Objective To describe the temporal trends and spatial patterns of birth defects occurring in Wuxi, a developed region of China. Methods Wavelet analysis was used to decompose the temporal trends of birth defect preval...Objective To describe the temporal trends and spatial patterns of birth defects occurring in Wuxi, a developed region of China. Methods Wavelet analysis was used to decompose the temporal trends of birth defect prevalence based on the birth defect rates over the past 16 years. Birth defect cases with detailed personal and family information were geo-coded and the relative risk in each village was calculated. General G statistic was used to test the spatial property with different scales. Results Wavelet analysis showed an increasing temporal trend of birth defects in this region. Clustering analysis revealed that changes continued in the spatial patterns with different scales. Conclusion Wuxi is confronted with severe challenges to reduce birth defect prevalence. The risk factors are stable and show no change with spatial scale but an increasing temporal trend. Interventions should be focused on villages with a higher prevalence of birth defects.展开更多
To study the distribution law and random characteristics of casting defects in steel castings,24 civil engineering structural cast steel joints were divided into two groups:simple cast steel joints and complex cast st...To study the distribution law and random characteristics of casting defects in steel castings,24 civil engineering structural cast steel joints were divided into two groups:simple cast steel joints and complex cast steel joints.Three kinds of nondestructive testing(NDT)methods,namely,visual,magnetic particle,and ultrasonic inspections,were used to detect the macroscopic defects in joints.The NDT results were then statistically analyzed.The results show that the unfused core support is a common defect of complex cast steel joints,and the defect can be seen visually,so excavation and repair welding should be carried out before castings leave factories.Casting cracks are extremely likely to occur in the intersection area of tubes,which is called the ultrasonic inspection blind zone.The occurrence probability of gas pores on simple cast steel joints is the largest,and the occurrence probability of core support incomplete fusions on complex cast steel joints is the largest.However,when cast steel joints are counted as a whole sample,the occurrence probability of gas pores is larger than that of core support incomplete fusions.Therefore,it is the most common defect in cast steel joints.展开更多
The present research deals with the problem of development of an integrated expert-analytical system for optimum selection of calculated oil-field-geophysical parameters of oil and gas deposits with the purpose of inc...The present research deals with the problem of development of an integrated expert-analytical system for optimum selection of calculated oil-field-geophysical parameters of oil and gas deposits with the purpose of increasing the accuracy of assessment of the reserves of oil and gas deposits. The purpose of the system is to make current adequate decisions on determining of oil-and-gas saturation of strata and future identification of the most significant methods for that, with these methods forming the foundation of knowledge bases for oil-and-gas deposits of the Apsheron peninsula of Azerbaijan. The system architecture allows for expanding the system with its subsequent transformation into a cluster of expert-analytical systems. A logical model of the proposed system is presented. The paper contains a detailed description of the mechanism of operation of the system as a whole and of its individual blocks. Mathematical and formal-logical bases of the intelligent system are explained. The system is equipped with a tool for dynamic statistical analysis of decisions made by it, with representation of the results in real-time mode. The results of the system testing on specific oil-and-gas deposit of the Apsheron peninsula of Azerbaijan in 2013 are given.展开更多
基金the National "973" Project on Population and Health (No. 2007CB5119001)the National Yang Zi Scholar Program,211 and 985 Projects of Peking University (No. 20020903)
文摘Objective To describe the temporal trends and spatial patterns of birth defects occurring in Wuxi, a developed region of China. Methods Wavelet analysis was used to decompose the temporal trends of birth defect prevalence based on the birth defect rates over the past 16 years. Birth defect cases with detailed personal and family information were geo-coded and the relative risk in each village was calculated. General G statistic was used to test the spatial property with different scales. Results Wavelet analysis showed an increasing temporal trend of birth defects in this region. Clustering analysis revealed that changes continued in the spatial patterns with different scales. Conclusion Wuxi is confronted with severe challenges to reduce birth defect prevalence. The risk factors are stable and show no change with spatial scale but an increasing temporal trend. Interventions should be focused on villages with a higher prevalence of birth defects.
基金The National Key R&D Program of China(No.2017YFC0805100)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.51578137)+1 种基金the Project Funded by the Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutionsthe Open Research Fund Program of Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Engineering Mechanics。
文摘To study the distribution law and random characteristics of casting defects in steel castings,24 civil engineering structural cast steel joints were divided into two groups:simple cast steel joints and complex cast steel joints.Three kinds of nondestructive testing(NDT)methods,namely,visual,magnetic particle,and ultrasonic inspections,were used to detect the macroscopic defects in joints.The NDT results were then statistically analyzed.The results show that the unfused core support is a common defect of complex cast steel joints,and the defect can be seen visually,so excavation and repair welding should be carried out before castings leave factories.Casting cracks are extremely likely to occur in the intersection area of tubes,which is called the ultrasonic inspection blind zone.The occurrence probability of gas pores on simple cast steel joints is the largest,and the occurrence probability of core support incomplete fusions on complex cast steel joints is the largest.However,when cast steel joints are counted as a whole sample,the occurrence probability of gas pores is larger than that of core support incomplete fusions.Therefore,it is the most common defect in cast steel joints.
文摘The present research deals with the problem of development of an integrated expert-analytical system for optimum selection of calculated oil-field-geophysical parameters of oil and gas deposits with the purpose of increasing the accuracy of assessment of the reserves of oil and gas deposits. The purpose of the system is to make current adequate decisions on determining of oil-and-gas saturation of strata and future identification of the most significant methods for that, with these methods forming the foundation of knowledge bases for oil-and-gas deposits of the Apsheron peninsula of Azerbaijan. The system architecture allows for expanding the system with its subsequent transformation into a cluster of expert-analytical systems. A logical model of the proposed system is presented. The paper contains a detailed description of the mechanism of operation of the system as a whole and of its individual blocks. Mathematical and formal-logical bases of the intelligent system are explained. The system is equipped with a tool for dynamic statistical analysis of decisions made by it, with representation of the results in real-time mode. The results of the system testing on specific oil-and-gas deposit of the Apsheron peninsula of Azerbaijan in 2013 are given.
