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Long-term variation of Arctic Sudden Stratospheric Warmings(SSW)and potential causes
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作者 QingRan Li ShaoDong Zhang +4 位作者 KaiMing Huang ChunMing Huang Yun Gong WenTao Tang Zheng Ma 《Earth and Planetary Physics》 EI CAS CSCD 2024年第5期742-752,共11页
Utilizing the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast(ECMWF)Reanalysis v5(ERA5),for the first time,we have confirmed close links among Sudden Stratospheric Warmings(SSWs)in the Northern Hemisphere(NH),the po... Utilizing the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast(ECMWF)Reanalysis v5(ERA5),for the first time,we have confirmed close links among Sudden Stratospheric Warmings(SSWs)in the Northern Hemisphere(NH),the polar vortices,and stratospheric Planetary Waves(PWs)by analyzing and comparing their trends.Interestingly,within overall increasing trends,the duration and strength of SSWs exhibit increasing and decreasing trends before and after the winter of 2002,respectively.To reveal possible physical mechanisms driving these trends,we analyzed the long-term trends of the winter(from December to February)polar vortices and of stratospheric PWs with zonal wave number 1.Notably,our results show that in all three time periods(the entire period of 41winters,1980 to 2020,and the two subperiods—1980-2002 and 2002-2020)enhancing SSWs were always accompanied by weakening winter polar vortices and strengthening polar PWs like Stationary Planetary Waves(SPWs)and 16-day waves,and vice versa.This is the first proof,based on ERA5 long-term trend data,that weakening polar vortices and enhancing stratospheric PWs(especially SPWs)could cause an increase in SSWs. 展开更多
关键词 sudden stratospheric warmings stationary planetary waves 16-day waves polar vortrices long-term trend correlation coefficient
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Effects of long-term warming on the aboveground biomass and species diversity in an alpine meadow on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau of China 被引量:14
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作者 WEN Jing QIN Ruimin +2 位作者 ZHANG Shixiong YANG Xiaoyan XU Manhou 《Journal of Arid Land》 SCIE CSCD 2020年第2期252-266,共15页
Ecosystems in high-altitude regions are more sensitive and respond more rapidly than other ecosystems to global climate warming.The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau(QTP)of China is an ecologically fragile zone that is sensitive ... Ecosystems in high-altitude regions are more sensitive and respond more rapidly than other ecosystems to global climate warming.The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau(QTP)of China is an ecologically fragile zone that is sensitive to global climate warming.It is of great importance to study the changes in aboveground biomass and species diversity of alpine meadows on the QTP under predicted future climate warming.In this study,we selected an alpine meadow on the QTP as the study object and used infrared radiators as the warming device for a simulation experiment over eight years(2011-2018).We then analyzed the dynamic changes in aboveground biomass and species diversity of the alpine meadow at different time scales,including an early stage of warming(2011-2013)and a late stage of warming(2016-2018),in order to explore the response of alpine meadows to short-term(three years)and long-term warming(eight years).The results showed that the short-term warming increased air temperature by 0.31℃and decreased relative humidity by 2.54%,resulting in the air being warmer and drier.The long-term warming increased air temperature and relative humidity by 0.19℃and 1.47%,respectively,and the air tended to be warmer and wetter.The short-term warming increased soil temperature by 2.44℃and decreased soil moisture by 12.47%,whereas the long-term warming increased soil temperature by 1.76℃and decreased soil moisture by 9.90%.This caused the shallow soil layer to become warmer and drier under both short-term and long-term warming.Furthermore,the degree of soil drought was alleviated with increased warming duration.Under the long-term warming,the importance value and aboveground biomass of plants in different families changed.The importance values of grasses and sedges decreased by 47.56%and 3.67%,respectively,while the importance value of weeds increased by 1.37%.Aboveground biomass of grasses decreased by 36.55%,while those of sedges and weeds increased by 8.09%and 15.24%,respectively.The increase in temperature had a non-significant effect on species diversity.The species diversity indices increased at the early stage of warming and decreased at the late stage of warming,but none of them reached significant levels(P>0.05).Species diversity had no significant correlation with soil temperature and soil moisture under both short-term and long-term warming.Soil temperature and aboveground biomass were positively correlated in the control plots(P=0.014),but negatively correlated under the long-term warming(P=0.013).Therefore,eight years of warming aggravated drought in the shallow soil layer,which is beneficial for the growth of weeds but not for the growth of grasses.Warming changed the structure of alpine meadow communities and had a certain impact on the community species diversity.Our studies have great significance for the protection and effective utilization of alpine vegetation,as well as for the prevention of grassland degradation or desertification in high-altitude regions. 展开更多
关键词 climate warming long-term warming species diversity indices ABOVEGROUND biomass soil MICROCLIMATE correlation analysis ALPINE MEADOWS
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Relative Impacts of Sea Ice Loss and Atmospheric Internal Variability on the Winter Arctic to East Asian Surface Air Temperature Based on Large-Ensemble Simulations with NorESM2 被引量:1
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作者 Shengping HE Helge DRANGE +4 位作者 Tore FUREVIK Huijun WANG Ke FAN Lise Seland GRAFF Yvan J.ORSOLINI 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2024年第8期1511-1526,共16页
To quantify the relative contributions of Arctic sea ice and unforced atmospheric internal variability to the “warm Arctic, cold East Asia”(WACE) teleconnection, this study analyses three sets of large-ensemble simu... To quantify the relative contributions of Arctic sea ice and unforced atmospheric internal variability to the “warm Arctic, cold East Asia”(WACE) teleconnection, this study analyses three sets of large-ensemble simulations carried out by the Norwegian Earth System Model with a coupled atmosphere–land surface model, forced by seasonal sea ice conditions from preindustrial, present-day, and future periods. Each ensemble member within the same set uses the same forcing but with small perturbations to the atmospheric initial state. Hence, the difference between the present-day(or future) ensemble mean and the preindustrial ensemble mean provides the ice-loss-induced response, while the difference of the individual members within the present-day(or future) set is the effect of atmospheric internal variability. Results indicate that both present-day and future sea ice loss can force a negative phase of the Arctic Oscillation with a WACE pattern in winter. The magnitude of ice-induced Arctic warming is over four(ten) times larger than the ice-induced East Asian cooling in the present-day(future) experiment;the latter having a magnitude that is about 30% of the observed cooling. Sea ice loss contributes about 60%(80%) to the Arctic winter warming in the present-day(future) experiment. Atmospheric internal variability can also induce a WACE pattern with comparable magnitudes between the Arctic and East Asia. Ice-lossinduced East Asian cooling can easily be masked by atmospheric internal variability effects because random atmospheric internal variability may induce a larger magnitude warming. The observed WACE pattern occurs as a result of both Arctic sea ice loss and atmospheric internal variability, with the former dominating Arctic warming and the latter dominating East Asian cooling. 展开更多
关键词 Arctic sea ice loss warm Arctic–cold East Asia atmospheric internal variability large-ensemble simulation NorESM2 PAMIP
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The Warm Arctic-Cold Eurasia Pattern and Its Key Region in Winter in CMIP6 Model Simulations
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作者 Liang ZHAO Yunwen LIU +6 位作者 Yihui DING Qingquan LI Wei DONG Xinyong SHEN Wei CHENG Haoxin YAO Ziniu XIAO 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2023年第12期2138-2153,I0002-I0006,共21页
An enhanced Warm Arctic-Cold Eurasia(WACE)pattern has been a notable feature in recent winters of the Northern Hemisphere.However,divergent results between model and observational studies of the WACE still remain.This... An enhanced Warm Arctic-Cold Eurasia(WACE)pattern has been a notable feature in recent winters of the Northern Hemisphere.However,divergent results between model and observational studies of the WACE still remain.This study evaluates the performance of 39 climate models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6(CMIP6)in simulating the WACE pattern in winter of 1980-2014 and explores the key factors causing the differences in the simulation capability among the models.The results show that the multimodel ensemble(MME)can better simulate the spatial distribution of the WACE pattern than most single models.Models that can/cannot simulate both the climatology and the standard deviation of the Eurasian winter surface air temperature well,especially the latter,usually can/cannot simulate the WACE pattern well.This mainly results from the different abilities of the models to simulate the range and intensity of the warm anomaly in the Barents Sea-Kara seas(BKS)region.Further analysis shows that a good performance of the models in the BKS area is usually related to their ability to simulate location and persistence of Ural blocking(UB),which can transport heat to the BKS region,causing the warm Arctic,and strengthen the westerly trough downstream,cooling central Eurasia.Therefore,simulation of UB is key and significantly affects the model’s performance in simulating the WACE. 展开更多
关键词 warm Arctic-cold Eurasia pattern Arctic amplification CMIP6 simulation evaluation extreme climate blocking highs
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Monitoring Study of Long-Term Land Subsidence during Subway Operation in High-Density Urban Areas Based on DInSAR-GPS-GIS Technology and Numerical Simulation
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作者 Yu Song Xuejun Chen +4 位作者 Baoping Zou Jundong Mu Rusheng Hu Siqi Cheng Shengli Zhao 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2023年第2期1021-1039,共19页
During subway operation,various factors will cause long-term land subsidence,such as the vibration subsidence of foundation soil caused by train vibration load,incomplete consolidation deformation of foundation soil d... During subway operation,various factors will cause long-term land subsidence,such as the vibration subsidence of foundation soil caused by train vibration load,incomplete consolidation deformation of foundation soil during tunnel construction,dense buildings and structures in the vicinity of the tunnel,and changes in water level in the stratum where the tunnel is located.The monitoring of long-term land subsidence during subway operation in high-density urban areas differs from that in low-density urban construction areas.The former is the gathering point of the entire urban population.There are many complex buildings around the project,busy road traffic,high pedestrian flow,and less vegetation cover.Several existing items requiremonitoring.However,monitoring distance is long,and providing early warning is difficult.This study uses the 2.8 km operation line between Wulin Square station and Ding’an Road station of Hangzhou Subway Line 1 as an example to propose the integrated method of DInSAR-GPS-GIS technology and the key algorithm for long-term land subsidence deformation.Then,it selects multiscene image data to analyze long-termland subsidence of high-density urban areas during subway operation.Results show that long-term land subsidence caused by the operation of Wulin Square station to Ding’an Road station of Hangzhou Subway Line 1 is small,with maximumsubsidence of 30.64 mm,and minimumsubsidence of 11.45 mm,and average subsidence ranging from 19.27 to 21.33 mm.And FLAC3D software was used to verify the monitoring situation,using the geological conditions of the soil in the study area and the tunnel profile to simulate the settlement under vehicle load,and the simulation results tended to be consistent with the monitoring situation. 展开更多
关键词 long-term land subsidence subway operation DInSAR-GPS-GIS technology high-density urban areas urban subway numerical simulation
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Strengthening of the Walker Circulation under Global Warming in an Aqua-Planet General Circulation Model Simulation 被引量:1
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作者 Tim LI ZHANG Lei Hiroyuki MURAKAMI 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2015年第11期1473-1480,共8页
Most climate models project a weakening of the Walker circulation under global warming scenarios. It is argued, based on a global averaged moisture budget, that this weakening can be attributed to a slower rate of rai... Most climate models project a weakening of the Walker circulation under global warming scenarios. It is argued, based on a global averaged moisture budget, that this weakening can be attributed to a slower rate of rainfall increase compared to that of moisture increase, which leads to a decrease in ascending motion. Through an idealized aqua-planet simulation in which a zonal wavenumber-1 SST distribution is prescribed along the equator, we find that the Walker circulation is strengthened under a uniform 2-K SST warming, even though the global mean rainfall-moisture relationship remains the same. Further diagnosis shows that the ascending branch of the Walker cell is enhanced in the upper troposphere but weakened in the lower troposphere. As a result, a "double-cell" circulation change pattern with a clockwise (anti-clockwise) circulation anomaly in the upper (lower) troposphere forms, and the upper tropospheric circulation change dominates. The mechanism for the formation of the "double cell" circulation pattern is attributed to a larger (smaller) rate of increase of diabatic heating than static stability in the upper (lower) troposphere. The result indicates that the future change of the Walker circulation cannot simply be interpreted based on a global mean moisture budget argument. 展开更多
关键词 Walker circulation global warming aqua-planet simulation
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Historical Evolution of Global and Regional Surface Air Temperature Simulated by FGOALS-s2 and FGOALS-g2: How Reliable Are the Model Results? 被引量:18
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作者 周天军 宋丰飞 陈晓龙 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2013年第3期638-657,共20页
In order to assess the performance of two versions of the IAP/LASG Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere- Land System (FGOALS) model, simulated changes in surface air temperature (SAT), from natural and an- thropogenie... In order to assess the performance of two versions of the IAP/LASG Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere- Land System (FGOALS) model, simulated changes in surface air temperature (SAT), from natural and an- thropogenie forcings, were compared to observations for the period 1850-2005 at global, hemispheric, conti- nental and regional scales. The global and hemispheric averages of SAT and their land and ocean components during 1850-2005 were well reproduced by FGOALS-g2, as evidenced by significant correlation coefficients and small RMSEs. The significant positive correlations were firstly determined by the warming trends, and secondly by interdecadal fluctuations. The abilities of the models to reproduce interdecadal SAT variations were demonstrated by both wavelet analysis and significant positive correlations for detrended data. The observed land-sea thermal contrast change was poorly simulated. The major weakness of FGOALS-s2 was an exaggerated warming response to anthropogenic forcing, with the simulation showing results that were far removed from observations prior to the 1950s. The observations featured warming trends (1906-2005) of 0.71, 0.68 and 0.79℃ (100 yr)-1 for global, Northern and Southern Hemispheric averages, which were overestimated by FGOALS-s2 [1.42, 1.52 and 1.13~C (100 yr)-1] but underestimated by FGOALS-g2 [0.69, 0.68 and 0.73~C (100 yr)-l]. The polar amplification of the warming trend was exaggerated in FGOALS- s2 but weakly reproduced in FGOALS-g2. The stronger response of FGOALS-s2 to anthropogenic forcing was caused by strong sea-ice albedo feedback and water vapor feedback. Examination of model results in 15 selected subcontinental-scale regions showed reasonable performance for FGOALS-g2 over most regions. However, the observed warming trends were overestimated by FGOALS-s2 in most regions. Over East Asia, the meridional gradient of the warming trend simulated by FGOALS-s2 (FGOALS-g2) was stronger (weaker) than observed. 展开更多
关键词 FGOALS 20th century historical simulation warming trends global scale hemispheric scale regional scale
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Effects of warming and clipping on plant and soil properties of an alpine meadow in the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau, China 被引量:14
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作者 Man Hou XU Fei PENG +4 位作者 Quan Gang YOU Jian GUO Xia Fei TIAN Min LIU Xian XUE 《Journal of Arid Land》 SCIE CSCD 2015年第2期189-204,共16页
Climate warming and livestock grazing are known to have great influences on alpine ecosystems like those of the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (QTP) in China. However, it is lacking of studies on the effects of warming and... Climate warming and livestock grazing are known to have great influences on alpine ecosystems like those of the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (QTP) in China. However, it is lacking of studies on the effects of warming and grazing on plant and soil properties in these alpine ecosystems. In this study, we reported the related research from manipulative experiment in 2010-2012 in the QTP. The aim of this study was to investigate the individual and combined effects of warming and clipping on plant and soil properties in the alpine meadow ecosystem. Infrared radiators were used to simulate climate warming starting in July 2010, while clipping was performed once in Octo- ber 2011 to simulate the local livestock grazing. The experiment was designed as a randomized block consisting of five replications and four treatments: control (CK), warming (W), clipping (C) and warming+clipping combination (WC). The plant and soil properties were investigated in the growing season of the alpine meadow in 2012. The results showed that W and WC treatments significantly decreased relative humidity at 20-cm height above ground as well as significantly increases air temperature at the same height, surface temperature, and soil temperature at the depth of 0-30 cm. However, the C treatment did not significantly decrease soil moisture and soil temperature at the depth of 0-60 cm. Relative to CK, vegetation height and species number increased significantly in W and WC treatment, respectively, while vegetation aboveground biomass decreased significantly in C treatment in the early growing season. However, vegetation cover, species diversity, belowground biomass and soil properties at the depth of 0-30 cm did not differ significantly in W, C and WC treatments. Soil moisture increased at the depth of 40-100 cm in W and WC treatments, while belowground biomass, soil activated carbon, organic carbon and total nitrogen increased in the 30-50 cm soil layer in W, C and WC treatments. Although the initial responses of plant and soil properties to experimental warming and clipping were slow and weak, the drought induced by the down- ward shift of soil moisture in the upper soil layers may induce plant belowground biomass to transfer to the deeper soil layers. This movement would modify the distributions of soil activated carbon, organic carbon and total nitrogen However, long-term data collection is needed to further explain this interesting phenomenon. 展开更多
关键词 simulated warming OVERGRAZING soil property plant property alpine meadow ecosystem Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau
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Combined Impacts of Warm Central Equatorial Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures and Anthropogenic Warming on the 2019 Severe Drought in East China 被引量:9
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作者 Shuangmei MA Congwen ZHU Juan LIU 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2020年第11期1149-1163,共15页
A severe drought occurred in East China(EC)from August to October 2019 against a background of long-term significant warming and caused widespread impacts on agriculture and society,emphasizing the urgent need to unde... A severe drought occurred in East China(EC)from August to October 2019 against a background of long-term significant warming and caused widespread impacts on agriculture and society,emphasizing the urgent need to understand the mechanism responsible for this drought and its linkage to global warming.Our results show that the warm central equatorial Pacific(CEP)sea surface temperature(SST)and anthropogenic warming were possibly responsible for this drought event.The warm CEP SST anomaly resulted in an anomalous cyclone over the western North Pacific,where enhanced northerly winds in the northwestern sector led to decreased water vapor transport from the South China Sea and enhanced descending air motion,preventing local convection and favoring a precipitation deficiency over EC.Model simulations in the Community Earth System Model Large Ensemble Project confirmed the physical connection between the warm CEP SST anomaly and the drought in EC.The extremely warm CEP SST from August to October 2019,which was largely the result of natural internal variability,played a crucial role in the simultaneous severe drought in EC.The model simulations showed that anthropogenic warming has greatly increased the frequency of extreme droughts in EC.They indicated an approximate twofold increase in extremely low rainfall events,high temperature events,and concurrently dry and hot events analogous to the event in 2019.Therefore,the persistent severe drought over EC in 2019 can be attributed to the combined impacts of warm CEP SST and anthropogenic warming. 展开更多
关键词 DROUGHT East China central equatorial Pacific SST global warming model simulations
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RESEARCH ON THE SELECTION OF FRICTION MODELS IN THE FINITE ELEMENT SIMULATION OF WARM EXTRUSION 被引量:3
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作者 X.B.Lin H.S.Xiao Z.L.Zhang 《Acta Metallurgica Sinica(English Letters)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2003年第2期90-96,共7页
During the process of finite element simulation of precision warm forging, the selection of friction models has a direct effect on the precision accuracy of finite element simulation results. Among all the factors whi... During the process of finite element simulation of precision warm forging, the selection of friction models has a direct effect on the precision accuracy of finite element simulation results. Among all the factors which influence the selection of friction models, the distribution rule of normal stress at the tool-workpiece interface is a key one. To find out the distribution rule of normal stress at the tool-workpiece interface, this paper has made a systematic research on three typical plastic deformation processes: forward extrusion, backward extrusion, and lateral extrusion by a method of finite element simulation. Then on the base of synthesizing and correcting traditional friction models, a new general friction model which is fit for warm extrusion is developed at last. 展开更多
关键词 friction model warm extrusion finite element simulation
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Numerical Simulation of Warm Forming Behavior of High Strength Aluminum Alloy 7075 被引量:3
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作者 Wang Hui Yan Dawei +1 位作者 Liang Yangmin Xie Guoyin 《Transactions of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics》 EI CSCD 2016年第5期620-625,共6页
Numerical analysis is critically important to understanding the complex deformation mechanics that occur during sheet forming processes.It has been widely used in simulation of sheet metal forming processes at room te... Numerical analysis is critically important to understanding the complex deformation mechanics that occur during sheet forming processes.It has been widely used in simulation of sheet metal forming processes at room temperature in the automotive industry.However,material at elevated temperature behaves more differently than at room temperature and specific material parameters and models need to be developed for the simulation of warm forming.Based on the experimental investigation of material behavior of high strength aluminum alloy 7075(AA7075),constitutive equations with strain rate sensitivity at 140,180 and 220 ℃ are developed.Anisotropic yield criterion Barlat 89 is used in the simulation.Warm forming of limit dome height tests and limit drawing ratio tests of AA7075 at 140,180 and 220℃are performed.Forming limit diagrams developed from experiment at several elevated temperatures in the previous study are used to predict the failure in the simulation results.Punch force and displacement predicted from simulation are compared with the experimental data.Simulation results agree with experimental results,so the developed material model can be used to accurately predict material behavior during isothermal warm forming of the AA7075-T6 alloy. 展开更多
关键词 high strength aluminum alloy warm forming numerical simulation material model
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Northern Hemisphere Sudden Stratospheric Warming and Its Downward Impact in Four Chinese CMIP6 Models 被引量:4
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作者 Jian RAO Siming LIU Yuanhao CHEN 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2021年第2期187-202,共16页
Using the World Meteorological Organization definition and a threshold-based classification technique,simulations of vortex displacement and split sudden stratospheric warmings(SSWs)are evaluated for four Chinese mode... Using the World Meteorological Organization definition and a threshold-based classification technique,simulations of vortex displacement and split sudden stratospheric warmings(SSWs)are evaluated for four Chinese models(BCC-CSM2-MR,FGOALS-f3-L,FGOALS-g3,and NESM3)from phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP6)with the Japanese 55-year reanalysis(JRA-55)as a baseline.Compared with six or seven SSWs in a decade in JRA-55,three models underestimate the SSW frequency by~50%,while NESM3 doubles the SSW frequency.SSWs mainly appear in midwinter in JRA-55,but one-month climate drift is simulated in the models.The composite of splits is stronger than displacements in both the reanalysis and most models due to the longer pulse of positive eddy heat flux before onset of split SSWs.A wavenumber-1-like temperature anomaly pattern(cold Eurasia,warm North America)before onset of displacement SSWs is simulated,but cold anomalies are mainly confined to North America after displacement SSWs.Although the lower tropospheric temperature also displays a wavenumber-1-like pattern before split SSWs,most parts of Eurasia and North America are covered by cold anomalies after split SSWs in JRA-55.The models have different degrees of fidelity for the temperature anomaly pattern before split SSWs,but the wavenumber-2-like temperature anomaly pattern is well simulated after split SSWs.The center of the negative height anomalies in the Pacific sector before SSWs is sensitive to the SSW type in both JRA-55 and the models.A negative North Atlantic Oscillation is simulated after both types of SSWs in the models,although it is only observed for split SSWs. 展开更多
关键词 sudden stratospheric warming CMIP6 surface impact model simulation
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Simulated circulations off the Changjiang (Yangtze) River mouth in spring and autumn 被引量:2
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作者 朱建荣 戚定满 肖成猷 《Chinese Journal of Oceanology and Limnology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2004年第3期286-291,共6页
The circulations off the Changjiang mouth in May and November were simulated by a three dimension numerical model with monthly averaged parameters of dynamic factors in this paper. The area covers the East China Sea (... The circulations off the Changjiang mouth in May and November were simulated by a three dimension numerical model with monthly averaged parameters of dynamic factors in this paper. The area covers the East China Sea (ECS), Yellow Sea and Bohai Sea. Simulated results show that the circulation off the Changjiang mouth in spring and autumn is mainly the Changjiang runoff and Taiwan Warm Current (TWC). The Changjiang discharge is much larger in May than in November, and the wind is westward in May, and southward in November off the Changjiang mouth. The runoff in May branches in three parts, one eastward flows, the other two flow northward and southward along the Subei and Zhejiang coast respectively. The Changjiang diluted water expands eastward off the mouth, and forms a strong salinity front near the mouth. Surface circulation in autumn is similar to that in winter, the runoff southward flows along the coast, and the northward flowing TWC becomes weaker compared to that in spring and summer. The bottom circulations in May and November are mainly the runoffnear the mouth and the TWC offthe mouth, and the runoff and TWC are greater in May than in November. 展开更多
关键词 off the Changjiang (Yangtze) River mouth CIRCULATION numerical simulation Taiwan warm Current Changjiang runoff
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Understanding long-term memory in global mean temperature:An attribution study based on model simulations 被引量:1
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作者 QIU Min YUAN Naiming YUAN Shujie 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 CSCD 2020年第5期485-492,共8页
Long-term memory(LTM)in the climate system has been well recognized and applied in different research fields,but the origins of this property are still not clear.In this work,the authors contribute to this issue by st... Long-term memory(LTM)in the climate system has been well recognized and applied in different research fields,but the origins of this property are still not clear.In this work,the authors contribute to this issue by studying model simulations under different scenarios.The global mean temperatures from pre-industrial control runs(pi Control),historical(all forcings)simulations,natural forcing only simulations(Historical Nat),greenhouse gas forcing only simulations(Historical GHG),etc.,are analyzed using the detrended fluctuation analysis.The authors find that the LTM already exists in the pi Control simulations,indicating the important roles of internal natural variability in producing the LTM.By comparing the results among different scenarios,the LTM from the piControl runs is further found to be strengthened by adding natural forcings such as the volcanic forcing and the solar forcing.Accordingly,the observed LTM in the climate system is suggested to be mainly controlled by both the‘internal’natural variability and the‘external’natural forcings.The anthropogenic forcings,however,may weaken the LTM.In the projections from RCP2.6 to RCP8.5,a weakening trend of the LTM strength is found.In view of the close relations between the climate memory and the climate predictability,a reduced predictability may be expected in a warming climate. 展开更多
关键词 long-term memory model simulations ATTRIBUTION detrended fluctuation analysis
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Comparisons of urban-related warming for Shenzhen and Guangzhou 被引量:1
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作者 ZHAO Deming ZHA Jinlin WU Jian 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 CSCD 2018年第4期330-337,共8页
Urban-related warming in two first-tier cities(Guangzhou and Shenzhen)in southern China with similar large-scale climatic backgrounds was compared using the nested weather research and forecasting regional climate mod... Urban-related warming in two first-tier cities(Guangzhou and Shenzhen)in southern China with similar large-scale climatic backgrounds was compared using the nested weather research and forecasting regional climate model.The default urban data in the model were replaced by reconstructed annual urban data retrieved from satellite-based images for both coarse-(including all of China)and fine-resolution domains(eastern China and three city clusters in China:Beijing– Tianjin–Hebei(BTH),the Yangtze River Delta(YRD),and the Pearl River Delta(PRD)),which reproduced urban surface expansion during the past few decades.The results showed that the 37-year(1980–2016)area-averaged annual urban-related warming was similar(0.69°C/0.64°C)between the urban areas of Guangzhou/Shenzhen;however,the values across the entire area of the two cities varied(0.21°C/0.45°C).Seasonal characteristics could be detected for mean surface air temperatures(SAT)at 2 m,SAT maximum and minimum,and diurnal temperature range(DTR).Both the SAT maximum and minimum generally increased,especially over urban areas;however,changes in the SAT minimum were larger,which induced a decrease in DTR.The DTR in summer decreased by-0.25°C/-0.86°C across the entire area of the two cities and decreased by-0.93°C/-1.15°C over urban areas.The contributions of urban surface expansion to regional warming across the entire area of the two cities were approximately 17%/35%of the overall warming and much greater over Shenzhen.However,the values over urban areas were much closer to the values from total warming(35%/44%). 展开更多
关键词 Urban surface expansion GUANGZHOU SHENZHEN urban-related warming numerical simulation
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Energy and long-term hygrothermal performance of building enclosures based on dynamic environmental simulation test 被引量:1
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作者 Shi Xing 《Engineering Sciences》 EI 2010年第1期92-96,共5页
Dynamic environmental testing is an effective means to study the energy and long-term hygrothermal performance of building enclosures. Southeast University is designing and building a large-scale dynamic environment s... Dynamic environmental testing is an effective means to study the energy and long-term hygrothermal performance of building enclosures. Southeast University is designing and building a large-scale dynamic environment simulation testing facility. It can simuhaneously and dynamically simulate temperature, relative humidity, infrared solar radiation, UV radiation, and precipitation. A transformation is needed to predict the energy and long-term hygrothermal performance of building enclosures under real service conditions using data obtained from accelerated tests. 展开更多
关键词 environmental simulation hygrothermal performance long-term performance heat box environmental acceleration
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弧齿锥齿轮小轮温滚轧数值模拟及工艺参数优化
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作者 蒋闯 高建强 +1 位作者 邓静 赵博 《河南科技大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 北大核心 2024年第5期1-11,M0002,共12页
针对弧齿锥齿轮现有的工艺加工效率低、疲劳强度不足的问题,提出了一种弧齿锥齿轮小轮温滚轧成形数值模拟和参数优化方法。基于deform-3D有限元仿真软件分析了温滚轧过程中摩擦因子、进给速度、初轧温度等工艺参数对小轮温滚轧成形应力... 针对弧齿锥齿轮现有的工艺加工效率低、疲劳强度不足的问题,提出了一种弧齿锥齿轮小轮温滚轧成形数值模拟和参数优化方法。基于deform-3D有限元仿真软件分析了温滚轧过程中摩擦因子、进给速度、初轧温度等工艺参数对小轮温滚轧成形应力应变的影响规律,结合正交试验完成了工艺参数优化。采用最佳工艺参数组合开展了小轮温滚轧成形试验,对弧齿锥齿轮小轮进行了齿面和齿距检测。结果表明:凸面和凹面总偏差分别为14.4μm、14.1μm,齿距累计总偏差分别为57.0μm、56.3μm,精度等级达到了GB 8级,齿轮的齿面和齿距精度满足热处理后的磨齿加工需求。 展开更多
关键词 弧齿锥齿轮 小轮温滚轧 数值模拟 工艺参数优化 温滚轧试验
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土壤模拟增温装置对碳排放监测的影响分析
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作者 邓展乐 王磊 +1 位作者 聂小东 李忠武 《湖南师范大学自然科学学报》 CAS 北大核心 2024年第2期38-43,共6页
在全球气候变暖的环境下,土壤碳的微弱变化会对陆地生态系统碳循环产生较大的影响,进而对未来气候变暖产生正反馈。目前全球开展了许多有关野外原位模拟增温的实验,主要集中在土壤碳排放与土壤微生物对增温的响应方面。在研究过程中,不... 在全球气候变暖的环境下,土壤碳的微弱变化会对陆地生态系统碳循环产生较大的影响,进而对未来气候变暖产生正反馈。目前全球开展了许多有关野外原位模拟增温的实验,主要集中在土壤碳排放与土壤微生物对增温的响应方面。在研究过程中,不同增温装置的增温效果、增温时间以及增温实验开展地点上的差异对研究结果带来的影响不容忽视。基于以往全球气候变化研究的相关成果,本文系统总结了常用增温装置的特点及不足,研究结果表明:(1)在条件允许的情况下,主动增温装置的可控性与增温效果较好,主动增温的效果优于被动增温;(2)大部分增温实验的持续时间集中在1~5年,且增温装置的增温效果仅局限于浅层土壤,建议开展长时间尺度与深层土壤增温实验;(3)增温实验多集中于北半球中高纬度和高海拔地区,未来可以在热带、亚热带地区开展更多的野外原位增温实验;(4)未来应将增温、氮沉降、降雨变化以及CO_(2)倍增实验结合起来,探究不同全球变化因子间的交互作用对陆地生态系统碳循环的影响。研究结果对后续全球气候变化的相关研究具有一定的参考价值。 展开更多
关键词 土壤碳 模拟增温 气候变暖 增温装置
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Calculation of effective temperature for pavement rutting using numerical simulation methods 被引量:1
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作者 祝谭雍 马涛 黄晓明 《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2016年第3期362-367,共6页
In order to predict the long-term rutting of asphalt pavement, the effective temperature for pavement rutting is calculated using the numerical simulation method. The transient temperature field of asphalt pavement wa... In order to predict the long-term rutting of asphalt pavement, the effective temperature for pavement rutting is calculated using the numerical simulation method. The transient temperature field of asphalt pavement was simulated based on actual meteorological data of Nanjing. 24-hour rutting development under a transient temperature field was calculated in each month. The rutting depth accumulated under the static temperature field was also estimated and the relationship between constant temperature parameters was analyzed. Then the effective temperature for pavement rutting was determined based on the rutting equivalence principle. The results show that the monthly effective temperature is above 40 t in July and August, while in June and September it ranges from 30 to 40 Rutting development can be ignored when the monthly effective temperature is less than 30 t. The yearly effective temperature for rutting in Nanjing is around 38. 5 t. The long-term rutting prediction model based on the effective temperature can reflect the influences of meteorological factors and traffic time distribution. 展开更多
关键词 transient temperature field long-term rutting effective temperature numerical simulation finite element method
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模拟增温对大青山油松林凋落物分解动态的影响
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作者 李昕桥 吴昊 +3 位作者 梁蕾 马秀枝 李长生 韩晓荣 《兰州大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第5期599-604,共6页
探究模拟气候变暖对大青山油松人工林凋落物分解的影响.采用开顶式增温室法和原位模拟分解袋法,设置对照和增温两个处理.结果显示经过生长季分解后,增温处理凋落物质量残留率平均损失了初始质量的21.1%,对照组平均损失了初始质量的13.7%... 探究模拟气候变暖对大青山油松人工林凋落物分解的影响.采用开顶式增温室法和原位模拟分解袋法,设置对照和增温两个处理.结果显示经过生长季分解后,增温处理凋落物质量残留率平均损失了初始质量的21.1%,对照组平均损失了初始质量的13.7%;增温显著降低了凋落物氮残留率(以全氮计),显著增加了凋落物磷残留率(以全磷计),增温和对照处理凋落物氮残留率分别为80.05%和94.37%;磷残留率分别为104.33%和96.42%;与对照相比,增温处理下凋落物的c(C)/c(N)、c(C)/c(P)、c(木质素)/c(N)均存在显著差异;增温处理显著增加了林内凋落物的分解系数,增温和对照处理凋落物分解系数分别为0.019和0.011.增温在一定程度上加速了油松林凋落物的分解. 展开更多
关键词 模拟增温 开顶式增温室法 大青山 油松人工林 凋落物分解
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