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Spatio-temporal Variations of Temperature and Precipitation During 1951–2019 in Arid and Semiarid Region, China 被引量:2
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作者 HUANG Yufei LU Chunyan +3 位作者 LEI Yifan SU Yue SU Yanlin WANG Zili 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2022年第2期285-301,共17页
Understanding the spatio-temporal variations of temperature and precipitation in the arid and semiarid region of China(ASRC)is of great significance for promoting regional eco-environmental protection and policy-makin... Understanding the spatio-temporal variations of temperature and precipitation in the arid and semiarid region of China(ASRC)is of great significance for promoting regional eco-environmental protection and policy-making.In this study,the annual and seasonal spatio-temporal patterns of change in average temperature and precipitation and their influencing factors in the ASRC were analyzed using the Mann-Kendall test,linear tendency estimation,accumulative anomaly and the Pearson’s correlation coefficient.The results showed that both annual average temperature and average annual precipitation increased in the ASRC during 1951–2019.The temperature rose by about 1.93℃and precipitation increased by about 24 mm.The seasonal average temperature presented a significant increase trend,and the seasonal precipitation was conspicuous ascension in spring and winter.The spatio-temporal patterns of change in temperature and precipitation differed,with the southwest area showing the most obvious variation in each season.Abrupt changes in annual and seasonal average temperature and precipitation occurred mainly around the 1990 s and after 2000,respectively.Atmospheric circulation had an important effect on the trends and abrupt changes in temperature and precipitation.The East Asian summer monsoon had the largest impact on the trend of average annual temperature,as well as on the abrupt changes of annual average temperature and precipitation.Temperature and precipitation changes in the ASRC were influenced by long-term and short-term as well as direct and indirect anthropogenic and natural factors.This study identifies the characteristics of spatio-temporal variations in temperature and precipitation in the ASRC and provides a scientific reference for the formulation of climate change responses. 展开更多
关键词 multi-source remote sensing data TEMPERATURE precipitation arid and semiarid region spatio-temporal variation atmospheric circulation
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Evaluation and comparison of separated precipitation types from multisources data in the Chinese Tianshan mountainous region
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作者 YANG Chuanming LI Xuemei +2 位作者 ZHANG Xu WU Jun LI Lanhai 《Journal of Mountain Science》 2025年第2期489-504,共16页
Precipitation types primarily include rainfall,snowfall,and sleet,and the transformation of precipitation types has significant impacts on regional climate,ecosystems,and the land-atmosphere system.This study employs ... Precipitation types primarily include rainfall,snowfall,and sleet,and the transformation of precipitation types has significant impacts on regional climate,ecosystems,and the land-atmosphere system.This study employs the Ding method to separate precipitation types from three datasets(CMFD,ERA5_Land,and CN05.1).Using data from 26meteorological observation stations in the Chinese Tianshan Mountains Region(CTMR)of China as the validation dataset,the precipitation type separation accuracy of three datasets was evaluated.Additionally,the impacts of relative humidity,precipitation amount,and air temperature on the accuracy of precipitation type separation were analyzed.The results indicate that the CMFD dataset provides the highest separation accuracy,followed by CN05.1,with ERA5_Land showing the poorest performance.Spatial correlation analysis reveals that CMFD outperforms the other two datasets at both annual and monthly scales.Root Mean Square Error(RMSE)and Mean Deviation(MD)values suggest that CMFD is more consistent with the station observational data.The analysis further demonstrates that relative humidity and precipitation amount significantly affect separation accuracy.After bias correction,the correlation coefficients between CMFD,ERA5_Land,and station observational data improved to 0.85-0.94,while the RMSE was controlled within 2 mm.The study also revealed that the overestimation of precipitation was positively correlated with the overestimation of rainfall days,negatively correlated with the overestimation of snowfall days,and that underestimated air temperatures led to an increase in the misclassification of snowfall days.This research provides a basis for selecting climate change datasets and managing water resources in alpine regions. 展开更多
关键词 multi-sources data precipitation types Accuracy CTMR
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逐步相似过滤法在青海省4~10天降水预报中的应用 被引量:6
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作者 陈录元 周海 +2 位作者 王式功 尚可政 杨德保 《兰州大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2010年第2期33-38,共6页
依据逐步相似过滤法和最小相似离度原理,利用T213数值预报产品、NCEP逐日再分析资料和1957-2005年青海省42个地面站降水资料,建立不同的相似预报过滤方案,制作青海省未来4~10天的降水预报.经过降水预报准确率检验,确定"最优"... 依据逐步相似过滤法和最小相似离度原理,利用T213数值预报产品、NCEP逐日再分析资料和1957-2005年青海省42个地面站降水资料,建立不同的相似预报过滤方案,制作青海省未来4~10天的降水预报.经过降水预报准确率检验,确定"最优"逐步相似过滤方案.最优方案降水预报水平与青海省2008年降水业务预报水平对比表明:所建立的"最优"逐步相似过滤方案对青海省未来4~10天的降水预报具有更高的可信度,在日常预报中具有较高参考价值. 展开更多
关键词 NCEP再分析资料 T213数值预报产品 相似离度 逐步相似过滤 中期降水预报
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SWAT模型在大尺度流域径流模拟影响因素分析——以巴拉那河上游流域为例
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作者 刘琨 李梦杰 +5 位作者 牟海磊 吕振豫 刘攀 殷兆凯 刘志武 梁犁丽 《水利与建筑工程学报》 2023年第5期191-198,共8页
为了探讨SWAT模型在大尺度流域水文分析模拟的效果,以巴西巴拉那河上游流域为研究区,利用构建的流域大尺度SWAT模型,定量分析美国国家环境预报中心再分析数据(CFSR)降水再分析数据质量、子流域划分数量及模型参数对径流模拟结果的影响... 为了探讨SWAT模型在大尺度流域水文分析模拟的效果,以巴西巴拉那河上游流域为研究区,利用构建的流域大尺度SWAT模型,定量分析美国国家环境预报中心再分析数据(CFSR)降水再分析数据质量、子流域划分数量及模型参数对径流模拟结果的影响。结果表明,CFSR再分析数据对流域降水的空间分布估计偏差较大,导致径流模拟误差较大,模型参数经1次迭代后,确定系数(R^(2))值均小于0.2。随着子流域划分数量的增加,实测站点降水数据可以更准确地估计子流域面雨量,进而提高径流模拟拟合度。在子流域划分数量分别为66、781和4111的情况下,比较模型参数经过1次迭代后的径流模拟效果发现,子流域个数为781个时,R^(2)值相对于两种情况有明显提高。在涉及SWAT模型径流模拟的20个参数中,土壤蒸发补偿系数(ESCO)和SCS径流曲线数(CN2)是最敏感的两个参数。由分析可知,SWAT模型可以在大尺度流域径流模拟中应用,研究结果可以为大尺度流域水文模型的构建与应用提供参考。 展开更多
关键词 大尺度流域 SWAT模型 CSFR再分析降水数据 子流域划分
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多源再分析降水数据在拉萨河流域应用对比研究 被引量:14
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作者 郭禹含 王中根 伍玉良 《地理科学进展》 CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2017年第8期1033-1039,共7页
针对资料稀缺地区水文模拟计算难题,开展多源再分析降水数据在拉萨河流域应用对比研究,本文基于HIMS系统构建了拉萨河流域分布式水文模型,以气象站实测数据为参照,对比分析了中国区域地面降水格点日值数据集和中国区域高时空分辨率地面... 针对资料稀缺地区水文模拟计算难题,开展多源再分析降水数据在拉萨河流域应用对比研究,本文基于HIMS系统构建了拉萨河流域分布式水文模型,以气象站实测数据为参照,对比分析了中国区域地面降水格点日值数据集和中国区域高时空分辨率地面气象要素驱动数据集两套遥感再分析数据集的气象数据在拉萨河流域的径流模拟效果。结果表明:在日和月时间尺度上,气象站实测降水数据的径流模拟精度最好,驱动集降水数据径流模拟结果要好于网格点降水数据。总体上,基于气象站实测降水数据的径流模拟纳西效率系数为0.86(日过程)和0.93(月过程),相关系数均在0.9以上。基于两类再分析数据的降水径流模拟纳西效率系数均在0.7(日过程)和0.8(月过程)以上,相关系数均在0.9左右。对于资料稀缺地区,多源再分析降水数据是重要的可用数据来源。借助于降水—径流模型,探讨多源再分析降水数据对径流模拟精度的影响,是完善多源再分析降水数据产品质量的一个重要环节。 展开更多
关键词 分布式水文模型 多源再分析降水数据 模拟径流 对比分析 拉萨河流域
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