Comparison of Vs and SPT Soil Liquefaction Assessments of NCEER: Including Hypothesis Testing

Soil liquefaction is one of the complex research topics in geotechnical engineering and engineering geology. Especially after the 1964 Niigata earthquake (Japan) induced many soil liquefaction incidents, a variety of soil liquefaction studies were conducted and reported, including the liquefaction potential assessment methods utilizing the shear wave velocity (Vs) or SPT-N profiles (SPT: standard penetration test). This study used the Vs and SPT methods recommended by the National Center for Earthquake Engineering Research (NCEER) to examine which is more conservative according to the assessment results on 41 liquefiable soil layers at sites in two major cities in Taiwan. Statistical hypothesis testing was used to make the analysis more quantitative and objective. Based on three sets of hypothesis tests, it shows that the hypothesis—the SPT method is more conservative than the Vs method—was not rejected on a 5% level of significance.

A New Deghosting Algorithm with Hypothesis Testing Data Fusion

Eliminating the false intersection (deghosting) is a difficult problem in a passive cross location system. Using a decentralized decision fusion topology, a new deghosting algorithm derived from hypothesis testing theory is developed. It uses the difference between ghosts and true targets in the statistical error, which occurs between their projection angles on a deghosting sensor and is measured from a deghosting sensor, and constructs a corresponding test statistic. Under the Gaussian assumption, ghosts and true targets are decided and discriminated by Chi-square distribution. Simulation results show the feasibility of the algorithm.

Hypothesis testing by simulation of a medical study model using the expected net benefits criteria

Introduction: This work investigates whether to conduct a medical study from the point of view of the expected net benefit taking into account statistical power, time and cost. The hypothesis of this paper is that the expected net benefit is equal to zero. Methods: Information were obtained from a pilot medical study that investigates the effects of two diagnostic modalities, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and computerized axial tomography scanner (CT), on patients with acute stroke. Statistical procedure was applied for planning and contrasting equivalence, non-inferiority and inequality hypotheses of the study for the effectiveness, health benefits and costs. A statistical simulation model was applied to test the hypothesis that conducting the study would or not result in overall net benefits. If the null hypothesis not rejected, no benefits would occurred and therefore the two arms-patterns of diagnostic and treatment are of equal net benefits. If the null hypothesis is rejected, net benefits would occur if patients are diagnosed with the more favourable diagnostic modality. Results: For any hypothesis design, the expected net benefits are in the range of 366 to 1796 per patient at 80% of statistical power if conducting the study. The power depends on the monetary value available for a unit of health improvement. Conclusion: The statistical simulations suggest that diagnosing patients with CT will provide more favourable health outcomes showing statistically significant expected net benefits in comparison with MRI.

On the Distribution of Type II Errors in Hypothesis Testing

When a statistical test of hypothesis for a population mean is performed, we are faced with the possibility of committing a Type II error by not rejecting the null hypothesis when in fact the population mean has changed. We consider this issue and quantify matters in a manner that differs a bit from what is commonly done. In particular, we define the probability distribution function for Type II errors. We then explore some interesting properties that we have not seen mentioned elsewhere for this probability distribution function. Finally, we discuss several Maple procedures that can be used to perform various calculations using the distribution.

Sequential Probability Ratio Test of Correlation Coefficient Using Fuzzy Hypothesis Testing

One of the important fields in statistics is testing hypothesis of correlation coefficient. The extension of the idea of testing correlation to fuzzy hypothesis is of great interesting. In this study, we examined the use of fuzzy hypothesis testing approach for the Sequential Probability Ratio Test (SPRT) of correlation coefficient. Use of fuzzy hypothesis testing for correlation coefficient with SPRT is illustrated by an example.

Sample Size Determination and Statistical Hypothesis Testing for Core Centration in Press Coated Tablets

A novel statistical approach to evaluate the manufacturing quality of press coated tablets in terms of the centering of their core is presented. We also provide a formula to determine the necessary sample size. This approach is applied to real data.

Exploring the Abnormal Brain Regions and Abnormal Functional Connections in SZ by Multiple Hypothesis Testing Technique

Schizophrenia(SZ)is one of the most common mental diseases.Its main characteristics are abnormal social behavior and inability to correctly understand real things.In recent years,the magnetic resonance imaging(MRI)technique has been popularly utilized to study SZ.However,it is still a great challenge to reveal the essential information contained in the MRI data.In this paper,we proposed a biomarker selection approach based on the multiple hypothesis testing techniques to explore the difference between SZ and healthy controls by using both functional and structural MRI data,in which biomarkers represent both abnormal brain functional connectivity and abnormal brain regions.By implementing the biomarker selection approach,six abnormal brain regions and twenty-three abnormal functional connectivity in the brains of SZ are explored.It is discovered that compared with healthy controls,the significantly reduced gray matter volumes are mainly distributed in the limbic lobe and the basal ganglia,and the significantly increased gray matter volumes are distributed in the frontal gyrus.Meanwhile,it is revealed that the significantly strengthened connections are those between the middle frontal gyrus and the superior occipital gyrus,the superior occipital gyrus and the middle occipital gyrus as well as the middle occipital gyrus and the fusiform gyrus,and the rest connections are significantly weakened.

Hypothesis Testing of Population Percentiles via the Wald Test with Bootstrap Variance Estimates

Testing the equality of percentiles (quantiles) between populations is an effective method for robust, nonparametric comparison, especially when the distributions are asymmetric or irregularly shaped. Unlike global nonparametric tests for homogeneity such as the Kolmogorv-Smirnov test, testing the equality of a set of percentiles (i.e., a percentile profile) yields an estimate of the location and extent of the differences between the populations along the entire domain. The Wald test using bootstrap estimates of variance of the order statistics provides a unified method for hypothesis testing of functions of the population percentiles. Simulation studies are conducted to show performance of the method under various scenarios and to give suggestions on its use. Several examples are given to illustrate some useful applications to real data.

Sensitivity and Specificity Analysis Relation to Statistical Hypothesis Testing and Its Errors: Application to Cryptosporidium Detection Techniques

The use of Statistical Hypothesis Testing procedure to determine type I and type II errors was linked to the measurement of sensitivity and specificity in clinical trial test and experimental pathogen detection techniques. A theoretical analysis of establishing these types of errors was made and compared to determination of False Positive, False Negative, True Positive and True Negative. Experimental laboratory detection methods used to detect Cryptosporidium spp. were used to highlight the relationship between hypothesis testing, sensitivity, specificity and predicted values. The study finds that, sensitivity and specificity for the two laboratory methods used for Cryptosporidium detection were low hence lowering the probability of detecting a “false null hypothesis” for the presence of cryptosporidium in the water samples using either Microscopic or PCR. Nevertheless, both procedures for cryptosporidium detection had higher “true negatives” increasing its probability of failing to reject a “true null hypothesis” with specificity of 1.00 for both Microscopic and PCR laboratory detection methods.

Testing on Sapir-Whorf Hypothesis

This paper demonstrates two versions of Whorf hypothesis by giving a conclusion of its commonality and differences. Besides, some classical experiments of testing the hypothesis are given and the author constructs an experimental model of testing the weak version of the hypothesis under the instruction of Carroll's three thinking.

No Evidence for the Compensation Hypothesis in the Swelled Vent Frog(Feirana quadranus)

The compensation hypothesis predicts that if the left testis is defective e.g.due to developmental stress,the increased right testis serves a compensatory role,and thereby displaying testes asymmetry which can be a reliable indicator of male body condition.Here,to test the prediction of the compensation hypothesis,we analyzed difference in size between left testis and right testis and the relationship between testes asymmetry and male body condition in the swelled vent frog(Feirana quadranus).We found that the left testis was larger than right testis,displaying a significant directional asymmetry in testes size.Although testes mass was correlated with body condition,testes asymmetry was not correlated with body condition,which cannot provide evidence that the right testis had a compensatory function.Our findings suggest no evidence for the compensation hypothesis in this species due to lacking the compensatory function in right testis.

Testing for a Zero Proportion

Tests for a proportion that may be zero are described. The setting is an environment in which there can be misclassifications or misdiagnoses, giving the possibility of nonzero counts from false positives even though no real examples may exist. Both frequentist and Bayesian tests and analyses are presented, and examples are given.

On Testing Equality of K Multiple Correlation Matrices

Coutsourides derived an ad hoc nuisance paratmeter removal test for testing equality of two multiple correlation matrices of two independent p variate normal populations under the assumption that a sample of size n is available from each population. This paper presents a likelihood ratio test criterion for testing equality of K multiple correlation matrices and extends the results to the testing of equality of K partial correlation matrices.

Hypothesis testing of Poisson rates in COVID-19 offspring distributions

In the present study,we undertake the task of hypothesis testing in the context of Poissondistributed data.The primary objective of our investigation is to ascertain whether two distinct sets of discrete data share the same Poisson rate.We delve into a comprehensive review and comparative analysis of various frequentist and Bayesian methodologies specifically designed to address this problem.Among these are the conditional test,the likelihood ratio test,and the Bayes factor.Additionally,we employ the posterior predictive p-value in our analysis,coupled with its corresponding calibration procedures.As the culmination of our investigation,we apply these diverse methodologies to test both simulated datasets and real-world data.The latter consists of the offspring distributions linked to COVID-19 cases in two disparate geographies-Hong Kong and Rwanda.This allows us to provide a practical demonstration of the methodologies’applications and their potential implications in the field of epidemiology.

现代数理统计中假设检验的教学探讨

假设检验是现代概率论与数理统计教学中的重要内容和知识点,而假设检验包含建立原假设、构造统计量、计算概率分布、确定临界值和得出结论等过程。在教学过程中,很多教师都忽视建立原假设这个方面。由于没有强调原假设设计方法,学生碰到此类问题很容易产生疑惑出错。实际上,原假设的三个选择是不可以随意互换的,需要通过阅读问题,依据“小概率事件原理”来选择合适的假设。通过对假设检验中单边检验真题案例的教学探讨和分析,完成对原假设存在的三个选择的不同分析,然后对得到的结果进行比较。分析探讨在假设检验教学中做原假设和备择假设设计时,需要结合题目要求,按照“小概率事件原理”来设计假设的方案,促进学生对此问题的理解,并且在实际教学应用中取得良好的效果。

开采保护层与预抽煤层瓦斯防突效果分析

为比较开采保护层与预抽煤层瓦斯防突效果,以1124(3)运顺开采保护层段和预抽煤层瓦斯段煤巷掘进为试验对象,统计了试验地点煤巷掘进期间残余瓦斯含量、钻屑瓦斯解吸指标K1、钻屑量等防突指标,采用假设检验方法推断了各防突指标是否有差别,分析了开采保护层段和预抽煤层瓦斯段各防突指标产生差别的原因,验证了开采保护层区域防突措施比预抽煤层瓦斯区域防突措施更加安全可靠。

二项分布双边收尾概率和假设检验统计量的几处修正

二项分布是广泛存在的一种离散型概率分布。服从二项分布B(n,p)的一个随机变量等于n个相互独立且服从贝努利分布B(1,p)的随机变量之和,二项分布包含参数p的估计与检验等同于贝努利分布参数p的估计与检验。本文修正常见教科书中有关二项分布双边收尾概率计算和假设检验统计量构建中存在的3处问题。(1)对二项分布B(n,p)的取值概率pk(k=0,1,…,n)从小到大排序,排序后的概率用p_((k))表示,观测值k的双边收尾精确概率等于■;(2)二项分布B(n,p)参数p与给定值p0的差异显著性检验统计量被修正为■,该统计量在大样本条件下近似服从正态分布N(p–p0,1);(3)二项分布B(n1,p1)和B(n2,p2)的参数p1和p2差异显著性检验统计量被修正为■,该统计量在大样本条件下近似服从正态分布N(p1–p2,1)。修正后的双边收尾概率是精确值,不会出现概率大于1的问题。修正后的2个检验统计量无论原假设是否成立,其大样本近似正态分布的方差均为1,有利于准确研究备择假设条件下检验统计量的功效。此外,文中还介绍了小样本条件下二项分布参数的精确检验,对比分析了准确检验与近似检验的异同;讨论了修正统计量的理论基础,给出了小概率和大样本的判定标准,列出了贝努利分布参数检验与正态分布均值检验的异同。期望读者能够从中了解到假设检验与统计推断作为统计学核心研究内容的全貌。

基于先验知识的弓网接触电阻预测模型精度提升方法

高速列车的运行实践表明,随着运行速度提高,受电弓与接触导线分离的可能性越大,越容易产生弓网电弧。导致电弧产生的因素很多,但最终都归结到滑板与接触网的接触电阻上。首先利用滑动电接触实验机,研究了波动载荷、滑动速度和接触电流对接触电阻的影响,并进一步结合表面形貌特征,分析了磨损机制、电弧放电与接触电阻演变规律之间的关系。其次为了预测不同工况下的接触电阻,建立了径向基(RBF)神经网络回归模型,通过在模型训练中融入先验知识和采用改进的食肉植物优化算法(ICPA)优化RBF神经网络超参数,提升弓网接触电阻预测模型的精度。有、无先验知识的ICPA-RBF模型预测性能对比仿真结果表明,两类先验知识分别有助于提高模型的收敛速度和预测精度。最后采用假设检验验证了模型的有效性。

P值之争与管理学研究:先验概率的意义

P值之争的本质是人们把统计检验和统计推断混淆,直接用统计检验结果来进行统计推断.这导致许多似是而非的理论被接受.统计检验犯错的是假阳性概率.统计推断犯错的是假阳性之反概率.两种概率之间的数值关系受先验概率影响很大.先验概率越高,利用统计检验的结果进行推断所犯错误概率就越小.如果先验概率很小,即使假阳性概率很小,利用该结果进行推断所犯错误概率也很大.本文以管理学研究为例,提出解决该问题的办法是,通过与现实和与理论的双重对话来掌握先验概率,以提高基于统计检验的结果进行统计推断的可靠性.本文的科学哲学意义是,揭示了科学研究是先验与经验相统一的本质,以及科学研究的不充分决定性的特征.

随机样本数据的概率表征方法

本文通过算例分析了参数概率表征方法的适用性和有效性.对于非参数概率密度估计,介绍了几种拟合变量概率密度函数的方法,通过算例对比了不同方法的拟合效果.