OPTIMAL COMBINING PREDICTION FOR BLENDING EFFICIENCY

By means of analysing the mechanism of blending materials,a general blending efficiency model was proposed.Applying this general model to an example 9 a suitable formula of blending efficiency which is more accurate than those in papers[2-3]was obtained.Finally,a high-precision optimal combining prediction formula for calculating blending efficiency was proposed.

Co-salient object detection with iterative purification and predictive optimization

Background Co-salient object detection(Co-SOD)aims to identify and segment commonly salient objects in a set of related images.However,most current Co-SOD methods encounter issues with the inclusion of irrelevant information in the co-representation.These issues hamper their ability to locate co-salient objects and significantly restrict the accuracy of detection.Methods To address this issue,this study introduces a novel Co-SOD method with iterative purification and predictive optimization(IPPO)comprising a common salient purification module(CSPM),predictive optimizing module(POM),and diminishing mixed enhancement block(DMEB).Results These components are designed to explore noise-free joint representations,assist the model in enhancing the quality of the final prediction results,and significantly improve the performance of the Co-SOD algorithm.Furthermore,through a comprehensive evaluation of IPPO and state-of-the-art algorithms focusing on the roles of CSPM,POM,and DMEB,our experiments confirmed that these components are pivotal in enhancing the performance of the model,substantiating the significant advancements of our method over existing benchmarks.Experiments on several challenging benchmark co-saliency datasets demonstrate that the proposed IPPO achieves state-of-the-art performance.

Research on Optimize Prediction Model and Algorithm about Chaotic Time Series

We put forward a chaotic estimating model, by using the parameter of the chaotic system, sensitivity of the parameter to inching and control the disturbance of the system, and estimated the parameter of the model by using the best update option. In the end, we forecast the intending series value in its mutually space. The example shows that it can increase the precision in the estimated process by selecting the best model steps. It not only conquer the abuse of using detention inlay technology alone, but also decrease blindness of using forecast error to decide the input model directly, and the result of it is better than the method of statistics and other series means. Key words chaotic time series - parameter identification - optimal prediction model - improved change ruler method CLC number TP 273 Foundation item: Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (60373062)Biography: JIANG Wei-jin (1964-), male, Professor, research direction: intelligent compute and the theory methods of distributed data processing in complex system, and the theory of software.

Impact of observational MJO forcing on ENSO predictability in the Zebiak-Cane model: PartⅠ.Effect on the maximum prediction error

With the observational wind data and the Zebiak-Cane model, the impact of Madden-Iulian Oscillation （MJO） as external forcing on El Nino-Southern Oscillation （ENSO） predictability is studied. The observational data are analyzed with Continuous Wavelet Transform （CWT） and then used to extract MJO signals, which are added into the model to get a new model. After the Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation （CNOP） method has been used, the initial errors which can evolve into maximum prediction error, model errors and their join errors are gained and then the Nifio 3 indices and spatial structures of three kinds of errors are investigated. The results mainly show that the observational MJO has little impact on the maximum prediction error of ENSO events and the initial error affects much greater than model error caused by MJO forcing. These demonstrate that the initial error might be the main error source that produces uncertainty in ENSO prediction, which could provide a theoretical foundation for the adaptive data assimilation of the ENSO forecast and contribute to the ENSO target observation.

PREDICTIVE CONTROL FOR OPTIMAL PATH TERRAIN FOLLOWING SYSTEM

In this paper output predictive algorithm is applied to the design of predictive controller for an optimal path terrain following system. In this way, the error of path tracking is decreased to a minimum degree simply and efficiently and the computation time for the optimal path is shortened greatly. Therefore, the real-time processing of the optimal path terrain following system is made to be very helpful.

An optimal filter based MPC for systems with arbitrary disturbances

In this study, a linear model predictive control(MPC) approach with optimal filters is proposed for handling unmeasured disturbances with arbitrary statistics. Two types of optimal filters are introduced into the framework of MPC to relax the assumption of integrated white noise model in existing approaches. The introduced filters are globally optimal for linear systems with unmeasured disturbances that have unknown statistics. This enables the proposed MPC to better handle disturbances without access to disturbance statistics. As a result, the effort required for disturbance modeling can be alleviated. The proposed MPC can achieve offset-free control in the presence of asymptotically constant unmeasured disturbances. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed approach can provide an improved disturbance ?rejection performance over conventional approaches when applied to the control of systems with unmeasured disturbances that have arbitrary statistics.

An integrated scheme of neural network and optimal predictive control

An approach of adaptive predictive control with a new structure and a fast algorithm of neural network (NN) is proposed. NN modeling and optimal predictive control are combined to achieve both accuracy and good control performance. The output of nonlinear network model is adopted as a measured disturbance that is therefore weakened in predictive feed-forward control. Simulation and practical application show the effectiveness of control by the proposed approach.

Embracing the Future:AI and ML Transforming Urban Environments in Smart Cities

This research explores the increasing importance of Artificial Intelligence(AI)and Machine Learning(ML)with relation to smart cities.It discusses the AI and ML’s ability to revolutionize various aspects of urban environments,including infrastructure,governance,public safety,and sustainability.The research presents the definition and characteristics of smart cities,highlighting the key components and technologies driving initiatives for smart cities.The methodology employed in this study involved a comprehensive review of relevant literature,research papers,and reports on the subject of AI and ML in smart cities.Various sources were consulted to gather information on the integration of AI and ML technologies in various aspects of smart cities,including infrastructure optimization,public safety enhancement,and citizen services improvement.The findings suggest that AI and ML technologies enable data-driven decision-making,predictive analytics,and optimization in smart city development.They are vital to the development of transport infrastructure,optimizing energy distribution,improving public safety,streamlining governance,and transforming healthcare services.However,ethical and privacy considerations,as well as technical challenges,need to be solved to guarantee the ethical and responsible usage of AI and ML in smart cities.The study concludes by discussing the challenges and future directions of AI and ML in shaping urban environments,highlighting the importance of collaborative efforts and responsible implementation.The findings highlight the transformative potential of AI and ML in optimizing resource utilization,enhancing citizen services,and creating more sustainable and resilient smart cities.Future studies should concentrate on addressing technical limitations,creating robust policy frameworks,and fostering fairness,accountability,and openness in the use of AI and ML technologies in smart cities.

Enhanced Water Quality Control Based on Predictive Optimization for Smart Fish Farming

The requirement for high-quality seafood is a global challenge in today’s world due to climate change and natural resource limitations.Internet of Things(IoT)based Modern fish farming systems can significantly optimize seafood production by minimizing resource utilization and improving healthy fish production.This objective requires intensive monitoring,prediction,and control by optimizing leading factors that impact fish growth,including temperature,the potential of hydrogen(pH),water level,and feeding rate.This paper proposes the IoT based predictive optimization approach for efficient control and energy utilization in smart fish farming.The proposed fish farm control mechanism has a predictive optimization to deal with water quality control and efficient energy consumption problems.Fish farm indoor and outdoor values are applied to predict the water quality parameters,whereas a novel objective function is proposed to achieve an optimal fish growth environment based on predicted parameters.Fuzzy logic control is utilized to calculate control parameters for IoT actuators based on predictive optimal water quality parameters by minimizing energy consumption.To evaluate the efficiency of the proposed system,the overall approach has been deployed to the fish tank as a case study,and a number of experiments have been carried out.The results show that the predictive optimization module allowed the water quality parameters to be maintained at the optimal level with nearly 30%of energy efficiency at the maximum actuator control rate compared with other control levels.

Grey series time-delay predicting model in state estimation for power distribution networks

A new combined model is proposed to obtain predictive data value applied in state estimation for radial power distribution networks. The time delay part of the model is calculated by a recursive least squares algorithm of system identification, which can gradually forget past information. The grey series part of the model uses an equal dimension new information model (EDNIM) and it applies 3 points smoothing method to preprocess the original data and modify remnant difference by GM(1,1). Through the optimization of the coefficient of the model, we are able to minimize the error variance of predictive data. A case study shows that the proposed method achieved high calculation precision and speed and it can be used to obtain the predictive value in real time state estimation of power distribution networks.

EMF Waveform Optimization using the Permanent Magnet Volume-Integration Method

The emf expression can be derived with the PM volume-integration method,allowing easier optimization and prediction of the emf harmonic content.An analytical expression is developed for predicting the electromotive force(emf)waveforms and flux linkage resulting from the motion of permanent magnets(PM)in the case of two cylinders,where the outer cylinder carries a surface-mounted winding and the inner cylinder carries the PMs.The expressions are based on the PM Volume-Integration Method,which uses a volume integral calculated over the magnet volume,rather than the usual surface integral over the coil surface.The specific case of surface-mounted arc PM with radial magnetization is analyzed.An outer cylinder with infinitely thin winding distribution on its inner surface is considered.The chording factor,slot factor and spread factor are included in the analytical expression.The emf waveform and related harmonics are predicted analytically and validated by comparing with a finite element analysis and with experiment.

Stabilizing model predictive control scheme for piecewise affine systems with maximal positively invariant terminal set

An efficient algorithm is proposed for computing the solution to the constrained finite time optimal control （CFTOC） problem for discrete-time piecewise affine （PWA） systems with a quadratic performance index. The maximal positively invariant terminal set, which is feasible and invariant with respect to a feedback control law, is computed as terminal target set and an associated Lyapunov function is chosen as terminal cost. The combination of these two components guarantees constraint satisfaction and closed-loop stability for all time. The proposed algorithm combines a dynamic programming strategy with a multi-parametric quadratic programming solver and basic polyhedral manipulation. A numerical example shows that a larger stabilizable set of states can be obtained by the proposed algorithm than precious work.

An Overview to the Concept of Smart Coupling and Battery Management for Grid Connected Photovoltaic Battery System

The paper gives an overview on the need for smart coupling for battery management in grid integrated renewable energy system （RES）. Grid integrated photovoltaic （PV） battery system, as being popular and extensively used has been discussed in the paper. Smart coupling refers to intelligent grid integration such that it can foresee local network conditions and issue battery power flow management strategy accordingly to shave the peak PV and peak load. Therefore, a need for predictive energy management arises for smart integration to the grid and supervision of the power flow in accordance to the grid conditions. This is also a running project at the Institute of Energy Systems （INES）, Offenburg University of Applied Science, Germany since January, 2015. The paper should provide insights to the motivation, need and gives an outlook to the features of desired predictive energy management system （PEMS）.

MPC of distillation column with side reactors for methyl acetate

This paper focuses on the dynamic control of distillation column with side reactors(SRC) for methyl acetate production. To obtain the optimum integrated structure and steady state simulation, the systematic design approach based on the concept of independent reaction amount is applied to the process of SRC for methyl acetate production. In addition to the basic control loops, multi-variable model predictive control modular with methyl acetate concentration and temperature of sensitive plate is designed. Then, based on process simulation software Aspen Plus, dynamic simulation of SRC for methyl acetate production is used to verify the effectiveness of the control scheme.

Complex Problems Solution as a Service Based on Predictive Optimization and Tasks Orchestration in Smart Cities

Smart cities have different contradicting goals having no apparent solution.The selection of the appropriate solution,which is considered the best compromise among the candidates,is known as complex problem-solving.Smart city administrators face different problems of complex nature,such as optimal energy trading in microgrids and optimal comfort index in smart homes,to mention a few.This paper proposes a novel architecture to offer complex problem solutions as a service(CPSaaS)based on predictive model optimization and optimal task orchestration to offer solutions to different problems in a smart city.Predictive model optimization uses a machine learning module and optimization objective to compute the given problem’s solutions.The task orchestration module helps decompose the complex problem in small tasks and deploy them on real-world physical sensors and actuators.The proposed architecture is hierarchical and modular,making it robust against faults and easy to maintain.The proposed architecture’s evaluation results highlight its strengths in fault tolerance,accuracy,and processing speed.

Genomic selection in plant breeding:Key factors shaping two decades of progress

Genomic selection,the application of genomic prediction(GP)models to select candidate individuals,has significantly advanced in the past two decades,effectively accelerating genetic gains in plant breeding.This article provides a holistic overview of key factors that have influenced GP in plant breeding during this period.We delved into the pivotal roles of training population size and genetic diversity,and their relationship with the breeding population,in determining GP accuracy.Special emphasis was placed on optimizing training population size.We explored its benefits and the associated diminishing returns beyond an optimum size.This was done while considering the balance between resource allocation and maximizing prediction accuracy through current optimization algorithms.The density and distribution of single-nucleotide polymorphisms,level of linkage disequilibrium,genetic complexity,trait heritability,statistical machine-learning methods,and non-additive effects are the other vital factors.Using wheat,maize,and potato as examples,we summarize the effect of these factors on the accuracy of GP for various traits.The search for high accuracy in GP—theoretically reaching one when using the Pearson’s correlation as a metric—is an active research area as yet far from optimal for various traits.We hypothesize that with ultra-high sizes of genotypic and phenotypic datasets,effective training population optimization methods and support from other omics approaches(transcriptomics,metabolomics and proteomics)coupled with deep-learning algorithms could overcome the boundaries of current limitations to achieve the highest possible prediction accuracy,making genomic selection an effective tool in plant breeding.

System Reduction Using an LQR-Inspired Version of Optimal Replacement Variables

Optimal ReplacementVariables(ORV)is amethod for approximating a large system of ODEs by one with fewer equations,while attempting to preserve the essential dynamics of a reduced set of variables of interest.An earlier version of ORV[1]had some issues,including limited accuracy and in some rare cases,instability.Here we present a newversion of ORV,inspired by the linear quadratic regulator problemof control theory,which provides better accuracy,a guarantee of stability and is in some ways easier to use.

Reduction of Linear Systems of ODEs with Optimal Replacement Variables

In this exploratory study,we present a new method of approximating a large system of ODEs by one with fewer equations,while attempting to preserve the essential dynamics of a reduced set of variables of interest.The method has the following key elements:(i)put a(simple,ad-hoc)probability distribution on the phase space of the ODE;(ii)assert that a small set of replacement variables are to be unknown linear combinations of the not-of-interest variables,and let the variables of the reduced system consist of the variables-of-interest together with the replacement variables;(iii)find the linear combinations that minimize the difference between the dynamics of the original system and the reduced system.We describe this approach in detail for linear systems of ODEs.Numerical techniques and issues for carrying out the required minimization are presented.Examples of systems of linear ODEs and variable-coefficient linear PDEs are used to demonstrate the method.We show that the resulting approximate reduced system of ODEs gives good approximations to the original system.Finally,some directions for further work are outlined.

Optimal Predictive Impedance Control in the Presence of Uncertainty for a Lower Limb Rehabilitation Robot

As an innovative concept,an optimal predictive impedance controlle is introduced here to control a lower limb rehabilitation robo in the presence of uncertainty.The desired impedance law is considered to propose a conventional model-based impedance controller for the LLRR.However,external disturbances,model imperfection,and parameters uncertainties reduce the performance of the controller in practice.In order to cope with these uncertainties,an optimal predictive compensator is introduced as a solution for a proposed convex optimization problem,which is performed on a forward finite-length horizon.As a result,the LLRR has the desired behavior even in an uncertain environment.The performance and efficiency of the proposed controller are verified by the simulation results.

On the quality requirements of demand prediction for dynamic public transport

As Public Transport(PT)becomes more dynamic and demand-responsive,it increasingly depends on predictions of transport demand.But how accurate need such predictions be for effective PT operation?We address this question through an experimental case study of PT trips in Metropolitan Copenhagen,Denmark,which we conduct independently of any specific prediction models.First,we simulate errors in demand prediction through unbiased noise distributions that vary considerably in shape.Using the noisy predictions,we then simulate and optimize demand-responsive PT fleets via a linear programming formulation and measure their performance.Our results suggest that the optimized performance is mainly affected by the skew of the noise distribution and the presence of infrequently large prediction errors.In particular,the optimized performance can improve under non-Gaussian vs.Gaussian noise.We also find that dynamic routing could reduce trip time by at least 23%vs.static routing.This reduction is estimated at 809,000€/year in terms of Value of Travel Time Savings for the case study.