The supply of basic pension is seriously lacking, the personal accounts is operated with no money. This is a problem belonging to conversion cost in essence. This paper points out that the government should undertake ...The supply of basic pension is seriously lacking, the personal accounts is operated with no money. This is a problem belonging to conversion cost in essence. This paper points out that the government should undertake the responsibility to solve the problem by using the increment method and stock method to repay the latent liability; then the government can enrich the personal accounts in response to the aging population crisis and the concussion brought by the endowment insurance system's conversion.展开更多
The concept of inclusive finance was proposed and promoted by the United Nations in 2005 with the main purpose of providing services for those who lack good financial services while promoting the economic growth of fa...The concept of inclusive finance was proposed and promoted by the United Nations in 2005 with the main purpose of providing services for those who lack good financial services while promoting the economic growth of family enterprises and eliminating social poverty as well as inequality.With the innovation of financial technology and its application in the field of financial inclusion,the new inclusive finance has shown strong vitality and great prospects in recent years.It provides certain ideas and directions for the development of inclusive finance in the banking industry.展开更多
Objective: An understanding of the levels and trends of medical cost is made for breast cancer patients with different medical insurance coverages in China(mainland), in an attempt to offer a clue to further contro...Objective: An understanding of the levels and trends of medical cost is made for breast cancer patients with different medical insurance coverages in China(mainland), in an attempt to offer a clue to further control the costs.Methods: The inpatient payments of 9,716,180 breast cancer patients spent in medical institutions of different types and grades during 2011–2015 were collected from the inpatient medical record home page(IMRHP) dataset.The data were then processed with SAS(Version 9.3; SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA). Indicators like means,increase(decrease) percentages were used to descriptively analyze the average hospitalization expense of each time(AHEET) and its trends of breast cancer patients with different medical insurance coverages treated in medical institutions of different types and grades.Results:In 2011–2015,the AHEET borne by breast cancer patients in China had been constantly increasing.Specifically,the self-pay inpatients had the largest increase,inpatients covered by Urban Employee Basic Medical Insurance(UEBMI)and Urban Resident Basic Medical Insurance(URBMI)were the next,and those covered by New Rural Cooperative Medical System(NRCMS)had the least increase.Breast cancer inpatient treated in public hospitals had quite greater increase and higher expenditure level than those in private hospitals.The AHEET borne by the inpatients in Grade 3 hospitals had greater increase and higher cost than those in Grade 2 hospitals.Conclusions:The inpatient payments of breast cancer patients will be wisely controlled by reducing the number of self-pay inpatients,taking advantage of restriction mechanism of the medical insurances,and promoting healthy competition between private hospitals and public hospitals.The economic burden imposed on the society by breast cancer can be relieved through further control of inpatient payments of UEBMI-and URBMI-covered breast cancer patients and of Grade 3 hospitals.展开更多
Background: Location of death has been used to examine an indicator for good death. This study aims to examine location of death among patients with three major cancers (gastric, liver, and lung) and other factors ass...Background: Location of death has been used to examine an indicator for good death. This study aims to examine location of death among patients with three major cancers (gastric, liver, and lung) and other factors associated with location of death in South Korea. Methods: We selected the medical and pharmacy claims data for health services and location of death among the 42,596 decedents with cancer (lung 16,632, liver 15,872, gastric 10,092) from 2009 to 2013. We used logistic regressions to identify factors associated with home death. Outcome measures are locations of death (hospital, outpatient clinics or emergency room and home). Results: Only 8.9% died at home whereas 46.5% died in hospital as inpatients. Patients with more than one comorbid cancer or receivers for any supportive care were significantly more likely to die in hospital. Female and younger than 55 years old liver cancer patients were associated with home death. Patients living in metropolitan area, or paying more insurance premium, or being public aid beneficiaries, were associated with home death. Conclusions: The supportive care service use prior to death was significantly associated with increasing odds to hospital death. Being older than 75, or having multiple cancers was significant factors associated with hospital death, whereas living in metropolitan area, lower income or emergency visit were significant factors with home death. These findings are opposite to what is found, as the palliative care and hospice is predominantly hospital-centered. The findings emphasize a need to available end-of-life care in community for dying patients.展开更多
Based on the reality that 29 Chinese provinces have already implemented the policy allowing a couple to raise a second child if either parent is an only child, this paper provides an empirical study on the effect of t...Based on the reality that 29 Chinese provinces have already implemented the policy allowing a couple to raise a second child if either parent is an only child, this paper provides an empirical study on the effect of this policy on the financial status of the social pooling fund of basic pension insurance for urban employees. Our study suggests the followings. First, under the previous unchanged family planning policy, current deficits and cumulative deficits will occur in the social pooling fund in the year 2047 and 2063 respectively. Second, if lO% to 50% of qualified couples choose to raise a second child, the financial status of the social pooling fund will improve; relative to the previous unchanged family planning policy, the contribution ratio can decrease from 20% to the range between 18.06% and 19.57% without causing any changes to the original financial status of income and expenditure. Third, if the percentage of couples choosing to raise a second child rises to 60% to 100%, the contribution ratio can even decrease to the range between 16.55% and 17. 7% without causing any changes to the financial status as under the previous unchanged family planning policy. The above conclusions have all passed the sensitivity test. Therefore, the "two-child policy" for qualified couples is favorable to alleviating the payment pressures of pension insurance but the policy effectiveness is subject to fertility desire and the intensity of government implementation.展开更多
Objective To study the successful experience of implementing diagnosis related group(DRG)payment system in the United States and provide a reference for China’s reform of health insurance payment.Since the United Sta...Objective To study the successful experience of implementing diagnosis related group(DRG)payment system in the United States and provide a reference for China’s reform of health insurance payment.Since the United States is the first country to develop and apply the DRG in the world,its research and practice of DRG are always at the forefront.Methods Literature research method was used to investigate DRG payment system,the specific steps of the payment,the setting method of relevant indicators,and the quality supervision measures.Results and Conclusion There are mainly three aspects from the experience of DRG payment system in the United States.Firstly,the government’s responsibility for health insurance is clarified.Secondly,the relevant indexes are set reasonably.Thirdly,the DRG weight and base rate are adjusted dynamically to ensure the fairness of DRG payment.Therefore,China should pay attention to the following three aspects:clarifying the main responsibility of the government in the reform of health insurance payment,establishing the quality control system of the first page of medical records,and improving the supervision mechanism for medical quality.展开更多
Objective To study the innovative drug pricing methods and medical insurance payment standards in foreign countries and to provide reference for China’s government.Methods The official websites were searched for info...Objective To study the innovative drug pricing methods and medical insurance payment standards in foreign countries and to provide reference for China’s government.Methods The official websites were searched for information and related literature,and literature review was used.Results and Conclusion In foreign countries,the clinical value of innovative drugs and their impact on medical insurance funds were comprehensively evaluated based on factors such as quality-adjusted life years,clinical benefit,and improvement of clinical benefit.Then,the evaluation results were taken as an important basis for whether innovative drugs were admitted to the medical insurance catalog and establishing medical insurance payment standards.By using international experience for reference,innovative drug pricing methods and medical insurance payment standards for China’s national conditions can be improved by establishing a basic database of clinical value and drug economic evaluation of innovative drugs,as well as innovative drug payment models based on decision thresholds.展开更多
The balance of payments is birth insurance fund raising and using the basic principle, from the Angle of the fund balance of payments to the maternity insurance system in China has very strong theory significance and ...The balance of payments is birth insurance fund raising and using the basic principle, from the Angle of the fund balance of payments to the maternity insurance system in China has very strong theory significance and practical significance. Birth insurance is an important part of social security system, has the protection of women's health, improve population quality, guarantee the importance of women's equal employment, and more attention from the whole society, but there exist many obstacles in the process of implementation and resistance. This article obtains from the national birth insurance fund balance of payments, by combining it with the ginseng of birth insurance, enjoy treatment number, per capita salary level, worker year, per capita average wage level is found hidden in the maternity insurance system in China problems and contradictions, in order to provide feasible Suggestions for maternity insurance system in China.展开更多
The purpose of this study was to analyze the components of inpatient costs for coronary artery bypass graft(CABG)according to preoperative risk stratification and to provide evidence for improvement of diagnosis-relat...The purpose of this study was to analyze the components of inpatient costs for coronary artery bypass graft(CABG)according to preoperative risk stratification and to provide evidence for improvement of diagnosis-related groups(DRGs)payment.All patients(n=458)receiving an isolated CABG between January 2014 and December 2016 in a tertiary referral center,in southwest China,were analyzed.Hospital mortality was predicted by the EuroSCORE Ⅱ for each patient. The patients were subdivided into two groups according to the observed mortality(1.97%,9/458):a high-risk group(group H,predicted mortality≥1.97%)and a low-risk group(group L,predicted mortality<1.97%).Clinical outcomes,resource use,in-hospital direct costs,and reimbursement expenses were compared between the two groups.Significant differences existed between group L and group H in postoperative mortality(0.4% vs.3.4%;P=0.02),postoperative complications(10.6% vs.45.7%;P<0.001),postoperative length of hospital stay(17.5±4.9 days vs.18.8±6.5 days,P=0.01),in-hospital costs($20 256±3096vs.$23 334±6332;P<0.001),and reimbursement expenses($7775±2627 vs.$9639±3917;P<0.001).In general,a higher EuroSCORE Ⅱ was significantly associated with a worse clinical outcome and increased costs.The CABG cost data provide evidence for improvement of DRGs payment. Key words:coronary artery bypass graft;risk stratification;hospital costs;medical insurance展开更多
Objective To provide reference for China’s medical insurance reimbursement plan of multi-indication drugs.Methods By referring to relevant foreign literature,the implementation process and conditions of different rei...Objective To provide reference for China’s medical insurance reimbursement plan of multi-indication drugs.Methods By referring to relevant foreign literature,the implementation process and conditions of different reimbursement management modes of multi-indication drugs were analyzed to provide suggestions for reimbursement of multi-indication drugs in China.Results and Conclusion It is suggested to further explore the suitable conditions and select the corresponding mode in China.Payment standards should be set according to value pricing and budget impact analysis.Besides,data collection and analysis mechanism must be improved.Lastly,reward and punishment mechanism can be adopted to improve management efficiency.展开更多
Background:In response to the high financial burden of health services facing tuberculosis(TB)patients in China,the China-Gates TB project,PhaseⅡ,has implemented a new financing and payment model as an important comp...Background:In response to the high financial burden of health services facing tuberculosis(TB)patients in China,the China-Gates TB project,PhaseⅡ,has implemented a new financing and payment model as an important component of the overall project in three cities in eastern,central and western China.The model focuses on increasing the reimbursement rate for TB patients and reforming provider payment methods by replacing fee-for-service with a case-based payment approach.This study investigated changes in out-of-pocket(OOP)health expenditure and the financial burden on TB patients before and after the interventions,with a focus on potential differential impacts on patients from different income groups.Methods:Three sample counties in each of the three prefectures:Zhenjiang,Yichang and Hanzhong were chosen as study sites.TB patients who started and completed treatment before,and during the intervention period,were randomly sampled and surveyed at the baseline in 2013 and final evaluation in 2015 respectively.OOP health expenditure and percentage of patients incurring catastrophic health expenditure(CHE)were calculated for different income groups.OLS regression and Iogit regression were conducted to explore the intervention's impacts on patient OOP health expenditure and financial burden after adjusting for other covariates.Key-informant interviews and focus group discussions were conducted to understand the reasons for any observed changes.Results:Data from 738(baseline)and 735(evaluation)patients were available for analysis.Patient mean OOP health expenditure increased from RMB 3576 to RMB 5791,and the percentage of patients incurring CHE also increased after intervention.The percentage increase in OOP health expenditure and the likelihood of incurring CHE were significantly lower for patients from the highest income group as compared to the lowest.Qualitative findings indicated that increased use of health services not covered by the standard package of the model was likely to have caused the increase in financial burden.Conclusions:The implementation of the new financing and payment model did not protect patients,especially those from the lowest income group,from financial difficulty,due partly to their increased use of health service.More financial resources should be mobilized to increase financial protection,particularly for poor patients,while cost containment strategies need to be developed and effectively implemented to improve the effective coverage of essential healthcare in China.展开更多
With the rapid population aging,the payment crisis of China’s pension insurance fund is increasing yearly.The government adjusts fertility policy to alleviate population aging and improve the solvency of pension insu...With the rapid population aging,the payment crisis of China’s pension insurance fund is increasing yearly.The government adjusts fertility policy to alleviate population aging and improve the solvency of pension insurance fund.On January1,2016,China’s fertility policy was adjusted from“selective two-child policy”to universal two-child policy.This paper establishes actuarial models to analyze how fertility policy adjustment influences the pension insurance fund and concludes as follows:(1)if the“one-child policy”were still employed,the accumulated deficit of pension insurance fund would appear in the year of 2076;(2)if all couples that satisfy the rules of“selective two-child policy”bear the second child,the time of accumulated deficit of pension insurance fund would be postponed by about 9 years;(3)after implementing universal two-child policy,the time of accumulated deficit of pension insurance fund would delay under different situations of fertility intentions,if more than 54% of the qualified couples bear a second child,the accumulated deficit of pension insurance fund would not appear before 2090.The above conclusions have passed the sensitivity tests.Therefore,“two-child policy”can alleviate the payment pressure of pension insurance fund.If the government wants to solve the payment crisis of pension insurance fund,fertility intentions should be improved.展开更多
文摘The supply of basic pension is seriously lacking, the personal accounts is operated with no money. This is a problem belonging to conversion cost in essence. This paper points out that the government should undertake the responsibility to solve the problem by using the increment method and stock method to repay the latent liability; then the government can enrich the personal accounts in response to the aging population crisis and the concussion brought by the endowment insurance system's conversion.
文摘The concept of inclusive finance was proposed and promoted by the United Nations in 2005 with the main purpose of providing services for those who lack good financial services while promoting the economic growth of family enterprises and eliminating social poverty as well as inequality.With the innovation of financial technology and its application in the field of financial inclusion,the new inclusive finance has shown strong vitality and great prospects in recent years.It provides certain ideas and directions for the development of inclusive finance in the banking industry.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 71403189)
文摘Objective: An understanding of the levels and trends of medical cost is made for breast cancer patients with different medical insurance coverages in China(mainland), in an attempt to offer a clue to further control the costs.Methods: The inpatient payments of 9,716,180 breast cancer patients spent in medical institutions of different types and grades during 2011–2015 were collected from the inpatient medical record home page(IMRHP) dataset.The data were then processed with SAS(Version 9.3; SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA). Indicators like means,increase(decrease) percentages were used to descriptively analyze the average hospitalization expense of each time(AHEET) and its trends of breast cancer patients with different medical insurance coverages treated in medical institutions of different types and grades.Results:In 2011–2015,the AHEET borne by breast cancer patients in China had been constantly increasing.Specifically,the self-pay inpatients had the largest increase,inpatients covered by Urban Employee Basic Medical Insurance(UEBMI)and Urban Resident Basic Medical Insurance(URBMI)were the next,and those covered by New Rural Cooperative Medical System(NRCMS)had the least increase.Breast cancer inpatient treated in public hospitals had quite greater increase and higher expenditure level than those in private hospitals.The AHEET borne by the inpatients in Grade 3 hospitals had greater increase and higher cost than those in Grade 2 hospitals.Conclusions:The inpatient payments of breast cancer patients will be wisely controlled by reducing the number of self-pay inpatients,taking advantage of restriction mechanism of the medical insurances,and promoting healthy competition between private hospitals and public hospitals.The economic burden imposed on the society by breast cancer can be relieved through further control of inpatient payments of UEBMI-and URBMI-covered breast cancer patients and of Grade 3 hospitals.
文摘Background: Location of death has been used to examine an indicator for good death. This study aims to examine location of death among patients with three major cancers (gastric, liver, and lung) and other factors associated with location of death in South Korea. Methods: We selected the medical and pharmacy claims data for health services and location of death among the 42,596 decedents with cancer (lung 16,632, liver 15,872, gastric 10,092) from 2009 to 2013. We used logistic regressions to identify factors associated with home death. Outcome measures are locations of death (hospital, outpatient clinics or emergency room and home). Results: Only 8.9% died at home whereas 46.5% died in hospital as inpatients. Patients with more than one comorbid cancer or receivers for any supportive care were significantly more likely to die in hospital. Female and younger than 55 years old liver cancer patients were associated with home death. Patients living in metropolitan area, or paying more insurance premium, or being public aid beneficiaries, were associated with home death. Conclusions: The supportive care service use prior to death was significantly associated with increasing odds to hospital death. Being older than 75, or having multiple cancers was significant factors associated with hospital death, whereas living in metropolitan area, lower income or emergency visit were significant factors with home death. These findings are opposite to what is found, as the palliative care and hospice is predominantly hospital-centered. The findings emphasize a need to available end-of-life care in community for dying patients.
基金sponsored by the National Social Sciences Foundation Program,An Evaluation of the Impact of China’s Family Planning Policy Adjustment on the Sustainability of the Social Security Fund and A Study of the Relevant Countermeasures(Grant No.15XRK005,chaired by:Zeng Yi)
文摘Based on the reality that 29 Chinese provinces have already implemented the policy allowing a couple to raise a second child if either parent is an only child, this paper provides an empirical study on the effect of this policy on the financial status of the social pooling fund of basic pension insurance for urban employees. Our study suggests the followings. First, under the previous unchanged family planning policy, current deficits and cumulative deficits will occur in the social pooling fund in the year 2047 and 2063 respectively. Second, if lO% to 50% of qualified couples choose to raise a second child, the financial status of the social pooling fund will improve; relative to the previous unchanged family planning policy, the contribution ratio can decrease from 20% to the range between 18.06% and 19.57% without causing any changes to the original financial status of income and expenditure. Third, if the percentage of couples choosing to raise a second child rises to 60% to 100%, the contribution ratio can even decrease to the range between 16.55% and 17. 7% without causing any changes to the financial status as under the previous unchanged family planning policy. The above conclusions have all passed the sensitivity test. Therefore, the "two-child policy" for qualified couples is favorable to alleviating the payment pressures of pension insurance but the policy effectiveness is subject to fertility desire and the intensity of government implementation.
文摘Objective To study the successful experience of implementing diagnosis related group(DRG)payment system in the United States and provide a reference for China’s reform of health insurance payment.Since the United States is the first country to develop and apply the DRG in the world,its research and practice of DRG are always at the forefront.Methods Literature research method was used to investigate DRG payment system,the specific steps of the payment,the setting method of relevant indicators,and the quality supervision measures.Results and Conclusion There are mainly three aspects from the experience of DRG payment system in the United States.Firstly,the government’s responsibility for health insurance is clarified.Secondly,the relevant indexes are set reasonably.Thirdly,the DRG weight and base rate are adjusted dynamically to ensure the fairness of DRG payment.Therefore,China should pay attention to the following three aspects:clarifying the main responsibility of the government in the reform of health insurance payment,establishing the quality control system of the first page of medical records,and improving the supervision mechanism for medical quality.
文摘Objective To study the innovative drug pricing methods and medical insurance payment standards in foreign countries and to provide reference for China’s government.Methods The official websites were searched for information and related literature,and literature review was used.Results and Conclusion In foreign countries,the clinical value of innovative drugs and their impact on medical insurance funds were comprehensively evaluated based on factors such as quality-adjusted life years,clinical benefit,and improvement of clinical benefit.Then,the evaluation results were taken as an important basis for whether innovative drugs were admitted to the medical insurance catalog and establishing medical insurance payment standards.By using international experience for reference,innovative drug pricing methods and medical insurance payment standards for China’s national conditions can be improved by establishing a basic database of clinical value and drug economic evaluation of innovative drugs,as well as innovative drug payment models based on decision thresholds.
文摘The balance of payments is birth insurance fund raising and using the basic principle, from the Angle of the fund balance of payments to the maternity insurance system in China has very strong theory significance and practical significance. Birth insurance is an important part of social security system, has the protection of women's health, improve population quality, guarantee the importance of women's equal employment, and more attention from the whole society, but there exist many obstacles in the process of implementation and resistance. This article obtains from the national birth insurance fund balance of payments, by combining it with the ginseng of birth insurance, enjoy treatment number, per capita salary level, worker year, per capita average wage level is found hidden in the maternity insurance system in China problems and contradictions, in order to provide feasible Suggestions for maternity insurance system in China.
文摘The purpose of this study was to analyze the components of inpatient costs for coronary artery bypass graft(CABG)according to preoperative risk stratification and to provide evidence for improvement of diagnosis-related groups(DRGs)payment.All patients(n=458)receiving an isolated CABG between January 2014 and December 2016 in a tertiary referral center,in southwest China,were analyzed.Hospital mortality was predicted by the EuroSCORE Ⅱ for each patient. The patients were subdivided into two groups according to the observed mortality(1.97%,9/458):a high-risk group(group H,predicted mortality≥1.97%)and a low-risk group(group L,predicted mortality<1.97%).Clinical outcomes,resource use,in-hospital direct costs,and reimbursement expenses were compared between the two groups.Significant differences existed between group L and group H in postoperative mortality(0.4% vs.3.4%;P=0.02),postoperative complications(10.6% vs.45.7%;P<0.001),postoperative length of hospital stay(17.5±4.9 days vs.18.8±6.5 days,P=0.01),in-hospital costs($20 256±3096vs.$23 334±6332;P<0.001),and reimbursement expenses($7775±2627 vs.$9639±3917;P<0.001).In general,a higher EuroSCORE Ⅱ was significantly associated with a worse clinical outcome and increased costs.The CABG cost data provide evidence for improvement of DRGs payment. Key words:coronary artery bypass graft;risk stratification;hospital costs;medical insurance
文摘Objective To provide reference for China’s medical insurance reimbursement plan of multi-indication drugs.Methods By referring to relevant foreign literature,the implementation process and conditions of different reimbursement management modes of multi-indication drugs were analyzed to provide suggestions for reimbursement of multi-indication drugs in China.Results and Conclusion It is suggested to further explore the suitable conditions and select the corresponding mode in China.Payment standards should be set according to value pricing and budget impact analysis.Besides,data collection and analysis mechanism must be improved.Lastly,reward and punishment mechanism can be adopted to improve management efficiency.
基金The whole study was funded by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation.
文摘Background:In response to the high financial burden of health services facing tuberculosis(TB)patients in China,the China-Gates TB project,PhaseⅡ,has implemented a new financing and payment model as an important component of the overall project in three cities in eastern,central and western China.The model focuses on increasing the reimbursement rate for TB patients and reforming provider payment methods by replacing fee-for-service with a case-based payment approach.This study investigated changes in out-of-pocket(OOP)health expenditure and the financial burden on TB patients before and after the interventions,with a focus on potential differential impacts on patients from different income groups.Methods:Three sample counties in each of the three prefectures:Zhenjiang,Yichang and Hanzhong were chosen as study sites.TB patients who started and completed treatment before,and during the intervention period,were randomly sampled and surveyed at the baseline in 2013 and final evaluation in 2015 respectively.OOP health expenditure and percentage of patients incurring catastrophic health expenditure(CHE)were calculated for different income groups.OLS regression and Iogit regression were conducted to explore the intervention's impacts on patient OOP health expenditure and financial burden after adjusting for other covariates.Key-informant interviews and focus group discussions were conducted to understand the reasons for any observed changes.Results:Data from 738(baseline)and 735(evaluation)patients were available for analysis.Patient mean OOP health expenditure increased from RMB 3576 to RMB 5791,and the percentage of patients incurring CHE also increased after intervention.The percentage increase in OOP health expenditure and the likelihood of incurring CHE were significantly lower for patients from the highest income group as compared to the lowest.Qualitative findings indicated that increased use of health services not covered by the standard package of the model was likely to have caused the increase in financial burden.Conclusions:The implementation of the new financing and payment model did not protect patients,especially those from the lowest income group,from financial difficulty,due partly to their increased use of health service.More financial resources should be mobilized to increase financial protection,particularly for poor patients,while cost containment strategies need to be developed and effectively implemented to improve the effective coverage of essential healthcare in China.
文摘With the rapid population aging,the payment crisis of China’s pension insurance fund is increasing yearly.The government adjusts fertility policy to alleviate population aging and improve the solvency of pension insurance fund.On January1,2016,China’s fertility policy was adjusted from“selective two-child policy”to universal two-child policy.This paper establishes actuarial models to analyze how fertility policy adjustment influences the pension insurance fund and concludes as follows:(1)if the“one-child policy”were still employed,the accumulated deficit of pension insurance fund would appear in the year of 2076;(2)if all couples that satisfy the rules of“selective two-child policy”bear the second child,the time of accumulated deficit of pension insurance fund would be postponed by about 9 years;(3)after implementing universal two-child policy,the time of accumulated deficit of pension insurance fund would delay under different situations of fertility intentions,if more than 54% of the qualified couples bear a second child,the accumulated deficit of pension insurance fund would not appear before 2090.The above conclusions have passed the sensitivity tests.Therefore,“two-child policy”can alleviate the payment pressure of pension insurance fund.If the government wants to solve the payment crisis of pension insurance fund,fertility intentions should be improved.