In 2022,four earthquakes with M_(S)≥6.0 including the Menyuan M_(S)6.9 and Luding M_(S)6.8 earthquakes occurred in the North-South Seismic Zone(NSSZ),which demonstrated high and strong seismicity.Pattern Informatics(...In 2022,four earthquakes with M_(S)≥6.0 including the Menyuan M_(S)6.9 and Luding M_(S)6.8 earthquakes occurred in the North-South Seismic Zone(NSSZ),which demonstrated high and strong seismicity.Pattern Informatics(PI)method,as an effective long and medium term earthquake forecasting method,has been applied to the strong earthquake forecasting in Chinese mainland and results have shown the positive performance.The earthquake catalog with magnitude above M_(S)3.0 since 1970 provided by China Earthquake Networks Center was employed in this study and the Receiver Operating Characteristic(ROC)method was applied to test the forecasting efficiency of the PI method in each selected region related to the North-South Seismic Zone systematically.Based on this,we selected the area with the best ROC testing result and analyzed the evolution process of the PI hotspot map reflecting the small seismic activity pattern prior to the Menyuan M_(S)6.9 and Luding M_(S)6.8 earthquakes.A“forward”forecast for the area was carried out to assess seismic risk.The study shows the following.1)PI forecasting has higher forecasting efficiency in the selected study region where the difference of seismicity in any place of the region is smaller.2)In areas with smaller differences of seismicity,the activity pattern of small earthquakes prior to the Menyuan M_(S)6.9 and Luding M_(S)6.8 earthquakes can be obtained by analyzing the spatio-temporal evolution process of the PI hotspot map.3)The hotspot evolution in and around the southern Tazang fault in the study area is similar to that prior to the strong earthquakes,which suggests the possible seismic hazard in the future.This study could provide some ideas to the seismic hazard assessment in other regions with high seismicity,such as Japan,Californi,Turkey,and Indonesia.展开更多
The article explores the issue of designing a new design of a loading cylinder with a casing filled with vulcanized rubber for pneumomechanical spinning machines. The theoretical calculation of the deformed state of a...The article explores the issue of designing a new design of a loading cylinder with a casing filled with vulcanized rubber for pneumomechanical spinning machines. The theoretical calculation of the deformed state of a cylindrical shell filled with vulcanized rubber is given. Deflections and stresses in the rubber layer are determined, which we use approximately for the Ritz methods. The theory of the radial and axial moving rubber layer was analyzed. The specific energy of deformation of a cylindrical layer of a compound cylinder is determined. The statics of the case and the loading cylinder of spinning machines are thoroughly studied.展开更多
Recently, some new characteristics of complex networks attract the attentions of scientist, in different fields, and lead to many kinds of emerging research directions. So far, most of the researcl work has been limit...Recently, some new characteristics of complex networks attract the attentions of scientist, in different fields, and lead to many kinds of emerging research directions. So far, most of the researcl work has been limited in discovery of complex network characteristics by structure analysis in large-scale software systems. This paper presents the theoretical basis, design method, algorithms and experiment results of the research. It firstly emphasizes the significance of design method of evolution growth for network topology of Object Oriented （OO） software systems, and argues that the selection and modulation of network models with various topology characteristics will bring un-ignorable effect on the process, of design and implementation of OO software systems. Then we analyze the similar discipline of ＂negation of negation and compromise＂ between the evolution of network models with different topology characteristics and the development of software modelling methods. According to the analysis of the growth features of software patterns, we propose an object-oriented software network evolution growth method and its algorithms in succession. In addition, we also propose the parameter systems for OO software system metrics based on complex network theory. Based on these parameter systems, it can analyze the features of various nodes, links and local-world, modulate the network topology and guide the software metrics. All these can be helpful to the detailed design, implementation and performance analysis. Finally, we focus on the application of the evolution algorithms and demonstrate it by a case study. Comparing the results from our early experiments with methodologies in empirical software engineering, we believe that the proposed software engineering design method is a computational software engineering approach based on complex network theory. We argue that this method should be greatly beneficial for the design, implementation, modulation and metrics of functionality, structure and performance in large-scale OO software complex system.展开更多
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China Study on the Theory and Methods of Deterministic-Probabilistic(No.U2039207)the National Key Research and Development Program of China‘CSEP China in the Context of China Seismic Experimental Site’(No.2018YFE0109700).
文摘In 2022,four earthquakes with M_(S)≥6.0 including the Menyuan M_(S)6.9 and Luding M_(S)6.8 earthquakes occurred in the North-South Seismic Zone(NSSZ),which demonstrated high and strong seismicity.Pattern Informatics(PI)method,as an effective long and medium term earthquake forecasting method,has been applied to the strong earthquake forecasting in Chinese mainland and results have shown the positive performance.The earthquake catalog with magnitude above M_(S)3.0 since 1970 provided by China Earthquake Networks Center was employed in this study and the Receiver Operating Characteristic(ROC)method was applied to test the forecasting efficiency of the PI method in each selected region related to the North-South Seismic Zone systematically.Based on this,we selected the area with the best ROC testing result and analyzed the evolution process of the PI hotspot map reflecting the small seismic activity pattern prior to the Menyuan M_(S)6.9 and Luding M_(S)6.8 earthquakes.A“forward”forecast for the area was carried out to assess seismic risk.The study shows the following.1)PI forecasting has higher forecasting efficiency in the selected study region where the difference of seismicity in any place of the region is smaller.2)In areas with smaller differences of seismicity,the activity pattern of small earthquakes prior to the Menyuan M_(S)6.9 and Luding M_(S)6.8 earthquakes can be obtained by analyzing the spatio-temporal evolution process of the PI hotspot map.3)The hotspot evolution in and around the southern Tazang fault in the study area is similar to that prior to the strong earthquakes,which suggests the possible seismic hazard in the future.This study could provide some ideas to the seismic hazard assessment in other regions with high seismicity,such as Japan,Californi,Turkey,and Indonesia.
文摘The article explores the issue of designing a new design of a loading cylinder with a casing filled with vulcanized rubber for pneumomechanical spinning machines. The theoretical calculation of the deformed state of a cylindrical shell filled with vulcanized rubber is given. Deflections and stresses in the rubber layer are determined, which we use approximately for the Ritz methods. The theory of the radial and axial moving rubber layer was analyzed. The specific energy of deformation of a cylindrical layer of a compound cylinder is determined. The statics of the case and the loading cylinder of spinning machines are thoroughly studied.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.60373086IS0/IEC SC32 Standardization Project No.1.32.22.01.03.00+3 种基金"Tenth Five-Year Plan"National Key Project of Science and Technology under Grant No.2002BA906A21Hubei Province Key Project under Grant No.2004AA103A02Wuhan City Key Project under Grant No.200210020430pen Foundation of SKLSE under Grant No.SKLSE05-19.
文摘Recently, some new characteristics of complex networks attract the attentions of scientist, in different fields, and lead to many kinds of emerging research directions. So far, most of the researcl work has been limited in discovery of complex network characteristics by structure analysis in large-scale software systems. This paper presents the theoretical basis, design method, algorithms and experiment results of the research. It firstly emphasizes the significance of design method of evolution growth for network topology of Object Oriented （OO） software systems, and argues that the selection and modulation of network models with various topology characteristics will bring un-ignorable effect on the process, of design and implementation of OO software systems. Then we analyze the similar discipline of ＂negation of negation and compromise＂ between the evolution of network models with different topology characteristics and the development of software modelling methods. According to the analysis of the growth features of software patterns, we propose an object-oriented software network evolution growth method and its algorithms in succession. In addition, we also propose the parameter systems for OO software system metrics based on complex network theory. Based on these parameter systems, it can analyze the features of various nodes, links and local-world, modulate the network topology and guide the software metrics. All these can be helpful to the detailed design, implementation and performance analysis. Finally, we focus on the application of the evolution algorithms and demonstrate it by a case study. Comparing the results from our early experiments with methodologies in empirical software engineering, we believe that the proposed software engineering design method is a computational software engineering approach based on complex network theory. We argue that this method should be greatly beneficial for the design, implementation, modulation and metrics of functionality, structure and performance in large-scale OO software complex system.
