The Fourth Assessment Report of IPCC(IPCC AR4)concluded that average Northern Hemisphere temperatures during the second half of the 20th century were very likely higher than that of any other 50-year period in the las...The Fourth Assessment Report of IPCC(IPCC AR4)concluded that average Northern Hemisphere temperatures during the second half of the 20th century were very likely higher than that of any other 50-year period in the last 500 years and likely the highest in at least the past 1300 years.However,after evaluating Global or Northern Hemisphere temperature change series derived from ice cores,tree rings,展开更多
Using the low-resolution(T31, equivalent to 3.75°× 3.75°) version of the Community Earth System Model(CESM) from the National Center for Atmospheric Research(NCAR), a global climate simulation was carri...Using the low-resolution(T31, equivalent to 3.75°× 3.75°) version of the Community Earth System Model(CESM) from the National Center for Atmospheric Research(NCAR), a global climate simulation was carried out with fixed external forcing factors(1850 Common Era.(C.E.) conditions) for the past 2000 years. Based on the simulated results, spatio-temporal structures of surface air temperature, precipitation and internal variability, such as the El Nio-Southern Oscillation(ENSO), the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation(AMO), the Pacific Decadal Oscillation(PDO), and the North Atlantic Oscillation(NAO), were compared with reanalysis datasets to evaluate the model performance. The results are as follows: 1) CESM showed a good performance in the long-term simulation and no significant climate drift over the past 2000 years; 2) climatological patterns of global and regional climate changes simulated by the CESM were reasonable compared with the reanalysis datasets; and 3) the CESM simulated internal natural variability of the climate system performs very well. The model not only reproduced the periodicity of ENSO, AMO and PDO events but also the 3–8 years variability of the ENSO. The spatial distribution of the CESM-simulated NAO was also similar to the observed. However, because of weaker total irradiation and greenhouse gas concentration forcing in the simulation than the present, the model performances had some differences from the observations. Generally, the CESM showed a good performance in simulating the global climate and internal natural variability of the climate system. This paves the way for other forced climate simulations for the past 2000 years by using the CESM.展开更多
有孔虫指数(Foram Index,FI)是利用珊瑚礁区沉积物中底栖有孔虫功能组(藻类共生种、机会种、非自养种)的含量评估珊瑚礁区生态环境健康状况的指标,迄今中国对该指标的应用还较少。文章以西沙群岛羚羊礁的潟湖中钻取的LYJ2岩芯为材料(全...有孔虫指数(Foram Index,FI)是利用珊瑚礁区沉积物中底栖有孔虫功能组(藻类共生种、机会种、非自养种)的含量评估珊瑚礁区生态环境健康状况的指标,迄今中国对该指标的应用还较少。文章以西沙群岛羚羊礁的潟湖中钻取的LYJ2岩芯为材料(全长287 cm,底部对应的年代为2665 a BP),以0.5 cm的间隔取样,在显微镜下鉴定有孔虫功能组,计算FI值。结果显示:1)近2600年的FI变化范围为4.1~7.9,均值为5.9。2)FI成波动变化的模式,具体可分为3个上升期:2380―1628,1212―572和252―92 a BP;3个快速下降期:1628―1212,572―252和92 a BP至今及1个小幅下降期:2665―2380 a BP;3)FI在长期变化趋势上叠加不同尺度的年代际波动,具有66.7、54.4 a等周期。基于FI值对珊瑚礁健康状况的评估标准,推测近2600年来西沙羚羊礁的生态环境总体是健康的;基于FI值与海表温度对比分析,推测羚羊礁FI值主要受海表温度影响,与气候变化具有一致性,FI高值与中世纪暖期、罗马暖期大致对应,而低值与小冰期、黑暗时代冷期大致对应;FI值具有3次快速下降阶段,前两者(1628―1404,572―252 a BP)与黑暗时代冷期、小冰期相对应,可能是由于冷期冬季风增强导致大气粉尘物质增多、降雨增加、羚羊礁海域营养物质增加所致;后者(92 a BP至今)与近40年来西沙群岛珊瑚礁生态系统的快速退化相对应,可能是由人类活动加剧、大气氮沉降通量增加等导致的羚羊礁海域营养浓度升高所致。文章揭示了有孔虫指数可大体记录南海珊瑚礁的健康状况,可用于对地质历史时期珊瑚礁健康状况的评估。展开更多
基金supported by the National Science & Technology Pillar Program during the Eleventh Five-Year Plan Period of China(2007BAC03A01)the Climatic Change Project of China Meteorological Administration(CCCSF2008-10)
文摘The Fourth Assessment Report of IPCC(IPCC AR4)concluded that average Northern Hemisphere temperatures during the second half of the 20th century were very likely higher than that of any other 50-year period in the last 500 years and likely the highest in at least the past 1300 years.However,after evaluating Global or Northern Hemisphere temperature change series derived from ice cores,tree rings,
基金Under the auspices of National Basic Research Program of China(No.2010CB950102)Strategic and Special Frontier Project of Science and Technology of Chinese Academy of Sciences(No.XDA05080800)+3 种基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41371209,41420104002)Special Research Fund for Doctoral Discipline of Higher Education Institutions(No.20133207110015)Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions(No.14KJA170002)Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions(No.164320H101)
文摘Using the low-resolution(T31, equivalent to 3.75°× 3.75°) version of the Community Earth System Model(CESM) from the National Center for Atmospheric Research(NCAR), a global climate simulation was carried out with fixed external forcing factors(1850 Common Era.(C.E.) conditions) for the past 2000 years. Based on the simulated results, spatio-temporal structures of surface air temperature, precipitation and internal variability, such as the El Nio-Southern Oscillation(ENSO), the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation(AMO), the Pacific Decadal Oscillation(PDO), and the North Atlantic Oscillation(NAO), were compared with reanalysis datasets to evaluate the model performance. The results are as follows: 1) CESM showed a good performance in the long-term simulation and no significant climate drift over the past 2000 years; 2) climatological patterns of global and regional climate changes simulated by the CESM were reasonable compared with the reanalysis datasets; and 3) the CESM simulated internal natural variability of the climate system performs very well. The model not only reproduced the periodicity of ENSO, AMO and PDO events but also the 3–8 years variability of the ENSO. The spatial distribution of the CESM-simulated NAO was also similar to the observed. However, because of weaker total irradiation and greenhouse gas concentration forcing in the simulation than the present, the model performances had some differences from the observations. Generally, the CESM showed a good performance in simulating the global climate and internal natural variability of the climate system. This paves the way for other forced climate simulations for the past 2000 years by using the CESM.
文摘有孔虫指数(Foram Index,FI)是利用珊瑚礁区沉积物中底栖有孔虫功能组(藻类共生种、机会种、非自养种)的含量评估珊瑚礁区生态环境健康状况的指标,迄今中国对该指标的应用还较少。文章以西沙群岛羚羊礁的潟湖中钻取的LYJ2岩芯为材料(全长287 cm,底部对应的年代为2665 a BP),以0.5 cm的间隔取样,在显微镜下鉴定有孔虫功能组,计算FI值。结果显示:1)近2600年的FI变化范围为4.1~7.9,均值为5.9。2)FI成波动变化的模式,具体可分为3个上升期:2380―1628,1212―572和252―92 a BP;3个快速下降期:1628―1212,572―252和92 a BP至今及1个小幅下降期:2665―2380 a BP;3)FI在长期变化趋势上叠加不同尺度的年代际波动,具有66.7、54.4 a等周期。基于FI值对珊瑚礁健康状况的评估标准,推测近2600年来西沙羚羊礁的生态环境总体是健康的;基于FI值与海表温度对比分析,推测羚羊礁FI值主要受海表温度影响,与气候变化具有一致性,FI高值与中世纪暖期、罗马暖期大致对应,而低值与小冰期、黑暗时代冷期大致对应;FI值具有3次快速下降阶段,前两者(1628―1404,572―252 a BP)与黑暗时代冷期、小冰期相对应,可能是由于冷期冬季风增强导致大气粉尘物质增多、降雨增加、羚羊礁海域营养物质增加所致;后者(92 a BP至今)与近40年来西沙群岛珊瑚礁生态系统的快速退化相对应,可能是由人类活动加剧、大气氮沉降通量增加等导致的羚羊礁海域营养浓度升高所致。文章揭示了有孔虫指数可大体记录南海珊瑚礁的健康状况,可用于对地质历史时期珊瑚礁健康状况的评估。
