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A review of interaction mechanisms and microscopic simulation methods for CO_(2)-water-rock system
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作者 ZHANG Liehui ZHANG Tao +6 位作者 ZHAO Yulong HU Haoran WEN Shaomu WU Jianfa CAO Cheng WANG Yongchao FAN Yunting 《Petroleum Exploration and Development》 SCIE 2024年第1期223-238,共16页
This work systematically reviews the complex mechanisms of CO_(2)-water-rock interactions,microscopic simulations of reactive transport(dissolution,precipitation and precipitate migration)in porous media,and microscop... This work systematically reviews the complex mechanisms of CO_(2)-water-rock interactions,microscopic simulations of reactive transport(dissolution,precipitation and precipitate migration)in porous media,and microscopic simulations of CO_(2)-water-rock system.The work points out the key issues in current research and provides suggestions for future research.After injection of CO_(2) into underground reservoirs,not only conventional pressure-driven flow and mass transfer processes occur,but also special physicochemical phenomena like dissolution,precipitation,and precipitate migration.The coupling of these processes causes complex changes in permeability and porosity parameters of the porous media.Pore-scale microscopic flow simulations can provide detailed information within the three-dimensional pore and throat space and explicitly observe changes in the fluid-solid interfaces of porous media during reactions.At present,the research has limitations in the decoupling of complex mechanisms,characterization of differential multi-mineral reactions,precipitation generation mechanisms and characterization(crystal nucleation and mineral detachment),simulation methods for precipitation-fluid interaction,and coupling mechanisms of multiple physicochemical processes.In future studies,it is essential to innovate experimental methods to decouple“dissolution-precipitation-precipitate migration”processes,improve the accuracy of experimental testing of minerals geochemical reaction-related parameters,build reliable characterization of various precipitation types,establish precipitation-fluid interaction simulation methods,coordinate the boundary conditions of different physicochemical processes,and,finally,achieve coupled flow simulation of“dissolution-precipitation-precipitate migration”within CO_(2)-water-rock systems. 展开更多
关键词 CO_(2)-water-rock DISSOLUTION PRECIPITATION precipitate migration microscopic simulation CO_(2)capture utilization and storage carbon neutrality decouple
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Analyzing influence of bicycles on traffic flow using microscopic simulation approach 被引量:1
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作者 郭宏伟 王武宏 +1 位作者 赵发成 郭伟伟 《Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology》 EI CAS 2012年第2期210-215,共6页
Mixed traffic consisting of cars and bicycles is a typical pattern of urban traffic in China. To study the impact of bicycles on traffic performance, a microscopic simulating model based on the principle of cautious d... Mixed traffic consisting of cars and bicycles is a typical pattern of urban traffic in China. To study the impact of bicycles on traffic performance, a microscopic simulating model based on the principle of cautious driving and collision free was proposed. The interaction between cars and bicycles were described by lateral friction and overlapping driving. The dynamical features of speed and time-headway were investigated by numerical simulations. The results show that bicycles have a significant impact on travel speed and time-headway. The effect of bicycles can cause different results in the free flow phase and congestion phase respectively. The results also indicate the necessity to mitigate the interaction between motorized vehicles and non-motorized vehicles. 展开更多
关键词 mixed traffic traffic simulation cautious driving microscopic simulation
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The Application of Pedestrian Microscopic Simulation Technology in Researching the Influenced Realm around Urban Rail Transit Station
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作者 Dongzhu Chu Shuxiang Wei Yanyu Lin 《Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering》 2016年第5期242-246,共5页
Under the background of urban rail transit's rapid development, urban rail transit station, as the only connection of urban space and rail transit, undertakes the responsibility of traffic organization and passenger ... Under the background of urban rail transit's rapid development, urban rail transit station, as the only connection of urban space and rail transit, undertakes the responsibility of traffic organization and passenger volume distribution. Influenced urban realm around station becomes the focus of the optimization of the sustainable urban development. Pedestrian microscopic simulation method establishes the comprehensive dynamic behavior rules in a part of urban space through simulating the behavior law by digital tools, in which the internal demand and motive mechanism of the development and change of urban space fairly well by digital representing and analyzing relevant laws can be explained. After that, the research with the realm as the carrier analyzed the demand of each simulation level and the choice of simulation parameters based on analyzing the walking connection behavior characteristics, and then further established the methodology system of pedestrian microscopic simulation. At last, the research taking the study of influenced urban realm around typical station for sample explored the application method of optimizing of urban space and traffic organization based on AnyLogic platform. 展开更多
关键词 Urban rail transit optimization of traffic organization influenced urban realm around station walking connectionbehavior pedestrian microscopic simulation.
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Sensitivity Analysis of Key Input Parameters in Microscopic Simulation of Congested and Uncongested Arterial Signals
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作者 Saravanan Gurupackiam Ping Wang Steven L. Jones 《Journal of Civil Engineering and Architecture》 2012年第6期651-664,共14页
This study involved investigating the sensitivity of Measures of Effectiveness (MOEs) to different simulation initialization time (7, 10, and 13 minutes); observing the trend of variation of MOEs with increasing s... This study involved investigating the sensitivity of Measures of Effectiveness (MOEs) to different simulation initialization time (7, 10, and 13 minutes); observing the trend of variation of MOEs with increasing simulation runs; and identifying the major contributors of variation in MOEs using CORSIM and SimTraffic. The results showed that (1) the MOEs of a simulated intersection approaches were indeed sensitive to initialization times; (2) the variation within MOEs reached a steady state with increased number of simulation runs, while CORSIM required at least 50 simulation runs, SimTraffic required even higher number of runs for congested approaches; (3) lane changing and gap acceptance parameters play a major role as a source of variation of MOEs (delay/vehicle) in CORSIM and SimTraffic respectively. 展开更多
关键词 microscopic traffic simulation REPETITIONS initialization time MOE congestion.
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Soil conditioning of clay based on interface adhesion mechanism:Microscopic simulation and laboratory experiment
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作者 Yong Fang Bin Zhuo +3 位作者 Ruyue Zhang Yubo Wang Liupan Dou Yuxiang Yao 《Underground Space》 SCIE EI CSCD 2024年第5期239-255,共17页
Clogging frequently occurs in the cutter head,excavation chamber or screw conveyor when an earth pressure balance(EPB)shield machine is tunneling in soft or silty clay ground with high clay mineral content.In this pap... Clogging frequently occurs in the cutter head,excavation chamber or screw conveyor when an earth pressure balance(EPB)shield machine is tunneling in soft or silty clay ground with high clay mineral content.In this paper,montmorillonite,kaolinite,and illite were selected as research objects,and molecular dynamics simulation and laboratory experiment were adopted.At the microscopic scale,dynamic contact behavior and interfacial mechanical behavior of the interface between clay minerals and water/surfactant solution was simulated and the interfacial adhesion and conditioning mechanism between clay minerals and water/surfactant solution was revealed.Thus,sodium dodecyl benzene sulfonate surfactant was selected as the main composition of the soil conditioner.Then,the adhesion stress before and after soil conditioning and the contact angles between clay minerals and water/surfactant solution were tested and analyzed at the macroscopic scale.The result shows that the contact angle between droplet and clay mineral surface is an important parameter to characterize soil adhesion.The simulation rules of the microscopic contact angle are consistent with the experiment results.Furthermore,the adsorption energy between microscopic substances is dominated by electrostatic force,which can reflect the adhesion stress between macroscopic substances.Soil adhesion stress can be effectively decreased by adding the surfactant to the soil conditioner. 展开更多
关键词 EPB clogging Clay minerals microscopic simulation Mechanism analysis Laboratory experiment Adhesion stress
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Efficient Origin-Destination Estimation Using Microscopic Traffic Simulation with Restricted Rerouting 被引量:1
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作者 Kazuki Abe Hideki Fujii Shinobu Yoshimura 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2023年第5期1091-1109,共19页
Traffic simulators are utilized to solve a variety of traffic-related problems.For such simulators,origin-destination(OD)traffic volumes as mobility demands are required to input,and we need to estimate them.The autho... Traffic simulators are utilized to solve a variety of traffic-related problems.For such simulators,origin-destination(OD)traffic volumes as mobility demands are required to input,and we need to estimate them.The authors regard an OD estimation as a bi-level programming problem,and apply a microscopic traffic simulation model to it.However,the simulation trials can be computationally expensive if full dynamic rerouting is allowed,when employing multi-agent-based models in the estimation process.This paper proposes an efficient OD estimation method using a multi-agent-based simulator with restricted dynamic rerouting to reduce the computational load.Even though,in the case of large traffic demand,the restriction on dynamic rerouting can result in heavier congestion.The authors resolve this problem by introducing constraints of the bi-level programming problem depending on link congestion.Test results show that the accuracy of the link traffic volume reproduced with the proposed method is virtually identical to that of existing methods but that the proposed method is more computationally efficient in a wide-range or high-demand context. 展开更多
关键词 ODestimation microscopic traffic simulation dynamic rerouting bi-level programming multi-agent basedmodel
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Microscopic Fuzzy Urban Traffic Simulation with Variable Demand
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作者 Masashi Okushima Takamasa Akiyama Madhu Errampalli 《Journal of Civil Engineering and Architecture》 2012年第5期541-556,共16页
Some microscopic traffic simulations on urban road network are developed up to now. However, the effect of urban transport policy in the local city is influenced with the complex interaction of automobile traffic and ... Some microscopic traffic simulations on urban road network are developed up to now. However, the effect of urban transport policy in the local city is influenced with the complex interaction of automobile traffic and public transport traffic. Particularly, behaviours of vehicles should be described with the fuzziness of the subjective recognition and operation. On the other hand, the trip makers are influenced by various transport policies in terms of mode choice behaviour. The change in mode choice behaviour and number of public transport mode users would eventually affect traffic flow conditions on road network. Modal spilt and traffic conditions of a network are interrelated. Therefore, the present study mainly aims to integrate mode choice model and microscopic traffic simulation model based on fuzzy logic. In the study, the fuzzy logic based mode choice model is proposed. The proposed mode choice model and the existing microscopic traffic simulation model are combined. The developed model has been applied on real urban network to demonstrate the effectiveness of the installation of LRT system. Finally, it is helpful for evaluation of transport policy that the fuzzy logic based microscopic traffic simulation with modal choice model has been constructed. 展开更多
关键词 microscopic traffic simulation mode choice fuzzy reasoning LRT.
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Microscopic phase-field study on directional coarsening mechanism caused by interaction between precipitates in Ni-Al-V alloy 被引量:4
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作者 杨坤 陈铮 +1 位作者 王永欣 范晓丽 《Transactions of Nonferrous Metals Society of China》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2013年第1期193-200,共8页
A microscopic phase-field model was used to investigate a directional coarsening mechanism caused by the anisotropic growth of long period stacking and different effects of phases on precipitation in Ni-Al-V alloy.The... A microscopic phase-field model was used to investigate a directional coarsening mechanism caused by the anisotropic growth of long period stacking and different effects of phases on precipitation in Ni-Al-V alloy.The results show that DO22 mainly coarsens along its short axis,which may press the neighboring L12,leading to the interaction among atoms.Diffusion channels of Al are formed in the direction where the mismatch between γ' and γ reduces;the occupation probabilities are anisotropic in space;and direction coarsening of L12 occurs finally.With a rise of ageing temperature,phases appear later and DO22 is much later at a higher temperature,the average occupation probabilities of Al and V reduce,and Al changes more than V. 展开更多
关键词 nickel-based alloys microscopic phase-field simulation directional coarsening anisotropic growth MISMATCH diffusion
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Calibration of a Microscopic Model of an Urban Traffic Network
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作者 Ivana C~var4 Zvonko Kavran Natalija Jolic 《Computer Technology and Application》 2013年第5期254-258,共5页
Traffic simulation models have the potential to provide an objective, cost-effective and flexible approach to assessing system design, traffic operations and management strategies. In that regard, the calibration and ... Traffic simulation models have the potential to provide an objective, cost-effective and flexible approach to assessing system design, traffic operations and management strategies. In that regard, the calibration and validation of simulation model is crucial for appropriate decision making process. This paper presents an application of microscopic simulation model calibration and validation procedure for a multimodal urban traffic network. Model is developed by VISSIM and VISSIG software tools. 展开更多
关键词 microscopic simulations multimodal urban traffic traffic planning and modeling urban transport.
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Vehicle actuation based short-term traffic flow prediction model for signalized intersections 被引量:8
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作者 SUN Jian ZHANG Lun 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2012年第1期287-298,共12页
Traffic flow prediction is an important component for real-time traffic-adaptive signal control in urban arterial networks.By exploring available detector and signal controller information from neighboring intersectio... Traffic flow prediction is an important component for real-time traffic-adaptive signal control in urban arterial networks.By exploring available detector and signal controller information from neighboring intersections,a dynamic data-driven flow prediction model was developed.The model consists of two prediction components based on the signal states(red or green) for each movement at an upstream intersection.The characteristics of each signal state were carefully examined and the corresponding travel time from the upstream intersection to the approach in question at the downstream intersection was predicted.With an online turning proportion estimation method,along with the predicted travel times,the anticipated vehicle arrivals can be forecasted at the downstream intersection.The model performance was tested at a set of two signalized intersections located in the city of Gainesville,Florida,USA,using the CORSIM microscopic simulation package.Analysis results show that the model agrees well with empirical arrival data measured at 10 s intervals within an acceptable range of 10%-20%,and show a normal distribution.It is reasonably believed that the model has potential applicability for use in truly proactive real-time traffic adaptive signal control systems. 展开更多
关键词 adaptive signal control least-squared estimation microscopic simulation travel flow prediction urban arterials
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Perimeter traffic control strategy based on macroscopic fundamental diagrams 被引量:5
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作者 Xu Jianmin Yan Xiao wen +1 位作者 Ma Yingying Jing Binbin 《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2017年第4期502-510,共9页
A perimeter traffic signal control strategy is proposed based on the macroscopic fundamental diagram theory(MFD)to solve the signal control problem in oversaturated states.First,the MFD of a specific regional network ... A perimeter traffic signal control strategy is proposed based on the macroscopic fundamental diagram theory(MFD)to solve the signal control problem in oversaturated states.First,the MFD of a specific regional network can be derived using VSS IM simulation software.Secondly,the maximum number of cumulative vehicles that the network can accommodate is determined based on the MFD.Then,through monitoring the influx flow,the number of vehicles existing in and exiting from the network,a perimeter traffic control model is proposed to optimize the signal timing of the boundary intersections.Finally,a virtual network simulation model is established and three different kinds o f traffic demand are loaded into the network.Simulation results show that a fer the strategy implementation,the number o f vehicles accumulating in the network can be kept near the optimal value,while the number o f both entering and exiting vehicles increases significantly and the road network can be maintained at a large capacity.Simultaneously,the queue length at the approach of the border intersections is reasonably controlled and vehicles entering and exiting the network can maintain a more efficient and stable speed.The network performance indices such as the average traffic delay and average number of stops can be improved to a certain degree,thus verifying the effectiveness and feasibility of the perimeter control strategy. 展开更多
关键词 macroscopic fundamental diagram perimeter control green duration optimization microscopic simulation
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Vehicular emissions and concentrations in school zones: A case study 被引量:2
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作者 ALZUHAIRI Ali ALDHAHERI Mustafa +2 位作者 孙湛博 OH Jun-Seok KWIGIZILE Valerian 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2016年第7期1778-1785,共8页
Recent research has revealed that human exposure to air pollutants such as CO, NO_x, and particulates can lead to respiratory diseases, especially among school-age children. Towards understanding such health impacts, ... Recent research has revealed that human exposure to air pollutants such as CO, NO_x, and particulates can lead to respiratory diseases, especially among school-age children. Towards understanding such health impacts, this work estimates local-scale vehicular emissions and concentrations near a highway traffic network, where a school zone is located in. In the case study, VISSIM traffic micro-simulation is used to estimate the source of vehicular emissions at each roadway segment. The local-scale emission sources are then used as inputs to the California line source dispersion model(CALINE4) to estimate concentrations across the study area. To justify the local-scale emissions modeling approach, the simulation experiment is conducted under various traffic conditions. Different meteorological conditions are considered for emission dispersion. The work reveals that emission concentrations are usually higher at locations closer to the congested segments, freeway ramps and major arterial intersections. Compared to the macroscopic estimation(i.e. using network-average emission factors), the results show significantly different emission patterns when the local-scale emission modeling approach is used. In particular, it is found that the macroscopic approach over-estimates emission concentrations at freeways and under-estimations are observed at arterials and local streets. The results of the study can be used to compare to the US environmental protection agency(EPA) standards or any other air quality standard to further identify health risk in a fine-grained manner. 展开更多
关键词 human health vehicular emissions VISSIM microscopic simulation California line source dispersion model(CALINE4) local-scale modeling
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Study on the Signal Control System of Urban Traffic with a Genetic Algorithm
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作者 CHEN Dan GAO Xiao-hong 《International Journal of Plant Engineering and Management》 2008年第1期47-52,共6页
In the paper the aim and meaning of traffic microscopic simulation is discussed first, and then three sub-models of the system are established, e. i. the model for random generation of the vehicles, the model for car-... In the paper the aim and meaning of traffic microscopic simulation is discussed first, and then three sub-models of the system are established, e. i. the model for random generation of the vehicles, the model for car-following and lane change influenced by an adjacent vehicle, and the model for control and optimization of intersection with signal. Optimization of the traffic signal timing with a genetic algorithm and a microscopic simulation is carried out. It represents a novel approach to solving optimal signal timing. 展开更多
关键词 traffic microscopic simulation genetic algorithm traffic signal optimization
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Dynamic scaling behaviour of late-stage phase separation in Ni75AlxV25-x alloys 被引量:5
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作者 李永胜 陈铮 +1 位作者 卢艳丽 徐国栋 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2007年第3期854-861,共8页
The dynamic scaling behaviour of late-stage phase separation and coarsening mechanisms of L12 and D022 in Ni75AlxV25-x (3 ≤ x ≤ 10, at.%) alloys are studied using the microscopic phase-field dynamic model. The mic... The dynamic scaling behaviour of late-stage phase separation and coarsening mechanisms of L12 and D022 in Ni75AlxV25-x (3 ≤ x ≤ 10, at.%) alloys are studied using the microscopic phase-field dynamic model. The microelaso ticity field is incorporated into the diffusion dynamic model. The results show the morphology and coarsening dynamics being greatly changed by the elastic interactions among different precipitates, the particles aligning along the dominant directions, the average domain size (ADS) of L12 and D022 deviating from the exponent of temporal power-law, and the growth slowing down due to the increasing of elastic interactions. The dynamic scaling regime of late-stage coarsening of the precipitates is attained. Thus the scaling behaviour of structure function is also applicable for elastic interaction systems. It is also found that the variations of ADS and scaling function depend on the volume fraction of precipitates. 展开更多
关键词 phase separation dynamic scaling elastic interaction microscopic phase-field simulation
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Investigating the impacts of urban speed limit reduction through microscopic traffic simulation 被引量:1
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作者 Mánuel Gressai Balázs Varga +1 位作者 Tamás Tettamanti István Varga 《Communications in Transportation Research》 2021年第1期144-157,共14页
Road traffic congestion has become an everyday phenomenon in today's cities all around the world.The reason is clear:at peak hours,the road network operates at full capacity.In this way,growing traffic demand cann... Road traffic congestion has become an everyday phenomenon in today's cities all around the world.The reason is clear:at peak hours,the road network operates at full capacity.In this way,growing traffic demand cannot be satisfied,not even with traffic-responsive signal plans.The external impacts of traffic congestion come with a serious socio-economic cost:air pollution,increased travel times and fuel consumption,stress,as well as higher risk of accidents.To tackle these problems,a number of European cities have implemented reduced speed limit measures.Similarly,a general urban speed limit measure is in preparatory phase in Budapest,Hungary.In this context,a complex preliminary impact assessment is needed using a simulated environment.Two typical network parts of Budapest were analyzed with microscopic traffic simulations.The results revealed that speed limits can affect traffic differently in diverse network types indicating that thorough examination and preparation works are needed prior to the introduction of speed limit reduction. 展开更多
关键词 Speed limit reduction microscopic traffic simulation EMISSION Traffic analysis
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Traffic organization during urban road constructions
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作者 宋丽英 《Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology》 EI CAS 2012年第2期216-221,共6页
This research presented a bi-level programming approach to optimize the schedule of ur- ban road construction activities based on a hypothetical transport network, with an objective of mini- mizing the overall traffic... This research presented a bi-level programming approach to optimize the schedule of ur- ban road construction activities based on a hypothetical transport network, with an objective of mini- mizing the overall traffic delays. A heuristic algorithm was utilized to identify a set of road construction schedules, while PARAMICS was adopted to estimate the total travel time in the network under each road construction scenario. To test the performance of proposed heuristics-simulation methodology, a numerical test was implemented. The overall results suggested that the proposed methodol- ogy could quickly find the optimum solution with good convergence. 展开更多
关键词 artificial intelligence microscopic traffic simulation road construction road network
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Simulation of secondary nucleation of polymer crystallization via a model of microscopic kinetics
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作者 Kun-Lun Xu Bao-Hua Guo +2 位作者 Renate Reiter Günter Reiter Jun Xua 《Chinese Chemical Letters》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2015年第9期1105-1108,共4页
We present simulations of the mechanism of secondary nucleation of polymer crystallization,based on a new model accounting for the microscopic kinetics of attaching and detaching.As the key feature of the model,we int... We present simulations of the mechanism of secondary nucleation of polymer crystallization,based on a new model accounting for the microscopic kinetics of attaching and detaching.As the key feature of the model,we introduced multibody-interaction parameters that establish correlations between the attaching and detaching rate constants and the resulting thickness and width of the crystalline lamella.Using MATLAB and Monte Carlo method,we followed the evolution of the secondary nuclei as a function of various multibody-interaction parameters.We identified three different growth progressions of the crystal:(i) Widening,(ii) thickening and(iii) simultaneously thickening and widening of lamellar crystals,controlled by the corresponding kinetic parameters. 展开更多
关键词 Computer simulation Secondary nucleation Polymer crystallization Monte Carlo simulation microscopic kinetics model Multi-body interaction
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Optimizing Performance of atgrade Intersection with Bus Rapid Transit Corridor and Heterogeneous Traffic
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作者 Hemant Kumar Sharma Mansha Swami B.L.Swami 《International Journal of Transportation Science and Technology》 2012年第2期131-145,共15页
Bus Rapid Transit(BRT)has emerged as a preferred mode of public transport in various countries all over the world for its cost effectiveness in construction as well as in operation and maintenance.The rapid transit fe... Bus Rapid Transit(BRT)has emerged as a preferred mode of public transport in various countries all over the world for its cost effectiveness in construction as well as in operation and maintenance.The rapid transit feature of BRT is seen as a solution to many traffic problems in these countries.However,in developing countries like India,the right–of-way for most of the roads is restricted and traffic is heterogeneous in nature.Provision of BRT in existing right–ofway reduces the capacity available for other motorized traffic.As the buses travel with a certain frequency on dedicated bus-ways,the dedicated corridor remains unused for most of the period when other traffic on motorized vehicle(MV)lanes suffers from congestion.The problem gets severe at intersections.However,if buses are operated in mixed traffic it is no more rapid transit.Hence,a solution is required to address this problem and optimize the performance of traffic as a whole.This paper presents the effect if dedicated bus-ways end at a reasonable distance before the stop line at a busy signalized at-grade intersection,and bus lanes(beyond that)are made available to all the motorized vehicular traffic(heterogeneous traffic)at intersection.The performance evaluation is done in terms of average queue length,maximum queue length,average delay time per vehicle,vehicle throughput,average speed in network and emission of Carbon monoxide CO,mono-nitrogen oxides NOx and Volatile organic compounds(VOC).It is observed that availability of bus lanes to other motorized traffic for a reasonable distance before intersection considerably reduces the average queue length,maximum queue length,average delay time per vehicle and emission per vehicle,while there is an increase in vehicle throughput and average speed of all the vehicles in the network.Thus it results in reduction of congestion and performance enhancement of at-grade intersections and network.Results of investigation are relevant in international context.VISSIM,a microscopic simulation tool,is used to model the heterogeneous traffic and public transit lines under constraints of roadway geometry,vehicle characteristics,driving behaviour and traffic controls.The effect is investigated with different random seeds to obtain reasonable results for analysis. 展开更多
关键词 Bus Rapid Transit(BRT) Performance Optimization microscopic simulation
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Changes in family structure in China:the impact of residence patterns and demographic factors
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作者 Shenghui Yang Wei Chen 《China Population and Development Studies》 2019年第2期401-411,共11页
Based on census data from China,this paper uses SOCSIM microscopic simulation method to decompose the key factors of family transition into demographic and residence pattern factors.The former are further broken down ... Based on census data from China,this paper uses SOCSIM microscopic simulation method to decompose the key factors of family transition into demographic and residence pattern factors.The former are further broken down into demographic inertia,fertility,mortality and marriage rate.The results indicate that the current demographic changes are relatively small and,thus,the small fluctuations caused by demographic changes contribute much less than residence pattern to the family transition.Among the demographic factors,demographic inertia and fertility have a greater effect on family transition and the impacts caused by fertility and marriage rate are consistent with the direction of the overall influence of demographic factors:increasing the proportion of single-person households,one-generation households,and two-generation households,and decreasing the proportion of three-generation or more households.In contrast,the effect of mortality rate was opposite to that of fertility rate,which increased the proportion of populations living in single-person,one-generation,and two-generation households,but the decreased the proportion of the population living in three-generation or more households. 展开更多
关键词 Family transition SOCSIM microscopic simulation Demographic factors Residence pattern factors
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