Entropy of deterministic trajectory via trajectories ensemble

We present a formulation of the single-trajectory entropy using the trajectories ensemble. The single-trajectory entropy is affected by its surrounding trajectories via the distribution function. The single-trajectory entropies are studied in two typical potentials, i.e., harmonic potential and double-well potential, and in viscous environment by interacting trajectory method. The results of the trajectory methods are in agreement well with the numerical methods(Monte Carlo simulation and difference equation). The single-trajectory entropies increasing(decreasing) could be caused by absorption(emission) heat from(to) the thermal environment. Also, some interesting trajectories, which correspond to the rare evens in the processes, are demonstrated.

Triceps skinfold thickness trajectories and the risk of all-cause mortality:A prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND The measurement of triceps skinfold(TSF)thickness serves as a noninvasive metric for evaluating subcutaneous fat distribution.Despite its clinical utility,the TSF thickness trajectories and their correlation with overall mortality have not been thoroughly investigated.AIM To explore TSF thickness trajectories of Chinese adults and to examine their associations with all-cause mortality.METHODS This study encompassed a cohort of 14747 adults sourced from the China Health and Nutrition Survey.Latent class trajectory modeling was employed to identify distinct trajectories of TSF thickness.Subjects were classified into subgroups reflective of their respective TSF thickness trajectory.We utilized multivariate Cox regression analyses and mediation examinations to explore the link between TSF thickness trajectory and overall mortality,including contributory factors.RESULTS Upon adjustment for multiple confounding factors,we discerned that males in the‘Class 2:Thin-stable’and‘Class 3:Thin-moderate’TSF thickness trajectories exhibited a markedly reduced risk of mortality from all causes in comparison to the‘Class 1:Extremely thin’subgroup.In the mediation analyses,the Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index was found to be a partial intermediary in the relationship between TSF thickness trajectories and mortality.For females,a lower TSF thickness pattern was significantly predictive of elevated all-cause mortality risk exclusively within the non-elderly cohort.CONCLUSION In males and non-elderly females,lower TSF thickness trajectories are significantly predictive of heightened mortality risk,independent of single-point TSF thickness,body mass index,and waist circumference.

A promising resilience parameter for breeding:the use of weight and feed trajectories in growing pigs

Background Increasing resilience is a priority in modern pig breeding.Recent research shows that general resilience can be quantified via variability in longitudinal data.The collection of such longitudinal data on weight,feed intake and feeding behaviour in pigs has been facilitated by the development of technologies such as automated feeding stations.The goal of this study was to investigate resilience traits,which were estimated as deviations from longitudinal weight,feed intake and feeding behaviour data during the finishing phase.A dataset with 324,207 records between the age of 95 and 155 days on 5,939 Pietrain pigs with known pedigree and genomic information was used.We provided guidelines for a rigid quality control of longitudinal body weight data,as we found that outliers can significantly affect results.Gompertz growth curve analysis,linear modelling and trajectory analyses were used for quantifying resilience traits.Results To our knowledge,this is the first study comparing resilience traits from longitudinal body weight,feed intake and feeding behaviour data in pigs.We demonstrated that the resilience traits are lowly to moderately heritable for deviations in body weight(h2=2.9%–20.2%),in feed intake(9.4%–23.3%)and in feeding behaviour(16.2%–28.3%).Additionally,these traits have good predictive abilities in cross-validation analyses.Deviations in individual body weight and feed intake trajectories are highly correlated(rg=0.78)with low to moderate favourable genetic correlations with feed conversion ratio(rg=0.39–0.49).Lastly,we showed that some resilience traits,such as the natural logarithm of variances of observed versus predicted body weights(lnvarweight),are more robust to lower observation frequencies and are repeatable over three different time periods of the finishing phase.Conclusions Our results will help future studies investigating resilience traits and resilience-related traits.Moreover,our study provides first results on standardization of quality control and efficient data sampling from automated feeding station data.Our findings will be valuable for breeding organizations as they offer evidence that pigs’general resilience can be selected on with good accuracy.Moreover,this methodology might be extended to other species to quantify resilience based on longitudinal data.

Classification of Hailstone Trajectories in a Hail Cloud over a Semi-Arid Region in China

The growth trajectory of hailstones in clouds determines the ground intensity and spatial distribution of hailfall.A systematic study of hail trajectories can help improve the current scientific understanding of the mechanisms by which hail forms in semi-arid regions of China and,in doing so,improve the quality of hail forecasts and warnings and help to prevent and mitigate disasters.In this study,the WRFv3.7.1 model was employed to provide the background field to drive the hailstone trajectory model.Cluster analysis was then used to classify hail trajectories to investigate the characteristics of different types of hail trajectories and the microphysical characteristics of hail formation.The differences in hail trajectories might be mainly due to differences in the background flow fields and microphysical fields of hail clouds in different regions.Comparative analysis revealed that as the maximum particle size of ground hailfall increased,the maximum supercooled cloud water content and the maximum updraft velocity for the formation and growth of hailstone increased.The larger the size when the hailstone reaches its maximum height,the larger the ground hailstone formed.Overall,the formation and growth of hailstone are caused by the joint action of the dynamical flow field and cloud microphysical processes.The physical processes of hailstone growth and main growth regions differ for different types of hail trajectories.Therefore,different catalytic schemes should be adopted in artificial hail prevention operations for different hail clouds and trajectories due to differences in hail formation processes and ground hailfall characteristics.

Forecasting Future Trajectories with an Improved Transformer Network

An increase in car ownership brings convenience to people’s life.However,it also leads to frequent traffic accidents.Precisely forecasting surrounding agents’future trajectories could effectively decrease vehicle-vehicle and vehicle-pedestrian collisions.Long-short-term memory(LSTM)network is often used for vehicle trajectory prediction,but it has some shortages such as gradient explosion and low efficiency.A trajectory prediction method based on an improved Transformer network is proposed to forecast agents’future trajectories in a complex traffic environment.It realizes the transformation from sequential step processing of LSTM to parallel processing of Transformer based on attentionmechanism.To performtrajectory predictionmore efficiently,a probabilistic sparse self-attention mechanism is introduced to reduce attention complexity by reducing the number of queried values in the attention mechanism.Activate or not(ACON)activation function is adopted to select whether to activate or not,hence improving model flexibility.The proposed method is evaluated on the publicly available benchmarks nextgeneration simulation(NGSIM)and ETH/UCY.The experimental results indicate that the proposed method can accurately and efficiently predict agents’trajectories.

Association between Occupational Change Trajectories and Mental Health: Results from the Korean Longitudinal Study of Aging

Objectives:This study was to longitudinally investigate the association between occupational change trajectories and mental health in the Korean population aged 45 years and older from the Korean Longitudinal Study of Aging(KLo-SA).Methods:After excluding missing values,the data of 6,224 participants from thefirst to eighth waves of the KLo-SA were analyzed using t-test,Analysis of variance(ANOVA),Group-based Trajectory Model(GBTM)from 1–5th KLoSA and Time-Lagged Generalized estimating equation(GEE)model from 5–8th KLoSA to analyze the association between occupational change trajectories and mental health in the Korean population aged 45 years and older.Results:An analysis of the association between occupational change trajectories and mental health demonstrated that,among all age group,the“sustained in unemployment”group had a worse MMSE and CESD score compared to“sustained WC”group.unlike the under-54 age group,those aged≥55 years demonstrated reductions in the MMSE and CESD scores in the sustained unemployment and the changed working condition from Standard BC to Unemployment groups,whereas those who underwent a change from the Standard WC to unemployment group only demonstrated a reduction in MMSE scores.Conclusions:There was a close relationship between occupational change trajectories and mental health.Therefore,this study can serve as the foundation for policies and institutional measures to manage the deteriorate mental health in the late middle-aged and older population.

Latent Growth Mixture Modeling to Estimate Differential PTSD Trajectories and Associated Risk Factors in Psychiatric Staff Following Workplace Violence

Background: Workplace violence (WV) towards psychiatric staff has commonly been associated with Posttraumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD). However, prospective studies have shown that not all psychiatric staff who experience workplace violence experience post-traumatic stress. Purpose: We want to examine the longitudinal trajectories of PTSD in this population to identify possible subgroups that might be more at risk. Furthermore, we need to investigate whether certain risk factors of PTSD might identify membership in the subgroups. Method: In a sample of psychiatric staff from 18 psychiatric wards in Denmark who had reported an incident of WV, we used Latent Growth Mixture Modelling (LGMM) and further logistic regression analysis to investigate this. Results: We found three separate PTSD trajectories: a recovering, a delayed-onset, and a moderate-stable trajectory. Higher social support and negative cognitive appraisals about oneself, the world and self-blame predicted membership in the delayed-onset trajectory, while higher social support and lower accept coping predicted membership in the delayed-onset trajectory. Conclusion: Although most psychiatric staff go through a natural recovery, it is important to be aware of and identify staff members who might be struggling long-term. More focus on the factors that might predict these groups should be an important task for psychiatric departments to prevent posttraumatic symptomatology from work.

基于三维空间面积划分的轨迹相似性度量算法

针对大部分轨迹相似性度量算法无法区分方向相反轨迹的问题,提出了一种基于三维空间面积划分的三维三角分割(3TD)算法。首先,按照3TD算法的时间转换规则将轨迹集的绝对时间序列转变为相对时间序列;然后,在由经度、纬度以及时间三要素构成的三维空间坐标系中,通过划分规则将轨迹间面积分割成若干互不重叠的三角形,累加三角形面积并计算轨迹相似度;最后,在从船舶自动识别系统(AIS)收集的随机采样轨迹数据集上,与最长公共子序列(LCSS)算法和三角分割(TD)算法等进行了对比实验。实验结果表明:3TD算法对实验数据集中异向轨迹识别精确度达到100%;同时该算法面对海量数据集以及轨迹点部分缺失的数据集时,也能维持准确的度量结果以及较高的运算效率,能更好地适应异向轨迹相似度量工作。

智能采煤机器人关键技术

采煤机是综采工作面的核心装备,研发智能采煤机器人是实现综采工作面智能化的关键。综合分析当前采煤机机器人化研究进程中的传感检测、位姿控制、速度控制、截割轨迹规划与跟踪控制等技术的研究现状,提出研发智能采煤机器人必须破解的“智能感知、位姿控制、速度控制、截割轨迹规划与跟踪控制、位-姿-速协同控制”五大关键技术,并给出解决方案。针对智能感知问题,提出了构建智能感知系统思路,给出了智能采煤机器人智能感知系统的架构,实现对运行状态、位姿、环境等全面感知,为智能采煤机器人安全、可靠运行提供保障;针对位姿控制问题,提出了智能PID位姿控制思路,给出了改进遗传算法的PID位姿控制方法,实现了智能采煤机器人位姿精准控制;针对速度控制问题,提出了融合“力-电”异构数据的截割载荷测量思路,给出了基于神经网络算法的截割载荷测量方法,实现了截割载荷的精准测量;提出牵引与截割速度自适应控制思路,给出了人工智能算法牵引与截割速度决策方法和滑模自抗扰控制的牵引与截割速度控制方法,实现了智能采煤机器人速度精准自适应控制;针对截割轨迹规划与跟踪控制问题,提出了截割轨迹精准规划思路,给出了融合地质数据和历史截割数据的截割轨迹规划模型,实现了截割轨迹的精准规划;提出了截割轨迹精准跟踪控制思路,给出了智能插补算法的截割轨迹跟踪控制方法,实现了智能采煤机器人截割轨迹高精度规划与精准跟踪控制;针对“位-姿-速”协同控制问题,提出了“位-姿-速”协同控制参数智能优化思路,给出了基于多系统互约束的改进粒子群“位-姿-速”协同控制参数优化方法,实现了智能采煤机器人智能高效作业。深入研究五大关键技术破解思路,有利于加快推动研发高性能、高效率、高可靠的智能采煤机器人。

基于时域卷积网络与注意力机制的车辆换道轨迹预测模型

精准的车辆轨迹预测模型可以为自动驾驶车辆提供其周围车辆的准确运动状态信息,进而判断本车与周围车辆短期内是否有发生冲突的可能性。本文提出一种基于时域卷积网络与注意力机制(Temporal Convolutional Networks with Attention mechanism,TCN-Attention)的车辆换道轨迹预测模型。该模型以时域卷积网络作为当前输入的特征提取器,利用时间与空间注意力机制使模型在不同时间和空间位置之间建立动态关联,更准确地捕捉车辆之间的动态时空相关性,实现准确预测车辆换道轨迹。与传统单一车辆轨迹特征输入不同,本文通过对输入特征进行多维扩充与融合,进一步提高了轨迹预测准确率。此外,本文提出一种换道执行起止时刻定义方法更准确地确定数据集中的换道起止时刻。实验表明,本文所提模型能以高准确率预测变换车道轨迹,在整体效果上优于其他深度学习模型,与ConvLSTM (Convolution Long Short-Term Memory)相比,TCN-Attention的平均绝对误差(Mean Absolute Error,E_(MAE))降低了69.8%,均方根误差(Root Mean Square Error,E_(RMSE))降低了49.15%,平均绝对百分比误差(Mean Absolute Percentage Error,E_(MAPE))降低了14.24%。

基于Transformer-GRU网络的4D航迹预测

航空器的4D航迹预测作为基于航迹运行(TBO)的关键技术之一具有非常重要的意义。基于Transformer-GRU(T-GRU)网络,提出了一种新的航迹预测方法,结合Adamax优化器实现了4D航迹预测。利用Transformer网络的自注意力机制对输入序列进行建模,通过GRU网络获取时序数据的特征;对原始航迹数据进行重采样插值和中值滤波等预处理,以便消除数据缺失和异常值等对预测的影响;通过E E、E AT、E CT、E A等误差指标对实验结果进行评价,并与其他常用的航迹预测方法进行对比。研究结果表明:与传统深度学习方法相比,基于T-GRU网络的4D航迹预测模型在航迹预测中具有更高的准确性和鲁棒性。

无人机辅助MEC系统中的联合计算卸载和轨迹设计

文中提出了一种无人机辅助移动边缘计算(MEC)系统,其中一架配备计算资源的无人机作为飞行基站(BS)处理从用户迁移来的应用任务,以节省用户设备的能耗.考虑了一种通用的瑞森衰落信道模型,通过联合优化无人机轨迹、用户发射功率、用户调度和比特分配,以最小化所有用户设备的平均能耗.设计了一种基于迭代分块连续上界最小化算法,并引入二次惩罚项进行交替求解.结果表明:文中所提出的联合优化方案优于其他基准方案,能显著降低用户的能量消耗.

多约束条件下四旋翼机动轨迹跟踪一体化控制方法

四旋翼无人机高动态飞行需求的增加使其成为一个越来越热门的研究主题。针对四旋翼执行废墟裂缝和树林缝隙穿越任务时的大机动轨迹状态跟踪控制问题,提出基于模型预测控制的一体化控制方法,包含多约束条件下的高机动轨迹规划和多参考状态量的一体化跟踪控制,并通过飞行试验验证了所提方法相比前馈PID控制方法在跟踪规划的高机动轨迹时的优越性能。在飞行试验中,四旋翼成功穿越了60°滚转角的窄框,其实际滚转角达到60°大角度的同时,z轴误差仅为0.065 m。

道路环形交叉口机动车冲突风险区识别模型研究

为定量识别城市非信控环形交叉口区域内的机动车冲突风险易发生点,降低环形交叉口的事故发生率,本文构建针对非信控环形交叉口机动车冲突风险识别模型。首先,利用无人机采集高精度、连续的多车辆轨迹视频,结合Kinovea视频运动分析软件实现运行车辆状态识别与跟踪,并记录车辆每一帧的运动数据;其次,基于交通冲突识别指标TTC(Time to Collision),提出适应环形交叉口道路线形特征的车辆TTC计算方法,并使用累计频率法确定严重、一般和轻微冲突的阈值分别为1.2,2.8,4.4 s;最后,通过绘制高峰和平峰交通冲突空间异步图,并结合交通冲突数和严重冲突率,对环形交叉口的36个子区段进行交通冲突风险等级评定。研究结果显示:在高峰时段,某一子区段的平均交通冲突发生次数约为15次,严重冲突率为17.45%;在平峰时段,某一子区段的平均交通冲突发生次数约为8次,严重冲突率为8.28%。重度风险区域在高峰时段占比达到50%,而在平峰时段为8.33%,这些重度风险区域主要集中在交织区段。因此,环形交叉口在高峰时段且位于交织区段的情况更易发生交通事故。本文研究成果有助于交通管理部门了解环形交叉口在不同时段和区段上的交通冲突情况和特征,以便采取相应的预警和管理措施。

面向海流扰动和通信时延的欠驱动AUV编队跟踪控制

由欠驱动自主水下航行器(Autonomous Underwater Vehicle,AUV)编队组成的水下探测阵列具有响应快、机动性好、智能化程度高的特点。针对无速度信息传输的多AUV在海流和时延复合扰动下的编队控制问题,提出一种虚拟轨迹、轨迹预测、自适应反演滑模控制技术相结合的编队控制方法。使用领航者的位置信息和期望队形得到跟随者的参考轨迹,并引入虚拟轨迹使其与跟随者参考轨迹有限时间重合,从而得到跟随者的期望位置和速度。在此基础上,使用最小二乘法拟合轨迹曲线进行时延补偿,并通过自适应反演滑模控制技术完成海流干扰下的编队轨迹跟踪。理论分析和仿真结果表明,新方法具有可行性和有效性。

众源地理信息支持下的建成环境与户外慢跑关联交互

【目的】户外健身慢跑已成为城市居民提升健康水平的重要方式。探析城市建成环境与户外慢跑行为的关联交互,旨在为建立友好型人居环境提供科学依据。【方法】利用慢跑GPS轨迹、街景图片等众源地理大数据,在城市尺度测度户外慢跑行为和城市建成环境特征。采用地理探测器模型探究成都市主城区建成环境与慢跑行为的关联交互影响及其时空差异性。【结果】人口密度、土地利用混合度、公交站密度是户外慢跑空间分布的核心作用因子。建成环境因子两两交互后对慢跑流量的解释力均大于单因子,其中,人口密度和土地利用混合度二者的交互在50%程度上解释了慢跑活动的空间分异。部分环境因子对慢跑流量的交互影响会随着时间和土地利用类型的不同而变化。人口密度和土地利用混合度与其他建成环境因子呈现协同增强的交互影响,且核心交互因子对慢跑的解释力大小具有时空变化性。【结论】众源地理信息为大范围、低成本的感知测度人类行为和城市环境提供了新手段。系统解析建成环境对户外慢跑的关联交互影响,可为健康导向的城市设计提供决策建议。

基于航测数据的不同风格换道轨迹规划

不当的换道行为可能危及交通安全,导致交通事故和拥堵,因此有必要探索不同驾驶风格下在车道出口的换道轨迹.本文利用中国高速公路和快速路拥堵场景数据集中的车辆轨迹数据,采用K-means算法将驾驶人分为谨慎型、普通型和激进型三类;通过聚类分析和换道时间预测,以最小化换道纵向位移和行驶稳定性加权值之和为优化目标,同时以舒适性和安全性评价指标为约束条件,采用五次多项式进行最优换道轨迹规划;随后,使用遗传算法解决轨迹规划问题,基于Prescan、CarSim、MATLAB/Simulink仿真平台建立横纵向联合控制二自由度车辆动力学模型;最后,设计自车前车、目标车道前车和目标车道后车三种典型换道场景,并通过仿真实验评价不同驾驶风格下的换道轨迹规划效果和车辆轨迹跟踪控制效果.实验结果表明:在目标车道有车的场景下提出的融合驾驶风格的轨迹规划算法使得规划的换道轨迹增加了激进型驾驶风格的换道时长,同时减少了普通型和谨慎型驾驶风格司机的换道时长,进而能够确保换道过程的时效性、安全性和舒适性.

自适应时域参数MPC的智能车辆轨迹跟踪控制

为了解决智能车辆在低附着路面下主动转向跟踪控制的稳定性和控制精度问题,提出了一种基于自适应时域参数的智能车辆轨迹跟踪控制策略。基于车辆动力学模型和模型预测控制算法(MPC)建立线性时变MPC控制器,并加入包括轮胎侧偏角约束、质心侧偏角约束以及前轮转角约束的动力学约束,求解出最优前轮转向角。分析控制器中的时域参数对控制效果的影响,设计了一种自适应时域参数控制器,能够根据获取的车辆速度,将求解得到最优的预测时域和控制时域参数输入到控制器,提高控制器在不同速度下的控制精度和稳定性。通过搭建MATLAB/SimuLink与CarSim联合仿真平台,在低附着路面情况下对固定时域控制器和自适应时域控制器进行对比仿真实验。结果表明:自适应时域控制器能够有效改善控制器的性能、减少横向偏差、提高轨迹跟踪控制精度,同时对不同速度也具有较强的适应性,车辆质心侧偏角也控制在0°~15°内,有效保证了车辆行驶的稳定性。

六自由度上肢康复机器人机构设计及轨迹规划

本研究设计一款六自由度上肢康复机器人,机器人采用绳索驱动、串并联相结合的关节结构形式,能够牵引偏瘫患者的上肢实现多个关节且活动范围较大的康复运动训练。针对上肢康复机器人机构适用性问题,基于运动学理论和D-H坐标系法建立上肢康复机器人本体D-H参数模型,根据空间坐标向量之间的平移、旋转关系,对运动序列建模分析,求解正运动学,通过封闭解法求解逆运动学。基于运动学分析结果,提出五次多项式函数关节空间轨迹规划方法,对上肢提拉抬肘运动进行轨迹规划仿真,验证了康复运动过程中的运动能力。

多源视频数据驱动的舰面保障作业三维重建

针对现有公开的航母舰面保障作业视频数据碎片化、相机角度多变、像素质量低下等问题,提出一种多源视频数据驱动的舰面保障作业三维重建方法.该方法首先对视频中对象轨迹方向进行预测,并采用联合外观和方向相似度的跟踪方法实现视频数据的多目标轨迹跟踪;然后基于跟踪结果,依次采用相似度关联、特征轨迹分割、轨迹聚类提取多源数据中的保障作业对象并进行关联与融合;最后对融合得到的轨迹进行逼真三维重建.在MOT20数据集和舰面保障作业公开视频数据上,实验和用户调研数据的t检验结果表明,采用所提方法有99.5%的把握得到可信的舰面保障作业三维重建效果.