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A New Empirical Large Signal Model of 4H-SiC MESFETs for the Nonlinear Analysis
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作者 曹全君 张义门 +4 位作者 张玉明 吕红亮 郭辉 汤晓燕 王悦湖 《Journal of Semiconductors》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2007年第7期1023-1029,共7页
A new comprehensive empirical large signal model for 4H-SiC MESFETs is proposed. An enhanced drain current model,along with an improved charge conservation capacitance model,is presented by the improvement of the chan... A new comprehensive empirical large signal model for 4H-SiC MESFETs is proposed. An enhanced drain current model,along with an improved charge conservation capacitance model,is presented by the improvement of the channel length modulation and the hyperbolic tangent function coefficient based on the Materka model. The Levenberg-Marquardt method is used to optimize the parameter extraction. A comparison of simulation resuits with experimental data is made,and good agreements of I-V curves, Pout (output power), PAE (power added efficiency) ,and gain at the bias of Vos = 20V, Ips = 80mA as well as the operational frequency of 1.8GHz are obtained. 展开更多
关键词 4H-SiC MESFET large signal empirical model Levenberg-Marquardt method
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A CAD oriented quasi-analytical large-signal drain current model for 4H-SiC MESFETs 被引量:3
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作者 曹全君 张义门 +4 位作者 张玉明 吕红亮 王悦湖 常远程 汤晓燕 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2007年第4期1097-1100,共4页
This paper reports that a 4H-SiC MESFET (Metal Semiconductor Field Effect Transistor) large signal drain current model based on physical expressions has been developed to be used in CAD tools. The form of drain curr... This paper reports that a 4H-SiC MESFET (Metal Semiconductor Field Effect Transistor) large signal drain current model based on physical expressions has been developed to be used in CAD tools. The form of drain current model is based on semi-empirical MESFET model, and all parameters in this model are determined by physical parameters of 4H-SiC MESFET. The verification of the present model embedded in CAD tools is made, which shows a good agreement with measured data of large signal DC I-V characteristics, PAE (power added efficiency), output power and gain. 展开更多
关键词 4H-SiC MESFET drain current model CAD large signal
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Research on Large Volume Airgun Source Signal Reception in Hutubi, Xinjiang Using Seismic Network Data 被引量:4
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作者 Su Jinbo Wang Qiong +5 位作者 Wang Haitao Shi Yongjun Chen Xiangjun Feng Lei Chen Hao Zhang Wenxiu 《Earthquake Research in China》 CSCD 2016年第3期326-332,共7页
We used data from the Xinjiang Digital Seismic Network and PSD( Power Spectral Density) method to perform noise level assessment for six stations. We calculated the median of the power spectral density to evaluate the... We used data from the Xinjiang Digital Seismic Network and PSD( Power Spectral Density) method to perform noise level assessment for six stations. We calculated the median of the power spectral density to evaluate the noise level of different stations. After the comparison of the power spectral density of different stations and the airgun signal recognition,we found that noise level of stations with recognizable airgun source signals is lower than that of stations without recognizable signals. The largest difference of the power spectral density is 40 d B,and the smallest is 15 d B. Finally,we found that the failure to recognize the signal of airgun sources at some stations is due to the noise level. 展开更多
关键词 large volume airgun Power Spectral Density Noise level signal recognition
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Signal Detection of Large Volume Airgun Source Excitation in the Fixed Field of the Yangtze River 被引量:4
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作者 Xu Jiajun Cai Huiteng +3 位作者 Jin Xing Wang Shanxiong Xia Ji Li Pei 《Earthquake Research in China》 CSCD 2016年第3期418-429,共12页
As this is the first time a large volume airgun has been excited in the "Yangtse River Geoscience Project",it is necessary to study the time-frequency characteristic based on the linear stacked seismic data ... As this is the first time a large volume airgun has been excited in the "Yangtse River Geoscience Project",it is necessary to study the time-frequency characteristic based on the linear stacked seismic data from records from portable stations near the fixed fields and seismic stations. Airgun signal propagation distances were detected using stacked seismic data to analyze the environmental impact on signal propagation distance. The results showed that:( 1) the airgun signal produced by bubble pulses,pressure pulses and the surface wave can be received by a portable station near the fixed field;( 2) the dominant frequency of a bubble at 5Hz or so can be received by both near-field stations and far-field stations,pressure pulses rapidly weaken and the dominant frequency bands get narrower as epicentral distance increases;( 3) the longest spread distance of signal is 260 km,the nearest is 180 km,and the signal can travel further in the evening. 展开更多
关键词 large volume airgun Excited in fixed field Time-frequency characteristics signal detection
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LARGE SIGNAL THEORY OF OROTRON IN CONSIDERATION OF SPACE CHARGE FIELD
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作者 宋文淼 郭开周 《Journal of Electronics(China)》 1989年第4期343-349,共7页
An approximate formula of space charge field of orotron in rectangular coordinate system,when one of the boundaries is infinite, is derived. Using this model the self-consistant large signal interactionof orotron with... An approximate formula of space charge field of orotron in rectangular coordinate system,when one of the boundaries is infinite, is derived. Using this model the self-consistant large signal interactionof orotron with space charge is calculated, and the effect of this charge on the performance of the device isdiscussed. 展开更多
关键词 Orotron large signal THEORY Space CHARGE FIELD
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Multi-subpulse process of large time-bandwidth product chirp signal
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作者 张洪纲 范花玉 +1 位作者 何少华 刘泉华 《Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology》 EI CAS 2015年第4期501-507,共7页
To prevent the long-time coherent integration and limited range window stumbling blocks of stretch processing and reduce computational complexity, a novel method called multi-subpulse process of large time-bandwidth p... To prevent the long-time coherent integration and limited range window stumbling blocks of stretch processing and reduce computational complexity, a novel method called multi-subpulse process of large time-bandwidth product linear frequency modulating ( LFM ) signal ( i. e. chirp ) is proposed in this paper. The wideband chirp signal is split up into several compressed subpulses. Then the fast Fourier transform (FFT) is used to reconstruct the high resolution range profile ( HR- RP) in a relative short computation time. For multi-frame, pulse Doppler (PD) process is performed to obtain the two-dimension range-Doppler (R-D) high resolution profile. Simulations and field ex- perimental results show that the proposed method can provide high-quality target profile over a large range window in a short computation time and has the promising potential for long-time coherent in- tegration. 展开更多
关键词 multi-subpulse process large time-bandwidth product chirp signal COMPUTATIONALCOMPLEXITY coherent integration
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THE LARGE-SIGNAL DESIGN FOR FET FUNDAMENTAL AND HARMONIC OSCILLATORS
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作者 苗敬峰 廖敏 《Journal of Electronics(China)》 1992年第2期113-121,共9页
A Large-signal model for GaAs FET is derived based on its small-signal S parame-ters and DC characteristics. The harmonic balance algorithm is applied to analyze and optimizethe FET fundamental and harmonic oscillator... A Large-signal model for GaAs FET is derived based on its small-signal S parame-ters and DC characteristics. The harmonic balance algorithm is applied to analyze and optimizethe FET fundamental and harmonic oscillators, and the values of steady current are obtained.In the solving process, a simplified CAD approach is used to obtain the parameters of matchingnetwork when the output power is maximum. Finally, a fundamental oscillator and a harmonicoscillator of Q-band are fabricated. The measurements show that the theoretical analysis andexperimental results are in good agreement. 展开更多
关键词 FET large signal model HARMONIC BALANCE algorithm HARMONIC OSCILLATOR
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Large Signal Modulation Characteristics in the Transition Regime for Two-State Lasing Quantum Dot Lasers
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作者 吕尊仁 季海铭 +4 位作者 杨晓光 罗帅 高凤 许锋 杨涛 《Chinese Physics Letters》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2016年第12期63-67,共5页
Large-signal modulation capability, as an important performance indicator, is directly related to the high-speed optical communication technology involved. We experimentally and theoretically investigate the large-sig... Large-signal modulation capability, as an important performance indicator, is directly related to the high-speed optical communication technology involved. We experimentally and theoretically investigate the large-signal modulation characteristics of the simultaneous ground-state (GS) and the excited-state (ES) lasing in InAs/OaAs quantum dot laser diodes. The large-signal modulation capability of total light intensity in the transition regime from OS lasing to two-state lasing is unchanged as the bias-current increases. However, GS and ES large-signal eye diagrams show obvious variations during the transition. Relaxation oscillations and large-signal eye diagrams for OS, ES, and total light intensities are numerically simulated and analyzed in detail by using a rate-equation model. The -ndings show that a complementary relationship between the light intensities for OS and ES lasing exists in both the transition regime and the two-state lasing regime, leading to a much smaller overshooting power and a shorter settling time for the total light intensity. Therefore, the eye diagrams of GS or ES lasing are diffuse whereas those of total light intensity are constant as the bias-current increases in the transition regime. 展开更多
关键词 GS for large signal Modulation Characteristics in the Transition Regime for Two-State Lasing Quantum Dot Lasers ES of in
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The influences of large earthquake signals on the recovery of surface waves from ambient noise cross-correlation functions
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作者 Huayi Zhu Xiaojin Xie +1 位作者 Xiaozhou Yang Yinhe Luo 《Earthquake Science》 2020年第5期221-231,共11页
Ambient noise tomography(ANT)has been widely used to image crust and upmost mantle structures.ANT assumes that sources of ambient noise are diffuse and evenly distributed in space and the energy of different modes is ... Ambient noise tomography(ANT)has been widely used to image crust and upmost mantle structures.ANT assumes that sources of ambient noise are diffuse and evenly distributed in space and the energy of different modes is equipartitioned.At present,the sources of the primary and the secondary microseisms are well studied,but there are only a few on the studies of long-period ambient noise sources.In this study,we study the effects of large earthquake signals on the recovery of surface waves from seismic ambient noise data recorded by seismic stations from the US permanent networks and Global Seismographic Network(GSN).Our results show that large earthquake signals play an important role on the recovery of long-period surface waves from ambient noise cross-correlation functions.Our results are consistent with previous studies that suggest the contribution of earthquake signals to the recovery of surface waves from cross-correlations of ambient noise is dominant at periods larger than 20–40 s. 展开更多
关键词 ambient noise tomography long-period surface wave large earthquake signals noise cross-correlation function
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Adaptive Learning with Large Variability of Teaching Signals for Neural Networks and Its Application to Motion Control of an Industrial Robot 被引量:2
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作者 Fusaomi Nagata Keigo Watanabe 《International Journal of Automation and computing》 EI 2011年第1期54-61,共8页
Recently, various control methods represented by proportional-integral-derivative (PID) control are used for robotic control. To cope with the requirements for high response and precision, advanced feedforward contr... Recently, various control methods represented by proportional-integral-derivative (PID) control are used for robotic control. To cope with the requirements for high response and precision, advanced feedforward controllers such as gravity compensator, Coriolis/centrifugal force compensator and friction compensators have been built in the controller. Generally, it causes heavy computational load when calculating the compensating value within a short sampling period. In this paper, integrated recurrent neural networks are applied as a feedforward controller for PUMA560 manipulator. The feedforward controller works instead of gravity and Coriolis/centrifugal force compensators. In the learning process of the neural network by using back propagation algorithm, the learning coefficient and gain of sigmoid function are tuned intuitively and empirically according to teaching signals. The tuning is complicated because it is being conducted by trial and error. Especially, when the scale of teaching signal is large, the problem becomes crucial. To cope with the problem which concerns the learning performance, a simple and adaptive learning technique for large scale teaching signals is proposed. The learning techniques and control effectiveness are evaluated through simulations using the dynamic model of PUMA560 manipulator. 展开更多
关键词 Neural networks large-scale teaching signal sigmoid function adaptive learning servo system PUMA560 manipulator trajectory following control nonlinear control.
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Unambiguously Resolving the Potential Neutrino Magnetic Moment Signal at Large Liquid Scintillator Detectors
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作者 Ziping Ye Feiyang Zhang +1 位作者 Donglian Xu Jianglai Liu 《Chinese Physics Letters》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2021年第11期18-22,共5页
Non-vanishing electromagnetic properties of neutrinos have been predicted by many theories beyond the Standard Model, and an enhanced neutrino magnetic moment can have profound implications for fundamental physics. Th... Non-vanishing electromagnetic properties of neutrinos have been predicted by many theories beyond the Standard Model, and an enhanced neutrino magnetic moment can have profound implications for fundamental physics. The XENON1T experiment recently detected an excess of electron recoil events in the 1–7 keV energy range, which can be compatible with solar neutrino magnetic moment interaction at a most probable value of μ_(v) = 2.1 × 10^(-11)μ_(B).However, tritium backgrounds or solar axion interaction in this energy window are equally plausible causes.Upcoming multi-tonne noble liquid detectors will test these scenarios more in depth, but will continue to face similar ambiguity. We report a unique capability of future large liquid scintillator detectors to help resolve the potential neutrino magnetic moment scenario. With O(100) kton·year exposure of liquid scintillator to solar neutrinos, a sensitivity of μ_(v) < 10^(-11)μ_(B) can be reached at an energy threshold greater than 40 keV, where no tritium or solar axion events but only neutrino magnetic moment signal is still present. 展开更多
关键词 Unambiguously Resolving the Potential Neutrino Magnetic Moment signal at large Liquid Scintillator Detectors
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Alterations and Its Mechanisms of Wnt Signal Pathway in Human High-matastatatic Large Cell Lung Cancer Cell Line L9981 by Transfecting with Nm23-H1 Gene 被引量:1
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作者 Junke FU Zhe WANG +7 位作者 Sen WEI Gang CHEN Zhigang LI Jun CHEN Hongyu LIU Zhihao WU Ke XU Qinghua ZHOU 《中国肺癌杂志》 CAS 2009年第6期477-479,共3页
Backgroud and Objective Tumor metastasis is not only the malignant marker and characteristics of lung cancer, but also the main cause of failure to cure and lose their life of the
关键词 肺癌 扩散 临床 化疗
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Down-regulation and It's Molecular Biology of Nm-23H1 Gene Transfection on PKC Signal Path-way in Human High-metastatic Large Cell Lung Cancer Cell Line L9981
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作者 Qiang NIE Yun WANG +8 位作者 Jun CHEN Seng WEI Gang CHEN Zhigang LI Hongyu LIU Haisu WAN Zhihao WU Ke XU Qinghua ZHOU 《中国肺癌杂志》 CAS 2009年第6期484-485,共2页
Backgroud and Objective At present, lung cancer has become the most frenquent malignant tumor in China and in the world which its mortality and morbidity is increasing fastest.
关键词 肺癌 临床 诊断 化疗
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Down-regulation and It's Molecular Biology of Nm-23H1 gene Transfection on Ras-to-MAPK Signal Transduction Pathway in Human High-metastatic Large Cell Lung Cancer Cell Line L9981
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作者 Yin LI Jianjun QIN +9 位作者 Yun WANG Jun CHEN Sen WEI Gang CHEN Zhigang LI Hongyu LIU Haisu WAN Zhihao WU Ke XU QInghua ZHOU 《中国肺癌杂志》 CAS 2009年第6期487-489,共3页
Backgroud and Objective Tumor metastasis is not only the malignant marker and characteristics of lung cancer, but also the key cause of failure to cure and lose their life of the patients
关键词 肺癌 化疗 疗效 MAPK
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A flexible model-free tram signal priority method with a large coordination scope in China
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作者 Shan Wang 《Transportation Safety and Environment》 EI 2024年第3期28-34,共7页
Tram systems with the advantages of reliable operation,comfort,low emissions and moderate capacity have been quite popular in recent years in China.However,there are still problems with tram signal control(e.g.evaluat... Tram systems with the advantages of reliable operation,comfort,low emissions and moderate capacity have been quite popular in recent years in China.However,there are still problems with tram signal control(e.g.evaluation model,signal control strategies).In-depth analysis on existing operational issues of trams,calculation of two evaluation indexes,as well as a flexible model-free tram signal priority method were developed to deal with tram problems.Empirical research in Songjiang District,Shanghai shows that:(1)The function of the green extension strategy is limited with c.a.10%tram priority improvement,while the optimal one can reach to 85%higher on average.(2)A scheme with a benefit for trams and with no negative impact,and even benefits,for general traffic can be realized.(3)The optimal solution is beneficial for intersections with a maximum c.a.70%amelioration with delay decreasing from 132.7 s/vehicle to 40.89 s/vehicle,or from 104.77 s/capita to 22.31 s/capita.This paper has great significance for the signal optimization and safety of tram systems,even the development of a comprehensive transportation system for a city. 展开更多
关键词 tram signal priority large coordination scope model-free signal control average passenger delay average vehicle delay
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Simulation of large-scale numerical substructure in real-time dynamic hybrid testing 被引量:7
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作者 Zhu Fei Wang Jinting +2 位作者 Jin Feng Zhou Mengxia Gui Yao 《Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration》 SCIE EI CSCD 2014年第4期599-609,共11页
A solution scheme is proposed in this paper for an existing RTDHT system to simulate large-scale finite element (FE) numerical substructures. The analysis of the FE numerical substructure is split into response anal... A solution scheme is proposed in this paper for an existing RTDHT system to simulate large-scale finite element (FE) numerical substructures. The analysis of the FE numerical substructure is split into response analysis and signal generation tasks, and executed in two different target computers in real-time. One target computer implements the response analysis task, wherein a large time-step is used to solve the FE substructure, and another target computer implements the signal generation task, wherein an interpolation program is used to generate control signals in a small time-step to meet the input demand of the controller. By using this strategy, the scale of the FE numerical substructure simulation may be increased significantly. The proposed scheme is initially verified by two FE numerical substructure models with 98 and 1240 degrees of freedom (DOFs). Thereafter, RTDHTs of a single frame-foundation structure are implemented where the foundation, considered as the numerical substructure, is simulated by the FE model with 1240 DOFs. Good agreements between the results of the RTDHT and those from the FE analysis in ABAQUS are obtained. 展开更多
关键词 real-time dynamic hybrid testing large-scale numerical substructure control signal generation finite element simulation
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Investigation on performance of all optical buffer with large dynamical delay time based on cascaded double loop optical buffers
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作者 王拥军 吴重庆 +2 位作者 忻向军 余贶琭 张晓磊 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2010年第9期420-427,共8页
Optical buffers are critical for optical signal processing in future optical packet-switched networks. In this paper, a theoretical study as well as an experimental demonstration on a new optical buffer with large dyn... Optical buffers are critical for optical signal processing in future optical packet-switched networks. In this paper, a theoretical study as well as an experimental demonstration on a new optical buffer with large dynamical delay time is carried out based on cascaded double loop optical buffers (I:)LOBs). It is found that pulse distortion can be restrained by a negative optical control mode when the optical packet is in the loop. Noise analysis indicates that it is feasible to realise a large variable delay range by cascaded DLOBs. These conclusions are validated by the experiment system with 4-stage cascaded DLOBs. Both the theoretical simulations and the experimental results indicate that a large delay range of 1-9999 times the basic delay unit and a fine granularity of 25 ns can be achieved by the cascaded DLOBs. The performance of the cascaded DLOBs is suitable for the all optical networks. 展开更多
关键词 all optical packets switching optical buffer with large delay range signals impairment noise analysis of semiconductor optical amplifier
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Clinicopathological features and expression of regulatory mechanism of the Wnt signaling pathway in colorectal sessile serrated adenomas/polyps with different syndrome types 被引量:1
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作者 Dan Qiao Xiao-Yan Liu +5 位作者 Lie Zheng Ya-Li Zhang Ren-Ye Que Bing-Jing Ge Hong-Yan Cao Yan-Cheng Dai 《World Journal of Clinical Cases》 SCIE 2023年第9期1963-1973,共11页
BACKGROUND Colorectal cancer(CRC)is the third most common cancer worldwide,with the fourth highest mortality among all cancers.Reportedly,in addition to adenomas,serrated polyps,which account for 15%-30%of CRCs,can al... BACKGROUND Colorectal cancer(CRC)is the third most common cancer worldwide,with the fourth highest mortality among all cancers.Reportedly,in addition to adenomas,serrated polyps,which account for 15%-30%of CRCs,can also develop into CRCs through the serrated pathway.Sessile serrated adenomas/polyps(SSAs/Ps),a type of serrated polyps,are easily misdiagnosed during endoscopy.AIM To observe the difference in the Wnt signaling pathway expression in SSAs/Ps patients with different syndrome types.METHODS From January 2021 to December 2021,patients with SSAs/Ps were recruited from the Endoscopy Room of Shanghai Traditional Chinese Medicine-Integrated Hospital,affiliated with Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine.Thirty cases each of large intestine damp-heat(Da-Chang-Shi-Re,DCSR)syndrome and spleen-stomach weakness(Pi-Wei-Xu-Ruo)syndrome were reported.Baseline comparison of the general data,typical tongue coating,colonoscopy findings,and hematoxylin and eosin findings was performed in each group.The expression of the Wnt pathway-related proteins,namelyβ-catenin,adenomatous polyposis coli,and mutated in colorectal cancer,were analyzed using immunohistochemistry.RESULTS Significant differences were observed with respect to the SSAs/Ps size between the two groups of patients with different syndrome types(P=0.001).The other aspects did not differ between the two groups.The Wnt signaling pathway was activated in patients with SSAs/Ps belonging to both groups,which was manifested asβ-catenin protein translocation into the nucleus.However,SSAs/Ps patients with DCSR syndrome had more nucleation,higherβ-catenin expression,and negative regulatory factor(adenomatous polyposis coli and mutated in colorectal cancer)expression(P<0.0001)than SSA/P patients with Pi-Wei-Xu-Ruo syndrome.In addition,the SSA/P size was linearly correlated with the related protein expression.CONCLUSION Patients with DCSR syndrome had a more obvious Wnt signaling pathway activation and a higher risk of carcinogenesis.A high-quality colonoscopic diagnosis was essential.The thorough assessment of clinical diseases can be improved by combining the diseases of Western medicine with the syndromes of traditional Chinese medicine. 展开更多
关键词 Sessile serrated adenomas/polyps Wnt signaling pathway large intestine damp-heat syndrome Spleen-stomach weakness syndrome
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基于改进等效电路模型的直流微电网大信号稳定性分析 被引量:1
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作者 王力 谭振杰 +2 位作者 曾祥君 赵斌 郑月球 《电工技术学报》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2024年第5期1284-1299,共16页
对高阶非线性直流微电网进行简化建模是大信号稳定性分析的有效方法。传统简化模型主要关注LC滤波器和线路阻抗等参数,难以分析换流器控制参数的影响,所建立的判据存在难以准确反映直流微电网稳定域的问题。因此,该文提出直流电压下垂... 对高阶非线性直流微电网进行简化建模是大信号稳定性分析的有效方法。传统简化模型主要关注LC滤波器和线路阻抗等参数,难以分析换流器控制参数的影响,所建立的判据存在难以准确反映直流微电网稳定域的问题。因此,该文提出直流电压下垂控制换流器的具备完整状态变量集的改进等效电路模型,相比于传统简化模型,能更准确地刻画系统低频响应特性。基于混合势理论推导了直流微电网大信号稳定判据及其稳定域,并结合LaSalle不变集定理得到能量指标,以反映系统稳定性变化趋势。建立的稳定判据可指导控制参数优化,且能拓展到多端直流微电网的大信号稳定性分析。在多场景下仿真验证了所提改进等效电路模型和大信号稳定判据的有效性。 展开更多
关键词 直流微电网 大信号稳定性 等效模型 直流电压控制 混合势理论
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2018年浙江梅雨降水异常偏少的大尺度环流特征及前兆信号分析
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作者 马浩 陈伯民 +4 位作者 樊高峰 刘学华 肖晶晶 高大伟 殷悦 《高原气象》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第4期933-954,共22页
2018年浙江梅雨降水异常偏少,梅雨期平均环流特征欧亚中高纬度为“两槽一脊型”,西太平洋副热带高压(以下简称西太副高)偏东偏北,东亚高空急流偏北,浙江以南缺少低空急流的支持,不利于形成持续降水。6月上、中旬水汽输送不足、南北气流... 2018年浙江梅雨降水异常偏少,梅雨期平均环流特征欧亚中高纬度为“两槽一脊型”,西太平洋副热带高压(以下简称西太副高)偏东偏北,东亚高空急流偏北,浙江以南缺少低空急流的支持,不利于形成持续降水。6月上、中旬水汽输送不足、南北气流辐合较弱、东亚高空急流偏南、南海夏季风偏强、印度季风偏弱是梅雨开始偏晚的重要原因。梅汛期主要形成了三次降水过程(过程Ⅰ、过程Ⅱ和过程Ⅲ)和一次降水间歇过程,过程Ⅰ和过程Ⅱ表现为南北气流辐合型降水,过程Ⅲ为台风降水。系统分析了与不同过程相对应的大尺度环流及其演变特征,发现由于冷空气活动偏弱、南海夏季风偏强、西南水汽输送偏弱,过程Ⅰ的强度强于过程Ⅱ。在环流分析基础上,进一步挖掘与浙江梅雨有密切关联的海洋、大气和陆面信号,发现对该年梅雨异常偏弱有重要指示意义的前兆信号为冬、春季Ni?o关键区海温指数为正异常且北太平洋中部海温呈现负异常、冬季西南印度洋海温为正异常、春季喀拉海-巴伦支海海冰偏少、4-5月南半球环状模指数和北极涛动指数分别处于正位相和负位相。基于浙江梅雨序列,依托相关系数和同号率两个指标筛选出从前冬到春季稳定维持或有所增强的气候信号,利用多元线性回归、多因子综合判别、联合诊断三种方法分别构造可冬季发布和春季发布的梅雨预测模型,发现线性模型整体上能够较好地预测梅雨降水距平,特别是对降水偏少情形指示意义突出。 展开更多
关键词 梅雨降水 降水过程 大尺度环流演变 前兆信号 统计预测模型
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