A Multi-Attribute Decision-Making Method Using Belief-Based Probabilistic Linguistic Term Sets and Its Application in Emergency Decision-Making

Probabilistic linguistic term sets(PLTSs)are an effective tool for expressing subjective human cognition that offer advantages in the field ofmulti-attribute decision-making(MADM).However,studies have found that PLTSs have lost their ability to accurately capture the views of decision-makers(DMs)in certain circumstances,such as when the DM hesitates between multiple linguistic terms or the decision information is incomplete,thus affecting their role in the decision-making process.Belief function theory is a leading streamof thought in uncertainty processing that is suitable for dealing with the limitations of PLTS.Therefore,the purpose of this study is to extend PLTS to incorporate belief function theory.First,we provide the basic concepts of the extended PLTS(i.e.,belief-based PLTS)through case analyses.Second,the aggregation operator of belief-based PLTS is defined with the ordered weighted average(OWA)-based soft likelihood function,which is improved by considering the reliability of the information source.Third,to measure the magnitude of different belief-based PLTSs,the belief interval of singleton is calculated,and the comparison method of belief-based PLTS is constructed based on probabilities.On the basis of the preceding discussion,we further develop an emergency decision framework that includes several novel techniques,such as attribute weight determination and decision information aggregation.Finally,the usefulness of the framework is demonstrated through a case study,and its effectiveness is illustrated through a series of comparisons.

Novel combinatorial algorithm for the problems of fuzzy grey multi-attribute group decision making

To study the fuzzy and grey information in the problems of multi-attribute group decision making, the basic concepts of both fuzzy grey numbers and grey interval numbers are given firstly, then a new model of fuzzy grey multi-attribute group decision making based on the theories of fuzzy mathematics and grey system is presented. Furthermore, the grey interval relative degree and deviation degree is defined, and both the optimistic algorithm of the grey interval relational degree and the algorithm of deviation degree minimization for solving this new model are also given. Finally, a decision making example to demonstrate the feasibility and rationality of this new method is given, and the results by using these two algorithms are uniform.

Power Aggregation Operators of Simplified Neutrosophic Sets and Their Use in Multi-attribute Group Decision Making

The simplified neutrosophic set(SNS) is a useful generalization of the fuzzy set that is designed for some practical situations in which each element has different truth membership function, indeterminacy membership function and falsity membership function. In this paper, we develop a series of power aggregation operators called simplified neutrosophic number power weighted averaging(SNNPWA) operator, simplified neutrosophic number power weighted geometric(SNNPWG) operator, simplified neutrosophic number power ordered weighted averaging(SNNPOWA) operator and simplified neutrosophic number power ordered weighted geometric(SNNPOWG) operator. We present some useful properties of the operators and discuss the relationships among them. Moreover, an approach to multiattribute group decision making(MAGDM) within the framework of SNSs is developed by the above aggregation operators.Finally, a practical application of the developed approach to deal with the problem of investment is given, and the result shows that our approach is reasonable and effective in dealing with uncertain decision making problems.

Pythagorean Uncertain Linguistic Variable Hamy Mean Operator and Its Application to Multi-attribute Group Decision Making

Pythagorean fuzzy set(PFS) can provide more flexibility than intuitionistic fuzzy set(IFS) for handling uncertain information, and PFS has been increasingly used in multi-attribute decision making problems. This paper proposes a new multiattribute group decision making method based on Pythagorean uncertain linguistic variable Hamy mean(PULVHM) operator and VIKOR method. Firstly, we define operation rules and a new aggregation operator of Pythagorean uncertain linguistic variable(PULV) and explore some properties of the operator.Secondly, taking the decision makers' hesitation degree into account, a new score function is defined, and we further develop a new group decision making approach integrated with VIKOR method. Finally, an investment example is demonstrated to elaborate the validity of the proposed method. Sensibility analysis and comprehensive comparisons with another two methods are performed to show the stability and advantage of our method.

Multi-attribute group decision making method under 2-dimension uncertain linguistic variables

A method is proposed to deal with the uncertain multiple attribute group decision making problems,where 2-dimension uncertain linguistic variables(2DULVs)are used as the reliable way for the experts to express their fuzzy subjective evaluation information.Firstly,in order to measure the 2DULVs more accurately,a new method is proposed to compare two 2DULVs,called a score function,while a new function is defined to measure the distance between two 2DULVs.Secondly,two optimization models are established to determine the weight of experts and attributes based on the new distance formula and a weighted average operator is used to determine the comprehensive evaluation value of each alternative.Then,a score function is used to determine the ranking of the alternatives.Finally,the effectiveness of the proposed method is proved by an illustrated example.

Fuzzy interval linguistic sets with applications in multi-attribute group decision making

Uncertain and hesitant information, widely existing in the real-world qualitative decision making problems, brings great challenges to decision makers. Hesitant fuzzy linguistic term sets(HFLTSs), an effective linguistic computational tool in modeling and eliciting such information, have hence aroused many scholars’ interests and some extensions have been introduced recently.However, these methods are based on the discrete linguistic term framework with the limited expression domain, which actually depict qualitative information using several single values. Therefore,it is hard to ensure the integrity of the semantics representation and the accuracy of the computation results. To deal with this problem, a semantics basis framework called complete linguistic term set(CLTS) is designed, which adopts a separation structure of linguistic scale and expression domain, enriching semantics representation of decision makers. On this basis the concept of fuzzy interval linguistic sets(FILSs) is put forward that employs the interval linguistic term with probability to increase the flexibility of eliciting and representing uncertain and hesitant qualitative information. For practical applications, a fuzzy interval linguistic technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution(FILTOPSIS) method is developed to deal with multi-attribute group decision making(MAGDM) problems. Through the cases of movie and enterprise resource planning(ERP) system selection, the effectiveness and validity of the proposed method are illustrated.

Solution to multiple attribute group decision making problems with two decision makers

A kind of multiple attribute group decision making （MAGDM） problem is discussed from the perspective of statistic decision-making. Firstly, on the basis of the stability theory, a new idea is proposed to solve this kind of problem. Secondly, a con- crete method corresponding to this kind of problem is proposed. The main tool of our research is the technique o~ the jackknife method. The main advantage of the new method is that it can identify and determine the reliability degree of the existed decision making information. Finally, a traffic engineering example is given to show the effectiveness of the new method.

A Confidence-based Consensus Model for Multi-Attribute Group Decision Making:Exploring the Bounded Trust Propagation and Personalized Adjustment Willingness

Social trust network(STN)and minimum cost consensus(MCC)models have been widely used to address consensus issues in multi-attribute group decision-making(MAGDM)problems with limited resources.However,most researchers have overlooked the decision maker‘(DMs)’confidence levels(CLs)and adjustment willingness implicit in their evaluations.To address these problems,this paper explores a confidence-based MCC model that considers DMs’adjustment willingness in the STN.The proposed model includes several modifications to the traditional trust propagation and consensus optimization models.Firstly,the improved method for measuring CLs of DMs and the confidence-based normalization approach are defined,respectively.Secondly,the bounded trust propagation operator is proposed,which considers the credibility of mediators to complete the STN.Thirdly,the identification rules based on the consensus index and CL are defined,and the MCC model with personalized cost functions and acceptable adjustment thresholds is built to automatically generate adjustment values for non-consensus DMs.Finally,a model to identify the non-cooperative behavior at the element level is established and the hybrid MCC model with persuasion strategies is provided.Finally,a case study is processed to verify the applicability of the proposed model,and comparison and sensitivity analysis are conducted to highlight its benefits.

Game Theory Based Model for Predictive Analytics Using Distributed Position Function

This paper presents a game theory-based method for predicting the outcomes of negotiation and group decision-making problems. We propose an extension to the BDM model to address problems where actors’ positions are distributed over a position spectrum. We generalize the concept of position in the model to incorporate continuous positions for the actors, enabling them to have more flexibility in defining their targets. We explore different possible functions to study the role of the position function and discuss appropriate distance measures for computing the distance between the positions of actors. To validate the proposed extension, we demonstrate the trustworthiness of our model’s performance and interpretation by replicating the results based on data used in earlier studies.

共享制造环境下基于Z-RIM的QoS多方异质评价方法

为解决共享制造环境下决策信息异质、候选服务数量动态变化的制造服务QoS评价问题,基于平台、服务需求方、服务提供方的三方决策信息,提出一种符合共享制造特点的QoS多方异质制造服务评价方法。通过精确数、语言变量和Z-number处理异质信息;基于共识最大化计算决策方权重向量,利用TrFWAA算子集结多方信息,依据离差最大化模型计算属性权重;在此基础上,采用RIM对各服务进行评估。结合共享制造环境下的制造业服务优选案例对提出的方法进行验证分析,结果表明该方法具有较好的实用性和优越性。

EXTENSION OF THE TOPSIS METHOD BASED ON PROSPECT THEORY AND TRAPEZOIDAL INTUITIONISTIC FUZZY NUMBERS FOR GROUP DECISION MAKING

Considering the decision maker＇s risk psychological factors and information ambiguity under uncertainty, a novel TOPSIS based on prospect theory （PT） and trapezoidal intuitionistic fuzzy numbers （YrIFNs） for group decision making is investigated, in which the criteria values and the criteria weights take the form of TrIFNs, and weights of decision makers are unknown. Firstly, distance measures for TrIFNs are used to induce value function under trapezoidal intuitionistic fuzzy environment. Secondly, the concepts of distance measures and trapezoidal intuitionistie fuzzy weighted averaging operator are employed to induce the weights of decision makers and thus the decision makers＇ options can be aggregated. Then the PT-based separation measures and relative closeness coefficient are defined and an algorithm for ranking alternatives under trapezoidal intuitionistic fuzzy environment is proposed. Finally, a numerical example further illustrates the practicality and effectiveness of the proposed TOPSIS method.

三角模糊随机MAGDM方法及其在FMEA中的应用

针对不同故障模式与影响分析(FMEA)中专家群决策的不确定性和主观性问题,提出混合概率分布下基于前景理论的三角模糊随机多属性群决策(TFRMAGDM)方法。首先,在前景理论框架下定义基于混合概率分布和三角模糊随机变量(TFRV)的期望-方差决策矩阵,建立基于决策群组意见一致性的专家属性权重极大熵模型。然后,结合期望-方差决策矩阵和属性权重模型,获取综合边际前景期望-方差矩阵,从而根据定义的序关系判别准则确定不同故障模式下风险优先次序排序。最后,将此方法应用于某照明设备的故障模式风险排序。结果表明,用TFRMAGDM方法能够量化分析具有模糊性和随机性的故障模式的风险,明确其优先次序。

基于群决策-云理论的装备保障能力评估

针对装备保障效能评估的复杂性、随机性和模糊性问题,建立了基于群决策-云理论的装备保障能力评估模型。首先,基于装备保障任务的需求,构建了装备保障能力评估指标体系;再利用序关系-群决策方法计算各级指标权重,计算过程简单快捷、更能体现群体决策;最后,将云理论引入装备保障能力评估中,能够实现定性概念与定量数据间的合理转换,清晰准确地表达了层级指标的聚合过程,有效解决了评估过程中的模糊性和随机性。实例表明:该方法计算简单、逻辑关系清楚、计算结果与客观实际相符,可为装备保障效能评估提供一种科学、客观的方法,为保障资源配置提供科学依据。

基于相似度的三参数区间灰数决策方法

为了解决复杂决策环境中的多属性群决策问题,考虑问题的灰数特质及决策者的心理因素,提出了基于相似度的三参数区间灰数决策方法。首先,从区间长度和重心的角度出发,提出了相似度计算公式。其次,考虑决策者与环境的关系,建立基于相似度的决策者心理认知场,引入数据势理论,求得决策者权重;结合距离公式和熵权法求得属性权重;最后,构建了基于前景理论、相似度和逼近理想解排序法相结合的方案决策模型。采用算例证明了模型具有优化方案之间的差异度的效果,并验证了可操作性及合理性。

基于IITFN输入的复杂系统关联MAGDM方法

区间直觉梯形模糊数(Interval-valued intuitionistic trapezoidal fuzzy number,IITFN)是刻画复杂系统不确定性的有效工具.基于进一步完善的IITFN运算规则,讨论其局部封闭性.由此定义IITFN几何Bonferroni平均算子,并验证该算子的相关性质.针对决策者及属性之间均存在关联作用且权重均未知的多属性群决策(Multi-attribute group decision making,MAGDM)问题,提出基于前景混合区间直觉梯形几何Bonferroni(Prospect hybrid interval-valued intuitionistic trapezoidal fuzzy geometric Bonferroni,PHIITFGB)平均算子的关联多属性群决策方法.该方法首先通过依次定义IITFN的前景效应、前景价值函数和前景价值,获取前景价值矩阵;其次,将前景价值矩阵转化为前景记分函数矩阵,并综合运用基于灰关联深度系数的客观属性权重极大熵模型和基于2-可加模糊测度与Choquet积分联合的决策者权重确定模型,获取决策者权重及属性权重;再次,利用PHIITFGB算子集结各决策者的方案评估信息,结合决策者权重即可获取相应于各方案的综合前景价值;最后,计算综合前景记分价值函数,基于IITFN的序关系判别准则确定方案排序.案例验证决策方法的有效性和可行性.

A Dynamic Emergency Decision-Making Method Based on Group Decision Making with Uncertainty Information

In emergency decision making(EDM),it is necessary to generate an effective alternative quickly.Case-based reasoning(CBR)has been applied to EDM;however,choosing the most suitable case from a set of similar cases after case retrieval remains challenging.This study proposes a dynamic method based on case retrieval and group decision making(GDM),called dynamic casebased reasoning group decision making(CBRGDM),for emergency alternative generation.In the proposed method,first,similar historical cases are identified through case similarity measurement.Then,evaluation information provided by group decision makers for similar cases is aggregated based on regret theory,and comprehensive perceived utilities for the similar cases are obtained.Finally,the most suitable historical case is obtained from the case similarities and the comprehensive perceived utilities for similar historical cases.The method is then applied to an example of a gas explosion in a coal company in China.The results show that the proposed method is feasible and effective in EDM.The advantages of the proposed method are verified based on comparisons with existing methods.In particular,dynamic CBRGDM can adjust the emergency alternative according to changing emergencies.The results of application of dynamic CBRGDM to a gas explosion and comparison with existing methods verify its feasibility and practicability.

UNIFORMIZATION OF MULTIGRANULAR LINGUISTIC LABELS AND THEIR APPLICATION TO GROUP DECISION MAKING

In multiple attribute group decision making （MAGDM） problems based on linguistic information, the granularities of linguistic label sets are usually different due to the differences of thinking modes and habits among decision makers. In order to deal with this inconvenience, the transformation relationships among multigranular linguistic labels （TRMLLs）, which are applied to unify linguistic labels with different granularities into a certain linguistic label set with fixed granularity, are presented in this paper. Furthermore, the reference tables are made according to TRMLLs so that the interrelated calculation will be less complicated, and the method of how to use them is explained in detail. At length, the TRMLLs are illustrated through an application example.

Optimized interval 2-tuple linguistic aggregation operator based on PGSA and its application in MAGDM

This study proposes a multiple attribute group decisionmaking(MAGDM)approach on the basis of the plant growth simulation algorithm(PGSA)and interval 2-tuple weighted average operators for uncertain linguistic weighted aggregation(ULWA).We provide an example for illustration and verification and compare several aggregation operators to indicate the optimality of the assembly method.In addition,we present two comparisons to demonstrate the practicality and effectiveness of the proposed method.The method can be used not only to aggregate MAGDM problems but also to solve multi-granularity uncertain linguistic information.Its high reliability,easy programming,and high-speed calculation can improve the efficiency of ULWA characteristics.Finally,the proposed method has the exact characteristics for linguistic information processing and can effectively avoid information distortion and loss.

Fuzzy distances based FMAGDM compromise ratio method and application

An extended compromise ratio method（CRM） based on fuzzy distances is developed to solve fuzzy multi-attribute group decision making problems in which weights of attributes and ratings of alternatives on attributes are expressed with values of linguistic variables parameterized using triangular fuzzy numbers.A compromise solution is determined by introducing the ranking index based on the concept that the chosen alternative should be as close as possible to the positive ideal solution and as far away from the negative ideal solution as possible simultaneously.This proposed method is compared with other existing methods to show its feasibility and effectiveness and illustrated with an example of the military route selection problem as one of the possible applications.

Spherical uncertain linguistic Hamacher aggregation operators and their application on achieving consistent opinion fusion in group decision making

Purpose-The aim of this research is to establish a new type of aggregation operator based on Hamacher operational law of spherical uncertain linguistic numbers(SULNs).Design/methodology/approach-First,the authors define spherical uncertain linguistic sets and develop some operational laws of SULNs.Furthermore,the authors extended these operational laws to the aggregation operator and developed spherical uncertain linguistic Hamacher averaging and geometric aggregation operators.Findings-The authors were limited in achieving a consistent opinion on the fusion in group decision-making problem with the SULN information.Originality/value-In order to give an application of the introduced operators,the authors first constrict a system of multi-attribute decision-making algorithm.