnitude in the Okhotsk Sea challenges previous prediction that ocean warming would enhance algal productivity at high latitudes. 展开更多
关键词 latitudinal and interannual variation spring bloom peak phytoplankton phenology East Asian marginal seas climate change
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Contrasts between the Interannual Variations of Extreme Rainfall over Western and Eastern Sichuan in Mid-summer
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作者 Mengyu DENG Riyu LU Chaofan LI 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2022年第6期999-1011,共13页
Rainfall amount in mid-summer(July and August)is much greater over eastern than western Sichuan,which are characterized by basin and plateau,respectively.It is shown that the interannual variations of extreme rainfall... Rainfall amount in mid-summer(July and August)is much greater over eastern than western Sichuan,which are characterized by basin and plateau,respectively.It is shown that the interannual variations of extreme rainfall over these two regions are roughly independent,and they correspond to distinct anomalies of both large-scale circulation and sea surface temperature(SST).The enhanced extreme rainfall over western Sichuan is associated with a southward shift of the Asian westerly jet,while the enhanced extreme rainfall over eastern Sichuan is associated with an anticyclonic anomaly in the upper troposphere over China.At low levels,on the other hand,the enhanced extreme rainfall over western Sichuan is related to two components of wind anomalies,namely southwesterly over southwestern Sichuan and northeasterly over northeastern Sichuan,which favor more rainfall under the effects of the topography.Relatively speaking,the enhanced extreme rainfall over eastern Sichuan corresponds to the low-level southerly anomalies to the east of Sichuan,which curve into northeasterly anomalies over the basin when they encounter the mountains to the north of the basin.Therefore,it can be concluded that the topography in and around Sichuan plays a crucial role in inducing extreme rainfall both over western and eastern Sichuan.Finally,the enhanced extreme rainfall in western and eastern Sichuan is related to warmer SSTs in the Maritime Continent and cooler SSTs in the equatorial central Pacific,respectively. 展开更多
关键词 extreme rainfall SICHUAN interannual variation TOPOGRAPHY large-scale circulation
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Interannual variations in salt flux at 80°E section of the equatorial Indian Ocean
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作者 Cuncun XIE Ruibin DING +1 位作者 Jiliang XUAN Daji HUANG 《Science China Earth Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2023年第9期2142-2161,共20页
The interannual variations in salt flux on the 80°E section in the equatorial Indian Ocean were explored based on the ORAS5 data,which was quite consistent with the observational data among the four available rea... The interannual variations in salt flux on the 80°E section in the equatorial Indian Ocean were explored based on the ORAS5 data,which was quite consistent with the observational data among the four available reanalysis datasets.The results indicated that the area with significant interannual variations in salt flux coincided with that of significant climatological mean salt flux in general and was mainly located in the upper 150 m layer.Specifically,three important areas were identified in the north-south direction,i.e.,(1)the Equatorial Indian Ocean Area(EIOA,3°S–3°N),where the mean salt flux was eastward with the largest value on the section and associated with the most significant interannual variations mainly modulated by the Wyrtki Jets and the Equatorial Undercurrent;(2)the South Equatorial Indian Ocean Area(SEIOA,3°S–6°S),where the mean salt flux changed in the vertical direction from strong eastward flux in the upper layer to weak westward flux in the subsurface layer and associated with significant interannual variations in the upper 100 m layer,which was affected by the South Equatorial Countercurrent;and(3)the North Equatorial Indian Ocean Area(NEIOA,3°N–6°N),where the mean salt flux changed in the north-south direction from strong westward flux to the north of 5°N to weak eastward flux in the south and associated with relatively significant interannual variations,which was mainly influenced by the South Sri Lanka Coastal Current.Two leading interannual variation modes were revealed by the empirical orthogonal function decomposition.The first mode accounted for 39%of the total variance and had four significant spatial antinodes;two of those in-phase antinodes were located at SEIOA and upper 75 m of EIOA,and the other two opposite in-phase antinodes were located at NEIOA and below 75 m of EIOA.The second mode accounted for 17%of the total variance having four antinodes with two dominant out-of-phase antinodes located at the subsurface of EIOA and SEIOA.The temporal components of the two leading modes showed a 1–4 year variation with a main period of 2 years,in which the first mode showed a greater correlation with the Indian Ocean Dipole,while the second mode showed a weak correlation with the Indian Ocean Dipole and the El Niño-Southern Oscillation.Variance analysis showed that the interannual variations in salt flux were mainly determined by the variations in the current,and the spatial distribution was modulated by temporal mean salinity.Composite strong interannual events showed interannual variations in current,and so the salt flux was driven by the interannual anomaly of the wind field and sea surface temperature associated with the Indian Ocean Dipole. 展开更多
关键词 Salt flux interannual variation 80°E section Equatorial Indian Ocean CURRENT
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Interannual and Decadal Variations of Snow Cover overQinghai-Xizang Plateau and Their Relationships to Summer Monsoon Rainfall in China 被引量:51
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作者 陈烈庭 吴仁广 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2000年第1期18-30,共13页
Interannual and decadal variations of winter snow cover over the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau (QXP) are analyzed by using monthly mean snow depth data set of 60 stations over QXP for the period of 1958 through 1992. It is f... Interannual and decadal variations of winter snow cover over the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau (QXP) are analyzed by using monthly mean snow depth data set of 60 stations over QXP for the period of 1958 through 1992. It is found that the winter snow cover over QXP bears a pronounced quasi-biennial oscillation, and it underwent an obvious decadal transition from a poor snow cover period to a rich snow cover period in the late 1970’s during the last 40 years. It is shown that the summer rainfall in the eastern China is closely associated with the winter snow cov-er over QXP not only in the interannual variation but also in the decadal variation. A clear relationship ex-ists in the quasi-biennial oscillation between the summer rainfall in the northern part of North China and the southern China and the winter snow cover over QXP. Furthermore, the summer rainfall in the four cli-mate divisions of Qinling-Daba Mountains, the Yangtze-Huaihe River Plain, the upper and lower reaches of the Yangtze River showed a remarkable transition from drought period to rainy period in the end of 1970’s, in good correspondence with the decadal transition of the winter snow cover over QXP. Key words Snow cover over Qinghai-Xizang Plateau - Summer monsoon rainfall in China - Interannual and decadal variations This study was supported by the National Key Programme for Developing Basic Sciences (G 1998040900 Part I). 展开更多
关键词 Snow cover over Qinghai-Xizang Plateau Summer monsoon rainfall in China interannual and decadal variations
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Interannual variations of dust activity in western Iran and their possible mechanisms 被引量:1
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作者 Alireza Kamal Chenglai Wu Zhaohui Lin 《Big Earth Data》 EI 2020年第2期175-190,共16页
Through an analysis of station observations and reanalysis data,in this study,we investigate the variations of dust activity during 1979-2015 in western and southwestern Iran and their associated mechanisms.The dust d... Through an analysis of station observations and reanalysis data,in this study,we investigate the variations of dust activity during 1979-2015 in western and southwestern Iran and their associated mechanisms.The dust day frequency(DDF)is used to identify dust activities.The results show larger interannual variabilities in the DDF in spring and summer,with standard deviations(σ)of 10%and 13%,respectively.Correlation analyses reveal that the interannual variability of DDF in western Iran is largely regulated by wind speed,precipitation and soil moisture in the region.The regional mean spring(March-May)DDF shows strong negative correlations with spring precipitation(correlation coefficient R=−0.5)and soil moisture(R=−0.6)over western to southwestern Iran,but strong positive correlations between the springtime DDF and surface winds can be found with the R reaching 0.4-0.6.Dust activity in the summer dry season(June-August)is mainly associated with surface winds over southwestern Iran,especially in regions near the Persian Gulf,where the R between the DDF and surface winds reaches 0.5.Meanwhile,the summer DDF also shows strong negative correlations(R<−0.4)with soil moisture of the top layer in the middle to southern part of the region.These results highlight the key roles of wind speed,precipitation and soil moisture in determining the interannual variation of dust activities in western and southwestern Iran. 展开更多
关键词 Dust activity interannual variation wind speed PRECIPITATION western Iran
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Factors Controlling the Interannual Variations of MJO Intensity
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作者 邓莉 李天明 +1 位作者 刘佳 PENG Melinda 《Journal of Meteorological Research》 SCIE CSCD 2016年第3期328-340,共13页
The interannual variations of intensity of the Madden-Julian Oscillation(MJO) during boreal winter are investigated by using the observed outgoing longwave radiation(OLR) and the reanalysis data of ECMWF and NCEP.... The interannual variations of intensity of the Madden-Julian Oscillation(MJO) during boreal winter are investigated by using the observed outgoing longwave radiation(OLR) and the reanalysis data of ECMWF and NCEP.The standard deviation of 20-80-day filtered OLR anomaly is used to measure the MJO intensity.The dominant spatial structure of the interannual variability is revealed by an EOF analysis of the MJO intensity field.It is found that the leading mode is associated with eastern Pacific type ENSO,whereas the second mode is related to central Pacific type ENSO.A simple atmospheric model is used to investigate the relative roles of background moisture and wind changes in affecting the overall strength of MJO.The numerical experiments indicate that the background moisture effect is dominant while the background wind change has a minor effect. 展开更多
关键词 MJO interannual variation ENSO background mean state
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Interannual variations in length of day and atmospheric angular momentum, and their seasonal associations with El Ni^o/Southern Oscillation-like sea surface temperature patterns
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作者 Yuefeng LI Ziniu XIAO +3 位作者 Wenjing SHI Qi ZHONG Qiguang WANG Huanlian LI 《Frontiers of Structural and Civil Engineering》 SCIE EI CSCD 2017年第4期751-764,共14页
This study examines the seasonal connections between the interannual variations in LOD (length of day)/ AAMglobe (the relative atmospheric angular momentum for the whole globe) and the ENSO-like SST (El Nifio/ So... This study examines the seasonal connections between the interannual variations in LOD (length of day)/ AAMglobe (the relative atmospheric angular momentum for the whole globe) and the ENSO-like SST (El Nifio/ Southern Oscillation-like sea surface temperature) pattern and corresponding zonal and vertical circulations. Consistent with previous studies, the ENSO-like SST impact the following season LOD/AAMglobe, with the strongest correlations in DJF (December, January, and February), when it is likely to be the peak E1 Nino/La Nifia period. Lag correlations between the interannual variations in LOD/AAMglobe and surface temperature, and the interannual variations in LOD and both zonal circulation and vertical airflow around the equator, consistently indicate that the LOD/AAMglobe reflect the potential impacts of variations in the Earth's rotation rate on the following season's sea surface temperatures (SST) over the tropical central and eastern pattern is located). Pacific (where the ENSO-like SST Moreover, the centers of strongest variation in the AAMcolumn (the relative atmospheric angular momentum for an air column and the unit mass over a square meter) are located over the mid-latitudinal North Pacific in DJF and MAM (March, April, and May), and over the mid-latitudinal South Pacific in JJA (June, July, and August) and SON (September, October, and November). This suggests that the AAMcolumn over the mid-latitudinal Pacific around 30°N (30~S) dominate the modulation of Earth's rotation rate, and then impact the variations in LOD during DJF and MAM (JJA and SON). 展开更多
关键词 four season features interannual variation length of day atmospheric angular momentum ENSO-likeSST pattern
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A STUDY ON PHYSICAL MECHANISM OF INTERANNUAL VARIATIONS OF LARGE-SCALE FLOW PATTERNS
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作者 罗哲贤 《Acta meteorologica Sinica》 SCIE 1994年第4期410-418,共9页
The thermal forcings of annual and interannual periodic variations are introduced into the barotropic vorticity equation,by using low order spectral model of the equation,more than 40 numerical experiments whose integ... The thermal forcings of annual and interannual periodic variations are introduced into the barotropic vorticity equation,by using low order spectral model of the equation,more than 40 numerical experiments whose integration time is larger than 100 model years are performed in order to investigate variations of large-scale flow patterns arising from both external interannual thermal forcing and internal dynamical processes.In certain parametric range,when the fre- quency of the forcing term with interannual period equals to the frequency which is created by the internal dynamical processes alone,the amplitude of interannual variations of flow patterns increases obviously,and the period becomes double.In other parametric range,the amplitude of interannual variations of flow patterns shows abrupt changes and other nonlinear behavior,along with gradual changes of interannual forcing parameters. 展开更多
关键词 large-scale flow pattern interannual variation abrupt change numerical experiments
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Interannual Variation and Statistical Prediction of Summer Dry and Hot Days in South China from 1970 to 2018
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作者 薛鑫 吴燕星 +2 位作者 陈镇 刘润 赵志军 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 SCIE 2023年第4期431-447,共17页
The frequent occurrence of dry and hot(DH)days in South China in summer has a negative impact on social development and human health.This study explored the variation characteristics of DH days and the possible reason... The frequent occurrence of dry and hot(DH)days in South China in summer has a negative impact on social development and human health.This study explored the variation characteristics of DH days and the possible reasons for this knotty problem.The findings revealed a notable increase in the number of DH days across most stations,indicating a significant upward trend.Additionally,DH events were observed to occur frequently.The number of DH days increased during 1970-1990,decreased from 1991 to 1997,and stayed stable after 1997.The key climate factors affecting the interannual variability of the number of DH days were the Indian Ocean Basin warming(IOBW)in spring and the East Asian Summer Monsoon(EASM).Compared with the negative phase of IOBW,in the positive phase of IOBW,500 hPa and 850 hPa geopotential height enhanced,the West Pacific subtropical high strengthened and extended abnormally to the west,more solar radiation reached the surface,surface outgoing longwave radiation increased,and there was an anomalous anticyclone in eastern South China.The atmospheric circulation characteristics of the positive and negative phases of ESAM were opposite to those of IOBW,and the abnormal circulation of the positive(negative)phases of ESAM was unfavorable(favorable)for the increase in the number of DH days.A long-term prediction model for the number of summer DH days was established using multiple linear regression,incorporating the key climate factors.The correlation coefficient between the observed and predicted number of DH days was 0.65,and the root-mean-square error was 2.8.In addition,independent forecasts for 2019 showed a deviation of just 1 day.The results of the independent recovery test confirmed the stability of the model,providing evidence that climatic factors did have an impact on DH days in South China. 展开更多
关键词 dry and hot days interannual variation climate factors statistical prediction
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Interannual Meridional Displacement of the East Asian Upper-tropospheric Jet Stream in Summer 被引量:82
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作者 林中达 陆日宇 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2005年第2期199-211,共13页
On the interannual timescale, the meridional displacement of the East Asian upper-tropospheric jet stream (EAJS) is significantly associated with the rainfall anomalies in East Asia in summer. In this study, using the... On the interannual timescale, the meridional displacement of the East Asian upper-tropospheric jet stream (EAJS) is significantly associated with the rainfall anomalies in East Asia in summer. In this study, using the data from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction-Department of Energy (NCEP/DOE) reanalysis-2 from 1979 to 2002, the authors investigate the interannual variations of the EAJS's meridional displacement in summer and their associations with the variations of the South Asian high (SAH) and the western North Pacific subtropical high (WNPSH), which are dominant circulation features in the upper and lower troposhere, respectively. The result from an EOF analysis shows that the meridional displacement is the most remarkable feature of the interannual variations of the EAJS in each month of summer and in summer as a whole. A composite analysis indicates that the summer (June-July-August, JJA) EAJS index, which is intended to depict the interannual meridional displacement of the EAJS, is not appropriate because the anomalies of the zonal wind at 200 hPa (U200) in July and August only, rather than in June, significantly contribute to the summer EAJS index. Thus, the index for each month in summer is defined according to the location of the EAJS core in each month. Composite analyses based on the monthly indexes show that corresponding to the monthly equatorward displacement of the EAJS, the South Asian high (SAH) extends southeastward clearly in July and August, and the western North Pacific subtropical high (WNPSH) withdraws southward in June and August. 展开更多
关键词 East Asian jet stream western North Pacific subtropical high South Asian high interannual variations meridional displacement
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Plant life form determines spatiotemporal variability and climate response of plant seed rain in subtropical forests
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作者 Yuyang Xie Zehao Shen +2 位作者 Xuejing Wang Liu Yang Jie Zhang 《Forest Ecosystems》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第2期193-201,共9页
Spatiotemporal variation of seed rain reflects the response of plants in terms of their reproductive strategy to environmental gradients.In this study,we collected seeds from four sites in the Dalaoling Nature Reserve... Spatiotemporal variation of seed rain reflects the response of plants in terms of their reproductive strategy to environmental gradients.In this study,we collected seeds from four sites in the Dalaoling Nature Reserve,Hubei Province,China,between 2011 and 2014,measured seed output and seed mass as seed rain traits,and compared their interannual and elevational variation.Then,we ran phylogenetic generalized mixed linear models(PGLMMs) to explore the effects of temperature and precipitation as well as interspecific differences on seed rain,and fitted the best regression models for seed rain vs.weather of canopy and understory species.The results showed no correlation between values of seed output and seed mass.However,the variation of the two traits showed significantly positive correlation.Seed output of canopy species generally decreased with increasing elevation,and showed significant interannual difference;however,seed output of understory species and seed mass for both canopy and understory species did not show consistency tends along elevational or in interannual variation.Seed output was significantly affected by temperature and precipitation,while seed mass mainly varied due to interspecific differences.Weather explained more the variation of the seed output of canopy species than that of understory species,with R^(2) values of 43.0%and 29.9%,respectively.These results suggested that canopy plants contributed more to the reproductive dynamics of the whole communities,and the canopy's buffer effect on the underground weakened the response of understory plants to weather variation in terms of their reproductive strategy. 展开更多
关键词 Seed rain Seed output Seed mass ELEVATION interannual variation Lifeform
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The Spatiotemporal Distribution Characteristics of Cloud Types and Phases in the Arctic Based on CloudSat and CALIPSO Cloud Classification Products
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作者 Yue SUN Huiling YANG +5 位作者 Hui XIAO Liang FENG Wei CHENG Libo ZHOU Weixi SHU Jingzhe SUN 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2024年第2期310-324,共15页
The cloud type product 2B-CLDCLASS-LIDAR based on CloudSat and CALIPSO from June 2006 to May 2017 is used to examine the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics and interannual variability of eight cloud typ... The cloud type product 2B-CLDCLASS-LIDAR based on CloudSat and CALIPSO from June 2006 to May 2017 is used to examine the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics and interannual variability of eight cloud types(high cloud, altostratus, altocumulus, stratus, stratocumulus, cumulus, nimbostratus, and deep convection) and three phases(ice,mixed, and water) in the Arctic. Possible reasons for the observed interannual variability are also discussed. The main conclusions are as follows:(1) More water clouds occur on the Atlantic side, and more ice clouds occur over continents.(2)The average spatial and seasonal distributions of cloud types show three patterns: high clouds and most cumuliform clouds are concentrated in low-latitude locations and peak in summer;altostratus and nimbostratus are concentrated over and around continents and are less abundant in summer;stratocumulus and stratus are concentrated near the inner Arctic and peak during spring and autumn.(3) Regional averaged interannual frequencies of ice clouds and altostratus clouds significantly decrease, while those of water clouds, altocumulus, and cumulus clouds increase significantly.(4) Significant features of the linear trends of cloud frequencies are mainly located over ocean areas.(5) The monthly water cloud frequency anomalies are positively correlated with air temperature in most of the troposphere, while those for ice clouds are negatively correlated.(6) The decrease in altostratus clouds is associated with the weakening of the Arctic front due to Arctic warming, while increased water vapor transport into the Arctic and higher atmospheric instability lead to more cumulus and altocumulus clouds. 展开更多
关键词 CloudSat and CALIPSO cloud type cloud phase temporal and spatial distribution interannual variation
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The connection of phytoplankton biomass in the Marguerite Bay polynya of the western Antarctic Peninsula to the Southern Annular Mode
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作者 Ning Jiang Zhaoru Zhang +2 位作者 Ruifeng Zhang Chuning Wang Meng Zhou 《Acta Oceanologica Sinica》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2024年第1期35-47,共13页
Antarctic coastal polynyas are biological hotspots in the Southern Ocean that support the abundance of hightrophic-level predators and are important for carbon cycling in the high-latitude oceans.In this study,we exam... Antarctic coastal polynyas are biological hotspots in the Southern Ocean that support the abundance of hightrophic-level predators and are important for carbon cycling in the high-latitude oceans.In this study,we examined the interannual variation of summertime phytoplankton biomass in the Marguerite Bay polynya(MBP)in the western Antarctic Peninsula area,and linked such variability to the Southern Annular Mode(SAM)that dominated the southern hemisphere extratropical climate variability.Combining satellite data,atmosphere reanalysis products and numerical simulations,we found that the interannual variation of summer chlorophyll-a(Chl-a)concentration in the MBP is significantly and negatively correlated with the spring SAM index,and weakly correlated with the summer SAM index.The negative relation between summer Chl-a and spring SAM is due to weaker spring vertical mixing under a more positive SAM condition,which would inhibit the supply of iron from deep layers into the surface euphotic layer.The negative relation between spring mixing and spring SAM results from greater precipitation rate over the MBP region in positive SAM phase,which leads to lower salinity in the ocean surface layer.The coupled physical-biological mechanisms between SAM and phytoplankton biomass revealed in this study is important for us to predict the future variations of phytoplankton biomasses in Antarctic polynyas under climate change. 展开更多
关键词 Marguerite Bay polynya phytoplankton biomass Southern Annular Mode mixed layer depth interannual variation
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