With an increase in population and economic development,water withdrawals are close to or even exceed the amount of water available in many regions of the world.Modelling water withdrawals could help water planners im...With an increase in population and economic development,water withdrawals are close to or even exceed the amount of water available in many regions of the world.Modelling water withdrawals could help water planners improve the efficiency of water use,water resources allocation,and management in order to alleviate water crises.However,minimal information has been obtained on how water withdrawals have changed over space and time,especially on a regional or local scale.This research proposes a data-driven framework to help estimate county-level distribution of water withdrawals.Using this framework,spatial statistical methods are used to estimate water withdrawals for agricultural,industrial,and domestic purposes in the Huaihe River watershed in China for the period 1978–2018.Total water withdrawals were found to have more than doubled,from 292.55×10^(8)m^(3) in 1978 to 642.93×10^(8)m^(3) in 2009,and decreased to 602.63×10^(8)m^(3) in 2018.Agricultural water increased from 208.17×10^(8)m^(3) in 1978 to 435.80×10^(8)m^(3) in 2009 and decreased to 360.84×10^(8)m^(3) in 2018.Industrial and domestic water usage constantly increased throughout the 1978–2018 period.In 1978,industrial and domestic demands were 20.35×10^(8)m^(3) and 60.04×10^(8)m^(3),respectively,and up until 2018,the figures were 105.58×10^(8)m^(3) and 136.20×10^(8)m^(3).From a spatial distribution perspective,Moran’s I statistical results show that the total water withdrawal has significant spatial autocorrelation during 1978–2018.The overall trend was a gradual increase in 1978–2010 with withdrawal beginning to decline in 2010–2018.The results of Getis-Ord G_(i)^(*)statistical calculations showed spatially contiguous clusters of total water withdrawal in the Huaihe River watershed during1978–2010,and the spatial agglomeration weakened from 2010 to 2018.This study provides a data-driven framework for assessing water withdrawals to enable a deeper understanding of competing water use among economic sectors as well as water withdrawal modelled with proper data resource and method.展开更多
By considering numerical features, spatial variation, and spatial association, the spatial patterns of China's irrigation water withdrawals in 2001 and 2010 were explored at the regional, provincial, and prefectur...By considering numerical features, spatial variation, and spatial association, the spatial patterns of China's irrigation water withdrawals in 2001 and 2010 were explored at the regional, provincial, and prefectural scales. In addition, an overlay analysis was used to develop specific water-saving guidance for areas under different levels of water stress and with different degrees of irrigation water withdrawals. It was found that at the regional scale, irrigation water withdrawals were highest in the Middle-Lower Yangtze River region in both years, while at the provincial scale, the largest irrigation water withdrawals occurred in Xinjiang. During 2001–2010, the total of irrigation water withdrawals decreased; however, in the Northeast region, especially in Heilongjiang Province, it experienced a dramatic increase. The spatial variation was largest at the prefectural scale, with an apparent effect. The spatial association was globally negative at the provincial scale, and Xinjiang was the only significant high-low outlier. In contrast, the association displayed a significant positive relationship at the prefectural scale, and several clusters and outliers were detected. Finally, it was found that the water stress in the northern part of China worsened and water-saving irrigation techniques urgently need to be applied in the Northeast region, the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain region, and Gansu-Xinjiang region. This study verified that a multi-scale and aspect analysis of the spatial patterns of irrigation water withdrawals were essential and provided water-saving advice for different areas.展开更多
Water-level reduction frequently occurs in deep reservoirs,but its effect on dissolved oxygen concentration is not well understood.In this study we used a well-established water qual-itymodel to illustrate effects of ...Water-level reduction frequently occurs in deep reservoirs,but its effect on dissolved oxygen concentration is not well understood.In this study we used a well-established water qual-itymodel to illustrate effects of water level dynamics on oxygen concentration in Rappbode Reservoir,Germany.We then systematically elucidated the potential of selectivewithdrawal to control hypoxia under changing water levels.Our results documented a gradual decrease of hypolimnetic oxygen concentration under decreasing water level,and hypoxia occurred when the initial level was lower than 410 m a.s.l(71 m relative to the reservoir bottom).We also suggested that changes of hypoxic region,under increasing hypolimnetic withdrawal discharge,followed a unimodal trajectory with themaximum hypoxic area projected under the discharge between 3 m^(3)/sec and 4 m^(3)/sec.Besides,our results illustrated the extent of hypoxia was most effectively inhibited if the withdrawal strategy was applied at the end of stratification with the outlet elevation at the deepest part of the reservoir.Moreover,hy-poxia can be totally avoided under a hybrid elevation withdrawal strategy using surface withdrawal during early and mid stratification,and deep withdrawal at the end of strat-ification.We further confirmed the decisive role of thermal structure in the formation of hypoxia under water-level reduction and withdrawal strategies.We believe the conclusions from this study can be applied to many deep waters in the temperate zone,and the results should guide stakeholders to mitigate negative impacts of hypoxia on aquatic ecosystems.展开更多
The multi-level ditch system developed in the Sanjiang Plain,Northeast China has sped up water drainage process hence transferred more pollutants from farmlands into the rivers of this region.Understanding the seasona...The multi-level ditch system developed in the Sanjiang Plain,Northeast China has sped up water drainage process hence transferred more pollutants from farmlands into the rivers of this region.Understanding the seasonal dynamics of nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) transportation in the ditch system and the role of different ditch size is thus crucial for water pollution control of the rivers in the Sanjiang Plain.In this study,an investigation was conducted in the Nongjiang watershed of the Sanjiang Plain to study the nutrient variation and the correlation between water and sediments in the ditch system in terms of ditch level.Water and sediments samples were collected in each ditch level in growing season at regular intervals (once per month),and TN,NO 3--N,NH 4+-N,TP,and PO 4 3--P were analyzed.The results show that nutrient contents in water were higher in June and July,especially in July,the contents of TN and TP were 3.21mg/L and 0.84mg/L in field ditch,4.04mg/L and 1.06mg/L in lateral ditch,2.46mg/L and 0.70mg/L in branch ditch,1.92mg/L and 0.63mg/L in main ditch,respectively.In August and September,the nutrient contents in the water were relatively lower.The peak value of nutrient in ditch water had been moving from the field ditch to the main ditch over time,showing a remarkable impact of ditch system on river water environment.The nutrient transfer in ditch sediments could only be found in rainfall season.Nutrient contents in ditch sediment had effect on that in ditch water,but nutrients in ditch water and sediments had different origination.Ditch management in terms of the key fac-tors is hence very important for protecting river water environment.展开更多
This paper explores the impact of the convective action over the low-latitude region, the water vapor transport around the West Pacific subtropical high (WPSH), and its convective action on the seasonal northward jump...This paper explores the impact of the convective action over the low-latitude region, the water vapor transport around the West Pacific subtropical high (WPSH), and its convective action on the seasonal northward jump and southward withdrawal of the WPSH in summer by using the daily data set of NCEP and TBB for 1998. The research shows that in summer, the WPSH moves northward when the convection over the low-latitude tropical region intensifies and the subsidence region of the meridional vertically vertical circulation in meridional direction circulation over the region of 110?150癊 moves northward. Furthermore, as revealed by diagnostic analysis, the subtropical high moves northward after the obvious weakening of the longitudinal water vapor transport over the region around the subtropical high, but withdraws southward a pentad after the reduction of the latitudinal water vapor transport over the tropical West Pacific region. The research results show that the northward jump and southward withdrawal of the WPSH are closely related to the release of the convective latent heat at low latitudes and the water vapor transport at boundaries around WPSH and its convective action. The numerical simulation further validates the above-mentioned correlation between the variation of the action of the subtropical high and the preceding water vapor transport along with the convection characteristics.展开更多
Under saturation dosage of all kinds of SP, the free water amount was examined by centrifuge. The distribution of solution and flocculation microstructures in fresh cement paste was observed in three- dimensional spac...Under saturation dosage of all kinds of SP, the free water amount was examined by centrifuge. The distribution of solution and flocculation microstructures in fresh cement paste was observed in three- dimensional space by confocal laser scanning microscope(CLSM). Results indicate that SP can increase the free water amount by destroying the flocculated cement particle structure and different free water amount is released by different kinds of SP. The changes of the size of flocculation structures and the dispersion of solution were obviously detected with confocal laser scanning microscope: the size of flocculation structures was smaller and more dispersed in fresh cement paste with polycarboxylate superplasticizer, but the size of flocculation structures was bigger and cannot be dispersed uniformly in fresh cement paste with others SP. The multi- level flocculation structures theoretical model of fresh cement paste was then set up. The theory indicates that different kinds of SP with different dispersion strength will open the flocculation structures at different levels, which in turn present different water reducing rate.展开更多
In this paper,a new model with a total amount control target of allowable water withdrawal based on initial water right is built for the implementation of initial water right allocation scheme as well as unified alloc...In this paper,a new model with a total amount control target of allowable water withdrawal based on initial water right is built for the implementation of initial water right allocation scheme as well as unified allocation for allowable water withdrawal and sewage discharge.The model couples the water allocation simulation model and the computational model of permissible pol-lution bearing capacity.In view of the model complexity,a new technology which synthesizes system simulation,iterative reservoir turns and intelligent computation is proposed to improve the operability of allocation scheme and computational efficiency.Taking the Beijiang River Basin in the Pearl River Basin as an example,the study explains the model establishment,solution and application,and draws an optimized operation graph of large-scale reservoirs.The study also obtains a long-term operation strategy of river basin water resources system,the allocation schemes of allowable water withdrawal and sewage discharge in a typical year and the flow hydrographs of trans-boundary sections.The validity of the model and the allocation rationality are analyzed as well.展开更多
With ever increasing water demands and the continuous intensification of water scarcity arising from China's industrialization, the country is struggling to harmonize its industrial development and water supply. This...With ever increasing water demands and the continuous intensification of water scarcity arising from China's industrialization, the country is struggling to harmonize its industrial development and water supply. This paper presents a systems analysis of water with- drawals by Chinese industry and investigates demand- driven industrial water uses embodied in final demand and interregional trade based on a multi-regional input-output model. In 2007, the Electric Power, Steam, and Hot Water Production and Supply sector ranks first in direct industrial water withdrawal (DWW), and Construction has the largest embodied industrial water use (EWU). Investment, consumption, and exports contribute to 34.6%, 33.3%, and 30.6% of the national total EWU, respectively. Specifically, 58.0%, 51.1%, 48.6%, 43.3%, and 37.5% of the regional EWUs respectively in Guangdong, Shanghai, Zhejiang, Jiangsu, and Fujian are attributed to international exports. The total interregional import/export of embodied water is equivalent to about 40% of the national total DWW, of which 55.5% is associated with the DWWs of Electric Power, Steam, and Hot Water Production and Supply. Jiangsu is the biggest interregional exporter and deficit receiver of embodied water, in contrast to Guangdong as the biggest interregional importer and surplus receiver. Without implementing effective water- saving measures and adjusting industrial structures, the regional imbalance between water availability and water demand tends to intensify considering the water impact of domestic trade of industrial products. Steps taken to improve water use efficiency in production, and to enhance embodied water saving in consumption are both of great significance for supporting China's water policies.展开更多
Synergetic energy-water-carbon pathways are key issues to be tackled under carbon-neutral target and high-quality development worldwide,especially in ecologically vulnerable regions(EVRs).In this study,to explore the ...Synergetic energy-water-carbon pathways are key issues to be tackled under carbon-neutral target and high-quality development worldwide,especially in ecologically vulnerable regions(EVRs).In this study,to explore the synergistic pathways in an EVR,a water-energy-carbon assessment(WECA)model was built,and the synergistic effects of water-energy-carbon were comprehensively and quantitatively analyzed under various scenarios of regional transition.Shaanxi Province was chosen as the representative EVR,and Lower challenge(LEC)and Greater challenge(GER)scenarios of zerocarbon transition were set considering the technological maturity and regional energy characteristics.The results showed that there were limited effects under the zero-carbon transition of the entire region on reducing water withdrawals and improving the water quality.In the LEC scenario,the energy demand and CO_(2) emissions of Shaanxi in 2060 will decrease by 70.9%and 99.4%,respectively,whereas the water withdrawal and freshwater aquatic ecotoxicity potential(FAETP)will only decrease by 8.9%and 1.6%,respectively.This could be attributed to the stronger demand for electricity in the energy demand sector caused by industrial transition measures.The GER scenario showed significant growth in water withdrawals(16.0%)and FAETP(36.0%)because of additional biomass demand.To promote the synergetic development of regional transition,EVRs should urgently promote zero-carbon technologies(especially solar and wind power technologies)between 2020 and 2060 and dry cooling technology for power generation before 2030.In particular,a cautious attitude toward the biomass energy with carbon capture and storage technology in EVRs is strongly recommended.展开更多
基金Under the auspices of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.71203200)the National Social Science Fund Project(No.20&ZD138)+1 种基金the National Science and Technology Platform Construction Project(No.2005DKA32300)the Major Research Projects of the Ministry of Education(No.16JJD770019)。
文摘With an increase in population and economic development,water withdrawals are close to or even exceed the amount of water available in many regions of the world.Modelling water withdrawals could help water planners improve the efficiency of water use,water resources allocation,and management in order to alleviate water crises.However,minimal information has been obtained on how water withdrawals have changed over space and time,especially on a regional or local scale.This research proposes a data-driven framework to help estimate county-level distribution of water withdrawals.Using this framework,spatial statistical methods are used to estimate water withdrawals for agricultural,industrial,and domestic purposes in the Huaihe River watershed in China for the period 1978–2018.Total water withdrawals were found to have more than doubled,from 292.55×10^(8)m^(3) in 1978 to 642.93×10^(8)m^(3) in 2009,and decreased to 602.63×10^(8)m^(3) in 2018.Agricultural water increased from 208.17×10^(8)m^(3) in 1978 to 435.80×10^(8)m^(3) in 2009 and decreased to 360.84×10^(8)m^(3) in 2018.Industrial and domestic water usage constantly increased throughout the 1978–2018 period.In 1978,industrial and domestic demands were 20.35×10^(8)m^(3) and 60.04×10^(8)m^(3),respectively,and up until 2018,the figures were 105.58×10^(8)m^(3) and 136.20×10^(8)m^(3).From a spatial distribution perspective,Moran’s I statistical results show that the total water withdrawal has significant spatial autocorrelation during 1978–2018.The overall trend was a gradual increase in 1978–2010 with withdrawal beginning to decline in 2010–2018.The results of Getis-Ord G_(i)^(*)statistical calculations showed spatially contiguous clusters of total water withdrawal in the Huaihe River watershed during1978–2010,and the spatial agglomeration weakened from 2010 to 2018.This study provides a data-driven framework for assessing water withdrawals to enable a deeper understanding of competing water use among economic sectors as well as water withdrawal modelled with proper data resource and method.
基金Under the auspices of National Science and Technology Support Projects of China(No.2014BAL01B01C)
文摘By considering numerical features, spatial variation, and spatial association, the spatial patterns of China's irrigation water withdrawals in 2001 and 2010 were explored at the regional, provincial, and prefectural scales. In addition, an overlay analysis was used to develop specific water-saving guidance for areas under different levels of water stress and with different degrees of irrigation water withdrawals. It was found that at the regional scale, irrigation water withdrawals were highest in the Middle-Lower Yangtze River region in both years, while at the provincial scale, the largest irrigation water withdrawals occurred in Xinjiang. During 2001–2010, the total of irrigation water withdrawals decreased; however, in the Northeast region, especially in Heilongjiang Province, it experienced a dramatic increase. The spatial variation was largest at the prefectural scale, with an apparent effect. The spatial association was globally negative at the provincial scale, and Xinjiang was the only significant high-low outlier. In contrast, the association displayed a significant positive relationship at the prefectural scale, and several clusters and outliers were detected. Finally, it was found that the water stress in the northern part of China worsened and water-saving irrigation techniques urgently need to be applied in the Northeast region, the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain region, and Gansu-Xinjiang region. This study verified that a multi-scale and aspect analysis of the spatial patterns of irrigation water withdrawals were essential and provided water-saving advice for different areas.
基金supported by the German Research Founda-tion(DFG,grant RI 2040/4-1)the InventWater ITN(Inventive forecasting tools for adapting water quality management to a new climate)through the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research,innovation program under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement No.956623 and UFZ Program Integra-tion Budget+3 种基金Chenxi Mi acknowledges the financial support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42107060)Liaoning Provincial Doctoral Research Startup Fund Project(No.2022-BS-174)supported by the“Xingliao Talents Plan”science and technology in-novation leading talents project of Liaoning Province(No.XLYC2002054)the National Key Research and Develop-ment Program of China(NO.2022YFF1301000-4).
文摘Water-level reduction frequently occurs in deep reservoirs,but its effect on dissolved oxygen concentration is not well understood.In this study we used a well-established water qual-itymodel to illustrate effects of water level dynamics on oxygen concentration in Rappbode Reservoir,Germany.We then systematically elucidated the potential of selectivewithdrawal to control hypoxia under changing water levels.Our results documented a gradual decrease of hypolimnetic oxygen concentration under decreasing water level,and hypoxia occurred when the initial level was lower than 410 m a.s.l(71 m relative to the reservoir bottom).We also suggested that changes of hypoxic region,under increasing hypolimnetic withdrawal discharge,followed a unimodal trajectory with themaximum hypoxic area projected under the discharge between 3 m^(3)/sec and 4 m^(3)/sec.Besides,our results illustrated the extent of hypoxia was most effectively inhibited if the withdrawal strategy was applied at the end of stratification with the outlet elevation at the deepest part of the reservoir.Moreover,hy-poxia can be totally avoided under a hybrid elevation withdrawal strategy using surface withdrawal during early and mid stratification,and deep withdrawal at the end of strat-ification.We further confirmed the decisive role of thermal structure in the formation of hypoxia under water-level reduction and withdrawal strategies.We believe the conclusions from this study can be applied to many deep waters in the temperate zone,and the results should guide stakeholders to mitigate negative impacts of hypoxia on aquatic ecosystems.
基金Under the auspices of Major State Basic Research Development Program of China (No.2007CB407307)National Key Technology Research and Development Program of China (No.2006BAC15B01)National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 40671182)
文摘The multi-level ditch system developed in the Sanjiang Plain,Northeast China has sped up water drainage process hence transferred more pollutants from farmlands into the rivers of this region.Understanding the seasonal dynamics of nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) transportation in the ditch system and the role of different ditch size is thus crucial for water pollution control of the rivers in the Sanjiang Plain.In this study,an investigation was conducted in the Nongjiang watershed of the Sanjiang Plain to study the nutrient variation and the correlation between water and sediments in the ditch system in terms of ditch level.Water and sediments samples were collected in each ditch level in growing season at regular intervals (once per month),and TN,NO 3--N,NH 4+-N,TP,and PO 4 3--P were analyzed.The results show that nutrient contents in water were higher in June and July,especially in July,the contents of TN and TP were 3.21mg/L and 0.84mg/L in field ditch,4.04mg/L and 1.06mg/L in lateral ditch,2.46mg/L and 0.70mg/L in branch ditch,1.92mg/L and 0.63mg/L in main ditch,respectively.In August and September,the nutrient contents in the water were relatively lower.The peak value of nutrient in ditch water had been moving from the field ditch to the main ditch over time,showing a remarkable impact of ditch system on river water environment.The nutrient transfer in ditch sediments could only be found in rainfall season.Nutrient contents in ditch sediment had effect on that in ditch water,but nutrients in ditch water and sediments had different origination.Ditch management in terms of the key fac-tors is hence very important for protecting river water environment.
基金This study is supported by the Huaihe River Basin Energy and Water Cycle Experiment and Study Project under Grant No. 49794030 and East Asian Monsoon Experiment (EAMEX) under Grant No. 2001CCB00400.
文摘This paper explores the impact of the convective action over the low-latitude region, the water vapor transport around the West Pacific subtropical high (WPSH), and its convective action on the seasonal northward jump and southward withdrawal of the WPSH in summer by using the daily data set of NCEP and TBB for 1998. The research shows that in summer, the WPSH moves northward when the convection over the low-latitude tropical region intensifies and the subsidence region of the meridional vertically vertical circulation in meridional direction circulation over the region of 110?150癊 moves northward. Furthermore, as revealed by diagnostic analysis, the subtropical high moves northward after the obvious weakening of the longitudinal water vapor transport over the region around the subtropical high, but withdraws southward a pentad after the reduction of the latitudinal water vapor transport over the tropical West Pacific region. The research results show that the northward jump and southward withdrawal of the WPSH are closely related to the release of the convective latent heat at low latitudes and the water vapor transport at boundaries around WPSH and its convective action. The numerical simulation further validates the above-mentioned correlation between the variation of the action of the subtropical high and the preceding water vapor transport along with the convection characteristics.
基金Funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.50872151)the Outstanding Innovative Talents Program of China University of Mining&Technology(Beijing)(No.00-800015Z637)
文摘Under saturation dosage of all kinds of SP, the free water amount was examined by centrifuge. The distribution of solution and flocculation microstructures in fresh cement paste was observed in three- dimensional space by confocal laser scanning microscope(CLSM). Results indicate that SP can increase the free water amount by destroying the flocculated cement particle structure and different free water amount is released by different kinds of SP. The changes of the size of flocculation structures and the dispersion of solution were obviously detected with confocal laser scanning microscope: the size of flocculation structures was smaller and more dispersed in fresh cement paste with polycarboxylate superplasticizer, but the size of flocculation structures was bigger and cannot be dispersed uniformly in fresh cement paste with others SP. The multi- level flocculation structures theoretical model of fresh cement paste was then set up. The theory indicates that different kinds of SP with different dispersion strength will open the flocculation structures at different levels, which in turn present different water reducing rate.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No.50909063,70771035)Humanities and Social Sciences Foundation provided by Ministry of Education of China (Grant No.07JC790015)Non-profit Industry Financial Program of Ministry Water Resources of China (Grant No.200901044)
文摘In this paper,a new model with a total amount control target of allowable water withdrawal based on initial water right is built for the implementation of initial water right allocation scheme as well as unified allocation for allowable water withdrawal and sewage discharge.The model couples the water allocation simulation model and the computational model of permissible pol-lution bearing capacity.In view of the model complexity,a new technology which synthesizes system simulation,iterative reservoir turns and intelligent computation is proposed to improve the operability of allocation scheme and computational efficiency.Taking the Beijiang River Basin in the Pearl River Basin as an example,the study explains the model establishment,solution and application,and draws an optimized operation graph of large-scale reservoirs.The study also obtains a long-term operation strategy of river basin water resources system,the allocation schemes of allowable water withdrawal and sewage discharge in a typical year and the flow hydrographs of trans-boundary sections.The validity of the model and the allocation rationality are analyzed as well.
基金This study has been supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 71403270), the Foundation of State Key Laboratory of Coal Resources and Safe Mining, China University of Mining & Technology (Grant No. SKLCRSM14KFA03), and the Specialized Research Fund for the Doctoral Program of Higher Education of China (Grant No. 20120023120002).
文摘With ever increasing water demands and the continuous intensification of water scarcity arising from China's industrialization, the country is struggling to harmonize its industrial development and water supply. This paper presents a systems analysis of water with- drawals by Chinese industry and investigates demand- driven industrial water uses embodied in final demand and interregional trade based on a multi-regional input-output model. In 2007, the Electric Power, Steam, and Hot Water Production and Supply sector ranks first in direct industrial water withdrawal (DWW), and Construction has the largest embodied industrial water use (EWU). Investment, consumption, and exports contribute to 34.6%, 33.3%, and 30.6% of the national total EWU, respectively. Specifically, 58.0%, 51.1%, 48.6%, 43.3%, and 37.5% of the regional EWUs respectively in Guangdong, Shanghai, Zhejiang, Jiangsu, and Fujian are attributed to international exports. The total interregional import/export of embodied water is equivalent to about 40% of the national total DWW, of which 55.5% is associated with the DWWs of Electric Power, Steam, and Hot Water Production and Supply. Jiangsu is the biggest interregional exporter and deficit receiver of embodied water, in contrast to Guangdong as the biggest interregional importer and surplus receiver. Without implementing effective water- saving measures and adjusting industrial structures, the regional imbalance between water availability and water demand tends to intensify considering the water impact of domestic trade of industrial products. Steps taken to improve water use efficiency in production, and to enhance embodied water saving in consumption are both of great significance for supporting China's water policies.
基金funded by the Department of Science and Technology of Zhejiang Province in China(“Pioneer”and“Bellwethers”R&D Projects,No.2022C03119)the Environmental Defense Fund(Nos.EDF-B-5282019 and 20220023).
文摘Synergetic energy-water-carbon pathways are key issues to be tackled under carbon-neutral target and high-quality development worldwide,especially in ecologically vulnerable regions(EVRs).In this study,to explore the synergistic pathways in an EVR,a water-energy-carbon assessment(WECA)model was built,and the synergistic effects of water-energy-carbon were comprehensively and quantitatively analyzed under various scenarios of regional transition.Shaanxi Province was chosen as the representative EVR,and Lower challenge(LEC)and Greater challenge(GER)scenarios of zerocarbon transition were set considering the technological maturity and regional energy characteristics.The results showed that there were limited effects under the zero-carbon transition of the entire region on reducing water withdrawals and improving the water quality.In the LEC scenario,the energy demand and CO_(2) emissions of Shaanxi in 2060 will decrease by 70.9%and 99.4%,respectively,whereas the water withdrawal and freshwater aquatic ecotoxicity potential(FAETP)will only decrease by 8.9%and 1.6%,respectively.This could be attributed to the stronger demand for electricity in the energy demand sector caused by industrial transition measures.The GER scenario showed significant growth in water withdrawals(16.0%)and FAETP(36.0%)because of additional biomass demand.To promote the synergetic development of regional transition,EVRs should urgently promote zero-carbon technologies(especially solar and wind power technologies)between 2020 and 2060 and dry cooling technology for power generation before 2030.In particular,a cautious attitude toward the biomass energy with carbon capture and storage technology in EVRs is strongly recommended.