The variability characteristics of Guangdong daily power load from 2002 to 2004 and its connection to meteorological variables are analyzed with wavelet analysis and correlation analysis. Prediction equations are esta...The variability characteristics of Guangdong daily power load from 2002 to 2004 and its connection to meteorological variables are analyzed with wavelet analysis and correlation analysis. Prediction equations are established using optimization subset regression. The results show that a linear increasing trend is very significant and seasonal change is obvious. The power load exhibits significant quasi-weekly (5 – 7 days) oscillation, quasi-by-weekly (10 – 20 days) oscillation and intraseasonal (30 – 60 days) oscillation. These oscillations are caused by atmospheric low frequency oscillation and public holidays. The variation of Guangdong daily power load is obviously in decrease on Sundays, shaping like a funnel during Chinese New Year in particular. The minimum is found at the first and second day and the power load gradually increases to normal level after the third day during the long vacation of Labor Day and National Day. Guangdong power load is the most sensitive to temperature, which is the main affecting factor, as in other areas in China. The power load also has relationship with other meteorological elements to some extent during different seasons. The maximum of power load in summer, minimum during Chinese New Year and variation during Labor Day and National Day are well fitted and predicted using the equation established by optimization subset regression and accounting for the effect of workdays and holidays.展开更多
Transmission network expansion planning (TNEP) is a challenging issue especially in new restructured electricity mar-kets environment. TNEP can be incorporated with reactive power planning in which the operating condi...Transmission network expansion planning (TNEP) is a challenging issue especially in new restructured electricity mar-kets environment. TNEP can be incorporated with reactive power planning in which the operating conditions will be satisfied. In this paper a combinatorial mathematical model has been presented to solve transmission expansion and reactive power planning problem (TEPRPP) simultaneously. The proposed model is a non-convex problem having a mixed integer nonlinear nature where the number of candidate solutions to be evaluated increases exponentially according to the system size. The objective function of TEPRPP comprises the new circuits’ investment and production costs as well as load curtailment penalty payments. A real genetic algorithm (RGA) aimed to obtaining a significant quality solution to handle such a complicated problem has been employed. An interior point method (IPM) is applied to solve the proposed concurrent optimization problem in the solution steps of TEPRPP model. This paper proposes a new methodology for the best location as well as the capacity of VAr sources;it is tested on two well-known systems;the Garver and IEEE 24-bus systems. The obtained results show the capability and the viability of the proposed TEPRPP model incorporating operating conditions.展开更多
针对风电并网时的随机波动功率、负荷频率控制(load frequency control, LFC)系统参数变化所引起的电力系统频率稳定问题,提出了一种基于智能优化算法与改进目标函数的互联电网LFC系统最优PID控制器设计方法。首先,分析了基于PID控制的...针对风电并网时的随机波动功率、负荷频率控制(load frequency control, LFC)系统参数变化所引起的电力系统频率稳定问题,提出了一种基于智能优化算法与改进目标函数的互联电网LFC系统最优PID控制器设计方法。首先,分析了基于PID控制的含风电互联电力系统LFC闭环模型。其次,在时间乘误差绝对值积分(integral of time multiplied absolute error, ITAE)性能指标的目标函数中考虑了区域控制器的输出信号偏差,对优化目标函数进行改进。采用性能优良的多元宇宙优化(multi-verse optimizer, MVO)算法先计算后验证的思路,寻优获得最优PID控制器参数。最后,以两区域4机组互联电力LFC系统为例,仿真验证了基于MVO算法结合改进目标函数所获得的PID控制器,比基于MVO算法所获得的PID控制器,对阶跃负荷扰动、随机负荷扰动、风电功率偏差扰动以及系统的参数变化,具有相对较好的鲁棒性能。并且,对控制器参数也具有相对较好的非脆弱性指标。展开更多
The mixed model of improved exponential and power function and unequal interval gray GM(1,1)model have poor accuracy in predicting the maximum pull-out load of anchor bolts.An optimal combination model was derived usi...The mixed model of improved exponential and power function and unequal interval gray GM(1,1)model have poor accuracy in predicting the maximum pull-out load of anchor bolts.An optimal combination model was derived using the optimally weighted combination theory and the minimum sum of logarithmic squared errors as the objective function.Two typical anchor bolt pull-out engineering cases were selected to compare the performance of the proposed model with those of existing ones.Results showed that the optimal combination model was suitable not only for the slow P-s curve but also for the steep P-s curve.Its accuracy and stable reliability,as well as its prediction capability classification,were better than those of the other prediction models.Therefore,the optimal combination model is an effective processing method for predicting the maximum pull-out load of anchor bolts according to measured data.展开更多
基金Platform for Meteorological Prediction of Power Load in Guangdong Province
文摘The variability characteristics of Guangdong daily power load from 2002 to 2004 and its connection to meteorological variables are analyzed with wavelet analysis and correlation analysis. Prediction equations are established using optimization subset regression. The results show that a linear increasing trend is very significant and seasonal change is obvious. The power load exhibits significant quasi-weekly (5 – 7 days) oscillation, quasi-by-weekly (10 – 20 days) oscillation and intraseasonal (30 – 60 days) oscillation. These oscillations are caused by atmospheric low frequency oscillation and public holidays. The variation of Guangdong daily power load is obviously in decrease on Sundays, shaping like a funnel during Chinese New Year in particular. The minimum is found at the first and second day and the power load gradually increases to normal level after the third day during the long vacation of Labor Day and National Day. Guangdong power load is the most sensitive to temperature, which is the main affecting factor, as in other areas in China. The power load also has relationship with other meteorological elements to some extent during different seasons. The maximum of power load in summer, minimum during Chinese New Year and variation during Labor Day and National Day are well fitted and predicted using the equation established by optimization subset regression and accounting for the effect of workdays and holidays.
文摘Transmission network expansion planning (TNEP) is a challenging issue especially in new restructured electricity mar-kets environment. TNEP can be incorporated with reactive power planning in which the operating conditions will be satisfied. In this paper a combinatorial mathematical model has been presented to solve transmission expansion and reactive power planning problem (TEPRPP) simultaneously. The proposed model is a non-convex problem having a mixed integer nonlinear nature where the number of candidate solutions to be evaluated increases exponentially according to the system size. The objective function of TEPRPP comprises the new circuits’ investment and production costs as well as load curtailment penalty payments. A real genetic algorithm (RGA) aimed to obtaining a significant quality solution to handle such a complicated problem has been employed. An interior point method (IPM) is applied to solve the proposed concurrent optimization problem in the solution steps of TEPRPP model. This paper proposes a new methodology for the best location as well as the capacity of VAr sources;it is tested on two well-known systems;the Garver and IEEE 24-bus systems. The obtained results show the capability and the viability of the proposed TEPRPP model incorporating operating conditions.
文摘针对风电并网时的随机波动功率、负荷频率控制(load frequency control, LFC)系统参数变化所引起的电力系统频率稳定问题,提出了一种基于智能优化算法与改进目标函数的互联电网LFC系统最优PID控制器设计方法。首先,分析了基于PID控制的含风电互联电力系统LFC闭环模型。其次,在时间乘误差绝对值积分(integral of time multiplied absolute error, ITAE)性能指标的目标函数中考虑了区域控制器的输出信号偏差,对优化目标函数进行改进。采用性能优良的多元宇宙优化(multi-verse optimizer, MVO)算法先计算后验证的思路,寻优获得最优PID控制器参数。最后,以两区域4机组互联电力LFC系统为例,仿真验证了基于MVO算法结合改进目标函数所获得的PID控制器,比基于MVO算法所获得的PID控制器,对阶跃负荷扰动、随机负荷扰动、风电功率偏差扰动以及系统的参数变化,具有相对较好的鲁棒性能。并且,对控制器参数也具有相对较好的非脆弱性指标。
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.51778485).
文摘The mixed model of improved exponential and power function and unequal interval gray GM(1,1)model have poor accuracy in predicting the maximum pull-out load of anchor bolts.An optimal combination model was derived using the optimally weighted combination theory and the minimum sum of logarithmic squared errors as the objective function.Two typical anchor bolt pull-out engineering cases were selected to compare the performance of the proposed model with those of existing ones.Results showed that the optimal combination model was suitable not only for the slow P-s curve but also for the steep P-s curve.Its accuracy and stable reliability,as well as its prediction capability classification,were better than those of the other prediction models.Therefore,the optimal combination model is an effective processing method for predicting the maximum pull-out load of anchor bolts according to measured data.
