Network autoregression model with grouped factor structures

Network autoregression and factor model are effective methods for modeling network time series data.In this study,we propose a network autoregression model with a factor structure that incorporates a latent group structure to address nodal heterogeneity within the network.An iterative algorithm is employed to minimize a least-squares objective function,allowing for simultaneous estimation of both the parameters and the group structure.To determine the unknown number of groups and factors,a PIC criterion is introduced.Additionally,statistical inference of the estimated parameters is presented.To assess the validity of the proposed estimation and inference procedures,we conduct extensive numerical studies.We also demonstrate the utility of our model using a stock dataset obtained from the Chinese A-Share stock market.

Recent Trends of In-Vehicle Time Sensitive Networking Technologies, Applications and Challenges

With the vigorous development of automobile industry,in-vehicle network is also constantly upgraded to meet data transmission requirements of emerging applications.The main transmission requirements are low latency and certainty especially for autonomous driving.Time sensitive networking(TSN)based on Ethernet gives a possible solution to these requirements.Previous surveys usually investigated TSN from a general perspective,which referred to TSN of various application fields.In this paper,we focus on the application of TSN to the in-vehicle networks.For in-vehicle networks,we discuss all related TSN standards specified by IEEE 802.1 work group up to now.We further overview and analyze recent literature on various aspects of TSN for automotive applications,including synchronization,resource reservation,scheduling,certainty,software and hardware.Application scenarios of TSN for in-vehicle networks are analyzed one by one.Since TSN of in-vehicle network is still at a very initial stage,this paper also gives insights on open issues,future research directions and possible solutions.

Regional Economic Development Trend Prediction Method Based on Digital Twins and Time Series Network

At present,the interpretation of regional economic development(RED)has changed from a simple evaluation of economic growth to a focus on economic growth and the optimization of economic structure,the improvement of economic relations,and the change of institutional innovation.This article uses the RED trend as the research object and constructs the RED index to conduct the theoretical analysis.Then this paper uses the attention mechanism based on digital twins and the time series network model to verify the actual data.Finally,the regional economy is predicted according to the theoretical model.The specific research work mainly includes the following aspects:1)This paper introduced the development status of research on time series networks and economic forecasting at home and abroad.2)This paper introduces the basic principles and structures of long and short-term memory(LSTM)and convolutional neural network(CNN),constructs an improved CNN-LSTM model combined with the attention mechanism,and then constructs a regional economic prediction index system.3)The best parameters of the model are selected through experiments,and the trained model is used for simulation experiment prediction.The results show that the CNN-LSTM model based on the attentionmechanism proposed in this paper has high accuracy in predicting regional economies.

Reliability analysis for wireless communication networks via dynamic Bayesian network

The dynamic wireless communication network is a complex network that needs to consider various influence factors including communication devices,radio propagation,network topology,and dynamic behaviors.Existing works focus on suggesting simplified reliability analysis methods for these dynamic networks.As one of the most popular modeling methodologies,the dynamic Bayesian network(DBN)is proposed.However,it is insufficient for the wireless communication network which contains temporal and non-temporal events.To this end,we present a modeling methodology for a generalized continuous time Bayesian network(CTBN)with a 2-state conditional probability table(CPT).Moreover,a comprehensive reliability analysis method for communication devices and radio propagation is suggested.The proposed methodology is verified by a reliability analysis of a real wireless communication network.

Network-based structure optimization method of the anti-aircraft system

The anti-aircraft system plays an irreplaceable role in modern combat. An anti-aircraft system consists of various types of functional entities interacting to destroy the hostile aircraft moving in high speed. The connecting structure of combat entities in it is of great importance for supporting the normal process of the system. In this paper, we explore the optimizing strategy of the structure of the anti-aircraft network by establishing extra communication channels between the combat entities.Firstly, the thought of combat network model(CNM) is borrowed to model the anti-aircraft system as a heterogeneous network. Secondly, the optimization objectives are determined as the survivability and the accuracy of the system. To specify these objectives, the information chain and accuracy chain are constructed based on CNM. The causal strength(CAST) logic and influence network(IN) are introduced to illustrate the establishment of the accuracy chain. Thirdly, the optimization constraints are discussed and set in three aspects: time, connection feasibility and budget. The time constraint network(TCN) is introduced to construct the timing chain and help to detect the timing consistency. Then, the process of the multi-objective optimization of the structure of the anti-aircraft system is designed.Finally, a simulation is conducted to prove the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed method. Non-dominated sorting based genetic algorithm-Ⅱ(NSGA2) is used to solve the multiobjective optimization problem and two other algorithms including non-dominated sorting based genetic algorithm-Ⅲ(NSGA3)and strength Pareto evolutionary algorithm-Ⅱ(SPEA2) are employed as comparisons. The deciders and system builders can make the anti-aircraft system improved in the survivability and accuracy in the combat reality.

Optical frequency comb technology: from ground to space

Optical frequency combs,as powerful tools for precision spectroscopy and research into optical frequency standards,have driven continuous progress and significant breakthroughs in applications such as time-frequency transfer,measurement of fundamental physical constants,and high-precision ranging,achieving a series of milestone results in ground-based environments.With the continuous maturation and evolution of femtosecond lasers and related technologies,optical frequency combs are moving from ground-based applications to astronomical and space-based applications,playing an increasingly important role in atomic clocks,exoplanet observations,gravitational wave measurements,and other areas.This paper,focusing on astronomical and space-based applications,reviews research progress on astronomical frequency combs,optical clock time-frequency networks,gravitational waves,dark matter measurement,dual-comb large-scale absolute ranging,and high-resolution atmospheric spectroscopy.With enhanced performance and their gradual application in the field of space-based research,optical frequency combs will undoubtedly provide more powerful support for astronomical science and cosmic exploration in the future.

Time-Frequency System Builds and Timing Strategy Research of VHF Band Antenna Array

VHF (Very High Frequency) band antenna array will receive analog signal from universe for storage after digital sampling and adding time scale, and then do the interference analysis of different sub-station digital signal. It requires the time-frequency system with high precision and low drifting. This paper explains a time-frequency system of VHF band antenna, which can produce standard 10 MHz signal and clock signal needed by sampler, to ensure that two computers which sampling data has the same system time and the storage data has the accurate time scale, the system includes time comparison programme based on the GPS network timing two different sampling control computers. Timing strategy uses a time comparison software which based on the Labview graphical programming platform. This software captures the system time of two computers to analyze and determine the time deviation when the two computers occurs time offset, and then grant the GPS time of NTP server to the two computers through local area network in this time deviation. Final results show that this method can automatically calibrate the system time of the computers in the LAN, Precision Can Reach 0.1 s Orless.

Chain-type wireless sensor network node scheduling strategy

In order to reduce power consumption of sensor nodes and extend network survival time in the wireless sensor network （WSN）, sensor nodes are scheduled in an active or dormant mode. A chain-type WSN is fundamental y different from other types of WSNs, in which the sensor nodes are deployed along elongated geographic areas and form a chain-type network topo-logy structure. This paper investigates the node scheduling prob-lem in the chain-type WSN. Firstly, a node dormant scheduling mode is analyzed theoretical y from geographic coverage, and then three neighboring nodes scheduling criteria are proposed. Sec-ondly, a hybrid coverage scheduling algorithm and dead areas are presented. Final y, node scheduling in mine tunnel WSN with uniform deployment （UD）, non-uniform deployment （NUD） and op-timal distribution point spacing （ODS） is simulated. The results show that the node scheduling with UD and NUD, especial y NUD, can effectively extend the network survival time. Therefore, a strat-egy of adding a few mobile nodes which activate the network in dead areas is proposed, which can further extend the network survival time by balancing the energy consumption of nodes.

Joint Algorithm of Message Fragmentation and No-Wait Scheduling for Time-Sensitive Networks

Time-sensitive networks(TSNs)support not only traditional best-effort communications but also deterministic communications,which send each packet at a deterministic time so that the data transmissions of networked control systems can be precisely scheduled to guarantee hard real-time constraints.No-wait scheduling is suitable for such TSNs and generates the schedules of deterministic communications with the minimal network resources so that all of the remaining resources can be used to improve the throughput of best-effort communications.However,due to inappropriate message fragmentation,the realtime performance of no-wait scheduling algorithms is reduced.Therefore,in this paper,joint algorithms of message fragmentation and no-wait scheduling are proposed.First,a specification for the joint problem based on optimization modulo theories is proposed so that off-the-shelf solvers can be used to find optimal solutions.Second,to improve the scalability of our algorithm,the worst-case delay of messages is analyzed,and then,based on the analysis,a heuristic algorithm is proposed to construct low-delay schedules.Finally,we conduct extensive test cases to evaluate our proposed algorithms.The evaluation results indicate that,compared to existing algorithms,the proposed joint algorithm improves schedulability by up to 50%.

Linearizing Control of Induction Motor Based on Networked Control Systems

A new approach to speed control of induction motors is developed by introducing networked control systems （NCSs） into the induction motor driving system. The control strategy is to stabilize and track the rotor speed of the induction motor when the network time delay occurs in the transport medium of network data. First, a feedback linearization method is used to achieve input-output linearization and decoupling control of the induction motor driving system based on rotor flux model, and then the characteristic of network data is analyzed in terms of the inherent network time delay. A networked control model of an induction motor is established. The sufficient condition of asymptotic stability for the networked induction motor driving system is given, and the state feedback controller is obtained by solving the linear matrix inequalities （LMIs）. Simulation results verify the efficiency of the proposed scheme.

The Importance of Time Synchronization in the Local Networks of the Science and Application Center for Lunar and Deep-space Exploration

The data acquisition stations and the data processing center of the Science and Application Center for Lunar and Deep-space Exploration (SACLuDE) are located at different geographical sites. They respectively have their own local networks and interconnect with each other through access to the core data network. This paper describes the clock drift in the computer and other networked devices building up the infrastructure of the above local networks. The network time variance of the stochastic model is also estimated. The poor precision of network synchronization will bring about potential hazards to the network operation and application running in the networks, which is clarified in the present paper. At the end of the paper, a cost-effective and feasible solution is proposed based on the Global Position System (GPS) and the Network Time Protocol (NTP).

Binaural Speech Separation Algorithm Based on Long and Short Time Memory Networks

Speaker separation in complex acoustic environment is one of challenging tasks in speech separation.In practice,speakers are very often unmoving or moving slowly in normal communication.In this case,the spatial features among the consecutive speech frames become highly correlated such that it is helpful for speaker separation by providing additional spatial information.To fully exploit this information,we design a separation system on Recurrent Neural Network(RNN)with long short-term memory(LSTM)which effectively learns the temporal dynamics of spatial features.In detail,a LSTM-based speaker separation algorithm is proposed to extract the spatial features in each time-frequency(TF)unit and form the corresponding feature vector.Then,we treat speaker separation as a supervised learning problem,where a modified ideal ratio mask(IRM)is defined as the training function during LSTM learning.Simulations show that the proposed system achieves attractive separation performance in noisy and reverberant environments.Specifically,during the untrained acoustic test with limited priors,e.g.,unmatched signal to noise ratio(SNR)and reverberation,the proposed LSTM based algorithm can still outperforms the existing DNN based method in the measures of PESQ and STOI.It indicates our method is more robust in untrained conditions.

Complex Networks from Chaotic Time Series on Riemannian Manifold

Complex networks are important paradigms for analyzing the complex systems as they allow understanding the structural properties of systems composed of different interacting entities. In this work we propose a reliable method for constructing complex networks from chaotic time series. We first estimate the covariance matrices, then a geodesic-based distance between the covariance matrices is introduced. Consequently the network can be constructed on a Riemannian manifold where the nodes and edges correspond to the covariance matrix and geodesic-based distance, respectively. The proposed method provides us with an intrinsic geometry viewpoint to understand the time series.

Inventory Management and Demand Forecasting Improvement of a Forecasting Model Based on Artificial Neural Networks

Forecasting is predicting or estimating a future event or trend.Supply chains have been constantly growing in most countries ever since the industrial revolution of the 18th century.As the competitiveness between supply chains intensifies day by day,companies are shifting their focus to predictive analytics techniques to minimize costs and boost productivity and profits.Excessive inventory(overstock)and stock outs are very significant issues for suppliers.Excessive inventory levels can lead to loss of revenue because the company's capital is tied up in excess inventory.Excess inventory can also lead to increased storage,insurance costs and labor as well as lower and degraded quality based on the nature of the product.Shortages or out of stock can lead to lost sales and a decline in customer contentment and loyalty to the store.If clients are unable to find the right products on the shelves,they may switch to another vendor or purchase alternative items.Demand forecasting is valuable for planning,scheduling and improving the coordination of all supply chain activities.This paper discusses the use of neural networks for seasonal time series forecasting.Our objective is to evaluate the contribution of the correct choice of the transfer function by proposing a new form of the transfer function to improve the quality of the forecast.

A Visual-Based Gesture Prediction Framework Applied in Social Robots

In daily life,people use their hands in various ways for most daily activities.There are many applications based on the position,direction,and joints of the hand,including gesture recognition,gesture prediction,robotics and so on.This paper proposes a gesture prediction system that uses hand joint coordinate features collected by the Leap Motion to predict dynamic hand gestures.The model is applied to the NAO robot to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method.First of all,in order to reduce jitter or jump generated in the process of data acquisition by the Leap Motion,the Kalman filter is applied to the original data.Then some new feature descriptors are introduced.The length feature,angle feature and angular velocity feature are extracted from the filtered data.These features are fed into the long-short time memory recurrent neural network(LSTM-RNN)with different combinations.Experimental results show that the combination of coordinate,length and angle features achieves the highest accuracy of 99.31%,and it can also run in real time.Finally,the trained model is applied to the NAO robot to play the finger-guessing game.Based on the predicted gesture,the NAO robot can respond in advance.

Key techniques for predicting the uncertain trajectories of moving objects with dynamic environment awareness

Emerging technologies of wireless and mobile communication enable people to accumulate a large volume of time-stamped locations,which appear in the form of a continuous moving object trajectory.How to accurately predict the uncertain mobility of objects becomes an important and challenging problem.Existing algorithms for trajectory prediction in moving objects databases mainly focus on identifying frequent trajectory patterns,and do not take account of the effect of essential dynamic environmental factors.In this study,a general schema for predicting uncertain trajectories of moving objects with dynamic environment awareness is presented,and the key techniques in trajectory prediction arc addressed in detail.In order to accurately predict the trajectories,a trajectory prediction algorithm based on continuous time Bayesian networks（CTBNs） is improved and applied,which takes dynamic environmental factors into full consideration.Experiments conducted on synthetic trajectory data verify the effectiveness of the improved algorithm,which also guarantees the time performance as well.

Time sequential influence maximization algorithm based on neighbor node influence

In view of the forwarding microblogging,secondhand smoke,happiness,and many other phenomena in real life,the spread characteristic of the secondary neighbor nodes in this kind of phenomenon and network scheduling is extracted,and sequence influence maximization problem based on the influence of neighbor nodes is proposed in this paper.That is,in the time sequential social network,the propagation characteristics of the second-level neighbor nodes are considered emphatically,and k nodes are found to maximize the information propagation.Firstly,the propagation probability between nodes is calculated by the improved degree estimation algorithm.Secondly,the weighted cascade model(WCM) based on static social network is not suitable for temporal social network.Therefore,an improved weighted cascade model(IWCM) is proposed,and a second-level neighbors time sequential maximizing influence algorithm(STIM) is put forward based on node degree.It combines the consideration of neighbor nodes and the problem of overlap of influence scope between nodes,and makes it chronological.Finally,the experiment verifies that STIM algorithm has stronger practicability,superiority in influence range and running time compared with similar algorithms,and is able to solve the problem of maximizing the timing influence based on the influence of neighbor nodes.

Time sensitive networking security:issues of precision time protocol and its implementation

Time Sensitive Networking(TSN)will be an integral component of industrial networking.Time synchronization in TSN is provided by the IEEE-1588,Precision Time Protocol(PTP)protocol.The standard,dating back to 2008,marginally addresses security aspects,notably not encompassing the frames designed for management purposes(Type Length Values or TLVs).In this work we show that the TLVs can be abused by an attacker to reconfigure,manipulate,or shut down time synchronization.The effects of such an attack can be serious,ranging from interruption of operations to actual unintended behavior of industrial devices,possibly resulting in physical damages or even harm to operators.The paper analyzes the root causes of this vulnerability,and provides concrete examples of attacks leveraging it to de-synchronize the clocks,showing that they can succeed with limited resources,realistically available to a malicious actor.

Time delay recursive neural network-based direct adaptive control for a piezo-actuated stage

Piezo-actuated stage is a core component in micro-nano manufacturing field.However,the inherent nonlinearity,such as rate-dependent hysteresis,in the piezo-actuated stage severely impacts its tracking accuracy.This study proposes a direct adaptive control(DAC)method to realize high precision tracking.The proposed controller is designed by a time delay recursive neural network.Compared with those existing DAC methods designed under the general Lipschitz condition,the proposed control method can be easily generalized to the actual systems,which have hysteresis behavior.Then,a hopfield neural network(HNN)estimator is proposed to adjust the parameters of the proposed controller online.Meanwhile,a modular model consisting of linear submodel,hysteresis submodel,and lumped uncertainties is established based on the HNN estimator to describe the piezoactuated stage in this study.Thus,the performance of the HNN estimator can be exhibited visually through the modeling results.The proposed control method eradicates the adverse effects on the control performance arising from the inaccuracy in establishing the offline model and improves the capability to suppress the influence of hysteresis on the tracking accuracy of piezo-actuated stage in comparison with the conventional DAC methods.The stability of the control system is studied.Finally,a series of comparison experiments with a dual neural networks-based data driven adaptive controller are carried out to demonstrate the superiority of the proposed controller.