Simulation of Climate Negotiation Strategies between China and the U.S. Based on Game Theory

Consensus and disagreements between China and the U.S. are the key factors influencing the direction that global climate negotiation is heading for. By taking into account the uncertainties of temperature increment and its impact on GDP growth, together with the positive, negative and spillover effects of climate change investment on utility, a strategic simulation model including China and the U.S. is developed. Based on utility and game theory, a sensitivity analysis is conducted. The results show that the first-mover disadvantage exists in the game, and the scale of each country＇s climate change investment under non-cooperative win-win basis for global cooperation, the technology transfer and funding to China scenario is too small to ensure the 2℃ simulation results also indicate that it target. To guarantee the stability and makes sense to assist and compensate

Development of National Greenhouse Gas Emissions Inventories in the Context of International Climate Negotiations

Based on the principle of common but differentiated responsibilities, the UNFCCC has different requirements on national GHG inventories submitted by Annex I and non-Annex I parties. Since 2007, the transparency of mitigation actions by developing countries, the submission frequency of national communications cored on national inventory and the relevant international consultation and analysis have become the key issues in climate negotiations. Relevant responsibilities of developing countries showed an increasing trend. Through the analysis of these different requirements, particularly on technical review system of national inventories on developed countries and of the current situation of China's inventory development, the challenges faced by China are identified and the corresponding countermeasures are also put forward, including improving institutional arrangements and statistic system, building country-specific and comprehensive database and preparing for time-series inventory development.

A Two-Level Hierarchical Graph Model for Conflict Resolution with Application to International Climate Change Negotiations

A novel two-level hierarchical graph model is developed to analyze international climate change negotiations with hierarchical structures:the negotiations take place between two nations and between each nation and its provincial governments.The two national government are two decision makers at the top level.Within each nation,the two provincial governments negotiate with the national government at the lower level.The theoretical structure of this novel model,including decision makers,options,moves,and preference relations,are developed.The interrelationship between the stabilities in the two-level hierarchical graph model and the stabilities in local models are investigated by theorems.These theorems can be utilized to calculate complete stabilities in the two-level hierarchical graph model when the stabilities in local graph models are known.The international climate change negotiations as the illustrative example is then investigated in detail.The extra equilibrium,uniquely obtained by this novel methodology,suggests that opposition may still be from one provincial government when the national government does not sign the international climate agreement and implements existing environmental laws.Compared with other approaches,this novel methodology is an effective and flexible tool in analyzing hierarchical conflicts at two levels by providing decision makers with strategic resolutions with broader vision.

Durban Conference and Carbon Emission Challenge for China

In recent years,with the soaring development of its national strength,China has made the world hear its voice and gained strength in negotiations.However,China is still confronting huge pressure placed by the dominant western countries.During the Durban Conference,three main groups,namely the EU(Europe Union),the Umbrella Group,and the Group of 77 and China,played important roles,among which China is outstanding but is bearing a huge corresponding pressure on carbon emission reduction.China must continue to reinforce the coordination among those emerging developing countries and strive for the status and negotiation rights it deserves.Since energy conservation and emissions reduction is a key component of China's strategy for sustainable development,China should consider the low-carbon economy as an opportunity for development,strongly promote the development of clean energy technology and occupy the international strategic highland of the world economy.

Framing Shaping Outcomes:Issues Related to Mitigation in the UNFCCC Negotiations

Actors purposefully frame up their issues in multilateral negotiations to reach their desired goals.How were the issues related to mitigation framed up during the two decades of climate negotiations that yielded the Paris Agreement,what was the mechanism for the evolution of the frames and why did only certain crucially contested frames find traction?In these quests,this work conducts a simultaneous content and frame analysis by applying the framing theory and maps the historic evolution pathways of the related issues.The qualitative analysis identifies a process of frame generation through the contested rhetoric framing by the actors,in line with their primary logics which were shaped by their mental schemata.It finds that the act of framing was the sine-qua-non for the sustenance and traction of the issues,but the fates of the crucially contested frames were determined by the powerful actors.Applying the concept of framing allows the systematic visualization of the negotiation process related to Greenhouse Gas mitigation at the annual conferences of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change and helps explain how and why certain outcomes appeared.