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Relationships between Terrain Features and Forecasting Errors of Surface Wind Speeds in a Mesoscale Numerical Weather Prediction Model
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作者 Wenbo XUE Hui YU +1 位作者 Shengming TANG Wei HUANG 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2024年第6期1161-1170,共10页
Numerical weather prediction(NWP)models have always presented large forecasting errors of surface wind speeds over regions with complex terrain.In this study,surface wind forecasts from an operational NWP model,the SM... Numerical weather prediction(NWP)models have always presented large forecasting errors of surface wind speeds over regions with complex terrain.In this study,surface wind forecasts from an operational NWP model,the SMS-WARR(Shanghai Meteorological Service-WRF ADAS Rapid Refresh System),are analyzed to quantitatively reveal the relationships between the forecasted surface wind speed errors and terrain features,with the intent of providing clues to better apply the NWP model to complex terrain regions.The terrain features are described by three parameters:the standard deviation of the model grid-scale orography,terrain height error of the model,and slope angle.The results show that the forecast bias has a unimodal distribution with a change in the standard deviation of orography.The minimum ME(the mean value of bias)is 1.2 m s^(-1) when the standard deviation is between 60 and 70 m.A positive correlation exists between bias and terrain height error,with the ME increasing by 10%−30%for every 200 m increase in terrain height error.The ME decreases by 65.6%when slope angle increases from(0.5°−1.5°)to larger than 3.5°for uphill winds but increases by 35.4%when the absolute value of slope angle increases from(0.5°−1.5°)to(2.5°−3.5°)for downhill winds.Several sensitivity experiments are carried out with a model output statistical(MOS)calibration model for surface wind speeds and ME(RMSE)has been reduced by 90%(30%)by introducing terrain parameters,demonstrating the value of this study. 展开更多
关键词 surface wind speed terrain features error analysis MOS calibration model
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VALIDATION OF NEAR-SURFACE WINDS OBTAINED BY A HYBRID WRF/CALMET MODELING SYSTEM OVER A COASTAL ISLAND WITH COMPLEX TERRAIN 被引量:8
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作者 路屹雄 汤剑平 +1 位作者 王元 宋丽莉 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 SCIE 2012年第3期284-296,共13页
The results from a hybrid approach that combines a mesoscale meteorological model with a diagnostic model to produce high-resolution wind fields in complex coastal topography are evaluated.The diagnostic wind model(Ca... The results from a hybrid approach that combines a mesoscale meteorological model with a diagnostic model to produce high-resolution wind fields in complex coastal topography are evaluated.The diagnostic wind model(California Meteorological Model,CALMET) with 100-m horizontal spacing was driven with outputs from the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF) model to obtain near-surface winds for the 1-year period from 12 September 2003 to 11 September 2004.Results were compared with wind observations at four sites.Traditional statistical scores,including correlation coefficients,standard deviations(SDs) and mean absolute errors(MAEs),indicate that the wind estimates from the WRF/CALMET modeling system are produced reasonably well.The correlation coefficients are relatively large,ranging from 0.5 to 0.7 for the zonal wind component and from 0.75 to 0.85 for the meridional wind component.MAEs for wind speed range from 1.5 to 2.0 m s-1 at 10 meters above ground level(AGL) and from 2.0 to 2.5 m s-1 at 60 m AGL.MAEs for wind direction range from 30 to 40 degrees at both levels.A spectral decomposition of the time series of wind speed shows positive impacts of CALMET in improving the mesoscale winds.Moreover,combining the CALMET model with WRF significantly improves the spatial variability of the simulated wind fields.It can be concluded that the WRF/CALMET modeling system is capable of providing a detailed near-surface wind field,but the physics in the diagnostic CALMET model needs to be further improved. 展开更多
关键词 near-surface winds WRF/CALMET modeling system complex terrain
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Distributed modeling of direct solar radiation on rugged terrain of the Yellow River Basin 被引量:4
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作者 ZENG Yan QIU Xinfa +1 位作者 LIU Changming JIANG Aijun 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2005年第4期439-447,共9页
Due to the influences of local topographical factors and terrain inter-shielding, calculation of direct solar radiation (DSR) quantity of rugged terrain is very complex. Based on digital elevation model (DEM) data... Due to the influences of local topographical factors and terrain inter-shielding, calculation of direct solar radiation (DSR) quantity of rugged terrain is very complex. Based on digital elevation model (DEM) data and meteorological observations, a distributed model for calculating DSR over rugged terrain is developed. This model gives an all-sided consideration on factors influencing th a resolution of 1 km × 1 km for thDSR. Using the developed model, normals of annual DSR quantity wie Yellow River Basin was generated, with DEM data as the general characterization of terrain. Characteristics of DSR quantity influenced by geographic and topographic factors over rugged terrain were analyzed thoroughly. Results suggest that: influenced by local topographic factors, i.e. azimuth, slope and so on, and annual DSR quantity over mountainous area has a clear spatial difference; annual DSR quantity of sunny slope (or southern slope) of mountains is obviously larger than that of shady slope (or northern slope). The calculated DSR quantity of the Yellow River Basin is provided in the same way as other kinds of spatial information and can be employed as basic geographic data for relevant studies as well. 展开更多
关键词 direct solar radiation (DSR) rugged terrain digital elevation model (DEM) distributed model Yellow River Basin
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Multi-resolution image segmentation based on Gaussian mixture model 被引量:5
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作者 Tang Yinggan Liu Dong Guan Xinping 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2006年第4期870-874,共5页
Mixture model based image segmentation method, which assumes that image pixels are independent and do not consider the position relationship between pixels, is not robust to noise and usually leads to misclassificatio... Mixture model based image segmentation method, which assumes that image pixels are independent and do not consider the position relationship between pixels, is not robust to noise and usually leads to misclassification. A new segmentation method, called multi-resolution Ganssian mixture model method, is proposed. First, an image pyramid is constructed and son-father link relationship is built between each level of pyramid. Then the mixture model segmentation method is applied to the top level. The segmentation result on the top level is passed top-down to the bottom level according to the son-father link relationship between levels. The proposed method considers not only local but also global information of image, it overcomes the effect of noise and can obtain better segmentation result. Experimental result demonstrates its effectiveness. 展开更多
关键词 image segmentation multi-resolution Ganssian mixture model.
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Correction of CMPAS Precipitation Products over Complex Terrain Areas with Machine Learning Models
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作者 李施颖 黄晓龙 +2 位作者 吴薇 杜冰 蒋雨荷 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 SCIE 2023年第2期264-276,共13页
Machine learning models were used to improve the accuracy of China Meteorological Administration Multisource Precipitation Analysis System(CMPAS)in complex terrain areas by combining rain gauge precipitation with topo... Machine learning models were used to improve the accuracy of China Meteorological Administration Multisource Precipitation Analysis System(CMPAS)in complex terrain areas by combining rain gauge precipitation with topographic factors like altitude,slope,slope direction,slope variability,surface roughness,and meteorological factors like temperature and wind speed.The results of the correction demonstrated that the ensemble learning method has a considerably corrective effect and the three methods(Random Forest,AdaBoost,and Bagging)adopted in the study had similar results.The mean bias between CMPAS and 85%of automatic weather stations has dropped by more than 30%.The plateau region displays the largest accuracy increase,the winter season shows the greatest error reduction,and decreasing precipitation improves the correction outcome.Additionally,the heavy precipitation process’precision has improved to some degree.For individual stations,the revised CMPAS error fluctuation range is significantly reduced. 展开更多
关键词 machine learning models ensemble learning precipitation correction error correction high-resolution precipitation complex terrain
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Distributed Modeling of Extraterrestrial Solar Radiation Over the Rugged Terrains of Pakistan 被引量:3
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作者 Romana AMBREEN QIU Xinfa Iftikhar AHMAD 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2011年第3期427-436,共10页
In Pakistan,the solar analogue has been addressed but its surface geographical parameterization has given least attention.Inappropriate density of stations and their spatial coverage particularly in difficult peripher... In Pakistan,the solar analogue has been addressed but its surface geographical parameterization has given least attention.Inappropriate density of stations and their spatial coverage particularly in difficult peripheral national territories,little or no solar radiation data,non-satisfactory sunshine hours data,and low quality of ground observed cloud cover data create a situation in which the spatial modeling of Extraterrestrial Solar Radiation(ESR) and its ground parameterization got sufficient scope.The Digital Elevation Model (DEM) input into Geographic Information System (GIS) is a compatible tool to demonstrate the spatial distribution of ESR over the rugged terrains of the study domain.For the first time,distributed modeling of ESR is done over the rugged terrains of Pakistan,based on DEM and ArcGIS..Results clearly depict that the complex landforms profoundly disrupt the zonal distribution of ESR in Pakistan.The screening impact of topography is higher on spatial distribution of ESR in winter and considerably low in summer.The combined effect of topography and latitude is obvious.Hence,the model was further testified by plotting Rb (ratio of ESR quantity over rugged terrain against plane surface) against azimuth at different latitudes with different angled slopes.The results clearly support the strong screening effect of rugged terrain through out the country especially in Himalayas,Karakoram and Hindukush (HKH),western border mountains and Balochistan Plateau.This model can be instrumental as baseline geospatial information for scientific investigations in Pakistan,where substantial fraction of national population is living in mountainous regions. 展开更多
关键词 崎岖地形 巴基斯坦 分布式建模 天文辐射 数字高程模型 地理信息系统 ARCGIS 地理空间信息
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Three-Dimensional TIN Algorithm for Digital Terrain Modeling 被引量:6
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作者 ZHU Qing ZHANG Yeting LI Fengchun 《Geo-Spatial Information Science》 2008年第2期79-85,共7页
The problem of taking an unorganized point cloud in 3D space and fitting a polyhedral surface to those points is both important and difficult. Aiming at increasing applications of full three dimensional digital terrai... The problem of taking an unorganized point cloud in 3D space and fitting a polyhedral surface to those points is both important and difficult. Aiming at increasing applications of full three dimensional digital terrain surface modeling, a new algorithm for the automatic generation of three dimensional triangulated irregular network from a point cloud is pro- posed. Based on the local topological consistency test, a combined algorithm of constrained 3D Delaunay triangulation and region-growing is extended to ensure topologically correct reconstruction. This paper also introduced an efficient neighbor- ing triangle location method by making full use of the surface normal information. Experimental results prove that this algo- rithm can efficiently obtain the most reasonable reconstructed mesh surface with arbitrary topology, wherein the automati- cally reconstructed surface has only small topological difference from the true surface. This algorithm has potential applica- tions to virtual environments, computer vision, and so on. 展开更多
关键词 三角形 三维网络 测绘数据库 地球科学
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Modeling the 3D Terrain Effect on MT by the Boundary Element Method
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作者 阮百尧 徐世浙 徐志锋 《Journal of China University of Geosciences》 SCIE CSCD 2006年第2期163-167,共5页
A numerical method is put forward in this paper, using the boundary element method (BEM) to model 3D terrain effects on magnetotelluric (MT) surveys, Using vector integral theory and electromagnetic field boundary... A numerical method is put forward in this paper, using the boundary element method (BEM) to model 3D terrain effects on magnetotelluric (MT) surveys, Using vector integral theory and electromagnetic field boundary conditions, the boundary problem of two electromagnetic fields in the upper half space (air) and lower half space (earth medium) was transformed into two vector integral equations just related to the topography : one magnetic equation for computing the magnetic field and the other electrical equation for computing the electrical field. The topography integral is decomposed into a series of integrals in a triangle element. For the integral in a triangle element, we suppose that the electromagnetic field in it is the stack of the electromagnetic field in the homogeneous earth and the topography response which is a constant; so the computation becomes simple, convenient and highly accurate. By decomposition and computation, each vector integral equation can be calculated by solving three linear equations that are related to the three Cartesian directions. The matrix of these linear equations is diagonally dominant and can be solved using the Symmetric Successive Over-Relaxation (SSOR) method. The apparent resistivity curve of MT on two 3D terrains calculated by BEM is shown in this paper. 展开更多
关键词 3D terrain MT boundary element method numerical modeling.
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Automatic target tracking on multi-resolution terrain 被引量:2
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作者 WAN Ming ZHANG Wei +1 位作者 MURRAY Marie O. KAUFMAN Ariet 《Journal of Zhejiang University-Science A(Applied Physics & Engineering)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2006年第7期1275-1281,共7页
We propose a high-performance path planning algorithm for automatic target tracking in the applications of real-time simulation and visualization of large-scale terrain datasets, with a large number of moving objects ... We propose a high-performance path planning algorithm for automatic target tracking in the applications of real-time simulation and visualization of large-scale terrain datasets, with a large number of moving objects (such as vehicles) tracking multiple moving targets. By using a modified Dijkstra’s algorithm, an optimal path between each vehicle-target pair over a weighted grid-presented terrain is computed and updated to eliminate the problem of local minima and losing of tracking. Then, a dynamic path re-planning strategy using multi-resolution representation of a dynamic updating region is proposed to achieve high-performance by trading-off precision for efficiency, while guaranteeing accuracy. Primary experimental results showed that our algorithm successfully achieved 10 to 96 frames per second interactive path-replanning rates during a terrain simulation scenario with 10 to 100 vehicles and multiple moving targets. 展开更多
关键词 目标跟踪 路径规划 DIJKSTRA算法 体元建模 实时可视化 模拟
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Terrain Simplification Research in Augmented Scene Modeling
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作者 Ming Delie You Kefei Tian Jinwen Liu Jian State Key Laboratory for Image Processing and Intelligent Control, Institute for Pattern Recognition and Artificial Intelligence , Huazhong University of Science and Technology , Wuhan 430074 Wang Guangju 《Journal of China University of Geosciences》 SCIE CSCD 2001年第4期351-355,共5页
Augmented reality is the merging of synthetic sensory information into a user's perception of a real environment. As one of the most important tasks in augmented scene modeling, terrain simplification research has... Augmented reality is the merging of synthetic sensory information into a user's perception of a real environment. As one of the most important tasks in augmented scene modeling, terrain simplification research has gained more and more attention. In this paper, we mainly focus on point selection problem in terrain simplification using triangulated irregular network. Based on the analysis and comparison of traditional importance measures for each input point, we put forward a new importance measure based on local entropy. The results demonstrate that the local entropy criterion has a better performance than any traditional methods. In addition, it can effectively conquer the 'short-sight' problem associated with the traditional methods. 展开更多
关键词 augmented reality scene modeling terrain simplification triangulated irregular network importance measures local entropy.
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Effects of Terrain Morphology Model on Excess Water Inundation and Phosphorus Transport Modeling
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作者 Zsolt Jolankai Laszlo Koncsos 《Journal of Environmental Science and Engineering(B)》 2013年第12期728-735,共8页
关键词 分布式水文模型 交通领域 集水 模拟效果 数字高程模型 淹没 形态 地形
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RANDOM TERRAIN MODEL
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作者 李清 高伟 +1 位作者 陆宇平 沈春林 《Transactions of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics》 EI 1997年第1期19-24,共6页
在超低空突防技术研究过程中,需要对TF/TA算法进行测试。为了解决一个实时测试问题,本文在将地形定义为相关性是指数衰减的随机过程的基础上,给出了一个离散的两维一阶自递归算法产生随机地形数据。对不同的地形情况测试了TF... 在超低空突防技术研究过程中,需要对TF/TA算法进行测试。为了解决一个实时测试问题,本文在将地形定义为相关性是指数衰减的随机过程的基础上,给出了一个离散的两维一阶自递归算法产生随机地形数据。对不同的地形情况测试了TF/TA优化算法,该算法拥有可调的粗糙度参数。 展开更多
关键词 数字地形模型 随机场 地形回避 地形图
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基于Terrain model的三角化运算法则
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作者 周建强 初卫华 +1 位作者 渠志强 杨发展 《莱阳农学院学报》 2006年第3期225-227,231,共4页
针对目前出现的大量的物体表面扫描数据的分割与插值方法,本文提出了一个新的适合Terrain model及其相近的三角化运算法则,并给出了部分运算程序代码。该运算法则经检验与运用,具有很好的实用性。
关键词 terrain model 三角化 运算法则
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Magnetic-resonance image segmentation based on improved variable weight multi-resolution Markov random field in undecimated complex wavelet domain 被引量:1
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作者 范虹 孙一曼 +3 位作者 张效娟 张程程 李向军 王乙 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2021年第7期655-667,共13页
To solve the problem that the magnetic resonance(MR)image has weak boundaries,large amount of information,and low signal-to-noise ratio,we propose an image segmentation method based on the multi-resolution Markov rand... To solve the problem that the magnetic resonance(MR)image has weak boundaries,large amount of information,and low signal-to-noise ratio,we propose an image segmentation method based on the multi-resolution Markov random field(MRMRF)model.The algorithm uses undecimated dual-tree complex wavelet transformation to transform the image into multiple scales.The transformed low-frequency scale histogram is used to improve the initial clustering center of the K-means algorithm,and then other cluster centers are selected according to the maximum distance rule to obtain the coarse-scale segmentation.The results are then segmented by the improved MRMRF model.In order to solve the problem of fuzzy edge segmentation caused by the gray level inhomogeneity of MR image segmentation under the MRMRF model,it is proposed to introduce variable weight parameters in the segmentation process of each scale.Furthermore,the final segmentation results are optimized.We name this algorithm the variable-weight multi-resolution Markov random field(VWMRMRF).The simulation and clinical MR image segmentation verification show that the VWMRMRF algorithm has high segmentation accuracy and robustness,and can accurately and stably achieve low signal-to-noise ratio,weak boundary MR image segmentation. 展开更多
关键词 undecimated dual-tree complex wavelet MR image segmentation multi-resolution Markov random field model
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Dynamic Analysis of the Seafloor Pilot Miner Based on Single-Body Vehicle Model and Discretized Track-Terrain Interaction Model 被引量:5
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作者 戴瑜 刘少军 李力 《China Ocean Engineering》 SCIE EI 2010年第1期145-160,共16页
In order to achieve the complex dynamic analysis of the self-propelled seafloor pilot miner moving on the seafloor of extremely cohesive soft soil and further to make it possible to integrate the miner system with som... In order to achieve the complex dynamic analysis of the self-propelled seafloor pilot miner moving on the seafloor of extremely cohesive soft soil and further to make it possible to integrate the miner system with some subsystems to form the complete integrated deep ocean mining pilot system and perform dynamic analysis, a new method for the dynamic modeling and analysis of the miner is proposed and developed in this paper, resulting in a simplified 3D single-body vehicle model with three translational and three rotational degrees of freedom, while the track-terrain interaction model is built by partitioning the track-terrain interface into discrete elements with parameterized force dements built on the theory of terramechanics acting on each discrete dement. To evaluate and verify the correctness and effectiveness of this new modeling and analysis method, typical comparative studies with regard to computational efficiency and solution accuracy are carried out between the traditional modeling method of building the tracked vehicle as a multi-body model and the new modeling method. In full consideration of the particMar structure design of the pilot miner, the special characteristics of the seafioor soil and the hydrodynamic force of near-seafloor currnt, the dynamic simulation analysis of the miner is performed and discussed, which can provide useful guidance and reference for the practical miner system in design and operation. This new method can not only realize the rapid dynamic simulation analysis of the miner but also make possible the integration and rapid dynamic analysis of the complete integrated deep ocean mining pilot system in further researches. 展开更多
关键词 deep-ocean mining system self-propelled seafloor pilot miner single-body model multi-body model discretized track-terrain interaction model dynamic analysis
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DEM Production/Updating Based on Environmental Variables Modeling and Conflation of Data Sources 被引量:1
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作者 Tomaz Podobnikar 《Journal of Civil Engineering and Architecture》 2010年第11期33-44,共12页
关键词 数字高程模型 数据来源 建模方法 环境变量 模型制作 空间环境模拟 生产过程 数据源
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Use of the Wavelet Transform for Digital Terrain Model Edge Detection (Special Issue—Wavelet Analysis)
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作者 Clovis Gaboardi 《Journal of Applied Mathematics and Physics》 2018年第10期1997-2005,共9页
The purpose of this work is to analyze the feasibility of using the wavelet transform in the edge detection of digital terrain models (DTM) obtained by Laser Scanner. The Haar wavelet transform and the edge detection ... The purpose of this work is to analyze the feasibility of using the wavelet transform in the edge detection of digital terrain models (DTM) obtained by Laser Scanner. The Haar wavelet transform and the edge detection method called Wavelet Transform Modulus Maxima (WTMM), both implemented in Matlab language, were used. In order to validate and verify the efficiency of WTMM, the edge detection of the same DTM was performed by the Roberts, Sobel-Feldman and Canny methods, chosen due to the wide use in the scientific community in the area of Image Processing and Remote Sensing. The comparison of the results showed superior performance of WTMM in terms of processing time. 展开更多
关键词 Digital terrain model Edge Detection WAVELETS TRANSFORM CANNY Roberts SOBEL Sobel-Feldman
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Underwater Digital Terrain Model with GPS-aided High-resolution Profile-scan Sonar Images
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作者 周拥军 寇新建 《Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong university(Science)》 EI 2008年第2期233-238,共6页
The whole procedures of underwater digital terrain model (DTM) were presented by building with the global positioning system (GPS) aided high-resolution profile-scan sonar images.The algorithm regards the digital imag... The whole procedures of underwater digital terrain model (DTM) were presented by building with the global positioning system (GPS) aided high-resolution profile-scan sonar images.The algorithm regards the digital image scanned in a cycle as the raw data.First the label rings are detected with the improved Hough transform (HT) method and followed by curve-fitting for accurate location;then the most probable window for each ping is detected with weighted neighborhood gray-level co-occurrence matrix;and finally the DTM is built by integrating the GPS data with sonar data for 3D visualization.The case of an underwater trench for immersed tube road tunnel is illustrated. 展开更多
关键词 水下数字地形模型 GPS 高分辨率声纳 图象
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电大山区地物环境中电波传播的电磁计算 被引量:1
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作者 王楠 刘俊志 +2 位作者 陈贵齐 赵延安 张玉 《西安电子科技大学学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第1期21-28,共8页
在无人驾驶与无人机等新兴行业中,信号覆盖范围的要求较高,不仅仅在城市,在人迹罕至的山地、沙漠、森林中也需要无线信号的覆盖才能真正完成远程操控,这些地区更多需要考虑的是地势变化对电磁传播所带来的影响。计算电磁学中的一致性几... 在无人驾驶与无人机等新兴行业中,信号覆盖范围的要求较高,不仅仅在城市,在人迹罕至的山地、沙漠、森林中也需要无线信号的覆盖才能真正完成远程操控,这些地区更多需要考虑的是地势变化对电磁传播所带来的影响。计算电磁学中的一致性几何绕射理论方法是分析电大环境电磁问题的有效方法,使用计算电磁学的方法研究电磁波在山区地物环境中的传播规律。给出了一种建立不规则地形模型的新方法,可以通过数字高程的网格数据生成电磁算法可用的三次多项式曲面,使用多个立方曲面对不规则地形进行拼接,使用平均均方根误差验证模型数据的准确性。基于所得的地形数据,完成了并行的几何光学算法,并对区域电磁场的分布进行了仿真计算。选取了实际山区地物环境进行了实地测量,测量结果与仿真结果对比趋势一致,验证了该方法在非规则地形中电磁波传播分析中的有效性。考虑环境电磁计算的规模,建立了相应的并行策略,100核测试的并行效率可以保持在80%以上。 展开更多
关键词 电大山区地物环境 电波传播 数字高程 分形建模 几何光学 并行计算
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地形影响的水平相关模型在CMA-MESO中的应用
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作者 庄照荣 李兴良 +1 位作者 王瑞春 高郁东 《应用气象学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第4期414-428,共15页
在背景误差水平相关模型中引入地形作用,研究复杂地形下近地面观测资料同化对分析和预报的影响。CMAMESO三维变分系统中背景误差水平相关关系采用高斯相关模型描述,观测信息在高度追随坐标的模式面上各向同性传播。然而在地形复杂的近... 在背景误差水平相关模型中引入地形作用,研究复杂地形下近地面观测资料同化对分析和预报的影响。CMAMESO三维变分系统中背景误差水平相关关系采用高斯相关模型描述,观测信息在高度追随坐标的模式面上各向同性传播。然而在地形复杂的近地面层,观测信息传播受到山脉阻挡,因而其背景误差协方差非均匀且各向异性,观测信息传播应随地形高度变化。为此,采用美国国家气象中心NMC方法统计复杂地形下背景误差水平相关结构,构建包含地形高度和地形梯度影响的高斯相关模型,并将改进的水平相关模型应用于CMA-MESO三维变分分析。理想试验表明:考虑地形项的水平相关模型方案使观测信息以随地形高度变化的各向异性形式传播,越过大地形观测信息影响明显减弱,分析增量更加合理。我国北方一次强降水过程分析预报试验表明:随地形高度变化的水平相关模型方案使地面观测信息各向异性传播,削弱了大地形处近地面的分析增量,对降水预报略有正贡献。针对华东地区降水过程进行5 d逐小时快速更新分析预报循环试验结果表明,随地形变化的水平相关模型方案对10 m风场和24 h时效内降水预报有正贡献。 展开更多
关键词 背景误差 水平相关模型 地形 三维变分 CMA-MESO
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