Studying the co-evolution of information diffusion,vaccination behavior and disease transmission in multilayer networks with local and global effects

Today,with the rapid development of the internet,a large amount of information often accompanies the rapid transmission of disease outbreaks,and increasing numbers of scholars are studying the relationship between information and the disease transmission process using complex networks.In fact,the disease transmission process is very complex.Besides this information,there will often be individual behavioral measures and other factors to consider.Most of the previous research has aimed to establish a two-layer network model to consider the impact of information on the transmission process of disease,rarely divided into information and behavior,respectively.To carry out a more in-depth analysis of the disease transmission process and the intrinsic influencing mechanism,this paper divides information and behavior into two layers and proposes the establishment of a complex network to study the dynamic co-evolution of information diffusion,vaccination behavior,and disease transmission.This is achieved by considering four influential relationships between adjacent layers in multilayer networks.In the information layer,the diffusion process of negative information is described,and the feedback effects of local and global vaccination are considered.In the behavioral layer,an individual's vaccination behavior is described,and the probability of an individual receiving a vaccination is influenced by two factors:the influence of negative information,and the influence of local and global disease severity.In the disease layer,individual susceptibility is considered to be influenced by vaccination behavior.The state transition equations are derived using the micro Markov chain approach(MMCA),and disease prevalence thresholds are obtained.It is demonstrated through simulation experiments that the negative information diffusion is less influenced by local vaccination behavior,and is mainly influenced by global vaccination behavior;vaccination behavior is mainly influenced by local disease conditions,and is less influenced by global disease conditions;the disease transmission threshold increases with the increasing vaccination rate;and the scale of disease transmission increases with the increasing negative information diffusion rate and decreases with the increasing vaccination rate.Finally,it is found that when individual vaccination behavior considers both the influence of negative information and disease,it can increase the disease transmission threshold and reduce the scale of disease transmission.Therefore,we should resist the diffusion of negative information,increase vaccination proportions,and take appropriate protective measures in time.

Traffic dynamics on multilayer networks

Many real-world networks are demonstrated to either have layered network structures in themselves or interconnect with other networks,forming multilayer network structures.In this survey,we give a brief review of recent progress in traffic dynamics on multilayer networks.First,we introduce several typical multilayer network models.Then,we present some mainstream performance indicators,such as network capacity,average transmission time,etc.Moreover,we discuss some optimization strategies for improving the transmission performance.Finally,we provide some open issues that could be further explored in the future.

Cascading failure in multilayer networks with dynamic dependency groups＊

The cascading failure often occurs in real networks. It is significant to analyze the cascading failure in the complex network research. The dependency relation can change over time. Therefore, in this study, we investigate the cascading fail- ure in multilayer networks with dynamic dependency groups. We construct a model considering the recovery mechanism. In our model, two effects between layers are defined. Under Effect 1, the dependent nodes in other layers will be disabled as long as one node does not belong to the largest connected component in one layer. Under Effect 2, the dependent nodes in other layers will recover when one node belongs to the largest connected component. The theoretical solution of the largest component is deduced and the simulation results verify our theoretical solution. In the simulation, we analyze the influence factors of the network robustness, including the fraction of dependent nodes and the group size, in our model. It shows that increasing the fraction of dependent nodes and the group size will enhance the network robustness under Effect 1. On the contrary, these will reduce the network robustness under Effect 2. Meanwhile, we find that the tightness of the network connection will affect the robustness of networks. Furthermore, setting the average degree of network as 8 is enough to keep the network robust.

A multilayer network diffusion-based model for reviewer recommendation

With the rapid growth of manuscript submissions,finding eligible reviewers for every submission has become a heavy task.Recommender systems are powerful tools developed in computer science and information science to deal with this problem.However,most existing approaches resort to text mining techniques to match manuscripts with potential reviewers,which require high-quality textual information to perform well.In this paper,we propose a reviewer recommendation algorithm based on a network diffusion process on a scholar-paper multilayer network,with no requirement for textual information.The network incorporates the relationship of scholar-paper pairs,the collaboration among scholars,and the bibliographic coupling among papers.Experimental results show that our proposed algorithm outperforms other state-of-the-art recommendation methods that use graph random walk and matrix factorization and methods that use machine learning and natural language processing,with improvements of over 7.62%in recall,5.66%in hit rate,and 47.53%in ranking score.Our work sheds light on the effectiveness of multilayer network diffusion-based methods in the reviewer recommendation problem,which will help to facilitate the peer-review process and promote information retrieval research in other practical scenes.

Improving the spaceborne GNSS-R altimetric precision based on the novel multilayer feedforward neural network weighted joint prediction model

Global navigation satellite system-reflection(GNSS-R)sea surface altimetry based on satellite constellation platforms has become a new research direction and inevitable trend,which can meet the altimetric precision at the global scale required for underwater navigation.At present,there are still research gaps for GNSS-R altimetry under this mode,and its altimetric capability cannot be specifically assessed.Therefore,GNSS-R satellite constellations that meet the global altimetry needs to be designed.Meanwhile,the matching precision prediction model needs to be established to quantitatively predict the GNSS-R constellation altimetric capability.Firstly,the GNSS-R constellations altimetric precision under different configuration parameters is calculated,and the mechanism of the influence of orbital altitude,orbital inclination,number of satellites and simulation period on the precision is analyzed,and a new multilayer feedforward neural network weighted joint prediction model is established.Secondly,the fit of the prediction model is verified and the performance capability of the model is tested by calculating the R2 value of the model as 0.9972 and the root mean square error(RMSE)as 0.0022,which indicates that the prediction capability of the model is excellent.Finally,using the novel multilayer feedforward neural network weighted joint prediction model,and considering the research results and realistic costs,it is proposed that when the constellation is set to an orbital altitude of 500 km,orbital inclination of 75and the number of satellites is 6,the altimetry precision can reach 0.0732 m within one year simulation period,which can meet the requirements of underwater navigation precision,and thus can provide a reference basis for subsequent research on spaceborne GNSS-R sea surface altimetry.

Formidable females redux:male social integration into female networks and the value of dynamic multilayer networks

The development of multilayer network techniques is a boon for researchers who wish to understand how different interaction layers might influence each other,and how these in turn might influence group dynamics.Here,we investigate how integration between male and female grooming and aggression interaction networks influences male power trajectories in vervet monkeys Chlorocebus pygerythrus.Our previous analyses of this phenomenon used a monolayer approach,and our aim here is to extend these analyses using a dynamic multilayer approach.To do so,we constructed a temporal series of male and female interaction layers.We then used a multivariate multilevel autoregression model to compare cross-lagged associations between a male's centrality in the female grooming layer and changes in male Elo ratings.Our results confirmed our original findings:changes in male centrality within the female grooming network were weakly but positively tied to changes in their Elo ratings.However,the multilayer network approach offered additional insights into this social process,identifying how changes in a male's centrality cascade through the other network layers.This dynamic view indicates that the changes in Elo ratings are likely to be short-lived,but that male centrality within the female network had a much stronger impact throughout the multilayer network as a whole,especially on reducing intermale aggression(i.e.,aggression directed by males toward other males).We suggest that multilayer social network approaches can take advantage of increased amounts of social data that are more commonly collected these days,using a variety of methods.Such data are inherently multilevel and multilayered,and thus offer the ability to quantify more precisely the dynamics of animal social behaviors.

Network Aggregation Process in Multilayer Air Transportation Networks

The air transportation network, one of the common multilayer complex systems, is composed of a collection of individual airlines, and each airline corresponds to a different layer. An important question is then how many airlines are really necessary to represent the optimal structure of a multilayer air transportation system. Here we take the Chinese air transportation network （CATN） as an example to explore the nature of multiplex systems through the procedure of network aggregation. Specifically, we propose a series of structural measures to characterize the CATN from the multilayered to the aggregated network level. We show how these measures evolve during the network aggregation process in which layers are gradually merged together and find that there is an evident structural transition that happened in the aggregated network with nine randomly chosen airlines merged, where the network features and construction cost of this network are almost equivalent to those of the present CATN with twenty-two airlines under this condition. These findings could shed some light on network structure optimization and management of the Chinese air transportation system.

Analysis of overload-based cascading failure in multilayer spatial networks

Many complex networks in real life are embedded in space and most infrastructure networks are interdependent,such as the power system and the transport network.In this paper,we construct two cascading failure models on the multilayer spatial network.In our research,the distance l between nodes within the layer obeys the exponential distribution P(l)~exp(-l/ζ),and the length r of dependency link between layers is defined according to node position.An entropy approach is applied to analyze the spatial network structure and reflect the difference degree between nodes.Two metrics,namely dynamic network size and dynamic network entropy,are proposed to evaluate the spatial network robustness and stability.During the cascading failure process,the spatial network evolution is analyzed,and the numbers of failure nodes caused by different reasons are also counted,respectively.Besides,we discuss the factors affecting network robustness.Simulations demonstrate that the larger the values of average degree<k>,the stronger the network robustness.As the length r decreases,the network performs better.When the probability p is small,asζdecreases,the network robustness becomes more reliable.When p is large,the network robustness manifests better performance asζincreases.These results provide insight into enhancing the robustness,maintaining the stability,and adjusting the difference degree between nodes of the embedded spatiality systems.

Simultaneous Identification of Thermophysical Properties of Semitransparent Media Using a Hybrid Model Based on Artificial Neural Network and Evolutionary Algorithm

A hybrid identification model based on multilayer artificial neural networks(ANNs) and particle swarm optimization(PSO) algorithm is developed to improve the simultaneous identification efficiency of thermal conductivity and effective absorption coefficient of semitransparent materials.For the direct model,the spherical harmonic method and the finite volume method are used to solve the coupled conduction-radiation heat transfer problem in an absorbing,emitting,and non-scattering 2D axisymmetric gray medium in the background of laser flash method.For the identification part,firstly,the temperature field and the incident radiation field in different positions are chosen as observables.Then,a traditional identification model based on PSO algorithm is established.Finally,multilayer ANNs are built to fit and replace the direct model in the traditional identification model to speed up the identification process.The results show that compared with the traditional identification model,the time cost of the hybrid identification model is reduced by about 1 000 times.Besides,the hybrid identification model remains a high level of accuracy even with measurement errors.

Pioneering role of machine learning in unveiling intensive care unitacquired weakness

In the research published in the World Journal of Clinical Cases,Wang and Long conducted a quantitative analysis to delineate the risk factors for intensive care unit-acquired weakness(ICU-AW)utilizing advanced machine learning methodologies.The study employed a multilayer perceptron neural network to accurately predict the incidence of ICU-AW,focusing on critical variables such as ICU stay duration and mechanical ventilation.This research marks a significant advancement in applying machine learning to clinical diagnostics,offering a new paradigm for predictive medicine in critical care.It underscores the importance of integrating artificial intelligence technologies in clinical practice to enhance patient management strategies and calls for interdisciplinary collaboration to drive innovation in healthcare.

The Role and Place of Artificial Neural Network Architectures Structural Redundancy in the Input Data Prototypes and Generalization Development

Neural Networks (NN) are the functional unit of Deep Learning and are known to mimic the behavior of the human brain to solve complex data-driven problems. Whenever we train our own neural networks, we need to take care of something called the generalization of the neural network. The performance of Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) mostly depends upon its generalization capability. In this paper, we propose an innovative approach to enhance the generalization capability of artificial neural networks (ANN) using structural redundancy. A novel perspective on handling input data prototypes and their impact on the development of generalization, which could improve to ANN architectures accuracy and reliability is described.

AN EFFECTIVE NETWORK CONGESTION CONTROL METHOD FOR MULTILAYER NETWORK

The congestion control problem in a single node network has been solved by the nonlinearfeedback control method,which has been proven to be effective and robust for different router’s queuesize.However,these control models are based on the single layer network architecture,and the sendersand receivers are directly connected by one pair of routers.With the network architecture being moreand more complex,it is a serious problem how to cooperate many routers working in the multilayernetwork simultaneously.In this paper,an effective Active Queue Management(AQM)scheme toguarantee the stability by the nonlinear control of imposing some restrictions on AQM parameter inmultilayer network is proposed.The nonlinear control can rely on some heuristics and network trafficcontrollers that appear to be highly correlated with the multilayer network status.The proposedmethod is based on the improved classical Random Early Detection(RED)differential equation and atheorem for network congestion control.The theorem proposed in the paper proved that the stability ofthe fluid model can effectively ensure the convergence of the average rate to its equilibrium pointthrough many routers in multilayer network.Moreover,when the network capacity is larger,theproposed scheme can still approach to the fullest extensibility of utilization and ensure the stability ofthe fluid model.The paper reveals the reasons of congestion control in multilayer network,provides atheorem for avoiding network congestion,and gives simulations to verify the results.

Artificial Neural Networks for Prediction of COVID-19 in Saudi Arabia

In this study,we have proposed an artificial neural network(ANN)model to estimate and forecast the number of confirmed and recovered cases of COVID-19 in the upcoming days until September 17,2020.The proposed model is based on the existing data(training data)published in the Saudi Arabia Coronavirus disease(COVID-19)situation—Demographics.The Prey-Predator algorithm is employed for the training.Multilayer perceptron neural network(MLPNN)is used in this study.To improve the performance of MLPNN,we determined the parameters of MLPNN using the prey-predator algorithm(PPA).The proposed model is called the MLPNN–PPA.The performance of the proposed model has been analyzed by the root mean squared error(RMSE)function,and correlation coefficient(R).Furthermore,we tested the proposed model using other existing data recorded in Saudi Arabia(testing data).It is demonstrated that the MLPNN-PPA model has the highest performance in predicting the number of infected and recovering in Saudi Arabia.The results reveal that the number of infected persons will increase in the coming days and become a minimum of 9789.The number of recoveries will be 2000 to 4000 per day.

Near-infrared Spectral Detection of the Content of Soybean Fat Acids Based on Genetic Multilayer Feed forward Neural Network

In the paper, a method of building mathematic model employing genetic multilayer feed forward neural network is presented, and the quantitative relationship of chemical measured values and near-infrared spectral data is established. In the paper, quantitative mathematic model related chemical assayed values and near-infrared spectral data is established by means of genetic multilayer feed forward neural network, acquired near-infrared spectral data are taken as input of network with the content of five kinds of fat acids tested from chemical method as output, weight values of multilayer feed forward neural network are trained by genetic algorithms and detection model of neural network of soybean is built. A kind of multilayer feed forward neural network trained by genetic algorithms is designed in the paper. Through experiments, all the related coefficients of five fat acids can approach 0.9 which satisfies the preliminary test of soybean breeding.

A Novel Method for Solving Ordinary Differential Equations with Artificial Neural Networks

This research work investigates the use of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) based on models for solving first and second order linear constant coefficient ordinary differential equations with initial conditions. In particular, we employ a feed-forward Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network (MLPNN), but bypass the standard back-propagation algorithm for updating the intrinsic weights. A trial solution of the differential equation is written as a sum of two parts. The first part satisfies the initial or boundary conditions and contains no adjustable parameters. The second part involves a feed-forward neural network to be trained to satisfy the differential equation. Numerous works have appeared in recent times regarding the solution of differential equations using ANN, however majority of these employed a single hidden layer perceptron model, incorporating a back-propagation algorithm for weight updation. For the homogeneous case, we assume a solution in exponential form and compute a polynomial approximation using statistical regression. From here we pick the unknown coefficients as the weights from input layer to hidden layer of the associated neural network trial solution. To get the weights from hidden layer to the output layer, we form algebraic equations incorporating the default sign of the differential equations. We then apply the Gaussian Radial Basis function (GRBF) approximation model to achieve our objective. The weights obtained in this manner need not be adjusted. We proceed to develop a Neural Network algorithm using MathCAD software, which enables us to slightly adjust the intrinsic biases. We compare the convergence and the accuracy of our results with analytic solutions, as well as well-known numerical methods and obtain satisfactory results for our example ODE problems.

Identification Simulation for Dynamical System Based on Genetic Algorithm and Recurrent Multilayer Neural Network

Identification simulation for dynamical system which is based on genetic algorithm (GA) and recurrent multilayer neural network (RMNN) is presented. In order to reduce the inputs of the model, RMNN which can remember and store some previous parameters is used for identifier. And for its high efficiency and optimization, genetic algorithm is introduced into training RMNN. Simulation results show the effectiveness of the proposed scheme. Under the same training algorithm, the identification performance of RMNN is superior to that of nonrecurrent multilayer neural network (NRMNN).

Preliminary Biometrics of ECG Signal Based on Temporal Organization through the Implementation of a Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network

The attributes of the ECG signal signifying the unique electrical properties of the heart offer the opportunity to expand the realm of biometrics, which pertains the identification of an individual based on physical characteristics. The temporal organization of the ECG signal offers a basis for composing a machine learning feature set. The four attributes of the feature set are derived through software automation enabled by Python. These four attributes are the temporal differential of the P wave maximum and T wave maximum relative to the R wave maximum and the Q wave minimum and S wave minimum relative to the R wave maximum. The multilayer perceptron neural network was applied and evaluated in terms of classification accuracy and time to develop the model. Superior performance was achieved with respect to a reduced feature set considering only the temporal differential of the P wave maximum and T wave maximum relative to the R wave maximum by comparison to all four attributes applied to the feature set and the temporal differential of the Q wave minimum and S wave minimum relative to the R wave maximum. With these preliminary findings and the advent of portable and wearable devices for the acquisition of the ECG signal, the temporal organization of the ECG signal offers robust potential for the field of biometrics.

Network Resource Provisioning for IP over Multi-Granular Optical Networks

In the internet protocol（IP） over multi-granular optical switch network （IP/MG-OXC）, the network node is a typical multilayer switch comprising several layers, the IP packet switching （PXC） layer, wavelength switching （WXC） layer and fiber switching （FXC） layer. This network is capable of both IP layer grooming and wavelength grooming in a hierarchical manner. Resource provisioning in the multi-granular network paradigm is called hierarchical grooming problem. An integer linear programming （ILP） model is proposed to formulate the problem. An iterative heuristic approach is developed for solving the problem in large networks. Case study shows that IP/MG-OXC network is much more extendible and can significantly save the overall network cost as compared with IP over wavelength division multiplexing network.

Neural Network-Based State of Charge Estimation Method for Lithium-ion Batteries Based on Temperature

Lithium-ion batteries are commonly used in electric vehicles,mobile phones,and laptops.These batteries demonstrate several advantages,such as environmental friendliness,high energy density,and long life.However,battery overcharging and overdischarging may occur if the batteries are not monitored continuously.Overcharging causesfire and explosion casualties,and overdischar-ging causes a reduction in the battery capacity and life.In addition,the internal resistance of such batteries varies depending on their external temperature,elec-trolyte,cathode material,and other factors;the capacity of the batteries decreases with temperature.In this study,we develop a method for estimating the state of charge(SOC)using a neural network model that is best suited to the external tem-perature of such batteries based on their characteristics.During our simulation,we acquired data at temperatures of 25°C,30°C,35°C,and 40°C.Based on the tem-perature parameters,the voltage,current,and time parameters were obtained,and six cycles of the parameters based on the temperature were used for the experi-ment.Experimental data to verify the proposed method were obtained through a discharge experiment conducted using a vehicle driving simulator.The experi-mental data were provided as inputs to three types of neural network models:mul-tilayer neural network(MNN),long short-term memory(LSTM),and gated recurrent unit(GRU).The neural network models were trained and optimized for the specific temperatures measured during the experiment,and the SOC was estimated by selecting the most suitable model for each temperature.The experimental results revealed that the mean absolute errors of the MNN,LSTM,and GRU using the proposed method were 2.17%,2.19%,and 2.15%,respec-tively,which are better than those of the conventional method(4.47%,4.60%,and 4.40%).Finally,SOC estimation based on GRU using the proposed method was found to be 2.15%,which was the most accurate.

Selection for high quality pepper seeds by machine vision and classifiers

This research aimed to improve selection of pepper seeds for separating high-quality seeds from low-quality seeds. Past research has shown that seed vigor is significantly related to the seed color and size, thus several physical features were identified as candidate predictors of high seed quality. Image recognition software was used to automate recognition of seed feature quality using 400 kernels of pepper cultivar 101. In addition, binary logistic regression and a neural network were applied to determine models with high predictive value of seed germination. Single-kernel germination tests were conducted to validate the predictive value of the identified features. The best predictors of seed vigor were determined by the highest correlation observed between the physical features and the subsequent fresh weight of seedlings that germinated from the 400 seeds. Correlation analysis showed that fresh weight was significantly positively correlated with eight physical features： three color features （R, a＊, brightness）, width, length, projected area, and single-kernel density, and weight. In contrast, fresh weight significantly negatively correlated with the feature of hue. In analyses of two of the highest correlating single features,＇ germination percentage increased from 59.3 to 71.8% when a＊〉3, and selection rate peaked at 57.8%. Germination percentage increased from 59.3 to 79.4%, and the selection rate reached 76.8%, when single-kernel weight 〉0.0064 g. The most effective model was based on a multilayer perceptron （MLP） neural network, consisting of 15 physical traits as variables, and a stability calculated as 99.4%. Germination percentage in a calibration set of seeds was 79.1% and the selection rate was 90.0%. These results indicated that the model was effective in predicting seed germination based on physical features and could be used as a guide for quality control in seed selection. Automated systems based on machine vision and model classifiers can contribute to reducing the costs and labor required in the selection of pepper seeds.