Development of a new Cox model for predicting long-term survival in hepatitis cirrhosis patients underwent transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunts

BACKGROUND Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt(TIPS)placement is a procedure that can effectively treat complications of portal hypertension,such as variceal bleeding and refractory ascites.However,there have been no specific studies on predicting long-term survival after TIPS placement.AIM To establish a model to predict long-term survival in patients with hepatitis cirrhosis after TIPS.METHODS A retrospective analysis was conducted on a cohort of 224 patients who un-derwent TIPS implantation.Through univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses,various factors were examined for their ability to predict survival at 6 years after TIPS.Consequently,a composite score was formulated,encompassing the indication,shunt reasonability,portal venous pressure gradient(PPG)after TIPS,percentage decrease in portal venous pressure(PVP),indocyanine green retention rate at 15 min(ICGR15)and total bilirubin(Tbil)level.Furthermore,the performance of the newly developed Cox(NDC)model was evaluated in an in-ternal validation cohort and compared with that of a series of existing models.RESULTS The indication(variceal bleeding or ascites),shunt reasonability(reasonable or unreasonable),ICGR15,post-operative PPG,percentage of PVP decrease and Tbil were found to be independent factors affecting long-term survival after TIPS placement.The NDC model incorporated these parameters and successfully identified patients at high risk,exhibiting a notably elevated mortality rate following the TIPS procedure,as observed in both the training and validation cohorts.Additionally,in terms of predicting the long-term survival rate,the performance of the NDC model was significantly better than that of the other four models[Child-Pugh,model for end-stage liver disease(MELD),MELD-sodium and the Freiburg index of post-TIPS survival].CONCLUSION The NDC model can accurately predict long-term survival after the TIPS procedure in patients with hepatitis cirrhosis,help identify high-risk patients and guide follow-up management after TIPS implantation.

Long-term survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma with hepatic,pulmonary,peritoneal and rare colon metastasis:A case report

BACKGROUND Hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC)is a highly malignant cancer that often metastasizes and has a poor prognosis.Gastrointestinal tract metastases are rare,and colon metastases are even rarer.The long-term survival of patients with multiple intrahepatic and extrahepatic metastases,especially to the colon,has not been previously reported.CASE SUMMARY We present an atypical clinical case of a patient with liver,right lung,peritoneal,and colon metastases diagnosed successively following hepatic resection for primary HCC.Comprehensive treatment,including partial liver,lung and colon resection,palliative management such as systemic chemotherapy,trans-arterial chemoembolization,targeted therapy with sorafenib,and cryotherapy were attempted.Despite his early metastases,the patient remained relatively healthy for 8 years after diagnosis.CONCLUSION This case indicates that comprehensive treatment is beneficial for certain patients with metastatic HCC.Clinicians should be alert as to the possibility of rare site metastatic tumors that may be easily misdiagnosed as primary tumors.

Long-term survival of the Sister Mary Joseph nodule originating from breast cancer:A case report

BACKGROUND A Sister Mary Joseph nodule(SMJN)is an uncommon cutaneous metastasis found in the umbilicus,indicating an advanced malignancy.SMJNs typically originate from intra-abdominal sources,rarely from breast cancer.Diagnosis suggests a poor prognosis with a median survival of approximately 8 mo after detection.Managing patients with SMJNs is challenging,as most receive limited palliative care only.The optimal strategy for long-term survival of these patients remains unclear.CASE SUMMARY A 58-year-old female,previously diagnosed with right breast cancer 17 years ago and underwent breast-conserving surgery,adjuvant radiotherapy,and endocrine therapy,presented with a 2-cm umbilical nodule.Thirteen years previously,metastases were detected in the right supraclavicular,infraclavicular,hilar,and mediastinal lymph nodes.An umbilical nodule emerged four years before the date of presentation,confirmed as a skin metastasis of primary breast cancer upon excisional biopsy.Despite initial removal,the nodule recurred and grew,leading to her referral to our hospital.The patient underwent extensive excision of the umbilical tumor and immediate abdominal wall reconstruction.Endocrine therapy was continued postoperatively.Five years later,no local recurrence was observed,and the patient continued to work full-time,achieving over 9 years of survival following SMJN diagnosis.CONCLUSION This case study aimed to identify the optimal strategy for achieving extended survival outcomes in patients with SMJN through comprehensive treatment.We presented a case of the longest survival in a patient after undergoing a multidisciplinary treatment regimen.Our findings underscore the significance of adopting a multimodal treatment approach comprising timely and wide excision along with adjunctive therapy.This approach can control the disease,prolong survival,and improve the quality of life in patients with SMJN.

Harnessing interventions during the immediate perioperative period to improve the long-term survival of patients following radical gastrectomy

Although the incidence and mortality of gastric cancer(GC)have been decreasing steadily worldwide,especially in East Asia,the disease burden of this malignancy is still very heavy.Except for tremendous progress in the management of GC by multidisciplinary treatment,surgical excision of the primary tumor is still the cornerstone intervention in the curative-intent treatment of GC.During the relatively short perioperative period,patients undergoing radical gastrectomy will suffer from at least part of the following perioperative events:Surgery,anesthesia,pain,intraoperative blood loss,allogeneic blood transfusion,postoperative complications,and their related anxiety,depression and stress response,which have been shown to affect long-term outcomes.Therefore,in recent years,studies have been carried out to find and test interventions during the perioperative period to improve the long-term survival of patients following radical gastrectomy,which will be the aim of this review.

Factors associated with long-term survival after liver transplantation:A retrospective cohort study

AIM To identify predictive factors associated with long-term patient and graft survival(> 15 years) in liver transplant recipients.METHODS Medical charts of all de novo adult liver transplant recipients(n = 140) who were transplanted in Hamburg between 1997 and 1999 were retrospectively reviewed.In total,155 transplantations were identified in this time period(15 re-transplantations).Twenty-six orthotopic liver transplant(OLT) recipients were early lost to followup due to moving to other places within 1 year after transplantation.All remaining 114 patients were included in the analysis.The following recipient factors were analysed:Age,sex,underlying liver disease,pre-OLT body mass index(BMI),and levels of alanine aminotransferase(ALT),bilirubin,creatinine and gammaglutamyltransferase(gamma-GT),as well as warm and cold ischemia times.Furthermore,the following donor factors were assessed:Age,BMI,cold ischemia time and warm ischemia time.All surviving patients were followed until December 2014.We divided patients into groups according to their underlying diagnosis:(1) hepatocellularcarcinoma(n = 5,4%);(2) alcohol toxic liver disease(n = 25,22.0%);(3) primary sclerosing cholangitis(n = 6,5%);(4) autoimmune liver diseases(n = 7,6%);(5) hepatitis C virus cirrhosis(n = 15,13%);(6) hepatitis B virus cirrhosis(n = 21,19%);and(7) other(n = 35,31%).The group "other" included rare diagnoses,such as acute liver failure,unknown liver failure,stenosis and thrombosis of the arteria hepatica,polycystic liver disease,Morbus Osler and Caroli disease.RESULTS The majority of patients were male(n = 70,61%).Age and BMI at the time point of transplantation ranged from 16 years to 69 years(median:53 years) and from 15 kg/m^2 to 33 kg/m^2(median:24),respectively.Sixty-six OLT recipients(58%) experienced a follow-up of 15 years after transplantation.Recipient's age(P = 0.009) and BMI(P = 0.029) were identified as risk factors for death by χ~2-test.Kaplan-Meier analysis confirmed BMI or age above the median as predictors of decreased long-term survival(P = 0.008 and P = 0.020).Hepatitis B as underlying disease showed a trend for improved long-term survival(P = 0.049,χ~2-test,P = 0.055;Kaplan-Meier analysis,Log rank).Pre-transplant bilirubin,creatinine,ALT and gamma-GT levels were not associated with survival in these patients of the pre-era of the model of end stage liver disease.CONCLUSION The recipients' age and BMI were predictors of longterm survival after OLT,as well as hepatitis B as underlying disease.In contrast,donors' age and BMI were not associated with decreased survival.These findings indicate that recipient factors especially have a high impact on long-term outcome after liver transplantation.

Effects of insurance status on long-term survival among non-small cell lung cancer(NSCLC) patients in Beijing,China: A population-based study

Objective: To evaluate the effects of health insurance status on long-term cancer-specific survival of non-small cell lung cancer(NSCLC) in Beijing, China, using a population-based cancer registry data.Methods: Information on NSCLC patients diagnosed in 2008 was derived from the Beijing Cancer Registry.The medical records of 1,134 cases were sampled and re-surveyed to obtain information on potential risk factors.Poorly-insured status was defined as Uninsured and New Rural Cooperative Medical Insurance Scheme(NRCMS),while well-insured included Urban Employees Basic Medical Insurance(UEBMI) and Free Medical Care(FMC).To estimate survival outcomes, individuals were followed-up until December 31, 2018. Cancer-specific survival probabilities at 5 and 10 years after diagnosis were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Log-rank test was used to compare long-term survival with different characteristics. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to examine the relative effect of insurance status on cancer-specific mortality.Results: Well-insured NSCLC patients have longer cancer-specific survival than poorly-insured individuals[hazard ratio(HR)=0.81;95% confidence interval(95% CI): 0.67-0.97), even after adjusting for age, gender, cancer stage, smoking status, family history and residential area. Older age and rural residence were associated with a higher risk of cancer-specific mortality(HR=1.03;95% CI: 1.02-1.03 and HR=1.25;95% CI: 1.07-1.46,respectively). Smoking individuals had a 41% higher long-term cancer-specific mortality risk than non-smoking ones(HR=1.41;95% CI: 1.20-1.66).Conclusions: NSCLC patients with good insurance status had better survival rates than those with poor insurance. An association was significant even after 10 years. Large population-based studies are needed to validate that high reimbursement insurance status can lead to the improvement of long-term cancer prognosis in China.

Long-term survival of gastric mixed neuroendocrine-nonneuroendocrine neoplasm:Two case reports

BACKGROUND Gastric mixed neuroendocrine-non-neuroendocrine neoplasm(MiNEN),which consists of neuroendocrine and non-neuroendocrine components,is quite rare.Until now,most data on gastric MiNEN come from clinical cases,without largescale retrospective studies or controlled clinical trials.Consequently,no consensus regarding the origin,molecular characteristics,or appropriate treatment of MiNEN has been reached so far.We conducted chemotherapy of irinotecan plus cisplatin(IP regimen)and surgery in two patients with gastric MiNEN,which had never been used in treating this kind of tumor,leading to their long-term survival for more than 3 and 7 years,respectively.CASE SUMMARY We present two patients(one male and one female)with gastric MiNEN,with the primary manifestation of recurrent upper abdominal pain.After they were referred to our hospital,a diagnosis of gastric MiNEN was defined with the help of CT scan,and histopathological and immunohistochemical examinations on the samples of gastrointestinal endoscopy or radical surgery.The male patient(case 1)were found to have metastases in the reginal lymph nodes and the left liver.He received four cycles of IP regimens first,then the gastrectomy and partial left liver resection,followed by additional two cycles of IP chemotherapy.The female patient(case 2)underwent a laparoscopic gastrectomy,and received six cycles of IP regimen.She was found to have metastatic lesions in the right lung 2 years after that,and underwent video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery(VATS)of the lower lobe of the right lung.The two patients have now survived for more than 3 years and 7 years,respectively,without any evidence of recurrence or metastases.CONCLUSION IP regimen,combined with curative-intent surgery if feasible,could be considered as the priority in the choice of front-line chemotherapy for gastric MiNEN.

A comparative study of pancreatic endocrine function and related metabolism after long-term survival between the patients with combined kidneypancreas transplantation vs those with combined en bloc ' liver-pancreas transplantation

Objective To compare the effects of combined en bloc liver - pancreas transplantation ( LPT) with portal vein drainage and simultaneous combined kidney - pancreas transplantation ( KPT) with systemic venous drainage on the pancreatic endocrine function and related me-

Long-term survival after resection of pancreatic cancer:A single-center retrospective analysis

AIM: To retrospectively analyze factors affecting the long-term survival of patients with pancreatic cancer who underwent pancreatic resection.METHODS: From January 2000 to December 2011,195 patients underwent pancreatic resection in our hospital.The prognostic factors after pancreatic resection were analyzed in all 195 patients.After excluding the censored cases within an observational period,the clinicopathological characteristics of 20 patients who survived ≥ 5(n = 20) and < 5(n = 76) years were compared.For this comparison,we analyzed the patients who underwent surgery before June 2008 and were observed for more than 5 years.For statistical analyses,the log-rank test was used to compare the cumulative survival rates,and the χ2 and Mann-Whitney tests were used to compare the two groups.The CoxHazard model was used for a multivariate analysis,and P values less than 0.05 were considered significant.A multivariate analysis was conducted on the factors that were significant in the univariate analysis.RESULTS: The median survival for all patients was 27.1 months,and the 5-year actuarial survival rate was 34.5%.The median observational period was 595 d.With the univariate analysis,the UICC stage was significantly associated with survival time,and the CA19-9 ≤ 200 U/m L,DUPAN-2 ≤ 180 U/m L,t u m o r s i ze ≤ 2 0 m m,R 0 re s e c t i o n,a b s e n c e o f lymph node metastasis,absence of extrapancreatic neural invasion,and absence of portal invasion were favorable prognostic factors.The multivariate analysis showed that tumor size ≤ 20 mm(HR = 0.40; 95%CI: 0.17-0.83,P = 0.012) and negative surgical margins(R0 resection)(HR = 0.48; 95%CI: 0.30-0.77,P = 0.003) were independent favorable prognostic factors.Among the 96 patients,20 patients survived for 5 years or more,and 76 patients died within 5 years after operation.Comparison of the 20 5-year survivors with the 76 non-survivors showed that lower concentrations of DUPAN-2(79.5 vs 312.5 U/mL,P = 0.032),tumor size ≤ 20 mm(35% vs 8%,P = 0.008),R0 resection(95% vs 61%,P = 0.004),and absence of lymph nodemetastases(60% vs 18%,P = 0.036) were significantly associated with the 5-year survival.CONCLUSION: Negative surgical margins and a tumor size ≤ 20 mm were independent favorable prognostic factors.Histologically curative resection and early tumor detection are important factors in achieving long-term survival.

Predictors of long-term survival after pancreaticoduodenectomy for peri-ampullary adenocarcinoma: A retrospective study of 5-year survivors

Background: Pancreaticoduodenectomy(PD) is the standard curative treatment for periampullary tumors. The aim of this study is to report the incidence and predictors of long-term survival( ≥ 5 years) after PD. Methods: This study included patients who underwent PD for pathologically proven periampullary adenocarcinomas. Patients were divided into 2 groups: group(I) patients who survived less than 5 years and group(II) patients who survived ≥ 5 years. Results: There were 47(20.6%) long-term survivors( ≥ 5 years) among 228 patients underwent PD for periampullary adenocarcinoma. Patients with ampullary adenocarcinoma represented 31(66.0%) of the long-term survivors. Primary analysis showed that favourable factors for long-term survival include age < 60 years old, serum CEA < 5 ng/mL, serum CA 19-9 < 37 U/mL, non-cirrhotic liver, tumor size < 2 cm, site of primary tumor, postoperative pancreatic fistula, R0 resection, postoperative chemotherapy, and no recurrence. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that CA 19-9 < 37 U/mL [OR(95% CI) = 1.712(1.24 8–2.34 8), P = 0.001], smaller tumor size [OR(95% CI) = 1.335(1.032–1.726), P = 0.028] and R0 resection [OR(95% CI) = 3.098(2.095–4.582), P < 0.001] were independent factors for survival ≥ 5 years. The prognosis was best for ampullary adenocarcinoma, for which the median survival was 54 months and 5-year survival rate was 39.0%, and the poorest was pancreatic head adenocarcinoma, for which the median survival was 27 months and 5-year survival rate was 7%. Conclusions: The majority of long-term survivors after PD for periampullary adenocarcinoma are patients with ampullary tumor. CA 19-9 < 37 U/mL, smaller tumor size, and R0 resection were found to be independent factors for long-term survival ≥ 5 years.

Long-term survival trends of gastric cancer patients between 1972 and 2011 in Qidong

Background:There have been few reports on long-term survival of gastric cancer patients.This study analyzed the survival data of gastric cancer patients obtained from the population-based Qidong Cancer Registry between 1972 and 2011,providing a basis for evaluation of gastric cancer treatment and prognosis.Methods:The cumulative observed survival rate and relative survival rate of gastric cancer patients were calculated using Hakulinen's method via the SURV3.01 software,which was developed by the Finnish Cancer Registry.The date of the last follow-up for the survival status of the 15,401 registered cases was April 30,2012.Results:The 1-,5-,10-,20-,and 30-year observed survival rates were 33.82%,14.18%,10.35%,6.63%,and 4.19%,respectively,and the 1-,5-,10-,20-,and 30-year relative survival rates were 35.43%,18.13%,17.50%,21.96%,and32.84%,respectively.For males,the corresponding observed survival rates were 34.50%,14.40%,10.42%,6.46%,and4.05%,and the corresponding relative survival rates were 36.23%,18.67%,18.28%,23.73%,and 38.61%.For females,the corresponding observed survival rates were 32.62%,13.80%,10.22%,6.95%,and 4.46%,and the corresponding relative survival rates were 34.03%,17.21%,16.28%,19.70%,and 26.78%.Significant differences in relative survival rates were observed between sexes(P=0.003).For the 15-34,35-44,45-54,55-64,65-74,and 75+ age groups,the 5-year relative survival rates were 16.13%,21.77%,18.63%,12.61%,7.99%,and 2.94%,respectively,and the 10-year relative survival rates were 16.49%,22.83%,20.50%,15.97%,15.88%,and 15.73%,respectively.Remarkable improvement could be observed for the 5-,10-,and 15-year relative survival rates in Qidong beginning in the 1980 s.Conclusion:The survival outcome of registered gastric cancer cases in Qidong showed gradual progress over the past two decades.

Long-term survival after enucleation of a giant esophagea gastrointestinal stromal tumor

Gastrointestinal stromal tumors(GISTs) are rare mesenchymal neoplasms of the gastrointestinal tract. Less than 1% occurs in the esophagus. Surgery is the primary treatment for patients with GISTs. We report a29-year-old male was admitted after the detection of a posterior mediastinal mass during work-up with routine examination. He did not have any disease-related symptoms. The physical examination was unremarkable. Chest computed tomographic scan, the barium esophagogram and endoscopic esophageal ultrasound showed benign neoplasm. The patient was performed an enucleation surgery through the right posterolateral thoracotomy. The pathology revealed a 13.0 cm × 12.0cm × 5.0 cm mass. The tumor was CD117(C-kit), PDGFRA and DOG1 positive. These findings were consistent with a GIST of the esophagus. So the diagnosis of GIST of esophagus was confirmed. The pathological diagnosis of low grade of GIST of esophagus was confirmed. The patient has no evidence of recurrence and is in good clinical conditions up-to date, five years after surgery.

Effect of low-dose aspirin administration on long-term survival of cirrhotic patients after splenectomy: A retrospective single-center study

BACKGROUND Cirrhosis is a major risk factor for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Portal vein thrombosis is not uncommon after splenectomy in cirrhotic patients, and many such patients take oral anticoagulants including aspirin. However, the long-term impact of postoperative aspirin on cirrhotic patients after splenectomy remains unknown. AIM The main purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of postoperative long-term low-dose aspirin administration on the development of HCC and longterm survival of cirrhotic patients after splenectomy. METHODS The clinical data of 264 adult patients with viral hepatitis-related cirrhosis who underwent splenectomy at the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University from January 2000 to December 2014 were analyzed retrospectively. Among these patients, 59 who started taking 100 mg/d aspirin within seven days were enrolled in the aspirin group. The incidence of HCC and overall survival were analyzed.RESULTS During follow-up, 41 (15.53%) patients developed HCC and 37 (14.02%) died due to end-stage liver diseases or other serious complications. Postoperative longterm low-dose aspirin therapy reduced the incidence of HCC from 19.02% to 3.40% after splenectomy (log-rank test, P=0.028). Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that not undertaking postoperative long-term low-dose aspirin therapy [odds ratio (OR)=6.211, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.142-27.324, P=0.016] was the only independent risk factor for the development of HCC. Similarly, patients in the aspirin group survived longer than those in the control group (log-rank test, P=0.041). Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that the only factor that independently associated with improved overall survival was postoperative long-term low-dose aspirin therapy [OR = 0.218, 95%CI: 0.049- 0.960, P=0.044]. CONCLUSION In patients with viral hepatitis-related cirrhosis, long-term post-splenectomy administration of low-dose aspirin reduces the incidence of HCC and improves the long-term overall survival.

Long-term survival of a patient after resection of a gastrointestinal stromal tumor arising from the pancreas

BACKGROUND:Gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GISTs) may arise in any part of the gastrointestinal tract;extragastrointestinal locations are extremely rare.Only a few cases of extragastrointestinal stromal tumor arising from the pancreas were reported.None of the reports described a long-term follow-up of the patients.METHOD:This report describes an interesting and unusual case of GIST arising from the pancreas.RESULTS:A 74-year-old female presented with a palpable abdominal mass.CT scan showed a large mass 11×8×4 cm originating from the tail of the pancreas.Percutaneous biopsy revealed a GIST predominantly with spindle cells,but some parts also contained epitheloid cells.The patient was treated by distal pancreatic resection with splenectomy.Immunohistochemistry of the tumor showed a staining pattern characteristic of GIST.The patient has achieved a long-term survival of five years and six months without any sign of recurrence of the disease.CONCLUSION:This is the first reported case of an extragastrointestinal stromal tumor arising from the pancreas treated surgically,with a long-term survival.

Long-term survival after liver transplantation for alcoholic liver disease

Currently,alcoholic cirrhosis is the second leading indication for liver transplantation in the United States and Europe.The quality of life and survival after a liver transplantation(LT)in patients with alcoholic liver disease(ALD)are similar to those in patients with other cirrhosis etiologies.The alcoholic relapse rate after a LT varies from 10%-50%,and these relapse patients are the ones who present a reduced long-term survival,mainly due to cardiovascular diseases and the onset of de novo neoplasms,including lung and upper aerodigestive tract.Nearly 40%of ALD recipients resume smoking and resume it early post-LT.Therefore,our pre-and post-LT follow-up efforts regarding ALD should be focused not only on alcoholic relapse but also on treating and avoiding other modifiable risk factors such as tobacco.The psychiatric and psychosocial pre-LT evaluation and the post-LT follow-up with physicians,psychiatrists and addiction specialists are important for reversing these problems because these professionals help to identify patients at risk for relapse as well as those patients who have relapsed,thus enabling responsive actions.

Long-term survival of a HCC-patient with severe liver dysfunction treated with sorafenib

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary cancer of the liver. Prognosis and treatment options are stage dependent. In general, prognosis of patients with unresectable HCC is poor, especially for those patients with impaired liver function. Whereas treatment with the novel molecular tyrosine kinase inhibitor sorafenib (Nexavar) was shown to result in prolonged survival in patients with preserved liver function, its' possible application in HCC-patients with strongly impaired liver function has not been clearly assessed. Here, we report on a 47-year-old male patient who presented with Child-Pugh class C liver cirrhosis and multifocal, non-resectable HCC. The patient was treated for 27 mo with Sorafenib, which was not associated with major drug-related side effects. During treatment, a reduction in tumour size of 24% was achieved, as assessed by regular CT scan. Moreover,within the 27 mo interval of stable tumour disease, liver function improved from Child-Pugh class C to class A.

Nomograms predicting long-term survival in patients with invasive intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas: A population-based study

BACKGROUND There are few effective tools to predict survival in patients with invasive intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas.AIM To develop comprehensive nomograms to individually estimate the survival outcome of patients with invasive intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas.METHODS Data of 1219 patients with invasive intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms after resection were extracted from the Surveillance,Epidemiology,and End Results database,and randomly divided into the training(n=853)and the validation(n=366)cohorts.Based on the Cox regression model,nomograms were constructed to predict overall survival and cancer-specific survival for an individual patient.The performance of the nomograms was measured according to discrimination,calibration,and clinical utility.Moreover,we compared the predictive accuracy of the nomograms with that of the traditional staging system.RESULTS In the training cohort,age,marital status,histological type,T stage,N stage,M stage,and chemotherapy were selected to construct nomograms.Compared with the American Joint Committee on Cancer 7th staging system,the nomograms were generally more discriminative.The nomograms passed the calibration steps by showing high consistency between actual probability and nomogram prediction.Categorial net classification improvements and integrated discrimination improvements suggested that the predictive accuracy of the nomograms exceeded that of the American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system.With respect to decision curve analyses,the nomograms exhibited more preferable net benefit gains than the staging system across a wide range of threshold probabilities.CONCLUSION The nomograms show improved predictive accuracy,discrimination capability,and clinical utility,which can be used as reliable tools for risk classification and treatment recommendations.

Factors influencing the short-term and long-term survival of hepatocellular carcinoma patients with portal vein tumor thrombosis who underwent chemoembolization

BACKGROUND The factors affecting the short-term and long-term prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC) patients with portal vein tumor thrombosis(PVTT) receiving transarterial chemoembolization(TACE) are still unclear.AIM To clarify the predictors correlated with the short-term and long-term survival of HCC patients with PVTT who underwent TACE.METHODS The medical records of 181 HCC patients with PVTT who underwent TACE at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University from January 2015 to July 2019 were retrospectively analyzed. We explored the short-term and longterm prognostic factors by comparing the preoperative indicators of patients who died and survived within 3 mo and 12 mo after TACE. Multivariate analyses were conducted using logistic regression. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(area under curve) was used to evaluate the predictive ability of the factors related to the short-term and long-term prognosis.RESULTS The median survival time was 4.8 mo(range: 2.5-8.85 mo). The 3 mo, 6 mo, and 12 mo survival rates were 68.5%, 38.7%, and 15.5%, respectively. In multivariable analysis, total bilirubin, sex, and aspartate aminotransferase(AST) were closely linked to short-term survival. When AST ≥ 87 U/L and total bilirubin ≥ 16.15 μmol/L, the 3-mo survival rate after TACE was reduced significantly(P < 0.05). AST had the best predictive ability, followed by total bilirubin, while sex had the worst predictive ability for short-term survival area under curve: 0.763(AST) vs 0.707(total bilirubin) vs 0.554(sex)]. The long-term survival outcome was significantly better in patients with a single lesion than in those with ≥ three lesions(P = 0.009). Patients with massive block HCC had a worse long-term survival than patients with nodular and diffuse HCC(P = 0.001).CONCLUSION AST, total bilirubin, and sex are independent factors associated with short-term survival. The number of tumors and the gross pathological type of tumor are related to the long-term outcome.

An addition of medium-dose ATG to conditioning regimens favours the long-term survival of patients with allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation

Long-term survival of 116 leukemia/MDS patients received allo-SCT conditioned by a regimen with ATG-F or without ATG-F was analysed, together with the impact of ATG-F on the long-term survival, GVHD and disease relapse. Seventy patients received an ATG-F containing conditioning regimen FBCA, and 46 patients received a non-ATG-F FBC regimen. The FBCA regimen was associated with a 5-year survival of 65.4% in the complete HLA-matched group and 39.3% in the HLA-mismatched group. The difference between the two groups was significant (P = 0.012). For the FBC conditioning regimen, the 5-year overall survival of HLA-matched patients and the HLA-mismatched patients was 34.2% and 24.2% respectively (P = 0.216). The incidence of cGVHD was 32.9% and 83.6% in the FBCA and FBC condition regimen group respectively. Only 2.9% of the cases showed extensive cGVHD in the FBCA group while it was 69.4% in the FBC group (P = 0.00). Multivariate analysis indicated that relapse was related to the disease status and HLA typing, but unrelated to the conditioning regimens whether or not ATG-F was used (HR 0.54, P = 0.109). We conclude that the addition of ATG-F to conditioning regimen favours the longterm survival of allo-SCT.

Clinical Study on the Impact of Long-term Survival Quality in 204 Postoperative Patients with Breast Cancer by Cox Proportional Hazard Models

The aim of study was to evaluate clinical characteristics, social support and the association with the prognosis of breast cancer patients. A total of 204 participants were followed from 2003 until the end of 2008. Information about patients with breast cancer was submitted by investigators. Data were analyzed by Cox’s proportional hazard model. The clinical staging of breast cancer we used was the TNM classification. A 'T' score is based upon the size and/or extent of invasion. The 'N' score indicates the extent of lymph node involvement. Age at diagnose was associated with protective factors (HR=0.972;95%CI (0.834-1.130)), T staging (HR=2.075;95%CI (1.424-3.022)), N staging (HR=1.513;95%CI (1.066-2.148)), were associated with risk factor. Two survival graphs of nodes with negative effects by histology and nodes with positive effects by histology was analyzed by log-rank test, there was statistically significant relationship between two survival graphs (χ2 =136.8467, p <.0001). Age at diagnoses, Clinical stage tumor and node could contribute to the development of breast cancer and disease free survival in Chinese women.