Interdecadal and decadal variation of temperature over North Pole area and the relation with solar activity

Obvious tendency and periodicity of the air temperature can be detected over the North Pole area.They are reflected as follows： a.the air temperature at the earth surface and in the middle layer of the stratosphere tends to be increased either in winter or in summer.The air temperature has increased 1.3 °C for about 50 years at a speed about 0.025 °C/year in January,and 0.013 °C/year in July.The air temperature in the middle layer of the stratosphere （10 hPa） in January has increased 10 °C.The temperature rising speed in July is 0.14 °C/year.Generally speaking,the temperature rising speed is quicker in winter than in summer and quicker in the upper layer than at the earth surface.b.The air temperature at the top layer of the troposphere （100 hPa） over the North Pole area tends to be increased either in winter or in summer.The air temperature in January has decreased 5.0 °C for about 50 years at a temperature decreasing speed about 0.094 °C/year,and at a temperature decreasing speed about 0.032 °C/year in July.The speed of the temperature decreasing is greater in winter than in summer.c.Periodicity.The air temperature respectively at different altitudes over the North Pole possesses interdecadal variation with a period of 22 years.In July the amplitude of the variation with a period of 22 years decreases rapidly from the high altitude to the low.This means that the 22–year’s period is more obvious at the high altitude than at the low altitude.At the earth surface layer in North Pole there also is obvious decadal variation with a period of 11 years.The analysis indicates that the 22-years’ period temperature variation is associated with the periodic variation of the solar magnetic field.The 11-year period temperature variation is corresponding to 11 year’ period of the variation of the sunspot number.

Low resistivity oil(gas)-bearing reservoir conductive model——Dual water clay matrix conductive model in the north area of Tarim Basin, Xinjiang, China

Shaly sands reservoir is one of the most distributive types of the oil(gas)-bearing reservoirs discovered in China, and low resistivity oil(gas)-bearing reservoirs are mostly shaly sands reservoirs. Therefore, shaly sands reservoir conductive model is the key to evaluate low resistivity oil(gas)-bearing reservoirs using logging information. Some defects were found when we studied the clay distribution type conductive model, dual-water conductive model, conductive rock matrix model, etc. Some models could not distinguish the conductive path and nature of microporosity water and clay water and some models did not consider the clay distribution type and the mount of clay volume. So, we utilize the merits,overcome the defects of the above models, and put forward a new shaly sands conductive model-dual water clay matrix conductive model (DWCMCM) in which dual water is the free water and the microporosity water in shaly sands and the clay matrix(wet clay) is the clay grain containing water. DWCMCM is presented here, the advantages of which can tell the nature and conductive path from different water (microporosity water and freewater), in consid-eration of the clay distribution type and the mount of clay volume in shaly sands. So, the results of logging interpretation in the oil(gas)-bearing reservoirs in the north of Tarim Basin area, China with DWCMCM are better than those interpreted by the above models.

Huanggang Intrusive Complexin Northern Tongbai Area:Island-Arc Tectonic Environment and Its Geological Significance

The Huanggang intrusive complex in northern Tongbai area was formed in Early Paleozoic. It mainly consists of ultra basic, basic, intermediate and acid rocks, dominated by intermediate and basic rocks. The complex belongs to calc alkaline series. Geochemical characteristics of major and trace elements show that the complex was derived from the fractional crystallization of co source magma. It is suggested that the complex was formed in island arc tectonic environment and was closely related to the northward subduction of the Erlangping back arc basin. Thus, the subduction of the back arc basin can induce the island arc type magmatism similar to the one formed in the setting of ocean plate subduction.

The Source of Groundwater Recharge Based on Entropy Theory in the Arid Areas of North China

Objective Any natural system is constantly exchanging material, energy and information with the environment, and all tkese processes follow the basic law of thermodynamics, with no exception of groundwater recharge and discharge process. On the basis of the principle of the first law of thermodynamics, the reverse geochemical simulation method is widely used in the study of groundwater recharge, runoff and drainage process. However, some studies only consider the material conservation in theprocess, but ignore the probability of the transformation.

ANALYSIS OF FOLDS SOUTH OF MALAKAND AND ADJOINING AREAS, NORTH PAKISTAN

North of the study area in lower Swat, the rocks have been found to have undergone multiple deformations with at least four periods of folding during a single Paleogene metamorphism (DiPietro and Lawrence, 1991). The earliest folds are composite W—SW vergent, syn\|metamorphic F 1/F 2 folds associated with the formation of the regional foliation. Late\|metamorphic, N—S trending open upright F 3 folds are associated with local foliation development, and E—W trending open F 4 folds are associated with retrograde metamorphism. These interfere with each other to produce dome/basin structures.

Discussion on the dynamic mechanism of Great North China area based on the observed stress data

Based on the constrained data from the observed stress orientation and the observed stress regime, the tectonic stress fields of the Great North China area has been simulated by using the pseudo-3D finite element method. The results indicate that the stress fields in this area are basically controlled by the push forces coming from the Pacific Plate and from the Tibet Plateau, and the WNW-ward action from the Pacific Plate play a more important role in North China plain block. In addition to that, the stress field in this area is also partly formed by the extension action from the mantle upwelling in perpendicular at the basin margins.

Analysis on Variations of the Temperature and Precipitation in North Slope Area of the Western Tianshan in Recent 50 Years

[Objective] The research aimed to analyze variation characteristics of the temperature and precipitation in north slope area of the Western Tianshan in recent 50 years.[Method] According to temperature and rainfall data from 1961 to 2010 at three meteorological stations in north slope area of the Western Tianshan,climate change in the zone in recent 50 years was analyzed by using linear trend analysis method and 5-year sliding average method.[Result] The temperature in north slope area of the Western Tianshan showed significant warming trend.The annual average temperature significantly increased at 0.3 ℃/10 a in recent 50 years.But rise rates of the temperature in different seasons were different:autumn> winter> spring> summer.The annual rainfall in north slope area of the Western Tianshan in recent 50 years overall presented relative increase trend.Seen from annual rainfall,it significantly increased at 16.9 mm/10 a.Seen from seasonal rainfall,except in autumn,rainfalls in other three seasons in the past 50 years all showed significant increase trends,with amplitude of 3.2-11.2 mm/10 a.The largest increase amplitude was in summer.After a small precipitation peak in the 1980s,autumn rainfall slightly declined in the past 20 years.[Conclusion] The climate in north slope area of the Western Tianshan become warm and wet.

The Finding and Phylogenetic Evolution Analysis of Bovine Piroplasms in the Rasǒn Area of North Korea

The objective of this study was to investigate the epidemiology of bovine Piroplasms infections in the Rasǒn area of North Korea.The survey was carried out by light microscopic examination of Giemsa-stained blood smears,PCR,and phylogenetic evolution analysis of 128 blood samples collected from the Rasǒn area.The results showed that the infection rates of the small and large parasites were about 2.5 and 1.5% on average,respectively,in all Theileria sergenti and Babesia ovatapositive blood smears by microscopic examination of blood smears.The detection rate of T.sergenti Giemsa-stained smears was 43.75%,while that with PCR was 67.97%.The detection rate of B.ovata Giemsa-stained smears was 49.21%,while that with PCR was 71.88%.The sequence and phylogenetic analysis of DNA showed 98.84% homology between the 18S rRNA gene sequences of T.sergenti isolates from North Korean and that of Yanbian state from China,indicating the closest genetic relationship between both of them.Moreover,100% homology was shown between the 18S rRNA gene sequence of B.ovata isolates from North Korea and the published sequence AY081192 of GenBank,indicating the closest genetic relationship between both of them.This survey confirmed that Ras n is the endemic area of T.sergenti and B.ovata in North Korea.

MASS MOVEMENT AND LANDSLIDE HAZARD, MURREE AREA, NORTH PAKISTAN

The summer resort of Murree and adjoining areas is characterized by high degree of erosivity and erodibility due to both natural and man induced factors. This area is part of a young orogenic belt that is experiencing one of the world’s most rapid uplift rates, and is located in near vicinity of major thrust faults. Shear zones associated with still active faults, such as Murree Thrust and also the folding generated due to thrusting induce an inherited weakness and natural instability potential in the rocks of the Murree Hills. Ever increasing population pressure, deforestation, large\|scale construction works including a new township and a road network have further aggravated the problem. In order to study the landslides and other mass movement related problems in Murree, an area around the main town is selected for detailed analysis of the problem as it has been focus of major development and road construction work. This study is an attempt to prepare a preliminary hazard/landslide map along major road network, around Murree town to identify the unstable areas. Data collection during the fieldwork and its analysis were carried out on Geographic Information System (GIS) based on ILWIS format of the ITC, the Netherlands. Detailed study of a few selected landslides has also been conducted to understand the mechanism of failure and extent of damage.

Hydrographic structure and circulation in the central area of the North Eastern Atlantic

-On the basis of the hydrographic data observed within the Canary Basin in autumn 1985, temperature-salinity properties, distributions of water masses and barocltne flow field, as well as the volume transports in this area are described more detailly. The analyses indicate that the activity in the waters of the Canary Basin is mainly attributed to the interleaving and mixing between the originated water masses (e. g. Surface Water, North Atlantic Central Water, Mediterranean Water and Deep Water) and the modified water masses (Subpolar Mode Water, Labrador Sea Water and Antarctic Intermediate Water) from the outside of the study area and the variation of themselves. The east recirculation of the Subtropic Gyre in the North Atlantic consists of Azores Current and Canary Current.Azores Current is formed with several flow branches around the Azores Island, while the main flow lies at 35?N south of the Azores Island. It begins to diverge near the 15?W. The return flow found off the Portugal coast may be its northern branch. The southern invasion of the Labrador Sea Water and the Subpolar Mode Water are prevented by Azores front which serves an obvious boundary separating the North Western Atlantic (Central) Water and the North Eastern Atlantic (Central) Water.

LAND RESOURCE CHARACTERISTICS AND RATIONAL LAND-USE ARRANGEMENT FOR FARMING,FORESTRY AND ANIMAL HUSBANDRY IN “THREE NORTHS” SHELTER FOREST AREA

The "Three Norths" (Northeastern China, Northern China, and Northwestern China)Shelter forest area is located in the north part of china. The area of this region occupies41% of the total area of China. This region is eager for being managed because of its fragileecological conditions. Therefore, the basic approach to realize the harmonious developmentof ecological and economic benefits is the rational arrangement of farming, forestry and pas-ure land according to the characteristics of land resources of this region.

THE POSSIBILITIES AND REALITIES ON THE REMANAGEMENT OF DESERTIFIED LANDS IN THE TRANSITIONAL ZONE BETWEEN THE DRY-FARMING AREA AND THE GRAZING AREA IN NORTH CHINA

The desertification process is rapidly developing at present and 61.5% of the land area in the zone are already desertified.Among the desertified lands, 26.9% are seriously desertified, 25% most seriously desertified and 47.4% are the lands where desertification is under way. They are caused by over-reclamation for farming, over-grazing, unreasonable collection of firewood,the destruction of vegetation and the misuse of water resources. Under the ecological environment in semi-arid zone,the degraded environment process possesses the ability of restoring to its original status as soon as the interruption of excessive human activities are eliminated. The fencing- and-self-cultivating method is an effective measure adopted universally in semi-arid zone to cure the desertified lands.The desertified lands can be readjusted and controlled easily if other controlling measures are supplemented. The fundamental ways to control desertification are to utilize rationally the resources, to readjust the existing

秘鲁北部奇克拉约地区始新世-渐新世侵入岩时代、成因和构造环境

为充分认识秘鲁北部海岸岩基带始新世以来的构造岩浆演化特征,探讨侵入岩形成时代、岩石成因及其构造环境,在海岸岩基带自西向东系统采集侵入岩样品。锆石U-Pb年代学数据显示侵入岩时代分两期,分别为52~47 Ma和36~28 Ma,具有自西向东逐渐变新的特征。样品岩石地球化学具有钙碱性-高钾钙碱性特征,明显富集Rb、Ba、K、U等大离子亲石元素,相对亏损Nb、Ta、P和Ti高场强元素;球粒陨石标准化稀土元素配分模式均表现为轻稀土元素富集的右倾型,具有弱的Eu负异常。Sr/Y-Y图解和Rb-(Y+Nb)图解显示岛弧岩浆岩的组成;Rb/Sr值和Th/U值接近壳源岩浆组成;Nb/Ta值和Zr/Hf值均接近平均陆壳组成;La/Ba-La/Nb图解指示具有岩石圈地幔源区的特征;A/MF-C/MF图解中多数样品落入基性岩的部分熔融区域。结合Nazca板块向南美大陆板块俯冲的构造背景及样品地球化学和年代学数据特征,认为两期侵入岩的岩浆具有同源特征,岩浆源区可能源于基性下地壳的部分熔融,并有岩石圈地幔物质混染;秘鲁北部在Nazca板块低角度平板俯冲作用下,岩浆弧向东迁移,同时地壳隆升和增厚时限较中南部地区的30 Ma时限稍晚(大约在28 Ma之后)。

冀北上黄旗地区多金属矿成矿规律与矿产预测

冀北上黄旗地区位于华北地台北缘中段成矿带及兴安太行南段成矿带的相交区域,是华北地区著名的(银)多金属成矿区。本文在综合分析区域成矿地质背景、成矿地质条件、地球物理、地球化学、遥感异常特征及成矿规律的基础上,认为该区具有寻找侵入岩型和陆相火山岩型两大类多金属矿床的有利条件,划分出3条Ⅳ级成矿亚带,圈定成矿远景区10个。其中,A类4处,B类4处,C类2处;并优选出多金属矿找矿靶区7个,A类4个,B类2个,C类1个。

南水北调西线工程水源区可调水量“十问”

南水北调西线工程是我国“四横三纵”国家水网主骨架尚待建设的最后一环,而水源区可调水量是西线工程规划论证面临的焦点和难点问题。本文从水资源本底条件与演变趋势,生态环境与经济社会发展需水,调蓄水库与输水工程规模,调水对水源区及其下游水资源开发利用、水生态环境、水力发电、航运等方面影响的角度,提出了与水源区可调水量相关的10个问题;以长江上游分布式水文模型为基础,建立了南水北调西线工程水源区可调水量模拟分析模型,力图系统、定量地回答所提问题。本文的主要研究结论有:在仅考虑满足水源区河道内外生态环境和经济社会需水的前提下,“上线+下线”组合方案多年平均可调水量为1.59×10^(10)m^(3),“完全下线”方案在建设岗托水库进行联调时,多年平均可调水量将达到1.74×10^(10)m^(3);在综合考虑调水对水源区水平衡、水力发电和航运影响及其可接受程度后,南水北调西线水源区可调水量为1.22×10^(10)~1.26×10^(10)m^(3)。长远来看,应谋划西南片区水网与国家水网主骨架、“大动脉”的连接与融合,在减小南水北调西线工程调水影响的同时,提高南水北调西线工程的整体供水能力以及对气候变化等外部条件的适应性。

神木北地区上古生界断裂构造分析及其影响

神木北地区位于鄂尔多斯盆地的东北部,富集油气资源,其在上古生界太原组、山西组和石盒子组上发育小型正断层、逆断层、个别切割能力较强的走滑断层及高角度裂缝,由构造作用产生的断层、裂缝及后期由烃源岩内部异常高压使泥岩破裂所形成的裂缝都影响油气运移和油气田分布。该文利用地震资料、钻井资料、测井资料和成像资料结合人工地震合成记录标定法、野外露头调查法等对地震资料处理、解释和结合野外露头调查法、岩心观察法,镜下薄片鉴定法和成像测井方法等识别裂缝构造、发育类型和发育基本规律,上述方法对神木北地区的油气资源勘探,具有重要的研究意义和具体的应用价值。

北祁连西段昌马地区晚奥陶世弧前沉积-构造演化

北祁连早古生代多岛洋盆的古地理格局和构造演化一直存在争议。位于北祁连南、北蛇绿岩之间的昌马地区广泛出露了一套早古生代深水火山-碎屑建造。早期填图工作普遍认为其形成于寒武纪至早奥陶世。本次研究对昌马西部的鹰嘴山和车路沟山南侧剖面开展系统的野外地质调查。并对采集到的浊积岩和火山岩样品开展了锆石LA-ICP-MSU-Pb定年工作。研究结果表明,原填为寒武系a岩组的鹰嘴山剖面所采集的砂岩样品2307NQL-13最年轻的锆石给出了(456±4)Ma的加权平均年龄;车路沟山南侧,原划归为下奥陶统阴沟群的安山岩样品2307NQL-06给出了(450±4)Ma的加权平均年龄,证明研究区大面积存在晚奥陶世沉积地层,现有年代地层方案需要重新审视。砂岩样品中的碎屑锆石以寒武纪—奥陶纪年龄为主,主要源于岩浆弧的剥蚀;32颗新元古代和古元古代碎屑锆石揭示古老基底物质的大量加入,表明晚奥陶世昌马地区沉积了大量来自中祁连的碎屑物质。来自中祁连基底的碎屑物质暗示北祁连洋的南分支已经闭合;碎屑物质形成于俯冲相关构造环境暗示北祁连洋的北分支俯冲仍在继续。本次研究给出的新数据将为昌马地区进一步的地层和沉积演化提供可靠的同位素年代约束,也为探讨北祁连洋早古生代复杂的俯冲、闭合过程提供重要依据。

五种气候生产力模型在华北土石山区的适用性分析

植被净初级生产力(Net Primary Productivity,NPP)是陆地植物的净固碳量,对于全球碳估算研究具有重要意义。华北土石山区作为中国林业工程重点区域,是典型的干旱半干旱气候区,准确估算该地区NPP大小及其变化特征对林业生态工程建设具有重要意义。本文基于河南小浪底森林生态系统国家野外科学观测研究站1980-2020年气候数据,利用Miami模型、Thornthwaite Memorial模型、Chikugo模型、朱志辉模型及周广胜模型共5种气候生产力模型估算,分析NPP的变化趋势,运用随机森林算法探讨NPP影响因素,并以区域MODISNPP数据为标准进行评价,以探究适合估算该地区NPP的气候生产力模型。结果表明:(1)华北土石山区年平均气温、最高气温、最低气温和降水量均呈上升趋势,变化速率分别为0.05℃×a^(-1)、0.04℃×a^(-1)、0.05℃×a^(-1)和1.58mm×a^(-1);年平均太阳辐射和平均相对湿度则呈下降趋势,变化速率分别为0.46MJ×m^(-2)×a^(-1)和0.17个百分点×a^(-1)。(2)采用5种模型计算的华北土石山区NPP均呈上升趋势,但NPP值存在差异,变化范围在739.35~958.48gC×m^(-2)×a^(-1),均值为862.19gC×m^(-2)×a^(-1)。其中Miami模型估算值最大(958.48gC×m^(-2)×a^(-1)),周广胜模型估算值最小(739.35gC×m^(-2)×a^(-1))。(3)随机森林算法表明,降水是影响该地区NPP的关键因子。适用性分析显示,周广胜模型估算值与MODIS NPP最接近,其相对误差、RMSE和MAE分别为1.45%、451.05gC×m^(-2)×a^(-1)和446.03gC×m^(-2)×a^(-1),且相关系数最大(0.49)。综上可知,周广胜模型更适宜该地区的NPP估算,在使用气候生产力模型估算华北土石山区NPP时,应优先考虑使用周广胜模型。

北方岩溶区降水入渗补给系数及补给机制:以羊庄岩溶水系统为例

为建立北方岩溶区水文地质参数系列,提高岩溶地下水可采资源计算精度,笔者团队于20世纪80年代开始,在山东羊庄封闭式泉排型岩溶水系统开展了岩溶水均衡试验研究,积累了40余年的监测试验数据。根据长期野外水均衡要素观测资料,推导出裸露型、半覆盖型和覆盖型岩溶区降水入渗补给系数计算公式,建立了岩溶区降水入渗补给系数α与降水量P和地下水位埋深D的相关方程,以及可调控的最大降水入渗补给系数系列,揭示了降水入渗补给过程与α变化机制。结果表明:α随水位埋深D的改变而改变,每个降水量P段分别对应一个最大降水入渗补给系数α_(max)和最大降水入渗补给量即补给极限G_(max),相应的水位埋深便是最佳水位埋深D_(critical)。D>D_(critical)时,包气带截留量随着水位埋深的增大而增大,α<α_(max);D<D_(critical)时,地表径流量随着地下水位埋深的减小而增大,α<α_(max)。不同的降水量段对应不同的D_(critical),降水量增大时,对应的α_(max)及D_(critical)也增大。在任意水位埋深时,G_(max)为蓄满产流临界降水量与包气带最大截流量之差。本研究解决了岩溶区降水入渗补给的关键科学问题,即揭示降水入渗补给机制、建立降水入渗补给系数与降水量和水位埋深的定量关系,提升了我国北方岩溶水资源基础性研究水平。