In order to take advantage of the climate resources more effectively ac- cording to the local circumstances and to plan and develop the citrus industry in Southern Shaanxi more reasonably. On the basis of the investig...In order to take advantage of the climate resources more effectively ac- cording to the local circumstances and to plan and develop the citrus industry in Southern Shaanxi more reasonably. On the basis of the investigation of freeze dam- age to citrus occurring in Southern Shaanxi in the winter of 2010, the climatic back- ground for the formation of this freeze damage was analyzed. In combination with the freeze damage indicators during the overwintering period and the harmful accu- mulated cold during the cold wave, indexes for grading the freeze damage in southern Shaanxi were analyzed and verified, and the perspective of grading the freeze damage using the harmful accumulated cold during the cold wave was also presented. Through analyzing the extremely lowest temperature and the harmful ac- cumulated cold in the winter of 2010 and in history at 12 citrus growing counties (districts) in Ankang area and Hanzhong area, the reasons why the freeze damage to citrus during the overwintering period was severer in the west than in the east of Southern Shaanxi were discussed, and the results obtained were basically consistent with the actual situation observed from investigation. Finally, defensive countermea- sures against the freeze damage to citrus during the overwintering period were put forward from several aspects.展开更多
Based on the data of 18 cases during the past 30 years from 1978 to 2007,the major meteorological conditions for outbreak of blue-green alga in Hongze Lake were analyzed.The results showed that the main meteorological...Based on the data of 18 cases during the past 30 years from 1978 to 2007,the major meteorological conditions for outbreak of blue-green alga in Hongze Lake were analyzed.The results showed that the main meteorological conditions that affected the production and outbreak of blue-green alga were unusual high monthly average temperature,less precipitation and more sunshine hours in ten days.Through the selection of 1 or 0 factors on the values of above meteorological conditions over the years,if the conditions were accorded with the outbreak of blue-green alga,the factor was signed as 1,or it would be signed as 0;if there was outbreak of blue-green alga within ten days,it was signed as 1,or it would be signed as 0;crossing interrelated and integrated prediction method was adopted to establish the prediction equation for outbreak of blue-green alga,the historical fitting rate was 87.5%,and the predicting accuracy rate in 2008-2009 was 87.5%.In addition to meteorological conditions,outbreak of blue-green alga was also influenced by industrial pollutions,etc.,which should be considered in the forecasting procedures.展开更多
Guilin sugar orange has advantages of good taste, harvest during the Spring Festival, marketable market, and it has got swift and violent development in recent years. Sugar orange yield and quality is closely related ...Guilin sugar orange has advantages of good taste, harvest during the Spring Festival, marketable market, and it has got swift and violent development in recent years. Sugar orange yield and quality is closely related to meteorological conditions, so in order to study the effect of meteorological conditions on the Guilin sugar orange, the local conditions of each orange-planting county in Guilin is analyzed, and study is also carried out on the severe weather and its defense measures. The suitable growth temperature for sugar orange is 23-29 ℃, and sugar orange is not tolerant to waterlogging and drought, like light, and has no resistance to ice cold. The main meteorological disasters include high temperature, low temperature, flood, drought, wind, hail, etc. Reasonable selection of orchard, scientific management, especially the management of plant diseases and insect pests, is the key to ensure high-quality high sand sugar orange.展开更多
[Objective] The study aimed to discuss the relationship of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases to meteorological conditions and forecast method in Nanjing City. [Method] Based on daily cases of cardiovascular ...[Objective] The study aimed to discuss the relationship of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases to meteorological conditions and forecast method in Nanjing City. [Method] Based on daily cases of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases from a hospital in Nanjing City as well as daily meteorological data from Nanjing Meteorological Station from January 2003 to July 2008, the monthly and seasonal variations in quantity of patients suffedng from cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in Nanjing City were analyzed firstly, and then the relationship between mete- orological elements and incidence of the diseases was discussed, finally the forecast model for the incidence of the diseases was established using the stepwise regression method. [Result] Cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in Nanjing City happened all the year round, and the inci- dance was high in the seasonal transition phase from autumn to winter. Daily incidence of the diseases in Nanjing City correlated negatively with dai- ly maximum, minimum and average vapor pressure, daily minimum relative humidity and so forth, but their incidence had positive correlations with diumal range of daily temperature, daily maximum, minimum and average pressure. Daily average number of patients suffering from the diseases obviously correlated with daily average temperature, daily maximum vapor pressure and daily average relative humidity. [ Conclusion] The research could provide scientific references for the prevention and forecast of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in future.展开更多
This work analyzes and discusses the influence of human activities on the meteorological conditions related to winter haze events in Beijing,Tianjin,and Hebei(i.e.,the Jing-Jin-Ji region)during 1961-2016,using the res...This work analyzes and discusses the influence of human activities on the meteorological conditions related to winter haze events in Beijing,Tianjin,and Hebei(i.e.,the Jing-Jin-Ji region)during 1961-2016,using the results of two numerical simulation experiments based on the Community Atmosphere Model version 5.1.1(http://www.cesm.ucar.edu/models/cesm1.0/cam/docs/ug5_1_1/book1.html)used in the international Climate Variability and Predictability Programme(CLIVAR)Climate of the 20th Century Detection and Attribution Project(C20C+D&A).The results show that,under the influence of human activities,the changes in dynamical and thermal meteorological conditions related to winter haze events in the Jing–Jin–Ji region are conducive to the formation and accumulation of haze,and prevent the diffusion of pollutants.The dynamical conditions mainly include the obvious weakening of the East Asian winter monsoon(EAWM)and the enhancement of the near-surface anomalous southerly wind.The thermal conditions include the obvious increase in surface temperature,and the enhancement of water vapor transport and near-surface inversion.The relative contribution of dynamical and thermal conditions to the variation of haze days in the Jing-Jin-Ji region is analyzed using statistical methods.The results show that the contribution of human activities to the increase of haze days in the Jing-Jin-Ji region is greater than that of natural forcing for the study period.To be specific,the dynamical meteorological factors contribute more to the haze days than the thermal meteorological factors.The contribution of thermal meteorological factors is basically the same in both scenarios.展开更多
Through observing the phenology of two kinds of fruit trees,apple and peach trees,during their flowering periods in the past seven years,the meteorological conditions in the flowering stages were analyzed and summariz...Through observing the phenology of two kinds of fruit trees,apple and peach trees,during their flowering periods in the past seven years,the meteorological conditions in the flowering stages were analyzed and summarized in this paper.The late frost weather situation occurred in late April in Haiyang City also was elaborated in the paper.According to the data analysis,the terrain effect had induced a large temperature differences between north and south in April in Haiyang.Early flowering of fruit trees is as early as 5 to 8 days in the northern region than that in the southern region;accumulated temperature which was greater than or equal to 0 ℃ and the date of the temperature stably through a boundary,were the important meteorological indicators of the fruit trees' early flowering.The late frost in mid-late April is meteorological disasters of the fruit trees flowering period.The weather background of the occurred late frost,the disaster reasons and the measures for the prevention of late frost were proposed.展开更多
[ Objective] The study aimed to analyze the spatial distribution of agricultural meteorological conditions in Sanjiang Plain during nearly 50 years. [ Method] Accumulated temperature of Sanjiang Plain was computed bas...[ Objective] The study aimed to analyze the spatial distribution of agricultural meteorological conditions in Sanjiang Plain during nearly 50 years. [ Method] Accumulated temperature of Sanjiang Plain was computed based on meteorological observation data from different meteorological stations in Sanjiang Plain, including temperature, precipitation, sunshine time, etc. A spatial interpolation map involving varieties of meteorological elements in neady 50 years was generated based on the Kriging interpolation, and the spatial distribution characteristics of those meteorological ele- ments were analyzed. [ Result] Temperature of Sanjiang Plain decreased with the increase of latitude and altitude, and the annual average temper- atura varied from 2.5 to 4.5 ~(3 generally, showing a zonal distribution. Precipitation of Sanjiang Plain changed spatially and the annual average pre- cipitation varied from 500 to 600 mm symmetrically in northwest-southeast direction. Spatial distribution of the annual average wind speed in San- jiang Plain was identical with the spatial pattern of topography here, and the annual average wind speed changed from 3.0 to 3.6 rn/s in most re- gions. Relative air humidity of Sanjiang Plain in summer half year was relatively high and always above 65%. The maximum sunshine hours of San- jiang Plain in one year distributed similarly to the annual changing curve of solar declination, and both of them presented a normal distribution and changed with geographic latitude. The days from the beginning to the end of daily average temperature ~〉 10 ~C in Sanjiang Plain were 135 -146 d, and its distribution presented a latitudinal trend, with certain vertical zonality. [ Conclusion] The research could provide scientific references for the reasonable arrangement of agricultural production and effective prevention of meteorological disasters in Sanjiang Plain.展开更多
Objective To investigate the impact of meteorological conditions and PM2.5 on the onset of acute aortic dissection in monsoonal climate. Methods A linear regression analysis was performed in monsoonal climate epidemio...Objective To investigate the impact of meteorological conditions and PM2.5 on the onset of acute aortic dissection in monsoonal climate. Methods A linear regression analysis was performed in monsoonal climate epidemiological survey for a period of four years on the impact of meteorological factors (minimal temperature, mean temperature, maximal temperature, average daily surface temperature, day temperature range, relative humidity, mean wind speed, and atmospheric pressure) and PM2.5 concentration on the daily incidences of acute aortic dissections. Meteorological variables and PM2.5 concentration were retrieved on a daily basis from Beijing Regional Climate Center and the Ministry of Environmental Protection of the People’s Republic of China’s website, and the daily incidences of acute aortic dissections were retrieved from the Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting System in the Emergency and Critical Care Center of Beijing Anzhen Hospital. Results During the study period (from January 2011 to December 2014), 1164 patients were identified as having acute aortic dissections. The corresponding incidences in spring and autumn were 0.96 and 1.00, respectively, which significantly higher than that in summer and winter. The incidences of acute aortic dissection in a day could be predicted by diurnal temperature range (DTR) using the following linear multiple regression models: incidences of acute aortic dissection = 0.543 + 0.025 × DTR. Conclusion This is the first study to show an attributable effect of DTR on acute aortic events in monsoonal climate. Our study confirms that meteorological variables were important factors influencing the incidence of acute aortic dissection.展开更多
Based on the real-time wind direction and speed data from an automatic meteorological monitoring network in Shenzhen, the wind characteristics of Jue Diao Sha maritime area are analyzed. As indicated in the results, t...Based on the real-time wind direction and speed data from an automatic meteorological monitoring network in Shenzhen, the wind characteristics of Jue Diao Sha maritime area are analyzed. As indicated in the results, the wind speed of this area is higher than that over the land, the average wind speed is above 3 m/s and the probability for the maximum wind speed to drop below 20 m/s is above 90%. Moreover, the probability for the hourly swing angle of wind direction to become less than 50o is above 80%, suggesting that the wind conditions in the Jue Diao Sha area could meet the requirements of the sporting events. According to the numerical simulation, this area is the best selected site among three candidates. Furthermore, the characteristics of daily land and sea breezes are such that it is suggested the game will be best carried out from 1000 to 1700 Beijing Standard Time.展开更多
To reveal the multivariate relationships between man-made and meteorological factors on dust storm frequency, the LUCC data, NDVI remote sensing data and meteorological data for the period of 1983-2013 were combined w...To reveal the multivariate relationships between man-made and meteorological factors on dust storm frequency, the LUCC data, NDVI remote sensing data and meteorological data for the period of 1983-2013 were combined with dust storm frequency data, and the possible impacts of meteorological and anthropogenic factors on dust storm frequency were analyzed by using regression analysis and PCA (Principal Component Analysis). Results show that the inter-annual dust storm frequency increased gradually. In particular, an increasing trend in recent years, after 2009, is conspicuous. The monthly frequency of dust storms shows higher values between the months of February and May, with the highest mean number of events occurring in April, which accounts for 29% of the annual dust storm frequency. The annual dust storm frequency is positively correlated with wind speed and negatively correlated with precipitation;the monthly dust storm frequency is positively correlated with wind speed, but no significant correlation can be found with precipitation. The relationship between temperature and dust storms is not simply linear, however, a certain correlation with an unremarkable statistical significance can be found between them. Human activities also affect the dynamics of dust storms indirectly via changing vegetation coverage and direct dust emissions. The multivariate analysis further confirmed the association between dust storm frequency and meteorological factors and NDVI. The high loadings of dust storm frequency, wind speed, precipitation and NDVI on a PC indicate that the increased precipitation and NDVI will decrease dust storm frequency, and increased wind speed will increase dust storm frequency.展开更多
Fault frequency of catenary is related to meteo-rological conditions. In this work, based on the historical data, catenary fault frequency and weather-related fault rate are introduced to analyse the correlation betwe...Fault frequency of catenary is related to meteo-rological conditions. In this work, based on the historical data, catenary fault frequency and weather-related fault rate are introduced to analyse the correlation between catenary faults and meteorological conditions, and further the effect of meteorological conditions on catenary oper-ation. Moreover, machine learning is used for catenary fault prediction. As with the single decision tree, only a small number of training samples can be classified cor-rectly by each weak classifier, the AdaBoost algorithm is adopted to adjust the weights of misclassified samples and weak classifiers, and train multiple weak classifiers. Finally, the weak classifiers are combined to construct a strong classifier, with which the final prediction result is obtained. In order to validate the prediction method, an example is provided based on the historical data from a railway bureau of China. The result shows that the mapping relation between meteorological conditions and catenary faults can be established accurately by AdaBoost algorithm. The AdaBoost algorithm can accurately predict a catenary fault if the meteorological conditions are provided.展开更多
Yield and quality of sugar orange are closely related to meteorological conditions,especially the low temperature and cold injury in mature period of fruit. To study the influence of winter cold injury on sugar orange...Yield and quality of sugar orange are closely related to meteorological conditions,especially the low temperature and cold injury in mature period of fruit. To study the influence of winter cold injury on sugar orange industry of Guilin,the chilling injury weather in each county of Guilin planting sugar orange is analyzed,and the disastrous cold weather and its defense measures are studied. Frost,freezing and cold wave happen in Guilin winter sometimes,and the disastrous weather could seriously harm maturing sugar orange or that in the tree,causing peel coke,dehiscent fruit,fruit drop and quality decline. It can effectively reduce the loss by chilling injury and guarantee excellent quantity and high yield of sugar orange by timely understanding weather change information,scientifically managing water and fertilizer,and doing film cover well.展开更多
Based on daily data of influenza-like cases from four sentinel hospitals as well as meteorological data in Xuzhou from October 2005 to May 2011, number of patients with respiratory diseases in Xuzhou was analyzed, and...Based on daily data of influenza-like cases from four sentinel hospitals as well as meteorological data in Xuzhou from October 2005 to May 2011, number of patients with respiratory diseases in Xuzhou was analyzed, and then relationship between meteorological factors and number of patients with respiratory diseases was discussed. The prediction model of number of patients with respiratory diseases in each month was established to forecast number of patients with respiratory diseases using meteorological data. The results show that people suffered from respiratory diseases more frequently in January and from June to September in Xuzhou. Meteorological factors correlated highly with number of patients with re- spiratory diseases are different due to the difference in climatic characteristics among various seasons. The prediction model could obtain good effect.展开更多
This work presents the forecast of quality indicators of wheat from weather conditions in the Northern zone of the Republic of Kazakhstan, obtained on the basis of the correlation of protein and gluten content of grai...This work presents the forecast of quality indicators of wheat from weather conditions in the Northern zone of the Republic of Kazakhstan, obtained on the basis of the correlation of protein and gluten content of grain with an average monthly air temperature and precipitation. The equation obtained by the authors allows estimating the quality of grain with the monthly advance, which is important in the organization of harvesting of grain crops.展开更多
Based on the monitoring data of PM2.5 mass concentration at four national environmental monitoring stations in Anqing City from 2015 to 2018,the monthly and daily variation characteristics of PM2.5 mass concentration ...Based on the monitoring data of PM2.5 mass concentration at four national environmental monitoring stations in Anqing City from 2015 to 2018,the monthly and daily variation characteristics of PM2.5 mass concentration in Anqing were studied.Besides,the relationship between PM2.5 mass concentration and meteorological conditions was analyzed based on the meteorological data of Anqing station in the same period.The results showed that the mass concentration of PM2.5 in Anqing City was high in winter and low in summer,and the diurnal variation curve had two peaks and one valley.Precipitation had a significant effect on the removal of PM2.5,and the relationship between wind speed and PM2.5 mass concentration was more complicated.When the hourly average wind speed was force 1,the mass concentration of PM2.5 was the highest.In winter,the greater the wind speed was,the higher the mass concentration of PM2.5 was.As horizontal visibility was 1-4 km,the mass concentration of PM2.5 was the highest.Under the influence of water mist,it dropped significantly when visibility was less than 1 km.展开更多
Whole growth period of winter wheat and rape crops in western Guizhou in 2019 was from October of 2019 to early May of 2020.Using daily temperature,rainfall and sunshine hours of three national meteorological observat...Whole growth period of winter wheat and rape crops in western Guizhou in 2019 was from October of 2019 to early May of 2020.Using daily temperature,rainfall and sunshine hours of three national meteorological observatories(Shuicheng,Panzhou and Liuzhi)of western Guizhou,the impact of meteorological conditions on growth and development of winter wheat and rape crops was analyzed.The results showed that average temperature in whole growth period of winter wheat and rape crops in western Guizhou in 2019 was between 11.1 and 13.0℃,which was 0.4-1.6℃higher than that in the same period of common year.Rainfall was between 276.0 and 309.0 mm.When compared with that in the same period of common year,rainfall was 7%-22%less in other regions except in Panzhou(1%more).Sunshine hours was between 689.2 and 1091.2 h.When compared with that in the same period of common year,sunshine hours was 14%-26%more in other regions except in Shuicheng(equal).In growth period of winter wheat and rape crops,there was good heat condition and sufficient sunshine,and rainfall was normal and slightly less,but it was mostly sunny and rainy alternating,which was favorable for the growth of crop root.During growth period of crops,there was lighter meteorological disaster.It was clear that meteorological conditions were conducive to the growth and development of winter wheat and rape crops in 2019.展开更多
Based on routine monitoring data of air quality and meteorological data in Shantou City during 2015-2019,temporal-spatial variation characteristics of O 3 pollution and its correlation with meteorological conditions i...Based on routine monitoring data of air quality and meteorological data in Shantou City during 2015-2019,temporal-spatial variation characteristics of O 3 pollution and its correlation with meteorological conditions in Shantou City were explored.The research results showed that O 3 pollution days in Shantou City showed an increasing trend year by year,and O 3 pollution had far-distance transportation and the development trend from offshore Nan ao Island to urban district.In spring and autumn,there was serious O 3 pollution,and it was the most prominent in October.Its diurnal variation in O 3 pollution days was mainly wide-peak type in the afternoon,showing as that O 3 concentration declined slowly after the noon.In O 3 pollution days,higher O 3 concentration was easy to appear at night,causing that O 3 peak in the second day was uplifted,and there was continuous O 3 pollution.Combining backward trajectory analysis chart,it was found that Shantou was mainly affected by coastal transport of northerly polluted air mass,and it was transported into Shantou City from the east to the northeast.O 3 from long-distance transmission superimposed with locally generated O 3,which commonly pushed up the level of O 3 concentration.The weather of O 3 pollution in Shantou City had the characteristics of high temperature and low humidity.There was 25-30℃of temperature interval and 46%-60%of relative humidity interval,and it was accompanied by grade-2 easterly wind.展开更多
With different varieties of facility Hami melon(Cucumis melo var. sacchairinus) as test materials, the effects of meteorological conditions on the yield and quality of different varieties of facility Hami melon were a...With different varieties of facility Hami melon(Cucumis melo var. sacchairinus) as test materials, the effects of meteorological conditions on the yield and quality of different varieties of facility Hami melon were analyzed. The results showed that among the yield and quality traits of melon, the variation degree of average single melon weight was the highest, and the coefficient of variation was 33.05%. The variation degree of leaf area index was the lowest, and the coefficient of variation was 11.00%. Through the correlation analysis of meteorological factors with the yield and quality of facility Hami melon, it was found that the quality traits of facility Hami melon were significantly positively correlated with maximum temperature and sunshine duration, and significantly negatively correlated with precipitation. The yield traits were positively correlated with maximum temperature, sunshine duration and precipitation.展开更多
In recent years,it has been demonstrated that thelow-level jet streams(LLJs)developed in thesouth of the Meiyu(Baiu)front play a critical role inthe overseas migrations of the planthoppers intoJapan and Korea. However...In recent years,it has been demonstrated that thelow-level jet streams(LLJs)developed in thesouth of the Meiyu(Baiu)front play a critical role inthe overseas migrations of the planthoppers intoJapan and Korea. However, the involement of theLLJs during the process of sequential displacements展开更多
Osmanthus, an ornamental plants, is favored by people, and forecast of Osmanthus florescence is of vital significance for enjoying the sight. Based on 15 years of flowering observation data, analysis was made on agric...Osmanthus, an ornamental plants, is favored by people, and forecast of Osmanthus florescence is of vital significance for enjoying the sight. Based on 15 years of flowering observation data, analysis was made on agricultural meteorologi- cal conditions of Osmanthus in Guilin and the results showed that ground tempera- ture, humidity, precipitation, sunshine have significant effects on Osmanthus flores- cence. In forecasting florescence, therefore, it is necessary to take comprehensive consideration of weather conditions and changes in the future, to release Osman- thus flowering forecast as per method of combination of long-term forecasting and short-term forecast.展开更多
基金Supported by Shaanxi"13115"Public Service Platform Construction Program for Science&Technology Innovation Projects(2010FWPT-17)~~
文摘In order to take advantage of the climate resources more effectively ac- cording to the local circumstances and to plan and develop the citrus industry in Southern Shaanxi more reasonably. On the basis of the investigation of freeze dam- age to citrus occurring in Southern Shaanxi in the winter of 2010, the climatic back- ground for the formation of this freeze damage was analyzed. In combination with the freeze damage indicators during the overwintering period and the harmful accu- mulated cold during the cold wave, indexes for grading the freeze damage in southern Shaanxi were analyzed and verified, and the perspective of grading the freeze damage using the harmful accumulated cold during the cold wave was also presented. Through analyzing the extremely lowest temperature and the harmful ac- cumulated cold in the winter of 2010 and in history at 12 citrus growing counties (districts) in Ankang area and Hanzhong area, the reasons why the freeze damage to citrus during the overwintering period was severer in the west than in the east of Southern Shaanxi were discussed, and the results obtained were basically consistent with the actual situation observed from investigation. Finally, defensive countermea- sures against the freeze damage to citrus during the overwintering period were put forward from several aspects.
文摘Based on the data of 18 cases during the past 30 years from 1978 to 2007,the major meteorological conditions for outbreak of blue-green alga in Hongze Lake were analyzed.The results showed that the main meteorological conditions that affected the production and outbreak of blue-green alga were unusual high monthly average temperature,less precipitation and more sunshine hours in ten days.Through the selection of 1 or 0 factors on the values of above meteorological conditions over the years,if the conditions were accorded with the outbreak of blue-green alga,the factor was signed as 1,or it would be signed as 0;if there was outbreak of blue-green alga within ten days,it was signed as 1,or it would be signed as 0;crossing interrelated and integrated prediction method was adopted to establish the prediction equation for outbreak of blue-green alga,the historical fitting rate was 87.5%,and the predicting accuracy rate in 2008-2009 was 87.5%.In addition to meteorological conditions,outbreak of blue-green alga was also influenced by industrial pollutions,etc.,which should be considered in the forecasting procedures.
文摘Guilin sugar orange has advantages of good taste, harvest during the Spring Festival, marketable market, and it has got swift and violent development in recent years. Sugar orange yield and quality is closely related to meteorological conditions, so in order to study the effect of meteorological conditions on the Guilin sugar orange, the local conditions of each orange-planting county in Guilin is analyzed, and study is also carried out on the severe weather and its defense measures. The suitable growth temperature for sugar orange is 23-29 ℃, and sugar orange is not tolerant to waterlogging and drought, like light, and has no resistance to ice cold. The main meteorological disasters include high temperature, low temperature, flood, drought, wind, hail, etc. Reasonable selection of orchard, scientific management, especially the management of plant diseases and insect pests, is the key to ensure high-quality high sand sugar orange.
基金Supported by the"Meteorology and Health"Subject of Shanghai Science and Technology Committee(QXJK201214)
文摘[Objective] The study aimed to discuss the relationship of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases to meteorological conditions and forecast method in Nanjing City. [Method] Based on daily cases of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases from a hospital in Nanjing City as well as daily meteorological data from Nanjing Meteorological Station from January 2003 to July 2008, the monthly and seasonal variations in quantity of patients suffedng from cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in Nanjing City were analyzed firstly, and then the relationship between mete- orological elements and incidence of the diseases was discussed, finally the forecast model for the incidence of the diseases was established using the stepwise regression method. [Result] Cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in Nanjing City happened all the year round, and the inci- dance was high in the seasonal transition phase from autumn to winter. Daily incidence of the diseases in Nanjing City correlated negatively with dai- ly maximum, minimum and average vapor pressure, daily minimum relative humidity and so forth, but their incidence had positive correlations with diumal range of daily temperature, daily maximum, minimum and average pressure. Daily average number of patients suffering from the diseases obviously correlated with daily average temperature, daily maximum vapor pressure and daily average relative humidity. [ Conclusion] The research could provide scientific references for the prevention and forecast of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in future.
基金This study was jointly supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2017YF0603703 and 2017YF0605004)the Atmospheric Pollution Control of the Prime Minister Fund of China(DQGG0104).
文摘This work analyzes and discusses the influence of human activities on the meteorological conditions related to winter haze events in Beijing,Tianjin,and Hebei(i.e.,the Jing-Jin-Ji region)during 1961-2016,using the results of two numerical simulation experiments based on the Community Atmosphere Model version 5.1.1(http://www.cesm.ucar.edu/models/cesm1.0/cam/docs/ug5_1_1/book1.html)used in the international Climate Variability and Predictability Programme(CLIVAR)Climate of the 20th Century Detection and Attribution Project(C20C+D&A).The results show that,under the influence of human activities,the changes in dynamical and thermal meteorological conditions related to winter haze events in the Jing–Jin–Ji region are conducive to the formation and accumulation of haze,and prevent the diffusion of pollutants.The dynamical conditions mainly include the obvious weakening of the East Asian winter monsoon(EAWM)and the enhancement of the near-surface anomalous southerly wind.The thermal conditions include the obvious increase in surface temperature,and the enhancement of water vapor transport and near-surface inversion.The relative contribution of dynamical and thermal conditions to the variation of haze days in the Jing-Jin-Ji region is analyzed using statistical methods.The results show that the contribution of human activities to the increase of haze days in the Jing-Jin-Ji region is greater than that of natural forcing for the study period.To be specific,the dynamical meteorological factors contribute more to the haze days than the thermal meteorological factors.The contribution of thermal meteorological factors is basically the same in both scenarios.
文摘Through observing the phenology of two kinds of fruit trees,apple and peach trees,during their flowering periods in the past seven years,the meteorological conditions in the flowering stages were analyzed and summarized in this paper.The late frost weather situation occurred in late April in Haiyang City also was elaborated in the paper.According to the data analysis,the terrain effect had induced a large temperature differences between north and south in April in Haiyang.Early flowering of fruit trees is as early as 5 to 8 days in the northern region than that in the southern region;accumulated temperature which was greater than or equal to 0 ℃ and the date of the temperature stably through a boundary,were the important meteorological indicators of the fruit trees' early flowering.The late frost in mid-late April is meteorological disasters of the fruit trees flowering period.The weather background of the occurred late frost,the disaster reasons and the measures for the prevention of late frost were proposed.
文摘[ Objective] The study aimed to analyze the spatial distribution of agricultural meteorological conditions in Sanjiang Plain during nearly 50 years. [ Method] Accumulated temperature of Sanjiang Plain was computed based on meteorological observation data from different meteorological stations in Sanjiang Plain, including temperature, precipitation, sunshine time, etc. A spatial interpolation map involving varieties of meteorological elements in neady 50 years was generated based on the Kriging interpolation, and the spatial distribution characteristics of those meteorological ele- ments were analyzed. [ Result] Temperature of Sanjiang Plain decreased with the increase of latitude and altitude, and the annual average temper- atura varied from 2.5 to 4.5 ~(3 generally, showing a zonal distribution. Precipitation of Sanjiang Plain changed spatially and the annual average pre- cipitation varied from 500 to 600 mm symmetrically in northwest-southeast direction. Spatial distribution of the annual average wind speed in San- jiang Plain was identical with the spatial pattern of topography here, and the annual average wind speed changed from 3.0 to 3.6 rn/s in most re- gions. Relative air humidity of Sanjiang Plain in summer half year was relatively high and always above 65%. The maximum sunshine hours of San- jiang Plain in one year distributed similarly to the annual changing curve of solar declination, and both of them presented a normal distribution and changed with geographic latitude. The days from the beginning to the end of daily average temperature ~〉 10 ~C in Sanjiang Plain were 135 -146 d, and its distribution presented a latitudinal trend, with certain vertical zonality. [ Conclusion] The research could provide scientific references for the reasonable arrangement of agricultural production and effective prevention of meteorological disasters in Sanjiang Plain.
基金This study was supported by National Science Foundation Council of China (No.81700383), Jilin Provincial Industrial Innovation Special Fund Project (No.2016C041), Beijing Natural Science Foundation of China (8152019), Beijing Municipal Science and Technology of Chinese Medicine Development Funds Youth Research Project (No. QN2016-20), and Basic-Clinical Scientific Research Cooperation of Capital Medical University fund (No.17JL72). The authors declare no conflict of interest.
文摘Objective To investigate the impact of meteorological conditions and PM2.5 on the onset of acute aortic dissection in monsoonal climate. Methods A linear regression analysis was performed in monsoonal climate epidemiological survey for a period of four years on the impact of meteorological factors (minimal temperature, mean temperature, maximal temperature, average daily surface temperature, day temperature range, relative humidity, mean wind speed, and atmospheric pressure) and PM2.5 concentration on the daily incidences of acute aortic dissections. Meteorological variables and PM2.5 concentration were retrieved on a daily basis from Beijing Regional Climate Center and the Ministry of Environmental Protection of the People’s Republic of China’s website, and the daily incidences of acute aortic dissections were retrieved from the Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting System in the Emergency and Critical Care Center of Beijing Anzhen Hospital. Results During the study period (from January 2011 to December 2014), 1164 patients were identified as having acute aortic dissections. The corresponding incidences in spring and autumn were 0.96 and 1.00, respectively, which significantly higher than that in summer and winter. The incidences of acute aortic dissection in a day could be predicted by diurnal temperature range (DTR) using the following linear multiple regression models: incidences of acute aortic dissection = 0.543 + 0.025 × DTR. Conclusion This is the first study to show an attributable effect of DTR on acute aortic events in monsoonal climate. Our study confirms that meteorological variables were important factors influencing the incidence of acute aortic dissection.
基金Project on Meteorological Conditions for Selection of Site of Maritime Sporting Base for 26th Summer Universiade 2011
文摘Based on the real-time wind direction and speed data from an automatic meteorological monitoring network in Shenzhen, the wind characteristics of Jue Diao Sha maritime area are analyzed. As indicated in the results, the wind speed of this area is higher than that over the land, the average wind speed is above 3 m/s and the probability for the maximum wind speed to drop below 20 m/s is above 90%. Moreover, the probability for the hourly swing angle of wind direction to become less than 50o is above 80%, suggesting that the wind conditions in the Jue Diao Sha area could meet the requirements of the sporting events. According to the numerical simulation, this area is the best selected site among three candidates. Furthermore, the characteristics of daily land and sea breezes are such that it is suggested the game will be best carried out from 1000 to 1700 Beijing Standard Time.
文摘To reveal the multivariate relationships between man-made and meteorological factors on dust storm frequency, the LUCC data, NDVI remote sensing data and meteorological data for the period of 1983-2013 were combined with dust storm frequency data, and the possible impacts of meteorological and anthropogenic factors on dust storm frequency were analyzed by using regression analysis and PCA (Principal Component Analysis). Results show that the inter-annual dust storm frequency increased gradually. In particular, an increasing trend in recent years, after 2009, is conspicuous. The monthly frequency of dust storms shows higher values between the months of February and May, with the highest mean number of events occurring in April, which accounts for 29% of the annual dust storm frequency. The annual dust storm frequency is positively correlated with wind speed and negatively correlated with precipitation;the monthly dust storm frequency is positively correlated with wind speed, but no significant correlation can be found with precipitation. The relationship between temperature and dust storms is not simply linear, however, a certain correlation with an unremarkable statistical significance can be found between them. Human activities also affect the dynamics of dust storms indirectly via changing vegetation coverage and direct dust emissions. The multivariate analysis further confirmed the association between dust storm frequency and meteorological factors and NDVI. The high loadings of dust storm frequency, wind speed, precipitation and NDVI on a PC indicate that the increased precipitation and NDVI will decrease dust storm frequency, and increased wind speed will increase dust storm frequency.
基金supported by the Scientific and Technological Research and Development Program of China Railway Corporation under Grant N2018G023by the Science and Technology Projects of Sichuan Province under Grants 2018RZ0075
文摘Fault frequency of catenary is related to meteo-rological conditions. In this work, based on the historical data, catenary fault frequency and weather-related fault rate are introduced to analyse the correlation between catenary faults and meteorological conditions, and further the effect of meteorological conditions on catenary oper-ation. Moreover, machine learning is used for catenary fault prediction. As with the single decision tree, only a small number of training samples can be classified cor-rectly by each weak classifier, the AdaBoost algorithm is adopted to adjust the weights of misclassified samples and weak classifiers, and train multiple weak classifiers. Finally, the weak classifiers are combined to construct a strong classifier, with which the final prediction result is obtained. In order to validate the prediction method, an example is provided based on the historical data from a railway bureau of China. The result shows that the mapping relation between meteorological conditions and catenary faults can be established accurately by AdaBoost algorithm. The AdaBoost algorithm can accurately predict a catenary fault if the meteorological conditions are provided.
文摘Yield and quality of sugar orange are closely related to meteorological conditions,especially the low temperature and cold injury in mature period of fruit. To study the influence of winter cold injury on sugar orange industry of Guilin,the chilling injury weather in each county of Guilin planting sugar orange is analyzed,and the disastrous cold weather and its defense measures are studied. Frost,freezing and cold wave happen in Guilin winter sometimes,and the disastrous weather could seriously harm maturing sugar orange or that in the tree,causing peel coke,dehiscent fruit,fruit drop and quality decline. It can effectively reduce the loss by chilling injury and guarantee excellent quantity and high yield of sugar orange by timely understanding weather change information,scientifically managing water and fertilizer,and doing film cover well.
基金Supported by the Social Development Project of Xuzhou Science and Technology Bureau(XZZD1160)
文摘Based on daily data of influenza-like cases from four sentinel hospitals as well as meteorological data in Xuzhou from October 2005 to May 2011, number of patients with respiratory diseases in Xuzhou was analyzed, and then relationship between meteorological factors and number of patients with respiratory diseases was discussed. The prediction model of number of patients with respiratory diseases in each month was established to forecast number of patients with respiratory diseases using meteorological data. The results show that people suffered from respiratory diseases more frequently in January and from June to September in Xuzhou. Meteorological factors correlated highly with number of patients with re- spiratory diseases are different due to the difference in climatic characteristics among various seasons. The prediction model could obtain good effect.
文摘This work presents the forecast of quality indicators of wheat from weather conditions in the Northern zone of the Republic of Kazakhstan, obtained on the basis of the correlation of protein and gluten content of grain with an average monthly air temperature and precipitation. The equation obtained by the authors allows estimating the quality of grain with the monthly advance, which is important in the organization of harvesting of grain crops.
文摘Based on the monitoring data of PM2.5 mass concentration at four national environmental monitoring stations in Anqing City from 2015 to 2018,the monthly and daily variation characteristics of PM2.5 mass concentration in Anqing were studied.Besides,the relationship between PM2.5 mass concentration and meteorological conditions was analyzed based on the meteorological data of Anqing station in the same period.The results showed that the mass concentration of PM2.5 in Anqing City was high in winter and low in summer,and the diurnal variation curve had two peaks and one valley.Precipitation had a significant effect on the removal of PM2.5,and the relationship between wind speed and PM2.5 mass concentration was more complicated.When the hourly average wind speed was force 1,the mass concentration of PM2.5 was the highest.In winter,the greater the wind speed was,the higher the mass concentration of PM2.5 was.As horizontal visibility was 1-4 km,the mass concentration of PM2.5 was the highest.Under the influence of water mist,it dropped significantly when visibility was less than 1 km.
基金Supported by Science and Technology Plan Project of Liupanshui City(52020-2015-30)Provincial and Municipal Science and Technology Cooperation Project(52020-2015-01-02).
文摘Whole growth period of winter wheat and rape crops in western Guizhou in 2019 was from October of 2019 to early May of 2020.Using daily temperature,rainfall and sunshine hours of three national meteorological observatories(Shuicheng,Panzhou and Liuzhi)of western Guizhou,the impact of meteorological conditions on growth and development of winter wheat and rape crops was analyzed.The results showed that average temperature in whole growth period of winter wheat and rape crops in western Guizhou in 2019 was between 11.1 and 13.0℃,which was 0.4-1.6℃higher than that in the same period of common year.Rainfall was between 276.0 and 309.0 mm.When compared with that in the same period of common year,rainfall was 7%-22%less in other regions except in Panzhou(1%more).Sunshine hours was between 689.2 and 1091.2 h.When compared with that in the same period of common year,sunshine hours was 14%-26%more in other regions except in Shuicheng(equal).In growth period of winter wheat and rape crops,there was good heat condition and sufficient sunshine,and rainfall was normal and slightly less,but it was mostly sunny and rainy alternating,which was favorable for the growth of crop root.During growth period of crops,there was lighter meteorological disaster.It was clear that meteorological conditions were conducive to the growth and development of winter wheat and rape crops in 2019.
基金Guangdong Science and Technology Special Project in 2019(2019ST084).
文摘Based on routine monitoring data of air quality and meteorological data in Shantou City during 2015-2019,temporal-spatial variation characteristics of O 3 pollution and its correlation with meteorological conditions in Shantou City were explored.The research results showed that O 3 pollution days in Shantou City showed an increasing trend year by year,and O 3 pollution had far-distance transportation and the development trend from offshore Nan ao Island to urban district.In spring and autumn,there was serious O 3 pollution,and it was the most prominent in October.Its diurnal variation in O 3 pollution days was mainly wide-peak type in the afternoon,showing as that O 3 concentration declined slowly after the noon.In O 3 pollution days,higher O 3 concentration was easy to appear at night,causing that O 3 peak in the second day was uplifted,and there was continuous O 3 pollution.Combining backward trajectory analysis chart,it was found that Shantou was mainly affected by coastal transport of northerly polluted air mass,and it was transported into Shantou City from the east to the northeast.O 3 from long-distance transmission superimposed with locally generated O 3,which commonly pushed up the level of O 3 concentration.The weather of O 3 pollution in Shantou City had the characteristics of high temperature and low humidity.There was 25-30℃of temperature interval and 46%-60%of relative humidity interval,and it was accompanied by grade-2 easterly wind.
基金Supported by Project of Shandong Institute of Modern Agriculture of Zhejiang University for Serving Local Economic Development (ZDNY-2020-FWLY2006)。
文摘With different varieties of facility Hami melon(Cucumis melo var. sacchairinus) as test materials, the effects of meteorological conditions on the yield and quality of different varieties of facility Hami melon were analyzed. The results showed that among the yield and quality traits of melon, the variation degree of average single melon weight was the highest, and the coefficient of variation was 33.05%. The variation degree of leaf area index was the lowest, and the coefficient of variation was 11.00%. Through the correlation analysis of meteorological factors with the yield and quality of facility Hami melon, it was found that the quality traits of facility Hami melon were significantly positively correlated with maximum temperature and sunshine duration, and significantly negatively correlated with precipitation. The yield traits were positively correlated with maximum temperature, sunshine duration and precipitation.
文摘In recent years,it has been demonstrated that thelow-level jet streams(LLJs)developed in thesouth of the Meiyu(Baiu)front play a critical role inthe overseas migrations of the planthoppers intoJapan and Korea. However, the involement of theLLJs during the process of sequential displacements
文摘Osmanthus, an ornamental plants, is favored by people, and forecast of Osmanthus florescence is of vital significance for enjoying the sight. Based on 15 years of flowering observation data, analysis was made on agricultural meteorologi- cal conditions of Osmanthus in Guilin and the results showed that ground tempera- ture, humidity, precipitation, sunshine have significant effects on Osmanthus flores- cence. In forecasting florescence, therefore, it is necessary to take comprehensive consideration of weather conditions and changes in the future, to release Osman- thus flowering forecast as per method of combination of long-term forecasting and short-term forecast.