Low-Carbon Dispatch of an Integrated Energy System Considering Confidence Intervals for Renewable Energy Generation

Addressing the insufficiency in down-regulation leeway within integrated energy systems stemming from the erratic and volatile nature of wind and solar renewable energy generation,this study focuses on formulating a coordinated strategy involving the carbon capture unit of the integrated energy system and the resources on the load storage side.A scheduling model is devised that takes into account the confidence interval associated with renewable energy generation,with the overarching goal of optimizing the system for low-carbon operation.To begin with,an in-depth analysis is conducted on the temporal energy-shifting attributes and the low-carbon modulation mechanisms exhibited by the source-side carbon capture power plant within the context of integrated and adaptable operational paradigms.Drawing from this analysis,a model is devised to represent the adjustable resources on the charge-storage side,predicated on the principles of electro-thermal coupling within the energy system.Subsequently,the dissimilarities in the confidence intervals of renewable energy generation are considered,leading to the proposition of a flexible upper threshold for the confidence interval.Building on this,a low-carbon dispatch model is established for the integrated energy system,factoring in the margin allowed by the adjustable resources.In the final phase,a simulation is performed on a regional electric heating integrated energy system.This simulation seeks to assess the impact of source-load-storage coordination on the system’s low-carbon operation across various scenarios of reduction margin reserves.The findings underscore that the proactive scheduling model incorporating confidence interval considerations for reduction margin reserves effectively mitigates the uncertainties tied to renewable energy generation.Through harmonized orchestration of source,load,and storage elements,it expands the utilization scope for renewable energy,safeguards the economic efficiency of system operations under low-carbon emission conditions,and empirically validates the soundness and efficacy of the proposed approach.

Study of Optimal Frequency to the Repairable System Due to Failure Finding Interval to Maximize Availability System

This research article is based on a study of optimal frequency to the repairable system due to the failure finding interval to maximize as well as minimize the availability of some components devices. We studied together maintenance and corrective actions that carried out item of failure and periodic failure finding designed to check whether a system is still working. The model is proved as well as useful application in detecting the problem related to finding failure tasks of different scheme devices by maximization. The model formulated and the numerical application to the relevant mathematical model have been discussed to demonstrate the article quality. Therefore based on probability analytic development, the optimal maintenance policy is then obtained as solution of an optimization problem in which the maintenance cost rate is the objective function and the risk of corrective maintenance is the constraint function. Finally, the solution to the optimal device in the considered development model has been well adjusted due to derivation to the experimental observation rather than theory which will be taken into consideration in the next applied practical design research related and the system device provided that, the proactive device agreed with using the exponential distribution to the survive distribution function which can not be considered as valid.

Parameter Optimization of Interval Type-2 Fuzzy Neural Networks Based on PSO and BBBC Methods

Interval type-2 fuzzy neural networks(IT2FNNs)can be seen as the hybridization of interval type-2 fuzzy systems(IT2FSs) and neural networks(NNs). Thus, they naturally inherit the merits of both IT2 FSs and NNs. Although IT2 FNNs have more advantages in processing uncertain, incomplete, or imprecise information compared to their type-1 counterparts, a large number of parameters need to be tuned in the IT2 FNNs,which increases the difficulties of their design. In this paper,big bang-big crunch(BBBC) optimization and particle swarm optimization(PSO) are applied in the parameter optimization for Takagi-Sugeno-Kang(TSK) type IT2 FNNs. The employment of the BBBC and PSO strategies can eliminate the need of backpropagation computation. The computing problem is converted to a simple feed-forward IT2 FNNs learning. The adoption of the BBBC or the PSO will not only simplify the design of the IT2 FNNs, but will also increase identification accuracy when compared with present methods. The proposed optimization based strategies are tested with three types of interval type-2 fuzzy membership functions(IT2FMFs) and deployed on three typical identification models. Simulation results certify the effectiveness of the proposed parameter optimization methods for the IT2 FNNs.

Uncertain Multidisciplinary Design Optimization on Next Generation Subsea Production System by Using Surrogate Model and Interval Method

The innovative Next Generation Subsea Production System(NextGen SPS)concept is a newly proposed petroleum development solution in ultra-deep water areas.The definition of NextGen SPS involves several disciplines,which makes the design process difficult.In this paper,the definition of NextGen SPS is modeled as an uncertain multidisciplinary design optimization(MDO)problem.The deterministic optimization model is formulated,and three concerning disciplines—cost calculation,hydrodynamic analysis and global performance analysis are presented.Surrogate model technique is applied in the latter two disciplines.Collaborative optimization(CO)architecture is utilized to organize the concerning disciplines.A deterministic CO framework with two disciplinelevel optimizations is proposed firstly.Then the uncertainties of design parameters and surrogate models are incorporated by using interval method,and uncertain CO frameworks with triple loop and double loop optimization structure are established respectively.The optimization results illustrate that,although the deterministic MDO result achieves higher reduction in objective function than the uncertain MDO result,the latter is more reliable than the former.

Re-entry trajectory optimization using a multiple- interval Radau pseudospectral method

Aiming at increasing the calculation efficiency of the pseudospectral methods, a multiple- interval Radau pseudospectral method （RPM） is presented to generate a reusable launch vehicle （RLV） ＇s optimal re-entry trajectory. After dividing the optimal control problem into many intervals, the state and control variables are approximated using many fixed- and low-degree Lagrange polyno- mials in each interval. Convergence of the numerical discretization is then achieved by increasing the number of intervals. With the application of the proposed method, the normal nonlinear program- ming （NLP） problem transcribed from the optimal control problem can avoid being dense because of the low-degree approximation polynomials in each interval. Thus, the NLP solver can easily compute a solution. Finally, simulation results show that the optimized re-entry trajectories satisfy the path constraints and the boundary constraints successfully. Compared with the single interval RPM, the multiple-interval RPM is significantly faster and has higher calculation efficiency. The results indicate that the multiple-interval RPM can be applied for real-time trajectory generation due to its high effi- ciency and high precision.

DYNAMIC OPTIMIZATION FOR UNCERTAIN STRUCTURES USING INTERVAL METHOD

An interval optimization method for the dynamic response of structures with inter- val parameters is presented.The matrices of structures with interval parameters are given.Com- bining the interval extension with the perturbation,the method for interval dynamic response analysis is derived.The interval optimization problem is transformed into a corresponding de- terministic one.Because the mean values and the uncertainties of the interval parameters can be elected design variables,more information of the optimization results can be obtained by the present method than that obtained by the deterministic one.The present method is implemented for a truss structure.The numerical results show that the method is effective.

AN INTERVAL ALGORITHM FOR CONSTRAINED GLOBAL OPTIMIZATION

In order to solve the constrained global optimization problem,we use penalty functions not only on constraints but also on objective function. Then within the framework of interval analysis,an interval Branch-and-Bound algorithm is given,which does not need to solve a sequence of unconstrained problems. Global convergence is proved. Numerical examples show that this algorithm is efficient.

Hybrid method for global optimization using more accuracy interval computation

In this paper, a novel hybrid method is presented for finding global optimization of an objective function. Based on the interval computation, this hybrid method combines interval deterministic method and stochastic evolution method. It can find global optimization quickly while ensuring the deterministic and stability of the algorithm. When using interval computation, extra width constraints accuracy of interval computation results. In this paper, a splitting method to reduce the extra width is introduced. This method is easy and it can get a more precise interval computation result. When finding the global optimization, it can increase the efficiency of pruning. Several experiments are given to illustrate the advantage of the new hybrid method.

OPTIMALITY CONDITIONS AND DUALITY RESULTS FOR NONSMOOTH VECTOR OPTIMIZATION PROBLEMS WITH THE MULTIPLE INTERVAL-VALUED OBJECTIVE FUNCTION

In this paper, both Fritz John and Karush-Kuhn-Tucker necessary optimality conditions are established for a （weakly） LU-efficient solution in the considered nonsmooth multiobjective programming problem with the multiple interval-objective function. Further, the sufficient optimality conditions for a （weakly） LU-efficient solution and several duality results in Mond-Weir sense are proved under assumptions that the functions constituting the considered nondifferentiable multiobjective programming problem with the multiple interval- objective function are convex.

Application of Interval Newton Method to Solve Nonlinear Equations and Global Optimization

The basic principle of interval arithmetic and the basic algorithm of the interval Newton methods are introduced.The prototype algorithm can not find any zero in an interval that has zero sometimes,that is,it is instable.So the prototype relaxation procedure is improved in this paper.Additionally,an immediate test of the existence of a solution following branch_and_bound is proposed,which avoids unwanted computations in those intervals that have no solution.The numerical results demonstrat that the improved interval Newton method is superior to prototype algorithm in terms of solution quality,stability and convergent speed.

Interval uncertain optimization for damping fluctuation of a segmented electromagnetic buffer under intensive impact load

Aiming at the problems of demagnetization effect of electromagnetic buffer(EMB)caused by high velocity under intensive impact load and the difficulty and error of machining composite thin-walled long tube,a segmented EMB is proposed.The inner tube and air-gap are divided into initial segments and the traversing segments.Through theoretical analysis,impact test and simulation,it can be found that the RRF curve has two peaks.Firstly,in order to reduce the resultant resistance force(RRF)peaks,the sensitivity analysis based on optimal Latin hypercube design(OLHD)and polynomial regression was performed.The results show that the smallest contribution ratio to the dynamic response is the seventh and ninth segments of the inner tube,which are less than 1%.Then,fully considering the uncertain factors,important parameters are selected for uncertain optimization after sensitivity analysis.The interval order and interval probability degree methods are used to establish interval uncertain optimization model of the RRF considering robustness.The model was solved using an interval nested optimization method based on radial basis function(RBF)neural network.Finally,the Pareto front is obtained and numerical simulation is performed to verify the optimal value.It indicates that the two kinds of RRF peak is obviously reduced,and the optimization object and strategy are effective.

Optimization of Interval Type-2 Fuzzy Logic System Using Grasshopper Optimization Algorithm

The estimation of the fuzzy membership function parameters for interval type 2 fuzzy logic system(IT2-FLS)is a challenging task in the presence of uncertainty and imprecision.Grasshopper optimization algorithm(GOA)is a fresh population based meta-heuristic algorithm that mimics the swarming behavior of grasshoppers in nature,which has good convergence ability towards optima.The main objective of this paper is to apply GOA to estimate the optimal parameters of the Gaussian membership function in an IT2-FLS.The antecedent part parameters(Gaussian membership function parameters)are encoded as a population of artificial swarm of grasshoppers and optimized using its algorithm.Tuning of the consequent part parameters are accomplished using extreme learning machine.The optimized IT2-FLS(GOAIT2FELM)obtained the optimal premise parameters based on tuned consequent part parameters and is then applied on the Australian national electricity market data for the forecasting of electricity loads and prices.The forecasting performance of the proposed model is compared with other population-based optimized IT2-FLS including genetic algorithm and artificial bee colony optimization algorithm.Analysis of the performance,on the same data-sets,reveals that the proposed GOAIT2FELM could be a better approach for improving the accuracy of the IT2-FLS as compared to other variants of the optimized IT2-FLS.

Optimal Design of a Ship Multitasking Cabin Layout Based on the Interval Optimization Method

Searching for the optimal cabin layout plan is an efective way to improve the efciency of the overall design and reduce a ship’s operation costs.The multitasking states of a ship involve several statuses when facing diferent missions during a voyage,such as the status of the marine supply and emergency escape.The human fow and logistics between cabins will change as the state changes.An ideal cabin layout plan,which is directly impacted by the above-mentioned factors,can meet the diferent requirements of several statuses to a higher degree.Inevitable deviations exist in the quantifcation of human fow and logistics.Moreover,uncontrollability is present in the fow situation during actual operations.The coupling of these deviations and uncontrollability shows typical uncertainties,which must be considered in the design process.Thus,it is important to integrate the demands of the human fow and logistics in multiple states into an uncertainty parameter scheme.This research considers the uncertainties of adjacent and circulating strengths obtained after quantifying the human fow and logistics.Interval numbers are used to integrate them,a two-layer nested system of interval optimization is introduced,and diferent optimization algorithms are substituted for solving calculations.The comparison and analysis of the calculation results with deterministic optimization show that the conclusions obtained can provide feasible guidance for cabin layout scheme.

Optimization of Uncertain Structures with Interval Parameters Considering Objective and Feasibility Robustness

For the purpose of improving the mechanical performance indices of uncertain structures with interval parameters and ensure their robustness when fluctuating under interval parameters, a constrained interval robust optimization model is constructed with both the center and halfwidth of the most important mechanical performance index described as objective functions and the other requirements on the mechanical performance indices described as constraint functions. To locate the optimal solution of objective and feasibility robustness, a new concept of interval violation vector and its calculation formulae corresponding to different constraint functions are proposed. The math?ematical formulae for calculating the feasibility and objective robustness indices and the robustness?based preferential guidelines are proposed for directly ranking various design vectors, which is realized by an algorithm integrating Kriging and nested genetic algorithm. The validity of the proposed method and its superiority to present interval optimization approaches are demonstrated by a numerical example. The robust optimization of the upper beam in a high?speed press with interval material properties demonstrated the applicability and effectiveness of the proposed method in engineering.

ENVELOPING THEORY BASED METHOD FOR THE DETERMINATION OF PATH INTERVAL AND TOOL PATH OPTIMIZATION FOR SURFACE MACHINING

An enveloping theory based method for the determination of path interval in three axis NC machining of free form surface is presented, and a practical algorithm and the measures for improving the calculating efficiency of the algorithm are given. Not only the given algorithm can be used for ball end cutter, flat end cutter, torus cutter and drum cutter, but also the proposed method can be extended to arbitrary milling cutters. Thus, the problem how to strictly calculate path interval in the occasion of three axis NC machining of free form surfaces with non ball end cutters has been resolved effectively. On this basis, the factors that affect path interval are analyzed, and the methods for optimizing tool path are explored.

Optimal dispatching method for integrated energy system based on robust economic model predictive control considering source-load power interval prediction

Effective source-load prediction and reasonable dispatching are crucial to realize the economic and reliable operations of integrated energy systems(IESs).They can overcome the challenges introduced by the uncertainties of new energies and various types of loads in the IES.Accordingly,a robust optimal dispatching method for the IES based on a robust economic model predictive control(REMPC)strategy considering source-load power interval prediction is proposed.First,an operation model of the IES is established,and an interval prediction model based on the bidirectional long short-term memory network optimized by beetle antenna search and bootstrap is formulated and applied to predict the photovoltaic power and the cooling,heating,and electrical loads.Then,an optimal dispatching scheme based on REMPC is devised for the IES.The source-load interval prediction results are used to improve the robustness of the REPMC and reduce the influence of source-load uncertainties on dispatching.An actual IES case is selected to conduct simulations;the results show that compared with other prediction techniques,the proposed method has higher prediction interval coverage probability and prediction interval normalized averaged width.Moreover,the operational cost of the IES is decreased by the REMPC strategy.With the devised dispatching scheme,the ability of the IES to handle the dispatching risk caused by prediction errors is enhanced.Improved dispatching robustness and operational economy are also achieved.

Weak optimal inverse problems of interval linear programming based on KKT conditions

In this paper,weak optimal inverse problems of interval linear programming(IvLP)are studied based on KKT conditions.Firstly,the problem is precisely defined.Specifically,by adjusting the minimum change of the current cost coefficient,a given weak solution can become optimal.Then,an equivalent characterization of weak optimal inverse IvLP problems is obtained.Finally,the problem is simplified without adjusting the cost coefficient of null variable.

A LOW-COST OPTIMIZATION APPROACH FOR SOLVING MINIMUM NORM LINEAR SYSTEMS AND LINEAR LEAST-SQUARES PROBLEMS

Recently,the authors proposed a low-cost approach,named Optimization Approach for Linear Systems(OPALS)for solving any kind of a consistent linear system regarding the structure,characteristics,and dimension of the coefficient matrix A.The results obtained by this approach for matrices with no structure and with indefinite symmetric part were encouraging when compare with other recent and well-known techniques.In this work,we proposed to extend the OPALS approach for solving the Linear Least-Squares Problem(LLSP)and the Minimum Norm Linear System Problem(MNLSP)using any iterative low-cost gradient-type method,avoiding the construction of the matrices AT A or AAT,and taking full advantage of the structure and form of the gradient of the proposed nonlinear objective function in the gradient direction.The combination of those conditions together with the choice of the initial iterate allow us to produce a novel and efficient low-cost numerical scheme for solving both problems.Moreover,the scheme presented in this work can also be used and extended for the weighted minimum norm linear systems and minimum norm linear least-squares problems.We include encouraging numerical results to illustrate the practical behavior of the proposed schemes.

Dispatch of a Coal Mine-Integrated Energy System:Optimization Model with Interval Variables and Lower Carbon Emission

In the coal mining process,a large amount of Coal Mine-Associated energy(CMAE),such as coal mine methane and underground wastewater,is produced.Research on the modeling and optimization dispatching of a Coal Mine-Integrated Energy System(CMIES)with CMAE effectively saves energy and reduces carbon pollution.CMAE has great uncertainties owing to the affections of the hydrogeology conditions and mining schedules.In addition,thermal loads have high comfort requirements in mines,which brings great challenges to the optimization dispatching of CMIESs.Therefore,this paper studies the architecture and solution of CMIESs with a flexible thermal load and source-load uncertainty.First,to effectively improve the electric and thermal conversion efficiency,the architecture of CMIES,including a concentrating solar power station,is built.Second,for the scheduling model with bilateral uncertainty,the interval representation method with interval variables is proposed,and a multi-objective scheduling model based on the interval variables and flexible thermal load is constructed.Finally,we propose a solution method for the model with interval variables.A case study is conducted to demonstrate the performance of our model and method for lowering carbon emissions and cost.

Checking weak and strong optimality of the solution to interval convex quadratic program

In this paper,we investigate three canonical forms of interval convex quadratic pro-gramming problems.Necessary and suficient conditions for checking weak and strong optimality of given vector corresponding to various forms of feasible region,are established respectively.By using the concept of feasible direction,these conditions are formulated in the form of linear systems with both equations and inequalities.In addition,we provide two specific examples to illustrate the efficiency of the conditions.