Future changes in rainfall, temperature and reference evapotranspiration in the central India by least square support vector machine

Climate change affects the environment and natural resources immensely. Rainfall, temperature and evapotranspiration are major parameters of climate affecting changes in the environment. Evapotrans- piration plays a key role in crop production and water balance of a region, one of the major parameters affected by climate change. The reference evapotranspiration or ETo is a calculated parameter used in this research. In the present study, changes in the future rainfall, minimum and maximum temperature, and ETo have been shown by downscaling the HadCM3 （Hadley Centre Coupled Model version 3） model data. The selected study area is located in a part of the Narmada river basin area in Madhya Pradesh in central India. The downscaled outputs of projected rainfall, ETo and temperatures have been shown for the 21st century with the HADCM3 data of A2 scenario by the Least Square Support Vector Machine （LS-SVM） model. The efficiency of the LS-SVM model was measured by different statistical methods. The selected predictors show considerable correlation with the rainfall and temperature and the application of this model has been done in a basin area which is an agriculture based region and is sensitive to the change of rainfall and temperature. Results showed an increase in the future rainfall, temperatures and ETo. The temperature increase is projected in the high rise of minimum temperature in winter time and the highest increase in maximum temperature is projected in the pre-monsoon season or from March to May. Highest increase is projected in the 2080s in 2081-2091 and 2091-2099 in maximum temperature and 2091-2099 in minimum temperature in all the stations. Winter maximum temperature has been observed to have increased in the future. High rainfall is also observed with higher ETo in some decades. Two peaks of the increase are observed in ETo in the April-May and in the October. Variation in these parameters due to climate change might have an impact on the future water resource of the study area, which is mainly an agricultural based region, and will help in proper planning and management.

Application of least squares vector machines in modelling water vapor and carbon dioxide fluxes over a cropland

Least squares support vector machines (LS-SVMs), a nonlinear kemel based machine was introduced to investigate the prospects of application of this approach in modelling water vapor and carbon dioxide fluxes above a summer maize field using the dataset obtained in the North China Plain with eddy covariance technique. The performances of the LS-SVMs were compared to the corresponding models obtained with radial basis function (RBF) neural networks. The results indicated the trained LS-SVMs with a radial basis function kernel had satisfactory performance in modelling surface fluxes; its excellent approximation and generalization property shed new light on the study on complex processes in ecosystem.

基于提升小波和LS-SVM的大坝变形预测

提出了一种基于提升小波和最小二乘支持向量机的大坝变形预测方法,通过提升小波分析提取大坝监测数据效应量,分别对各效应量使用最小二乘支持向量机模型进行训练预测,再将合成各分量的预测结果作为最终的变形预测结果。算例结果表明,该方法较符合实际情况,具有很高的预测精度和良好的泛化能力。

基于EMD近似熵和LS-SVM的机械故障智能诊断

故障特征提取的精确性和分类识别的高效率是提高故障诊断准确率和速度的关键,针对此问题,提出一种基于经验模式分解(empirical mode decomposition,EMD)近似熵和最小二乘支持向量机(least square support vector machine,LS-SVM)的机械故障诊断新方法。利用EMD良好的局域化特性和近似熵表征信号复杂性规律来量化故障特征,再与LS-SVM相结合进行故障类型识别。首先,对故障振动信号进行EMD分解,得到若干个反映故障信息的本征模函数(intrinsic mode function,IMF);其次,选取前4个IMF的近似熵值作为信号的特征向量;最后将构造的特征向量输入到LS-SVM分类器进行故障类型识别。仿真表明,该方法能有效地提取故障特征,与传统的BP(back propagation)网络相比,具有训练样本少、训练时间短、识别率高等优点。

Joint application of feature extraction based on EMD-AR strategy and multi-class classifier based on LS-SVM in EMG motion classification

This paper presents an effective and efficient combination of feature extraction and multi-class classifier for motion classification by analyzing the surface electromyografic(sEMG) signals. In contrast to the existing methods,considering the non-stationary and nonlinear characteristics of EMG signals,to get the more separable feature set,we introduce the empirical mode decomposition(EMD) to decompose the original EMG signals into several intrinsic mode functions(IMFs) and then compute the coefficients of autoregressive models of each IMF to form the feature set. Based on the least squares support vector machines(LS-SVMs) ,the multi-class classifier is designed and constructed to classify various motions. The results of contrastive experiments showed that the accuracy of motion recognition is improved with the described classification scheme. Furthermore,compared with other classifiers using different features,the excellent performance indicated the potential of the SVM techniques embedding the EMD-AR kernel in motion classification.

Combination forecast for urban rail transit passenger flow based on fuzzy information granulation and CPSO-LS-SVM

In order to obtain the trend of urban rail transit traffic flow and grasp the fluctuation range of passenger flow better,this paper proposes a combined forecasting model of passenger flow fluctuation range based on fuzzy information granulation and least squares support vector machine(LS-SVM)optimized by chaos particle swarm optimization(CPSO).Due to the nonlinearity and fluctuation of the passenger flow,firstly,fuzzy information granulation is used to extract the valid data from the window according to the requirement.Secondly,CPSO that has strong global search ability is applied to optimize the parameters of the LS-SVM forecasting model.Finally,the combined model is used to forecast the fluctuation range of early peak passenger flow at Tiyu Xilu Station of Guangzhou Metro Line 3 in 2014,and the results are compared and analyzed with other models.Simulation results demonstrate that the combined forecasting model can effectively track the fluctuation of passenger flow,which provides an effective method for predicting the fluctuation range of short-term passenger flow in the future.

LS-SVM and Monte Carlo methods based reliability analysis for settlement of soft clayey foundation

A method which adopts the combination of least squares support vector machine（LS-SVM） and Monte Carlo（MC） simulation is used to calculate the foundation settlement reliability.When using LS-SVM,choosing the training dataset and the values for LS-SVM parameters is the key.In a representative sense,the orthogonal experimental design with four factors and five levels is used to choose the inputs of the training dataset,and the outputs are calculated by using fast Lagrangian analysis continua（FLAC）.The decimal ant colony algorithm（DACA） is also used to determine the parameters.Calculation results show that the values of the two parameters,and δ2 have great effect on the performance of LS-SVM.After the training of LS-SVM,the inputs are sampled according to the probabilistic distribution,and the outputs are predicted with the trained LS-SVM,thus the reliability analysis can be performed by the MC method.A program compiled by Matlab is employed to calculate its reliability.Results show that the method of combining LS-SVM and MC simulation is applicable to the reliability analysis of soft foundation settlement.

基于鲁棒LS-SVM的控制图模式识别

提出一种基于鲁棒最小二乘支持向量机(LS-SVM)的控制图模式识别方法,并研究其应用于过程质量诊断的可行性、有效性.理论研究和仿真试验结果表明,该方法对于标准的6种控制图模式都具有很高的模式识别率,训练模式识别器所需样本少,且训练结果泛化能力强,计算方法简单迅速. Abstract： A technique based on the robust least squares support vector machines(LS-SVM) used for control charts pattern recognition is proposed, the applied feasibility and validity of this technique in process quality diagnosis is also investigated. Theoretical research and experimental results show that this approach performs well upon the six typical control charts pattern recognition with high recognition accuracy, simple computation and fast training process, and the preeminent generalization ability on the condition of small sample size.

Combined forecast method of HMM and LS-SVM about electronic equipment state based on MAGA

For the deficiency that the traditional single forecast methods could not forecast electronic equipment states, a combined forecast method based on the hidden Markov model（HMM） and least square support vector machine（LS-SVM） is presented. The multi-agent genetic algorithm（MAGA） is used to estimate parameters of HMM to overcome the problem that the Baum-Welch algorithm is easy to fall into local optimal solution. The state condition probability is introduced into the HMM modeling process to reduce the effect of uncertain factors. MAGA is used to estimate parameters of LS-SVM. Moreover, pruning algorithms are used to estimate parameters to get the sparse approximation of LS-SVM so as to increase the ranging performance. On the basis of these, the combined forecast model of electronic equipment states is established. The example results show the superiority of the combined forecast model in terms of forecast precision,calculation speed and stability.

LS-SVM model based nonlinear predictive control for MCFC system

This paper describes a nonlinear model predictive controller for regulating a molten carbonate fuel cell (MCFC). In order to improve MCFC’s generating performance, prolong its life and guarantee safety, it must be controlled efficiently. First, the output voltage of an MCFC stack is identified by a least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM) method with radial basis function (RBF) kernel so as to implement nonlinear predictive control. And then, the optimal control sequences are obtained by applying genetic algorithm (GA). The model and controller have been realized in the MATLAB environment. Simulation results indicated that the proposed controller exhibits satisfying control effect.

MOBILE GEO-LOCATION ALGORITHM BASED ON LS-SVM

Support Vector Machine (SVM) is a powerful methodology for solving problems in non-linear classification, function estimation and density estimation, which has also led to many other recent developments in kernel based methods in general. This paper presents a highaccuracy and fault-tolerant SVM for the mobile geo-location problem, which is an important component of pervasive computing. Simulation results show its basic location performance, and illustrate impacts of the number of training samples and training area on test location error.

Classification of Power Quality Disturbances Using Wavelet Packet Energy Entropy and LS-SVM

The power quality (PQ) signals are traditionally analyzed in the time-domain by skilled engineers. However, PQ disturbances may not always be obvious in the original time-domain signal. Fourier analysis transforms signals into frequency domain, but has the disadvantage that time characteristics will become unobvious. Wavelet analysis, which provides both time and frequency information, can overcome this limitation. In this paper, there were two stages in analyzing PQ signals: feature extraction and disturbances classification. To extract features from PQ signals, wavelet packet transform (WPT) was first applied and feature vectors were constructed from wavelet packet log-energy entropy of different nodes. Least square support vector machines (LS-SVM) was applied to these feature vectors to classify PQ disturbances. Simulation results show that the proposed method possesses high recognition rate, so it is suitable to the monitoring and classifying system for PQ disturbances.

Segmentation algorithm for Hangzhou white chrysanthemums based on least squares support vector machine

In order to realize the visual positioning for Hangzhou white chrysanthemums harvesting robot in natural environment,a color image segmentation method for Hangzhou white chrysanthemum based on least squares support vector machine(LS-SVM)was proposed.Firstly,bilateral filter was used to filter the RGB channels image respectively to eliminate noise.Then the pixel-level color feature and texture feature of the image,which was used as input of LS-SVM model(classifier)and SVM model(classifier),were extracted via RGB value of image and gray level co-occurrence matrix.Finally,the color image was segmented with the trained LS-SVM model(classifier)and SVM model(classifier)separately.The experimental results showed that the trained LS-SVM model and SVM model could effectively segment the images of the Hangzhou white chrysanthemums from complicated background taken under three illumination conditions such as front-lighting,back-lighting and overshadow,with the accuracy of above 90%.When segmenting an image,the SVM algorithm required 1.3 s,while the LS-SVM algorithm proposed in this paper just needed 0.7 s,which was better than the SVM algorithm obviously.The picking experiment was carried out and the results showed that the implementation of the proposed segmentation algorithm on the picking robot could achieve 81%picking success rate.

Tribological properties and wear prediction model of TiC particles reinforced Ni-base alloy composite coatings

TiC particles reinforced Ni-based alloy composite coatings were prepared on 7005 aluminum alloy by plasma spray. The effects of load, speed and temperature on the tribological behavior and mechanisms of the composite coatings under dry friction were researched. The wear prediction model of the composite coatings was established based on the least square support vector machine (LS-SVM). The results show that the composite coatings exhibit smaller friction coefficients and wear losses than the Ni-based alloy coatings under different friction conditions. The predicting time of the LS-SVM model is only 12.93%of that of the BP-ANN model, and the predicting accuracies on friction coefficients and wear losses of the former are increased by 58.74%and 41.87%compared with the latter. The LS-SVM model can effectively predict the tribological behavior of the TiCP/Ni-base alloy composite coatings under dry friction.

模块化多电平换流器的子模块开路故障检测方法

针对模块化多电平换流器(modular multi-level converter,MMC)子模块开路故障特点,提出一种基于无监督学习-最小二乘互信息谱聚类和整体最小二乘支持向量机(total least square support vector machines,TLS-SVM)的故障诊断方法,前者用于故障特征信息提取,后者用于故障分类识别。在MATLAB/Simulink环境下,搭建可进行故障设置的201电平MMC仿真系统。对采集到的换流器正常和故障运行时的三相电流信号通过滤波去噪处理后,进行Hilbert包络分解得到包络均值,使用最小二乘互信息谱聚类对包络均值进行二分类并获得标签集,然后将标签集和数据集作为基于整体最小二乘支持向量机的训练集并获得分类模型,最后对MMC故障进行分类和识别。仿真实验结果表明,该方法能有效识别高电平MMC的开路故障,并能实现智能决策。

基于可见/近红外光谱谱区有效波长的梨品种鉴别

基于最小二乘支持向量机(LS-SVM)建模方法,提出应用梨在可见/近红外光谱谱区的有效波长(EW)进行其品种鉴别的新方法。用210个样本作为建模定标集,30个样本进行预测。根据偏最小二乘法分析载荷图和回归系数图选择鉴别梨品种的有效波长,并建立EW与最小二乘支持向量机相结合的EW-LS-SVM模型,同时与应用逆反馈人工神经网络(BP-ANN)建立的EW-BP-ANN模型进行判别准确率的比较。结果表明,应用LS-SVM和BP-ANN建立的模型对建模样本和预测集样本的判别准确率分别为100%和93.3%。研究表明,应用EW-LS-SVM模型进行梨品种鉴别是可行的。

最小二乘支持向量机在光伏功率预测中的应用

为了减少光伏发电的随机化问题对电力系统的影响,建立了基于最小二乘支持向量机的光伏功率预测模型,提前1h进行功率预测,根据储能补偿光伏输出期望值与实际输出的差额,优化储能安装容量。介绍了一种反映云层变化信息的地表太阳辐射量预测模型。采用光伏阵列的发电量、地表太阳能辐射量和气温序列分别按统一建模和时间序列建模2种方案建立了最小二乘支持向量机模型,并对训练好的模型在不同日类型下进行了测试和评估,验证了该模型和算法的有效性。结果表明,该模型不仅能够解决光伏发电的随机化问题,而且能有效减少储能安装容量。

永磁操作机构储能电容的状态评估与预测

真空开关永磁机构储能电容的失效诊断是实际应用中未解决的重要问题.基于永磁机构的工作原理,分析了其储能电容(电解电容)主要的退化机理与等效模型,选择等效串联电阻和电容量作为故障特征参数,提出了基于系统辨识理论的储能电容状态评估方法,利用最小二乘支持向量机(LSSVM)算法实现了对等效串联电阻和电容量值的预测,分析了未来时刻电解电容的状态变化.仿真实例验证了该评估与预测方法的有效性.

三自由度混合磁轴承最小二乘向量机逆模辨识与解耦控制

为实现三自由度混合磁轴承高精度非线性解耦控制,提出一种基于最小二乘支持向量机的逆模辨识和解耦控制策略。通过分析逆系统的存在性,利用支持向量机的拟合能力,离线建立初始逆模型,并根据系统输入与模型输出的偏差信息,对初始逆模型进行在线校正,以使其能适应对象的变化;在此基础上,将校正后的逆模型作为前馈控制环节与原系统串联构成伪线性系统,设计PID控制器作为反馈控制环节对磁轴承系统进行复合控制。仿真结果表明逆模型辨识精度高,复合控制效果好。

基于拉曼光谱的三组分食用调和油快速定量检测

应用激光拉曼光谱技术结合化学计量学方法实现了三组分食用调和油中菜籽油、花生油和芝麻油的快速定量检测。分别采用标准正态变量变换（SNV）＋去趋势（de-trending）算法和正交信号校正（OSC）算法对600~3 000cm-1波段的原始拉曼光谱进行预处理。建立了基于非线性支持向量机（SVM）和线性偏最小二乘（PLS）回归算法的定量分析模型,并采用19个预测集通过外部交叉验证法对模型进行验证。实验结果显示：对含有菜籽油、花生油和芝麻油的三组分食用调和油,以OSC预处理后建立的线性PLS模型预测效果最好,其验证集决定系数R2p分别为0.990 4,0.965 8,0.977 1,均方根误差（RMSEP）分别为0.018 8,0.037 9,0.026 2。研究结果表明,利用激光拉曼光谱结合化学计量学方法快速定量检测三组分食用调和油中菜籽油、花生油和芝麻油的含量具有可行性,并获得了较高的预测精度。