This study aims at establishing if climate change exists in the Niger Delta environment using non-stationary rainfall Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) modelling incorporating time-variant parameters. To compute the ...This study aims at establishing if climate change exists in the Niger Delta environment using non-stationary rainfall Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) modelling incorporating time-variant parameters. To compute the intensity levels, the open-access R-studio software was used based on the General Extreme Value (GEV) distribution function. Among the four linear parameter models adopted for integrating time as a covariate, the fourth linear model incorporating scale and location with the shape function constant produced the least corrected Akaike Information Criteria (AICc), varying between 306.191 to 101.497 for 15 and 1440 minutes, respectively, selected for calibration of the GEV distribution equation. The non-stationary intensities yielded higher values above those of stationary models, proving that the assumption of stationary IDF models underestimated extreme events. The difference of 13.71 mm/hr (22.71%) to 14.26 mm/hr (17.0%) intensities implies an underestimation of the peak flood from a stationary IDF curve. The statistical difference at a 95% confidence level between stationary and non-stationary models was significant, confirming evidence of climatic change influenced by time-variant parameters. Consequently, emphasis should be on applying shorter-duration storms for design purposes occurring with higher intensities to help reduce the flood risk and resultant infrastructural failures.展开更多
Predicting the time-varying auto-spectral density of a spacecraft in high-altitude orbits requires an accurate model for the non-stationary random vibration signals with densely spaced modal frequency. The traditional...Predicting the time-varying auto-spectral density of a spacecraft in high-altitude orbits requires an accurate model for the non-stationary random vibration signals with densely spaced modal frequency. The traditional time-varying algorithm limits prediction accuracy, thus affecting a number of operational decisions. To solve this problem, a time-varying auto regressive (TVAR) model based on the process neural network (PNN) and the empirical mode decomposition (EMD) is proposed. The time-varying system is tracked on-line by establishing a time-varying parameter model, and then the relevant parameter spectrum is obtained. Firstly, the EMD method is utilized to decompose the signal into several intrinsic mode functions (IMFs). Then for each IMF, the PNN is established and the time-varying auto-spectral density is obtained. Finally, the time-frequency distribution of the signals can be reconstructed by linear superposition. The simulation and the analytical results from an example demonstrate that this approach possesses simplicity, effectiveness, and feasibility, as well as higher frequency resolution.展开更多
为降低实际应用中由强未知干扰和仪器故障对观测造成的影响,减轻随机和未建模干扰对系统的侵蚀,从而提升系统在非高斯噪声环境下的状态估计精度,提高滤波器的鲁棒性能,提出了一种基于高斯-重尾切换分布的鲁棒卡尔曼滤波器(Gaussian-heav...为降低实际应用中由强未知干扰和仪器故障对观测造成的影响,减轻随机和未建模干扰对系统的侵蚀,从而提升系统在非高斯噪声环境下的状态估计精度,提高滤波器的鲁棒性能,提出了一种基于高斯-重尾切换分布的鲁棒卡尔曼滤波器(Gaussian-heavy-tailed switching distribution based robust Kalman filter,GHTSRKF)。首先,通过自适应学习高斯分布和一种重尾分布之间的切换概率将噪声建模为GHTS(Gaussian-heavy-tailed switching)分布,所设计的GHTS分布可以通过在线调整高斯分布和新的重尾分布之间的切换概率来对非平稳重尾噪声进行建模,具有虚拟协方差的高斯分布用于处理协方差矩阵不准确的高斯噪声。其次,引入两个分别服从Categorical分布与伯努利分布的辅助参数将GHTS分布表示为一个分层高斯形式,进一步利用变分贝叶斯方法推导了GHTSRKF。最后,利用一个仿真场景对几种不同的RKFs(robust Kalman filters)进行了对比验证。结果表明,所提出的GHTSRKF算法的估计精度对初始状态的选取不敏感,精度优于其他RKFs,它的RMSEs最接近噪声信息准确的KFTNC(KF with true noise covariances)的RMSEs(root mean square errors),且当系统与量测噪声是未知时变高斯噪声时,相比于现有的滤波器,GHTSRKF具有更好的估计性能,从而验证了GHTSRKF的有效性。展开更多
The motion of the self-gravitational gaseous stars can be described by the Euler-Poisson equations. The main purpose of this paper is concerned with the existence of stationary solutions of Euler-Poisson equations for...The motion of the self-gravitational gaseous stars can be described by the Euler-Poisson equations. The main purpose of this paper is concerned with the existence of stationary solutions of Euler-Poisson equations for some velocity fields and entropy functions that solve the conservation of mass and energy. Under different restriction to the strength of velocity field, we get the existence and multiplicity of the stationary solutions of Euler-Poisson system.展开更多
The wireless communication systems based on Unmanned Aerial Vehicles(UAVs) have found a wide range of applications recently. In this paper, we propose a new three-dimensional(3 D) non-stationary multiple-input multipl...The wireless communication systems based on Unmanned Aerial Vehicles(UAVs) have found a wide range of applications recently. In this paper, we propose a new three-dimensional(3 D) non-stationary multiple-input multiple-output(MIMO) channel model for the communication links between the UAV and mobile terminal(MT). The new model originates the traditional geometry-based stochastic models(GBSMs) but considers the non-stationary propagation environment due to the rapid movements of the UAV, MT, and clusters. Meanwhile, the upgrade time evolving algorithms of time-variant channel parameters, i.e., the path number based on birth-death processes of clusters, path delays, path powers, and angles of arrival and departure, are developed and optimized. In addition, the statistical properties of proposed GBSM including autocorrelation function(ACF), cross-correlation function(CCF), and Doppler power spectrum density(DPSD) are investigated and analyzed. Simulation results demonstrate that our proposed model provides a good agreement on the statistical properties with the corresponding derived theoretical ones, which indicates its usefulness for the performance evaluation and validation of the UAV based communication systems.展开更多
In this article, a reduced mixed finite element (MFE) formulation based on proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) for the non-stationary conduction-convection problems is presented. Also the error estimates between...In this article, a reduced mixed finite element (MFE) formulation based on proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) for the non-stationary conduction-convection problems is presented. Also the error estimates between the reduced MFE solutions based on POD and usual MFE solutions are derived. It is shown by numerical examples that the results of numerical computation are consistent with theoretical conclusions. Moreover, it is shown that the reduced MFE formulation based on POD is feasible and efficient in finding numerical solutions for the non-stationary conduction-convection problems.展开更多
在全球气候变化和高强度人类活动的共同影响下,许多流域天然水循环过程受到破坏。径流序列呈现明显的非平稳特性,给水资源规划、管理、预测和调控带来一定的挑战。揭示径流序列的非平稳特性可以有效应对全球气候变化下的复杂水问题,对...在全球气候变化和高强度人类活动的共同影响下,许多流域天然水循环过程受到破坏。径流序列呈现明显的非平稳特性,给水资源规划、管理、预测和调控带来一定的挑战。揭示径流序列的非平稳特性可以有效应对全球气候变化下的复杂水问题,对降低水文分析难度和提高径流预测精度具有十分重要的意义。研究以汾河上游兰村站为研究对象,分析该站1958-2016年年径流和月径流序列是否平稳。首先从随机水文学角度,采用Mann-Kendall检验法和小波分析法识别径流序列的趋势、突变和周期特征。在此基础上,从统计水文学角度引入Ng-Perron单位根检验方法。通过Mann-Kendall趋势检验和散点图法选择合适的检验方程,对径流序列进行广义最小二乘法(Generalized Least Squares,GLS)退势,并利用修正的信息准则(Modified information criterion,MIC)计算最优时间滞后阶数,判别径流序列是否具有非平稳性。结果显示,径流序列存在趋势、突变和周期成分,为非平稳径流序列。同时Ng-Perron单位根检验表明,该站年、月径流序列在1%显著性水平上具有非平稳特性。相较传统单位根检验方法,Ng-Perron单位根检验采用更为稳健的修正检验统计量,显著调整小样本情况下水平扭曲的现象,具有更好检验水平和功效,因而可以得到更合理的检验结果。研究成果为径流序列非平稳性检验理论的进一步改进及径流预测模型发展与应用提供参考。展开更多
In the framework of the two-fluid model, a hypersonic flow of a nonuniform dusty gas with low inertial (non-depositing) particles around a blunt body is considered. The particle mass concentration is assumed to be sma...In the framework of the two-fluid model, a hypersonic flow of a nonuniform dusty gas with low inertial (non-depositing) particles around a blunt body is considered. The particle mass concentration is assumed to be small, so that the effect of particles on the carrier phase is significant only inside the boundary layer where the particles accumulate. Stepshaped and harmonic nonuniformities of the particle concentration ahead of the bow shock wave are considered and the corresponding nonstationary distributions of the particle concentration in the shock layer are studied. On the basis of numerical study of nonstationary two-phase boundary layer equations derived by the matched asymptotic expansion method, the effects of free-stream particle concentration nonuniformities on the thermal flux, and the friction coefficient in the neighborhood of stagnation point are investigated, in particular, the most “dangerous” nonuniformity periods are found.展开更多
Let {Xkl,…, Xkp, k≥ 1} be a p-dimensional standard (zero-means, unit-variances)non-stationary Gaussian vector sequence. In this work, the joint limit distribution of the maximaof {Xkl,…, Xkp, k 〉 1}, the incompl...Let {Xkl,…, Xkp, k≥ 1} be a p-dimensional standard (zero-means, unit-variances)non-stationary Gaussian vector sequence. In this work, the joint limit distribution of the maximaof {Xkl,…, Xkp, k 〉 1}, the incomplete maxima of those sequences subject to random failureand the partial sums of those sequences are obtained.展开更多
Extending Parikh and Wilczek's work to the non-stationary black hole, we study the Hawking radiation of the non-stationary Kerr black hole by the Hamilto-Jacobi method. The result shows that the radiation spectrum is...Extending Parikh and Wilczek's work to the non-stationary black hole, we study the Hawking radiation of the non-stationary Kerr black hole by the Hamilto-Jacobi method. The result shows that the radiation spectrum is not purely thermal and the tunnelling probability is related to the change of Bekenstein Hawking entropy, which gives a correction to the Hawking thermal radiation of the black hole.展开更多
For characteristics of open and far from thermodynamic equilibrium in welding chemical reaction, a new kind of quantitative method, which is used to analyze direction and extent for chemical reaction of SiO2/Fe during...For characteristics of open and far from thermodynamic equilibrium in welding chemical reaction, a new kind of quantitative method, which is used to analyze direction and extent for chemical reaction of SiO2/Fe during quasi-steady state period, is introduced with the concept of non-equilibrium stationary state. The main idea is based on thermodynamic driving forces, which result in non-zero thermodynamic fluxes and lead to chemical reaction far away from thermodynamic equilibrium. There exists certain dynamic equilibrium relationship between rates of diffusion fluxes in liquid phase of reactants or products and the rate equation of chemical reaction when welding is in quasi-steady state. As result of this, a group of non-linear equations containing concentrations of all substances at interface of slag/liquid-metal may be established. Moreover the stability of this non-equilibrium stationary state is discussed using dissipative structure theory and it is concluded theoretically that this non-equilibrium stationary state for welding chemical reaction is of stability.展开更多
In offshore engineering design, it is considerably significant to have an adequately accurate estimation of marine environmental parameters, in particular, the extreme wind speed of tropical cyclone (TC) with differ...In offshore engineering design, it is considerably significant to have an adequately accurate estimation of marine environmental parameters, in particular, the extreme wind speed of tropical cyclone (TC) with different return periods to guarantee the safety in projected operating life period. Based on the 71-year (1945-2015) TC data in the Northwest Pacific (NWP) by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of US, a notable growth of the TC intensity is observed in the context of climate change. The fact implies that the traditional stationary model might be incapable of predicting parameters in the extreme events. Therefore, a non-stationary model is proposed in this study to estimate extreme wind speed in the South China Sea (SCS) and NWP. We find that the extreme wind speeds of different return periods exhibit an evident enhancement trend, for instance, the extreme wind speeds with different return periods by non- stationary model are 4.1%-4.4% higher than stationary ones in SCS. Also, the spatial distribution of extreme wind speed in NWP has been examined with the same methodology by dividing the west sea areas of the NWP 0°-45°N, 105°E-130°E into 45 subareas of 5° × 5°, where oil and gas resources are abundant. Similarly, remarkable spacial in-homogeneity in the extreme wind speed is seen in this area: the extreme wind speed with 50-year return period in the subarea (15°N-20°N, 115°E-120°E) of Zhongsha and Dongsha Islands is 73.8 m/s, while that in the subarea of Yellow Sea (30°N-35°N, 120°E-125°E) is only 47.1 m/s. As a result, the present study demonstrates that non-stationary and in-homogeneous effects should be taken into consideration in the estimation of extreme wind speed.展开更多
A new method for forecasting non stationary series is developed. Its steps are as follows: Step 1. Data delaminating. Non stationary series is delaminated into several multi scale steady data layers and one trend laye...A new method for forecasting non stationary series is developed. Its steps are as follows: Step 1. Data delaminating. Non stationary series is delaminated into several multi scale steady data layers and one trend layer. Step 2. Modeling and forecasting each stationary data layer. Step 3. Imitating trend layer using polynomial. Step 4. Combining the forecasting layers and imitating layer into one series. The EMD (Empirical Mode Decomposition) method suitable to process non stationary series is selected to delaminate data, while ARMA (Auto Regressive Moving Average) model is employed to model and forecast stationary data layer and least square error method for trend layer regression. Aiming at forecasting length, forecasting orientation and selective method, experiments are performed for SAR (Synthetic Aperture Radar) images. Finally, an example is provided, in which the whole SAR image is restored via the method proposed by this paper.展开更多
Previously, fault diagnosis of fixed or steady state mechanical failures (e.g., pumps in nuclear power plant turbines, engines or other key equipment) applied spectrum analysis (e.g., fast Fourier transform, FFT) to e...Previously, fault diagnosis of fixed or steady state mechanical failures (e.g., pumps in nuclear power plant turbines, engines or other key equipment) applied spectrum analysis (e.g., fast Fourier transform, FFT) to extract the frequency features as the basis for identifying the causes of failure types. However, mechanical equipment for increasingly instant speed variations (e.g., wind turbine transmissions or the mechanical arms used in 3C assemblies, etc.) mostly generate non-stationary signals, and the signal features must be averaged with analysis time which makes it difficult to identify the causes of failures. This study proposes a time frequency order spectrum method combining the short-time Fourier transform (STFT) and speed frequency order method to capture the order features of non-stationary signals. Such signal features do not change with speed, and are thus effective in identifying faults in mechanical components under non-stationary conditions. In this study, back propagation neural networks (BPNN) and time frequency order spectrum methods were used to verify faults diagnosis and obtained superior diagnosis results in non-stationary signals of gear-rotor systems.展开更多
In the study of complex networks (systems), the scaling phenomenon of flow fluctuations refers to a certain powerlaw between the mean flux (activity) (Fi) of the i-th node and its variance σi as σi α (Fi)α...In the study of complex networks (systems), the scaling phenomenon of flow fluctuations refers to a certain powerlaw between the mean flux (activity) (Fi) of the i-th node and its variance σi as σi α (Fi)α Such scaling laws are found to be prevalent both in natural and man-made network systems, but the understanding of their origins still remains limited. This paper proposes a non-stationary Poisson process model to give an analytical explanation of the non-universal scaling phenomenon: the exponent α varies between 1/2 and 1 depending on the size of sampling time window and the relative strength of the external/internal driven forces of the systems. The crossover behaviour and the relation of fluctuation scaling with pseudo long range dependence are also accounted for by the model. Numerical experiments show that the proposed model can recover the multi-scaiing phenomenon.展开更多
This paper proposes a method for simulation of non-stationary ground motion processes having the identical statistical feature, time-dependent power spectrum, with a given ground motion record, on the basis of review ...This paper proposes a method for simulation of non-stationary ground motion processes having the identical statistical feature, time-dependent power spectrum, with a given ground motion record, on the basis of review of simulation of non-stationary ground motion processes. The method has the following advantages: the sample processes are non-stationary both in amplitude and frequency, and both the amplitude and frequency non-stationarity depend on the target power spectrum; the power spectrum of any sample process does not necessarily accord with the target power spectrum, but statistically, it strictly accords with the target power spectrum. Finally, the method is verified by simulation of one acceleration record in Landers earthquake.展开更多
This paper proves that Hanlilton's prmciple of both using the Appell-Chetaevcondition and not using the Appell-CHETAEV conditiion is the variational principle of stationary action.The relevant problems are discussed
文摘This study aims at establishing if climate change exists in the Niger Delta environment using non-stationary rainfall Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) modelling incorporating time-variant parameters. To compute the intensity levels, the open-access R-studio software was used based on the General Extreme Value (GEV) distribution function. Among the four linear parameter models adopted for integrating time as a covariate, the fourth linear model incorporating scale and location with the shape function constant produced the least corrected Akaike Information Criteria (AICc), varying between 306.191 to 101.497 for 15 and 1440 minutes, respectively, selected for calibration of the GEV distribution equation. The non-stationary intensities yielded higher values above those of stationary models, proving that the assumption of stationary IDF models underestimated extreme events. The difference of 13.71 mm/hr (22.71%) to 14.26 mm/hr (17.0%) intensities implies an underestimation of the peak flood from a stationary IDF curve. The statistical difference at a 95% confidence level between stationary and non-stationary models was significant, confirming evidence of climatic change influenced by time-variant parameters. Consequently, emphasis should be on applying shorter-duration storms for design purposes occurring with higher intensities to help reduce the flood risk and resultant infrastructural failures.
基金Aeronautical Science Foundation of China (20071551016)
文摘Predicting the time-varying auto-spectral density of a spacecraft in high-altitude orbits requires an accurate model for the non-stationary random vibration signals with densely spaced modal frequency. The traditional time-varying algorithm limits prediction accuracy, thus affecting a number of operational decisions. To solve this problem, a time-varying auto regressive (TVAR) model based on the process neural network (PNN) and the empirical mode decomposition (EMD) is proposed. The time-varying system is tracked on-line by establishing a time-varying parameter model, and then the relevant parameter spectrum is obtained. Firstly, the EMD method is utilized to decompose the signal into several intrinsic mode functions (IMFs). Then for each IMF, the PNN is established and the time-varying auto-spectral density is obtained. Finally, the time-frequency distribution of the signals can be reconstructed by linear superposition. The simulation and the analytical results from an example demonstrate that this approach possesses simplicity, effectiveness, and feasibility, as well as higher frequency resolution.
文摘为降低实际应用中由强未知干扰和仪器故障对观测造成的影响,减轻随机和未建模干扰对系统的侵蚀,从而提升系统在非高斯噪声环境下的状态估计精度,提高滤波器的鲁棒性能,提出了一种基于高斯-重尾切换分布的鲁棒卡尔曼滤波器(Gaussian-heavy-tailed switching distribution based robust Kalman filter,GHTSRKF)。首先,通过自适应学习高斯分布和一种重尾分布之间的切换概率将噪声建模为GHTS(Gaussian-heavy-tailed switching)分布,所设计的GHTS分布可以通过在线调整高斯分布和新的重尾分布之间的切换概率来对非平稳重尾噪声进行建模,具有虚拟协方差的高斯分布用于处理协方差矩阵不准确的高斯噪声。其次,引入两个分别服从Categorical分布与伯努利分布的辅助参数将GHTS分布表示为一个分层高斯形式,进一步利用变分贝叶斯方法推导了GHTSRKF。最后,利用一个仿真场景对几种不同的RKFs(robust Kalman filters)进行了对比验证。结果表明,所提出的GHTSRKF算法的估计精度对初始状态的选取不敏感,精度优于其他RKFs,它的RMSEs最接近噪声信息准确的KFTNC(KF with true noise covariances)的RMSEs(root mean square errors),且当系统与量测噪声是未知时变高斯噪声时,相比于现有的滤波器,GHTSRKF具有更好的估计性能,从而验证了GHTSRKF的有效性。
基金supported by NSFC (10631030, 11071094)the fund of CCNU for Ph.D students (2009021)
文摘The motion of the self-gravitational gaseous stars can be described by the Euler-Poisson equations. The main purpose of this paper is concerned with the existence of stationary solutions of Euler-Poisson equations for some velocity fields and entropy functions that solve the conservation of mass and energy. Under different restriction to the strength of velocity field, we get the existence and multiplicity of the stationary solutions of Euler-Poisson system.
基金supported by the National Key Scientific Instrument and Equipment Development Project(Grant No.2013YQ200607)China NSF Grants(Grant No.61631020)+1 种基金Aeronautical Science Foundation of China(Grant No.2017ZC52021)Open Foundation for Graduate Innovation of NUAA(Grant No.kfjj20170405 and kfjj20180408)
文摘The wireless communication systems based on Unmanned Aerial Vehicles(UAVs) have found a wide range of applications recently. In this paper, we propose a new three-dimensional(3 D) non-stationary multiple-input multiple-output(MIMO) channel model for the communication links between the UAV and mobile terminal(MT). The new model originates the traditional geometry-based stochastic models(GBSMs) but considers the non-stationary propagation environment due to the rapid movements of the UAV, MT, and clusters. Meanwhile, the upgrade time evolving algorithms of time-variant channel parameters, i.e., the path number based on birth-death processes of clusters, path delays, path powers, and angles of arrival and departure, are developed and optimized. In addition, the statistical properties of proposed GBSM including autocorrelation function(ACF), cross-correlation function(CCF), and Doppler power spectrum density(DPSD) are investigated and analyzed. Simulation results demonstrate that our proposed model provides a good agreement on the statistical properties with the corresponding derived theoretical ones, which indicates its usefulness for the performance evaluation and validation of the UAV based communication systems.
基金supported by the National Science Foundation of China (10871022 11061009+5 种基金 40821092)the National Basic Research Program (2010CB428403 2009CB421407 2010CB951001)Natural Science Foundation of Hebei Province (A2010001663)Chinese Universities Scientific Fund (2009-2-05)
文摘In this article, a reduced mixed finite element (MFE) formulation based on proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) for the non-stationary conduction-convection problems is presented. Also the error estimates between the reduced MFE solutions based on POD and usual MFE solutions are derived. It is shown by numerical examples that the results of numerical computation are consistent with theoretical conclusions. Moreover, it is shown that the reduced MFE formulation based on POD is feasible and efficient in finding numerical solutions for the non-stationary conduction-convection problems.
文摘在全球气候变化和高强度人类活动的共同影响下,许多流域天然水循环过程受到破坏。径流序列呈现明显的非平稳特性,给水资源规划、管理、预测和调控带来一定的挑战。揭示径流序列的非平稳特性可以有效应对全球气候变化下的复杂水问题,对降低水文分析难度和提高径流预测精度具有十分重要的意义。研究以汾河上游兰村站为研究对象,分析该站1958-2016年年径流和月径流序列是否平稳。首先从随机水文学角度,采用Mann-Kendall检验法和小波分析法识别径流序列的趋势、突变和周期特征。在此基础上,从统计水文学角度引入Ng-Perron单位根检验方法。通过Mann-Kendall趋势检验和散点图法选择合适的检验方程,对径流序列进行广义最小二乘法(Generalized Least Squares,GLS)退势,并利用修正的信息准则(Modified information criterion,MIC)计算最优时间滞后阶数,判别径流序列是否具有非平稳性。结果显示,径流序列存在趋势、突变和周期成分,为非平稳径流序列。同时Ng-Perron单位根检验表明,该站年、月径流序列在1%显著性水平上具有非平稳特性。相较传统单位根检验方法,Ng-Perron单位根检验采用更为稳健的修正检验统计量,显著调整小样本情况下水平扭曲的现象,具有更好检验水平和功效,因而可以得到更合理的检验结果。研究成果为径流序列非平稳性检验理论的进一步改进及径流预测模型发展与应用提供参考。
基金The project supported by the Russian Foundation for Basic Research(project No.96-01-00313)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(joint RFBR-NSFC grant No.96-01-00017c)
文摘In the framework of the two-fluid model, a hypersonic flow of a nonuniform dusty gas with low inertial (non-depositing) particles around a blunt body is considered. The particle mass concentration is assumed to be small, so that the effect of particles on the carrier phase is significant only inside the boundary layer where the particles accumulate. Stepshaped and harmonic nonuniformities of the particle concentration ahead of the bow shock wave are considered and the corresponding nonstationary distributions of the particle concentration in the shock layer are studied. On the basis of numerical study of nonstationary two-phase boundary layer equations derived by the matched asymptotic expansion method, the effects of free-stream particle concentration nonuniformities on the thermal flux, and the friction coefficient in the neighborhood of stagnation point are investigated, in particular, the most “dangerous” nonuniformity periods are found.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(11326175,71471090)the Zhejiang Natural Science Foundation of China(LQ14A010012)
文摘Let {Xkl,…, Xkp, k≥ 1} be a p-dimensional standard (zero-means, unit-variances)non-stationary Gaussian vector sequence. In this work, the joint limit distribution of the maximaof {Xkl,…, Xkp, k 〉 1}, the incomplete maxima of those sequences subject to random failureand the partial sums of those sequences are obtained.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No10773008)
文摘Extending Parikh and Wilczek's work to the non-stationary black hole, we study the Hawking radiation of the non-stationary Kerr black hole by the Hamilto-Jacobi method. The result shows that the radiation spectrum is not purely thermal and the tunnelling probability is related to the change of Bekenstein Hawking entropy, which gives a correction to the Hawking thermal radiation of the black hole.
基金This project is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(No. 50544025)Natural Science Foundation of High Education of Jiangsu Province, China (No. 05KJB460030)
文摘For characteristics of open and far from thermodynamic equilibrium in welding chemical reaction, a new kind of quantitative method, which is used to analyze direction and extent for chemical reaction of SiO2/Fe during quasi-steady state period, is introduced with the concept of non-equilibrium stationary state. The main idea is based on thermodynamic driving forces, which result in non-zero thermodynamic fluxes and lead to chemical reaction far away from thermodynamic equilibrium. There exists certain dynamic equilibrium relationship between rates of diffusion fluxes in liquid phase of reactants or products and the rate equation of chemical reaction when welding is in quasi-steady state. As result of this, a group of non-linear equations containing concentrations of all substances at interface of slag/liquid-metal may be established. Moreover the stability of this non-equilibrium stationary state is discussed using dissipative structure theory and it is concluded theoretically that this non-equilibrium stationary state for welding chemical reaction is of stability.
基金financially supported by the Ministry of Science and Technology(863 program)(2006AA09A103-4)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(11232012)the Chinese Academy of Sciences(CAS)knowledge innovation program(KJCXYW-L02)
文摘In offshore engineering design, it is considerably significant to have an adequately accurate estimation of marine environmental parameters, in particular, the extreme wind speed of tropical cyclone (TC) with different return periods to guarantee the safety in projected operating life period. Based on the 71-year (1945-2015) TC data in the Northwest Pacific (NWP) by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of US, a notable growth of the TC intensity is observed in the context of climate change. The fact implies that the traditional stationary model might be incapable of predicting parameters in the extreme events. Therefore, a non-stationary model is proposed in this study to estimate extreme wind speed in the South China Sea (SCS) and NWP. We find that the extreme wind speeds of different return periods exhibit an evident enhancement trend, for instance, the extreme wind speeds with different return periods by non- stationary model are 4.1%-4.4% higher than stationary ones in SCS. Also, the spatial distribution of extreme wind speed in NWP has been examined with the same methodology by dividing the west sea areas of the NWP 0°-45°N, 105°E-130°E into 45 subareas of 5° × 5°, where oil and gas resources are abundant. Similarly, remarkable spacial in-homogeneity in the extreme wind speed is seen in this area: the extreme wind speed with 50-year return period in the subarea (15°N-20°N, 115°E-120°E) of Zhongsha and Dongsha Islands is 73.8 m/s, while that in the subarea of Yellow Sea (30°N-35°N, 120°E-125°E) is only 47.1 m/s. As a result, the present study demonstrates that non-stationary and in-homogeneous effects should be taken into consideration in the estimation of extreme wind speed.
文摘A new method for forecasting non stationary series is developed. Its steps are as follows: Step 1. Data delaminating. Non stationary series is delaminated into several multi scale steady data layers and one trend layer. Step 2. Modeling and forecasting each stationary data layer. Step 3. Imitating trend layer using polynomial. Step 4. Combining the forecasting layers and imitating layer into one series. The EMD (Empirical Mode Decomposition) method suitable to process non stationary series is selected to delaminate data, while ARMA (Auto Regressive Moving Average) model is employed to model and forecast stationary data layer and least square error method for trend layer regression. Aiming at forecasting length, forecasting orientation and selective method, experiments are performed for SAR (Synthetic Aperture Radar) images. Finally, an example is provided, in which the whole SAR image is restored via the method proposed by this paper.
文摘Previously, fault diagnosis of fixed or steady state mechanical failures (e.g., pumps in nuclear power plant turbines, engines or other key equipment) applied spectrum analysis (e.g., fast Fourier transform, FFT) to extract the frequency features as the basis for identifying the causes of failure types. However, mechanical equipment for increasingly instant speed variations (e.g., wind turbine transmissions or the mechanical arms used in 3C assemblies, etc.) mostly generate non-stationary signals, and the signal features must be averaged with analysis time which makes it difficult to identify the causes of failures. This study proposes a time frequency order spectrum method combining the short-time Fourier transform (STFT) and speed frequency order method to capture the order features of non-stationary signals. Such signal features do not change with speed, and are thus effective in identifying faults in mechanical components under non-stationary conditions. In this study, back propagation neural networks (BPNN) and time frequency order spectrum methods were used to verify faults diagnosis and obtained superior diagnosis results in non-stationary signals of gear-rotor systems.
基金Project supported in part by National Basic Research Program of China (973 Project) (Grant No 2006CB705506)Hi-Tech Research and Development Program of China (863 Project) (Grant No 2007AA11Z222)National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos 60721003 and 60774034)
文摘In the study of complex networks (systems), the scaling phenomenon of flow fluctuations refers to a certain powerlaw between the mean flux (activity) (Fi) of the i-th node and its variance σi as σi α (Fi)α Such scaling laws are found to be prevalent both in natural and man-made network systems, but the understanding of their origins still remains limited. This paper proposes a non-stationary Poisson process model to give an analytical explanation of the non-universal scaling phenomenon: the exponent α varies between 1/2 and 1 depending on the size of sampling time window and the relative strength of the external/internal driven forces of the systems. The crossover behaviour and the relation of fluctuation scaling with pseudo long range dependence are also accounted for by the model. Numerical experiments show that the proposed model can recover the multi-scaiing phenomenon.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China (50378063) and Excellent Young Teachers Program of Ministry of Education.
文摘This paper proposes a method for simulation of non-stationary ground motion processes having the identical statistical feature, time-dependent power spectrum, with a given ground motion record, on the basis of review of simulation of non-stationary ground motion processes. The method has the following advantages: the sample processes are non-stationary both in amplitude and frequency, and both the amplitude and frequency non-stationarity depend on the target power spectrum; the power spectrum of any sample process does not necessarily accord with the target power spectrum, but statistically, it strictly accords with the target power spectrum. Finally, the method is verified by simulation of one acceleration record in Landers earthquake.
文摘This paper proves that Hanlilton's prmciple of both using the Appell-Chetaevcondition and not using the Appell-CHETAEV conditiion is the variational principle of stationary action.The relevant problems are discussed