机械钻速(rate of penetration,ROP)是钻井作业优化和减少成本的关键因素,钻井时有效地预测ROP是提升钻进效率的关键。由于井下钻进时复杂多变的情况和地层的非均质性,通过传统的ROP方程和回归分析方法来预测钻速受到了一定的限制。为...机械钻速(rate of penetration,ROP)是钻井作业优化和减少成本的关键因素,钻井时有效地预测ROP是提升钻进效率的关键。由于井下钻进时复杂多变的情况和地层的非均质性,通过传统的ROP方程和回归分析方法来预测钻速受到了一定的限制。为了实现对钻速的高精度预测,对现有BP (back propagation)神经网络进行优化,提出了一种新的神经网络模型,即动态自适应学习率的粒子群优化BP神经网络,利用录井数据建立目标井预测模型来对钻速进行预测。在训练过程中对BP神经网络进行优化,利用启发式算法,即附加动量法和自适应学习率,将两种方法结合起来形成动态自适应学习率的BP改进算法,提高了BP神经网络的训练速度和拟合精度,获得了更好的泛化性能。将BP神经网络与遗传优化算法(genetic algorithm,GA)和粒子群优化算法(particle swarm optimization,PSO)结合,得到优化后的动态自适应学习率BP神经网络。研究利用XX8-1-2井的录井数据进行实验,对比BP神经网络、PSO-BP神经网络、GA-BP神经网络3种不同的改进后神经网络的预测结果。实验结果表明:优化后的PSO-BP神经网络的预测性能最好,具有更高的效率和可靠性,能够有效的利用工程数据,在有一定数据采集量的区域提供较为准确的ROP预测。展开更多
The prediction of solitary wave run-up has important practical significance in coastal and ocean engineering, but the calculation precision is limited in the existing models. For improving the calculation precision, a...The prediction of solitary wave run-up has important practical significance in coastal and ocean engineering, but the calculation precision is limited in the existing models. For improving the calculation precision, a solitary wave run-up calculation model was established based on artificial neural networks in this study. A back-propagation （BP） network with one hidden layer was adopted and modified with the additional momentum method and the auto-adjusting learning factor. The model was applied to calculation of solitary wave run-up. The correlation coefficients between the neural network model results and the experimental values was 0.996 5. By comparison with the correlation coefficient of 0.963 5, between the Synolakis formula calculation results and the experimental values, it is concluded that the neural network model is an effective method for calculation and analysis of solitary wave ran-up.展开更多
基金supported by State Key Development Program of Basic Research of China (Grant No.2010CB429001)
文摘The prediction of solitary wave run-up has important practical significance in coastal and ocean engineering, but the calculation precision is limited in the existing models. For improving the calculation precision, a solitary wave run-up calculation model was established based on artificial neural networks in this study. A back-propagation （BP） network with one hidden layer was adopted and modified with the additional momentum method and the auto-adjusting learning factor. The model was applied to calculation of solitary wave run-up. The correlation coefficients between the neural network model results and the experimental values was 0.996 5. By comparison with the correlation coefficient of 0.963 5, between the Synolakis formula calculation results and the experimental values, it is concluded that the neural network model is an effective method for calculation and analysis of solitary wave ran-up.
