Seismic risk evaluation for a planning mountain tunnel using improved analytical hierarchy process based on extension theory

Seismic risk evaluation(SRE) in early stages(e.g., project planning and preliminary design)for a mountain tunnel located in seismic areas has the same importance as that in final stages(e.g.,performance-based design, structural analysis, and optimization). SRE for planning mountain tunnels bridges the gap between the planning on the macro level and the design/analysis on the micro level regarding the risk management of infrastructural systems. A transition from subjective or qualitative description to objective or quantitative quantification of seismic risk is aimed to improve the seismic behavior of the mountain tunnel and thus reduce the associated seismic risk. A new method of systematic SRE for the planning mountain tunnel was presented herein. The method employs extension theory(ET)and an ET-based improved analytical hierarchy process. Additionally, a new risk-classification criterion is proposed to classify and quantify the seismic risk for a planning mountain tunnel. This SRE method is applied to a mountain tunnel in southwest China, using the extension model based on matter element theory and dependent function operation.The reasonability and flexibility of the SRE method for application to the mountain tunnel are illustrated.According to different seismic risk levels and classification criteria, methods and measures for improving the seismic design are proposed, which can reduce the seismic risk and provide a frame of reference for elaborate seismic design.

AN APPLICATION OF EXTENSION THEORY TO THE EVALUATION OF SLOPE STABILITY

The slope stability is affected by multiple factors. Thecomprehensive evaluation of the slope stability is a complicateproblem. The principles of extension theory have been used in thispaper to establish the matter-element model for the evaluation ofslope stability. The quantitative evaluated results have been giventhrough the calculation of the matter-element dependent degree.

Application of Matter-element Model in Soil Nutrient Evaluation of Ecological Fragile Region

On the basis of the soil environment investigation in Da＇an City, Jilin Province, China, 40 soil samples from main land use types were obtained and tested by standard method. Soil organic matter （SOM）, total N （TN）, total P （TP）, total K （TK）, available N （AN）, available P （AP） and available K （AK） were chosen as the evaluation factors. A regional soil nutrient evaluation model was developed based on the matter-element model. The results show that the soil samples with nutrient grade Ⅱ-Ⅴ respectively account for 10%, 30%, 32.5% and 27.5%, and those with grade Ⅳ and Ⅴ account for 60% in all samples. The relationship between soil nutrients and land types indicates that the nutrients of farmland are relatively good, with 41.7% of soil samples with the nutrient grade Ⅳ and Ⅴ. The nutrients of saline-alkali land and sandy land are the worst, with 100% of soil samples with the nutrient grade IV and V. And the ratios of soil samples grade IV and V in grassland and wasteland are respectively 62.5 % and 54.55%. Generally speaking, the soil nutrients status in Da＇an City is poor, 60% of soil samples are in poor and extremely poor conditions, indicating that the soil has been severely eroded. Being a relatively superior evaluation method with more accurate resuits and spatial distribution consistency, matter-element analysis is more suitable for regional soil nutrient evaluation than previous models.

Evaluation of the Strategic Tolerance Human Resource Management Based on Matter-Element Analysis Method

The main features and connotation of the tolerance human resource management based on strategy are analyzed and summarized. The theory and method of systematic engineering is used to build the evaluation index systems for the tolerance human resource management. On the basis of it, by using the theory of matter-element analysis, the matter-element models are formulated for the evaluation of the tolerance human resource management. Regarding annual tolerance human resource management as the object of matter-dement, the tolerance human resource ：management for two years are analyzed and evaluated through using the matter. element models proposed. A ease study is carried out and the satisfactory results are obtained. A new scientific methed is provided for the evaluation of human resource management based on strategy.

Research on Extension Evaluation of Rural Road Maintenance Quality Based on Game Theory

The importance of rural highway maintenance is self-evident, and it is also a basic work of the highway operation department. Selecting an appropriate evaluation method can timely and accurately find the pavement diseases, and improve the timeliness of pavement repair. To improve the accuracy of pavement quality comprehensive evaluation, based on the game theory, the improved extension evaluation method was combined with subjective and objective weight determination methods in this paper, to propose a comprehensive weight determination method with a good operability. The results show that the improved extension evaluation method provides a feasible scheme for rural highway maintenance quality evaluation

Extension Multi-factorial Evaluation Method on Water Quality Early-warning

Extension multi-factorial evaluation method was used in water quality early-earning in Yincungang River based on MATLAB. The results showed that water quality in summer was safe,while that in other three seasons were in pre-warning state with the order of winter > spring > autumn.

Expert Anti-Evaluation Model Based on Matter-Element Analysis in Fund Project Peer-Review System

The article analyses several key issues which restrict the effectiveness of fund project peer review work. It analyses the evaluating theory and matter-element theory to access the expert anti-evaluation model, and also studies the expert anti-evaluation index system to support the anti-evaluation method. The practical basis is the true score data of the experts which is collected from the actual anti-evaluation in Liaoning province science and technology fund project peer review system. With the practical experience of the actual project, we prove that the expert index system anti-evaluation model and expert anti-evaluation method can improve the fund project peer review work and play a positive role for the peer review work and also make the review work more scientific and more rational.

Evaluation of Social Environment Impact of Highway Construction Using Gray Matter-Element Information Entropy Model

Due to the importance of the social environment impact of highway construction project, an advanced evaluation is required to incorporate situations such as uncertainty, incompatibility and less information. This paper proposes a gray matter-element evaluation model based on the information entropy. The model is developed by combining both quantitative and qualitative methods, using probability theory to convert quantitative index to qualitative index, and the weight of those indexes were determined through synthesised integral weighting method, integrating matter-element theory, grey theory, and information theory. The model is then applied to evaluate the impact of the social environmental impact of highway construction project which will provide support for decision makers. Cheng-Yu highway and Shen-Da highway were selected for model application, and good results were achieved similar to the real situation.

Failure model of environmental PPP project based on extension matter-element theory

In recent years,with the global environmental pollution becoming more and more serious,and the widespread application of PPP model in various fields,PPP model provides a new solution for environmental governance.However,due to environmental management of PPP projects in practice by various factors,such as the lack of social value,organizational management confusion and consultation communication is not in place cause group events,resulting in the failure of the PPP project,and a large number of economic losses.Therefore,the objective of this paper is to ensure the smooth implementation of environmental management of PPP projects,to reduce the risk to avoid failure.The research methods adopted in this study include literature review and case analysis,based on the theory of environmental governance PPP,select 15 failure cases analysis failure reasons,identify environmental management PPP project’s 18 failure factors,starting from the government to enterprises.The index is divided into three dimensions:social system,organization and management,public behavior,and determination of failure measure index system.Based on the theory of the open matter,the failure measure model is established,and the failure factor index is measured and analyzed.The degree of failure of the project is clarified and the PPP project is analyzed by a sewage treatment to verify the reasonable model of the failure measure model.The feasibility of the future of environmental management PPP project failure risk provides a practical tool.

Application of matter-element analysis based on entropy right to evaluate the pavement condition in permafrost region

Evaluation of pavement performance is one of the most important issues in a pavement-management system.By employing the concept of entropy,the matter-element model for evaluating pavement is established,and the weights of the evaluation indices are obtained from sur-veying data.By calculating the degree of dependence of the matter-element model,the pavement performance evaluation can be obtained by this method.The results show that the matter-element model based on entropy right has good performance for evaluating the pavement condition in permafrost region.

Environmental impact evaluation for high-speed railway

Environmental impact evaluation system boundary of high-speed railway was defined based on the total life cycle theory,and the index system to evaluate the environmental impact of high-speed railway was established with the fuzzy analytic hierarchy method,and the matter-element evaluation model was established on the basis of the extension theory.By calculating its comprehensive interrelatedness,the evaluation rank of environment impacts of high-speed railway was determined.The numerical example shows that the model has vast prospect,which can not only expand the application areas of extension theory,but also change the traditional evaluation methods and provide new ideas and means for environmental impact evaluation of high-speed railway.

Evaluation of Public Satisfaction on Landscape Water in Weihe Park

By introducing the public satisfaction theory,the 4-grade evaluation index system of public satisfaction was established on the basis of the public attitude towards waterscape project of Weihe Park as well as other research fruits.Questionnaires were designed and handed out to 196 respondents to investigate psychological status of the public.Then extension evaluation was adopted to figure out the public satisfaction,and the results showed that 86.46% of the respondents were more satisfied with the project.Therefore,citizens of Baoji City held a positive attitude towards the waterscape project of Weihe Park.

Application of extension method to fault diagnosis of transformer

A novel extension diagnosis method was proposed for enhancing the diagnosis ability of the conventional dissolved gas analysis. Based on the extension theory a matter-element model was established for qualitatively and quantitatively describing the fault diagnosis problem of power transformers. The degree of relation based on the dependent functions was employed to determine the nature and the grade of the faults in a transformer system. And the proposed method was verified with the experimental data. The results show that accuracy rate of the diagnosis method exceeds 90% and two kinds of faults can be detected at the same time.

The Research on Safety Evaluation of High-pile Wharf Structure

Due to a combination of the sea erosion,the ship collision,the change of ground condition,the effect of alternative static and dynamic load and the material deterioration,the structure of high-pile wharf is easily damaged.Once the structure of high-pile wharf destroyed,it is bound to be a great threat to the safety of various facilities and personnel in the port.Given all of that,the multi-level comprehensive evaluation method based on the extension theory is proposed in this paper.Using this method to assess the safety of high-pile wharf structure,the reasonable advice on its maintenance and reinforcement can be given in time.What’s more,the method is simple and can give more objective result of the evaluation.

Extension Study on Electricity Market of Power Plant Investment Environment

When the global electricity industry has reorganized the structure and introduced competitive market mechanism world widely, China is no exception. Since 2002, “Electricity System Reform Program” was enacted. The mode of the State Power Corporation was divided. It means China's electricity market steps into the mode of Wholesale Competition. The meaning of the evaluation of power plant investment decision is to provide references for the market members when they made the decisions through the comprehensive evaluation of internal performance of Power Plant and the external investment environment, therefore further optimizing the allocation of funds, avoiding the risks, pursuing maximize of the profits.

Water quality evaluation based on improved fuzzy matter-element method

For natural water, method of water quality evaluation based on improved fuzzy matter-element evaluation method is presented. Two important parts are improved, the weights determining and fuzzy membership functions. The coefficient of variation of each indicator is used to determine the weight instead of traditional calculating superscales method. On the other hand, fuzzy matter-elements are constructed, and normal membership degrees are used instead of traditional trapezoidal ones. The composite fuzzy matter-elements with associated coefficient are constructed through associated transformation. The levels of natural water quality are determined according to the principle of maximum correlation. The improved fuzzy matter-element evaluation method is applied to evaluate water quality of the Luokou mainstream estuary at the first ten weeks in 2011 with the coefficient of variatiola method determining the weights. Water quality of Luokou mainstream estuary is dropping from level I to level II. The results of the improved evaluation method are basically the same as the official water quality. The variation coefficient method can reduce the workload, and overcome the adverse effects from abnormal values, compared with the traditional calculating superscales method. The results of improved fuzzy matter- element evaluation method are more credible than the ones of the traditional evaluation method. The improved evaluation method can use information of monitoring data more scientifically and comprehensively, and broaden a new evaluation method for water quality assessment.

集成可拓学工具的裁剪创新方法研究

为降低裁剪过程中主观影响元件裁剪顺序的程度,减少裁剪后寻找替代资源的随机性,通过建立待改进产品的功能模型,确定产生负面作用的负面元件,引入可拓学中的优度评价方法计算负面元件的裁剪顺序。根据裁剪规则定义,对替代资源的来源进行分类,并根据分类求解方案。若替代资源来自现有系统内部,则分配有用功能,将寻找替代解的过程转化为矛盾问题求解过程;若替代资源来自现有系统外部,则利用发散分析、可拓变换等工具寻找替代解。将可拓学中的优度评价、发散分析、矛盾问题求解方法融合到裁剪方法中,增强了裁剪元件选择的客观性,为寻找替代资源提供了方向。以剥线机为例对产品进行改进,验证了所提方法的有效性,为可拓学与裁剪方法结合提供了新思路。

改扩建高速公路桥梁可用性评判与延寿准则

针对高速公路改扩建工程中既有桥梁是否能继续使用问题,综合考虑总体技术状况、承载力状况、剩余耐久年限状况3个层次,创建了以桥梁构件类别的外观耐久状态为一级指标、以剩余耐久年限为二级指标的评判方法,提出了表征构件剩余耐久年限的寿命系数和可用寿命系数,建立了既有桥梁的延寿准则和延寿策略,探讨了可用寿命系数与目标使用年限、单次延寿的有效保护年限、拟采取的维护措施类型数量的相互关系。以京沪高速改扩建工程为研究背景,选取9座既有桥梁为典型桥梁,按100 a目标使用年限,计算得到构件主筋和箍筋的剩余耐久年限,给出了典型桥梁主体构件剩余耐久年限。根据可用评判方法,计算得到了在相同延寿措施下的延寿年限、延寿费用及可用寿命系数,按经济最优原则提出了从A级到E级共计5种延寿方式。研究表明,京沪高速改扩建工程典型桥梁按箍筋计算得到构件耐久寿命比按主筋计算值低,建议构件年限按箍筋计算值取用;目标使用年限为100 a时,主梁构件可正常使用比例为94%,墩柱单元、盖梁单元、桥台单元的可正常使用比例分别为67%,11%,44%。实际工程表明,采用该评判方法的评判结果与结构实际状态基本相符,与工程实际采取的处置措施基本相当,验证了该方法的合理性。

基于博弈-可拓云的地铁-常规公交换乘服务评价

为了解决地铁与常规公交换乘服务评价方法的单一性和滞后性等问题,提出一种博弈-可拓云组合模型。结合“全、简、精、实”四类原则构建评价指标体系,分别利用层次分析法、CRITIC法、博弈论确定各项指标的主、客综合权重,并将数值代入可拓云模型实现二者的结合。以石家庄地铁为例,对辖区三条线路与常规公交间的换乘服务进行综合评价,结果显示:1、2、3号线的分数均处于[70,90)范围内,属于良好等级。评价结果与该市地铁-常规公交的运营现状相符,验证了组合模型的可行性与普适性,该结果对科学制定精准化的公共交通换乘服务政策提供参考。

基于组合赋权-可拓云的城市轨道交通线路运营安全评价

为解决城市轨道交通运营安全评价指标缺乏时效性和部分安全评价模型忽略评价等级的模糊界限等问题,重新构建城市轨道交通线路的运营安全评价指标体系,包括员工对传染性疾病防控措施的执行力度、相关单位的配合程度、防控设备的完备程度等新指标;其次运用基于离差最小化的最优最劣法(BWM)和反熵权法对各指标进行组合赋权;然后应用可拓云确定城市轨道交通线路运营安全评价等级;最后以上海地铁17号线为例进行实例分析。结果表明:上海地铁17号线运营安全评价各指标的各级云关联度低于0.5且置信度高于0.99,其中,人员因素、线路因素、管理因素的置信度均为1,仅设备因素的置信度为0.998;结合每个二级指标的灵敏度值分析,得出车站运营设备的可靠性对线路实际运营安全影响最大;在实际运营中,乘客对车站传染性疾病防控的配合程度越高,对综合评价的提升也越大;该评价指标体系和评价模型能够准确地反映城市轨道交通线路运营安全水平,且更加适用于目前城市轨道交通线路的运营情况。