In general the accuracy of mean estimator can be improved by stratified random sampling. In this paper, we provide an idea different from empirical methods that the accuracy can be more improved through bootstrap resa...In general the accuracy of mean estimator can be improved by stratified random sampling. In this paper, we provide an idea different from empirical methods that the accuracy can be more improved through bootstrap resampling method under some conditions. The determination of sample size by bootstrap method is also discussed, and a simulation is made to verify the accuracy of the proposed method. The simulation results show that the sample size based on bootstrapping is smaller than that based on central limit theorem.展开更多
Variance is one of the most vital measures of dispersion widely employed in practical aspects.A commonly used approach for variance estimation is the traditional method of moments that is strongly influenced by the pr...Variance is one of the most vital measures of dispersion widely employed in practical aspects.A commonly used approach for variance estimation is the traditional method of moments that is strongly influenced by the presence of extreme values,and thus its results cannot be relied on.Finding momentum from Koyuncu’s recent work,the present paper focuses first on proposing two classes of variance estimators based on linear moments(L-moments),and then employing them with auxiliary data under double stratified sampling to introduce a new class of calibration variance estimators using important properties of L-moments(L-location,L-cv,L-variance).Three populations are taken into account to assess the efficiency of the new estimators.The first and second populations are concerned with artificial data,and the third populations is concerned with real data.The percentage relative efficiency of the proposed estimators over existing ones is evaluated.In the presence of extreme values,our findings depict the superiority and high efficiency of the proposed classes over traditional classes.Hence,when auxiliary data is available along with extreme values,the proposed classes of estimators may be implemented in an extensive variety of sampling surveys.展开更多
This paper mainly addresses maximum likelihood estimation for a response-selective stratified sampling scheme, the basic stratified sampling (BSS), in which the maximum subsample size in each stratum is fixed. We deri...This paper mainly addresses maximum likelihood estimation for a response-selective stratified sampling scheme, the basic stratified sampling (BSS), in which the maximum subsample size in each stratum is fixed. We derived the complete-data likelihood for BSS, and extended it as a full-data likelihood by incorporating incomplete data. We also similarly extended the empirical proportion likelihood approach for consistent and efficient estimation. We conducted a simulation study to compare these two new approaches with the existing estimation methods in BSS. Our result indicates that they perform as well as the standard full information likelihood approach. Methods were illustrated using a growth model for fish size at age, including between-individual variability. One of our major conclusions is that the fully observed BSS data, the partially observed data used for stratification, and the sampling strategy are all important in constructing a consistent and efficient estimator.展开更多
This paper is an attempt to work out a compromise allocation to construct combined ratio estimates under multivariate double sampling design in presence of non-response when the population mean of the auxiliary variab...This paper is an attempt to work out a compromise allocation to construct combined ratio estimates under multivariate double sampling design in presence of non-response when the population mean of the auxiliary variable is unknown. The problem has been formulated as a multi-objective integer non-linear programming problem. Two solution procedures are developed using goal programming and fuzzy programming techniques. A numerical example is also worked out to illustrate the computational details. A comparison of the two methods is also carried out.展开更多
Conflicting views had greeted the use of systematic sampling for sample selection and estimation in stratified sampling in terms of the precision of the population mean base on the inherent characteristics of the popu...Conflicting views had greeted the use of systematic sampling for sample selection and estimation in stratified sampling in terms of the precision of the population mean base on the inherent characteristics of the population. These conflicting views were analyzed using Cochran data (1977, p. 211) [1]. When the population units are ordered, variance of systematic sampling for all possible systematic samples provides equal, non-negative and most precise estimates for all the variance functions considered i.e. , unlike when a single systematic sample is used and when variance of simple random sampling is used to estimate selected systematic samples.展开更多
In this paper, we study the estimators of the population mean in stratified adaptive cluster sampling by using the information of the auxiliary variable. Simulations showed that if the variable of interest (y) and the...In this paper, we study the estimators of the population mean in stratified adaptive cluster sampling by using the information of the auxiliary variable. Simulations showed that if the variable of interest (y) and the auxiliary variables (x,z) have high positive correlation then the estimate of the mean square error of the ratio estimators is less than the estimate of the mean square error of the product estimator. The estimators which use only one auxiliary variable were better than the estimators which use two auxiliary variables.展开更多
In stratified survey sampling, sometimes we have complete auxiliary information. One of the fundamental questions is how to effectively use the complete auxiliary information at the estimation stage. In this paper, we...In stratified survey sampling, sometimes we have complete auxiliary information. One of the fundamental questions is how to effectively use the complete auxiliary information at the estimation stage. In this paper, we extend the model-calibration method to obtain estimators of the finite population mean by using complete auxiliary information from stratified sampling survey data. We show that the resulting estimators effectively use auxiliary information at the estimation stage and possess a number of attractive features such as asymptotically design-unbiased irrespective of the working model and approximately model-unbiased under the model. When a linear working-model is used, the resulting estimators reduce to the usual calibration estimator(or GREG).展开更多
In this paper, auxiliary information is used to determine an estimator of finite population total using nonparametric regression under stratified random sampling. To achieve this, a model-based approach is adopted by ...In this paper, auxiliary information is used to determine an estimator of finite population total using nonparametric regression under stratified random sampling. To achieve this, a model-based approach is adopted by making use of the local polynomial regression estimation to predict the nonsampled values of the survey variable y. The performance of the proposed estimator is investigated against some design-based and model-based regression estimators. The simulation experiments show that the resulting estimator exhibits good properties. Generally, good confidence intervals are seen for the nonparametric regression estimators, and use of the proposed estimator leads to relatively smaller values of RE compared to other estimators.展开更多
In this study, we propose a two stage randomized response model. Improved unbiased estimators of the mean number of persons possessing a rare sensitive attribute under two different situations are proposed. The propos...In this study, we propose a two stage randomized response model. Improved unbiased estimators of the mean number of persons possessing a rare sensitive attribute under two different situations are proposed. The proposed estimators are evaluated using a relative efficiency comparison. It is shown that our estimators are efficient as compared to existing estimators when the parameter of rare unrelated attribute is known and in unknown case, depending on the probability of selecting a question.展开更多
In this paper, analysis of methodology was realized for the application of stratified random sampling with optimum allocation in the case of a subject of research which concerns the rural population and presents high ...In this paper, analysis of methodology was realized for the application of stratified random sampling with optimum allocation in the case of a subject of research which concerns the rural population and presents high differentiations among the three strata in which this population could be classified. The rural population of Evros Prefecture (Greece) with criterion the mean altitude of settlements was classified in three strata, the mountainous, semi-mountainous and fiat population for the estimation of mean consumption of forest fuelwood for covering of heating and cooking needs in households of these three strata. The analysis of this methodology includes: (1) the determination of total size of sample for entire the rural population and its allocation to the various strata; (2) the investigation of effectiveness of stratification with the technique of analysis of variance (One-Way ANOVA); (3) the conduct of sampling research with the realization of face-to-face interviews in selected households and (4) the control of forms of the questionnaire and the analysis of data by using the statistical package for social sciences, SPSS for Windows. All data for the analysis of this methodology and its practical application were taken by the pilot sampling which was realized in each stratum. Relative paper was not found by the review of literature.展开更多
Many operations carried out by official statistical institutes use large-scale surveys obtained by stratified random sampling without replacement. Variables commonly examined in this type of surveys are binary, catego...Many operations carried out by official statistical institutes use large-scale surveys obtained by stratified random sampling without replacement. Variables commonly examined in this type of surveys are binary, categorical and continuous, and hence, the estimates of interest involve estimates of proportions, totals and means. The problem of approximating the sampling relative error of this kind of estimates is studied in this paper. Some new jackknife methods are proposed and compared with plug-in and bootstrap methods. An extensive simulation study is carried out to compare the behavior of all the methods considered in this paper.展开更多
In this paper, the problem of non-response with significant travel costs in multivariate stratified sample surveys has been formulated of as a Multi-Objective Geometric Programming Problem (MOGPP). The fuzzy programmi...In this paper, the problem of non-response with significant travel costs in multivariate stratified sample surveys has been formulated of as a Multi-Objective Geometric Programming Problem (MOGPP). The fuzzy programming approach has been described for solving the formulated MOGPP. The formulated MOGPP has been solved with the help of LINGO Software and the dual solution is obtained. The optimum allocations of sample sizes of respondents and non respondents are obtained with the help of dual solutions and primal-dual relationship theorem. A numerical example is given to illustrate the procedure.展开更多
The procedure of stratified double quartile ranked set sampling (SDQRSS) method is introduced to estimate the population mean. The SDQRSS is compared with the simple random sampling (SRS), stratified ranked set sa...The procedure of stratified double quartile ranked set sampling (SDQRSS) method is introduced to estimate the population mean. The SDQRSS is compared with the simple random sampling (SRS), stratified ranked set sampling (SRSS) and stratified simple random sampling (SSRS). It is shown that SDQRSS estimator is an unbiased of the population mean and more efficient than SRS, SRSS and SSRS for symmetric and asymmetric distributions. In addition, by SDQRSS we can increase the efficiency of mean estimator for specific value of the sample size.展开更多
The curve of relationship between fatigue crack growth rate and the stress strength factor amplitude represented an important fatigue property in designing of damage tolerance limits and predicting life of metallic co...The curve of relationship between fatigue crack growth rate and the stress strength factor amplitude represented an important fatigue property in designing of damage tolerance limits and predicting life of metallic component parts. In order to have a more reasonable use of testing data, samples from population were stratified suggested by the stratified random sample model (SRAM). The data in each stratum corresponded to the same experiment conditions. A suitable weight was assigned to each stratified sample according to the actual working states of the pressure vessel, so that the estimation of fatigue crack growth rate equation was more accurate for practice. An empirical study shows that the SRAM estimation by using fatigue crack growth rate data from different stoves is obviously better than the estimation from simple random sample model.展开更多
This paper reveaed some problems of the forest samling investigation from application.and pointed out the defects. Determining sample size method was precisely put forward from formla's origin in simple random Sam...This paper reveaed some problems of the forest samling investigation from application.and pointed out the defects. Determining sample size method was precisely put forward from formla's origin in simple random Samling procedure In stratified random samgling, two cases were distinguished: the variances Sh2 are equal for all h and not all Sh2 are equal This method made the assertion of making confidence interval more reliable.展开更多
Combining the advantages of the stratified sampling and the importance sampling, a stratified importance sampling method (SISM) is presented to analyze the reliability sensitivity for structure with multiple failure...Combining the advantages of the stratified sampling and the importance sampling, a stratified importance sampling method (SISM) is presented to analyze the reliability sensitivity for structure with multiple failure modes. In the presented method, the variable space is divided into several disjoint subspace by n-dimensional coordinate planes at the mean point of the random vec- tor, and the importance sampling functions in the subspaces are constructed by keeping the sampling center at the mean point and augmenting the standard deviation by a factor of 2. The sample size generated from the importance sampling function in each subspace is determined by the contribution of the subspace to the reliability sensitivity, which can be estimated by iterative simulation in the sampling process. The formulae of the reliability sensitivity estimation, the variance and the coefficient of variation are derived for the presented SISM. Comparing with the Monte Carlo method, the stratified sampling method and the importance sampling method, the presented SISM has wider applicability and higher calculation efficiency, which is demonstrated by numerical examples. Finally, the reliability sensitivity analysis of flap structure is illustrated that the SISM can be applied to engineering structure.展开更多
Fishery-independent surveys are often used for collecting high quality biological and ecological data to support fisheries management. A careful optimization of fishery-independent survey design is necessary to improv...Fishery-independent surveys are often used for collecting high quality biological and ecological data to support fisheries management. A careful optimization of fishery-independent survey design is necessary to improve the precision of survey estimates with cost-effective sampling efforts. We developed a simulation approach to evaluate and optimize the stratification scheme for a fishery-independent survey with multiple goals including estimation of abundance indices of individual species and species diversity indices. We compared the performances of the sampling designs with different stratification schemes for different goals over different months. Gains in precision of survey estimates from the stratification schemes were acquired compared to simple random sampling design for most indices. The stratification scheme with five strata performed the best. This study showed that the loss of precision of survey estimates due to the reduction of sampling efforts could be compensated by improved stratification schemes, which would reduce the cost and negative impacts of survey trawling on those species with low abundance in the fishery-independent survey. This study also suggests that optimization of a survey design differed with different survey objectives. A post-survey analysis can improve the stratification scheme of fishery-independent survey designs.展开更多
Rather than the difficulties of highly non-linear and non-Gaussian observation process and the state distribution in single target tracking, the presence of a large, varying number of targets and their interactions pl...Rather than the difficulties of highly non-linear and non-Gaussian observation process and the state distribution in single target tracking, the presence of a large, varying number of targets and their interactions place more challenge on visual tracking. To overcome these difficulties, we formulate multiple targets tracking problem in a dynamic Markov network which consists of three coupled Markov random fields that model the following: a field for joint state of multi-target, one binary process for existence of individual target, and another binary process for occlusion of dual adjacent targets. By introducing two robust functions, we eliminate the two binary processes, and then apply a novel version of belief propagation called sequential stratified sampling belief propagation algorithm to obtain the maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation in the dynamic Markov network, By using stratified sampler, we incorporate bottom-up information provided by a learned detector (e.g. SVM classifier) and belief information for the messages updating. Other low-level visual cues (e.g. color and shape) can be easily incorporated in our multi-target tracking model to obtain better tracking results. Experimental results suggest that our method is comparable to the state-of-the-art multiple targets tracking methods in several test cases.展开更多
Stratified random survey is commonly used to estimate abundance indices of fish populations in multispecies survey,providing reliable data for stock assessment and fisheries management.In some cases,however,the sample...Stratified random survey is commonly used to estimate abundance indices of fish populations in multispecies survey,providing reliable data for stock assessment and fisheries management.In some cases,however,the sample size is relatively small because of the limitation of survey cost or other factors.The allocation methods of sampling efforts among strata in stratified random surveys with small sample size may need adjustment compared with traditional approaches.In this study,two sampling stations were allocated to each stratum first and then the remaining sampling units were allocated among strata using five traditional allocation methods.In order to distinguish them from traditional methods,we called them adjusted methods in this study.A simulation study was conducted to compare the performances of different allocation strategies of sampling efforts in a stratified random survey for estimating abundance indices of multiple target species.Relative estimation error(REE)and relative bias(RB)were used to measure the precision and accuracy of estimates of abundance indices under different allocation schemes of sampling efforts in the multispecies survey.The performances of different allocation schemes in estimating abundance indices varied greatly for different species over different seasons.The adjusted Neyman allocation scheme could significantly reduce the REE and RB of estimates of abundance index for single species survey.For multiple species surveys,the adjusted average-Neyman allocation method,the adjusted Yate allocation method,the adjusted proportional allocation method and current allocation method had relatively high accuracy and precision of estimates of abundance indices for four species in terms of the total_(REE) and total_(RB).Though the adjusted average-Neyman allocation scheme did not always have the best performance,it was the optimal one considering the accuracy and precision of estimates of abundance indices for all species simultaneously.The allocation of sampling efforts among strata in stratified random surveys targeting for estimating abundance indices of multiple species should comprehensively consider the variance of abundance of different species in stratum and the seasonal changes.展开更多
Suppose that several different imperfect instruments and one perfect instrument are used independently to measure some characteristic of a population. In order to make full use of the sample information, in this paper...Suppose that several different imperfect instruments and one perfect instrument are used independently to measure some characteristic of a population. In order to make full use of the sample information, in this paper the empirical likelihood method is put forward for making inferences on parameters of interest under stratified random sampling in the presence of measurement error, Our results show that it can lead to estimators which are asymptotically normal and utilize all the available sample information. We also obtain the asymptotic distribution of empirical likelihood testing statistics. In particular, we apply the method to obtain estimator and confidence interval of population mean.展开更多
基金The Science Research Start-up Foundation for Young Teachers of Southwest Jiaotong University(No.2007Q091)
文摘In general the accuracy of mean estimator can be improved by stratified random sampling. In this paper, we provide an idea different from empirical methods that the accuracy can be more improved through bootstrap resampling method under some conditions. The determination of sample size by bootstrap method is also discussed, and a simulation is made to verify the accuracy of the proposed method. The simulation results show that the sample size based on bootstrapping is smaller than that based on central limit theorem.
基金The authors thank the Deanship of Scientific Research at King Khalid University,Kingdom of Saudi Arabia for funding this study through the research groups program under Project Number R.G.P.1/64/42.Ishfaq Ahmad and Ibrahim Mufrah Almanjahie received the grant.
文摘Variance is one of the most vital measures of dispersion widely employed in practical aspects.A commonly used approach for variance estimation is the traditional method of moments that is strongly influenced by the presence of extreme values,and thus its results cannot be relied on.Finding momentum from Koyuncu’s recent work,the present paper focuses first on proposing two classes of variance estimators based on linear moments(L-moments),and then employing them with auxiliary data under double stratified sampling to introduce a new class of calibration variance estimators using important properties of L-moments(L-location,L-cv,L-variance).Three populations are taken into account to assess the efficiency of the new estimators.The first and second populations are concerned with artificial data,and the third populations is concerned with real data.The percentage relative efficiency of the proposed estimators over existing ones is evaluated.In the presence of extreme values,our findings depict the superiority and high efficiency of the proposed classes over traditional classes.Hence,when auxiliary data is available along with extreme values,the proposed classes of estimators may be implemented in an extensive variety of sampling surveys.
文摘This paper mainly addresses maximum likelihood estimation for a response-selective stratified sampling scheme, the basic stratified sampling (BSS), in which the maximum subsample size in each stratum is fixed. We derived the complete-data likelihood for BSS, and extended it as a full-data likelihood by incorporating incomplete data. We also similarly extended the empirical proportion likelihood approach for consistent and efficient estimation. We conducted a simulation study to compare these two new approaches with the existing estimation methods in BSS. Our result indicates that they perform as well as the standard full information likelihood approach. Methods were illustrated using a growth model for fish size at age, including between-individual variability. One of our major conclusions is that the fully observed BSS data, the partially observed data used for stratification, and the sampling strategy are all important in constructing a consistent and efficient estimator.
文摘This paper is an attempt to work out a compromise allocation to construct combined ratio estimates under multivariate double sampling design in presence of non-response when the population mean of the auxiliary variable is unknown. The problem has been formulated as a multi-objective integer non-linear programming problem. Two solution procedures are developed using goal programming and fuzzy programming techniques. A numerical example is also worked out to illustrate the computational details. A comparison of the two methods is also carried out.
文摘Conflicting views had greeted the use of systematic sampling for sample selection and estimation in stratified sampling in terms of the precision of the population mean base on the inherent characteristics of the population. These conflicting views were analyzed using Cochran data (1977, p. 211) [1]. When the population units are ordered, variance of systematic sampling for all possible systematic samples provides equal, non-negative and most precise estimates for all the variance functions considered i.e. , unlike when a single systematic sample is used and when variance of simple random sampling is used to estimate selected systematic samples.
文摘In this paper, we study the estimators of the population mean in stratified adaptive cluster sampling by using the information of the auxiliary variable. Simulations showed that if the variable of interest (y) and the auxiliary variables (x,z) have high positive correlation then the estimate of the mean square error of the ratio estimators is less than the estimate of the mean square error of the product estimator. The estimators which use only one auxiliary variable were better than the estimators which use two auxiliary variables.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(10571093)
文摘In stratified survey sampling, sometimes we have complete auxiliary information. One of the fundamental questions is how to effectively use the complete auxiliary information at the estimation stage. In this paper, we extend the model-calibration method to obtain estimators of the finite population mean by using complete auxiliary information from stratified sampling survey data. We show that the resulting estimators effectively use auxiliary information at the estimation stage and possess a number of attractive features such as asymptotically design-unbiased irrespective of the working model and approximately model-unbiased under the model. When a linear working-model is used, the resulting estimators reduce to the usual calibration estimator(or GREG).
文摘In this paper, auxiliary information is used to determine an estimator of finite population total using nonparametric regression under stratified random sampling. To achieve this, a model-based approach is adopted by making use of the local polynomial regression estimation to predict the nonsampled values of the survey variable y. The performance of the proposed estimator is investigated against some design-based and model-based regression estimators. The simulation experiments show that the resulting estimator exhibits good properties. Generally, good confidence intervals are seen for the nonparametric regression estimators, and use of the proposed estimator leads to relatively smaller values of RE compared to other estimators.
文摘In this study, we propose a two stage randomized response model. Improved unbiased estimators of the mean number of persons possessing a rare sensitive attribute under two different situations are proposed. The proposed estimators are evaluated using a relative efficiency comparison. It is shown that our estimators are efficient as compared to existing estimators when the parameter of rare unrelated attribute is known and in unknown case, depending on the probability of selecting a question.
文摘In this paper, analysis of methodology was realized for the application of stratified random sampling with optimum allocation in the case of a subject of research which concerns the rural population and presents high differentiations among the three strata in which this population could be classified. The rural population of Evros Prefecture (Greece) with criterion the mean altitude of settlements was classified in three strata, the mountainous, semi-mountainous and fiat population for the estimation of mean consumption of forest fuelwood for covering of heating and cooking needs in households of these three strata. The analysis of this methodology includes: (1) the determination of total size of sample for entire the rural population and its allocation to the various strata; (2) the investigation of effectiveness of stratification with the technique of analysis of variance (One-Way ANOVA); (3) the conduct of sampling research with the realization of face-to-face interviews in selected households and (4) the control of forms of the questionnaire and the analysis of data by using the statistical package for social sciences, SPSS for Windows. All data for the analysis of this methodology and its practical application were taken by the pilot sampling which was realized in each stratum. Relative paper was not found by the review of literature.
基金supported by the Galician Official Statistical Institute(IGE)and by Grants 10DPI105003PRCN2012/130 from Xunta de Galicia(Spain)by Grant number MTM2011-22392 from Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovacion(Spain).
文摘Many operations carried out by official statistical institutes use large-scale surveys obtained by stratified random sampling without replacement. Variables commonly examined in this type of surveys are binary, categorical and continuous, and hence, the estimates of interest involve estimates of proportions, totals and means. The problem of approximating the sampling relative error of this kind of estimates is studied in this paper. Some new jackknife methods are proposed and compared with plug-in and bootstrap methods. An extensive simulation study is carried out to compare the behavior of all the methods considered in this paper.
文摘In this paper, the problem of non-response with significant travel costs in multivariate stratified sample surveys has been formulated of as a Multi-Objective Geometric Programming Problem (MOGPP). The fuzzy programming approach has been described for solving the formulated MOGPP. The formulated MOGPP has been solved with the help of LINGO Software and the dual solution is obtained. The optimum allocations of sample sizes of respondents and non respondents are obtained with the help of dual solutions and primal-dual relationship theorem. A numerical example is given to illustrate the procedure.
文摘The procedure of stratified double quartile ranked set sampling (SDQRSS) method is introduced to estimate the population mean. The SDQRSS is compared with the simple random sampling (SRS), stratified ranked set sampling (SRSS) and stratified simple random sampling (SSRS). It is shown that SDQRSS estimator is an unbiased of the population mean and more efficient than SRS, SRSS and SSRS for symmetric and asymmetric distributions. In addition, by SDQRSS we can increase the efficiency of mean estimator for specific value of the sample size.
文摘The curve of relationship between fatigue crack growth rate and the stress strength factor amplitude represented an important fatigue property in designing of damage tolerance limits and predicting life of metallic component parts. In order to have a more reasonable use of testing data, samples from population were stratified suggested by the stratified random sample model (SRAM). The data in each stratum corresponded to the same experiment conditions. A suitable weight was assigned to each stratified sample according to the actual working states of the pressure vessel, so that the estimation of fatigue crack growth rate equation was more accurate for practice. An empirical study shows that the SRAM estimation by using fatigue crack growth rate data from different stoves is obviously better than the estimation from simple random sample model.
文摘This paper reveaed some problems of the forest samling investigation from application.and pointed out the defects. Determining sample size method was precisely put forward from formla's origin in simple random Samling procedure In stratified random samgling, two cases were distinguished: the variances Sh2 are equal for all h and not all Sh2 are equal This method made the assertion of making confidence interval more reliable.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China (10572117,10802063,50875213)Aeronautical Science Foundation of China (2007ZA53012)+1 种基金New Century Program For Excellent Talents of Ministry of Education of China (NCET-05-0868)National High-tech Research and Development Program (2007AA04Z401)
文摘Combining the advantages of the stratified sampling and the importance sampling, a stratified importance sampling method (SISM) is presented to analyze the reliability sensitivity for structure with multiple failure modes. In the presented method, the variable space is divided into several disjoint subspace by n-dimensional coordinate planes at the mean point of the random vec- tor, and the importance sampling functions in the subspaces are constructed by keeping the sampling center at the mean point and augmenting the standard deviation by a factor of 2. The sample size generated from the importance sampling function in each subspace is determined by the contribution of the subspace to the reliability sensitivity, which can be estimated by iterative simulation in the sampling process. The formulae of the reliability sensitivity estimation, the variance and the coefficient of variation are derived for the presented SISM. Comparing with the Monte Carlo method, the stratified sampling method and the importance sampling method, the presented SISM has wider applicability and higher calculation efficiency, which is demonstrated by numerical examples. Finally, the reliability sensitivity analysis of flap structure is illustrated that the SISM can be applied to engineering structure.
基金The Public Science and Technology Research Funds Projects of Ocean under contract No.201305030the Specialized Research Fund for the Doctoral Program of Higher Education under contract No.20120132130001
文摘Fishery-independent surveys are often used for collecting high quality biological and ecological data to support fisheries management. A careful optimization of fishery-independent survey design is necessary to improve the precision of survey estimates with cost-effective sampling efforts. We developed a simulation approach to evaluate and optimize the stratification scheme for a fishery-independent survey with multiple goals including estimation of abundance indices of individual species and species diversity indices. We compared the performances of the sampling designs with different stratification schemes for different goals over different months. Gains in precision of survey estimates from the stratification schemes were acquired compared to simple random sampling design for most indices. The stratification scheme with five strata performed the best. This study showed that the loss of precision of survey estimates due to the reduction of sampling efforts could be compensated by improved stratification schemes, which would reduce the cost and negative impacts of survey trawling on those species with low abundance in the fishery-independent survey. This study also suggests that optimization of a survey design differed with different survey objectives. A post-survey analysis can improve the stratification scheme of fishery-independent survey designs.
基金supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.60205001,60405004 and 60021302).
文摘Rather than the difficulties of highly non-linear and non-Gaussian observation process and the state distribution in single target tracking, the presence of a large, varying number of targets and their interactions place more challenge on visual tracking. To overcome these difficulties, we formulate multiple targets tracking problem in a dynamic Markov network which consists of three coupled Markov random fields that model the following: a field for joint state of multi-target, one binary process for existence of individual target, and another binary process for occlusion of dual adjacent targets. By introducing two robust functions, we eliminate the two binary processes, and then apply a novel version of belief propagation called sequential stratified sampling belief propagation algorithm to obtain the maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation in the dynamic Markov network, By using stratified sampler, we incorporate bottom-up information provided by a learned detector (e.g. SVM classifier) and belief information for the messages updating. Other low-level visual cues (e.g. color and shape) can be easily incorporated in our multi-target tracking model to obtain better tracking results. Experimental results suggest that our method is comparable to the state-of-the-art multiple targets tracking methods in several test cases.
基金This work was funded by the National Key R&D Program of China(2018YFD0900904)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(31772852)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(No.201562030,No.201612004).
文摘Stratified random survey is commonly used to estimate abundance indices of fish populations in multispecies survey,providing reliable data for stock assessment and fisheries management.In some cases,however,the sample size is relatively small because of the limitation of survey cost or other factors.The allocation methods of sampling efforts among strata in stratified random surveys with small sample size may need adjustment compared with traditional approaches.In this study,two sampling stations were allocated to each stratum first and then the remaining sampling units were allocated among strata using five traditional allocation methods.In order to distinguish them from traditional methods,we called them adjusted methods in this study.A simulation study was conducted to compare the performances of different allocation strategies of sampling efforts in a stratified random survey for estimating abundance indices of multiple target species.Relative estimation error(REE)and relative bias(RB)were used to measure the precision and accuracy of estimates of abundance indices under different allocation schemes of sampling efforts in the multispecies survey.The performances of different allocation schemes in estimating abundance indices varied greatly for different species over different seasons.The adjusted Neyman allocation scheme could significantly reduce the REE and RB of estimates of abundance index for single species survey.For multiple species surveys,the adjusted average-Neyman allocation method,the adjusted Yate allocation method,the adjusted proportional allocation method and current allocation method had relatively high accuracy and precision of estimates of abundance indices for four species in terms of the total_(REE) and total_(RB).Though the adjusted average-Neyman allocation scheme did not always have the best performance,it was the optimal one considering the accuracy and precision of estimates of abundance indices for all species simultaneously.The allocation of sampling efforts among strata in stratified random surveys targeting for estimating abundance indices of multiple species should comprehensively consider the variance of abundance of different species in stratum and the seasonal changes.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.10171051)
文摘Suppose that several different imperfect instruments and one perfect instrument are used independently to measure some characteristic of a population. In order to make full use of the sample information, in this paper the empirical likelihood method is put forward for making inferences on parameters of interest under stratified random sampling in the presence of measurement error, Our results show that it can lead to estimators which are asymptotically normal and utilize all the available sample information. We also obtain the asymptotic distribution of empirical likelihood testing statistics. In particular, we apply the method to obtain estimator and confidence interval of population mean.