Application of the Physical Quantity Field Evolution under Numerical Model in Precipitation Forecast of Yantai

[Objective] The research aimed to understand role of the forecast data about physical quantity field in precipitation forecast.[Method] By contrasting forecast and actual situation of the precipitation in Yantai during 2-3 July and 12-15 September,2011,advantages and disadvantages of the different numerical forecast models (Japan fax chart,European center,MM5,Grapes and T639) were analyzed.[Result] MICAPS system could provide live situation of the physical quantity field,but couldn't provide the future evolution situation.Japan fax chart,European center,MM5,Grapes and T639 could provide future evolution situation of the physical quantity field.[Conclusion] The contrasts and analyses on forecast situations of the physical quantity fields in many precipitation processes showed that evolutions of the vertical velocity,temperature dew point difference,relative humidity and wind field at the different heights could improve forecast accuracy of the precipitation in Yantai.

Comparative Analysis on Physical Quantity Diagnosis and Wind Profile Radar Data of Two Heavy Rainfalls

[ Objective] The research aimed to contrast physical quantity diagnosis and wind profile radar data of two heavy rainfalls. [ Method ] From circulation background, physical quantity field and wind profile radar data, we analyzed two big rainstorm weather processes （8 -9 July and August 10） in Lianyungang City in 2012. [ Result] Rainstorm generation was related to favorable large-scale circulation situation. The first-stage precipitation during 8 -9 July was warm-zone precipitation, and the precipitation at the second stage was triggered by shear line. Precipitation on August 10 was generated by typhoon low-pressure inverted trough and cold air. Sufficient water vapor content and strong water vapor transportation were favorable for generation of the heavy precipitation. Suction effect by divergence at high layer and convergence at middle and low layers was favorable for maintenance of the strong ascending motion. Occurrence of the heavy precipitation must have ascending motion condition. But it was not that the stronger the ascending motion, the stronger the rainfall intensity. Kindex and θse500 -θse 850 were closely related to rainstorm occurrence. Horizontal wind data of the wind profile radar provided fine structure of the atmospheric horizontal motion at vertical direction, could clearly display vertical structure of the wind field in rainstorm process, and directly reflected change characteristics of the wind field in precipitation process. [ Conclusion] The research could provide reference for future forecast work.

Analysis on A Heavy Rain to Rainstorm Weather Process in Liaoning Province

By using the synoptic chart,the physical quantity field,the satellite cloud image and the meteorological elements in the single station,a typical heavy rain to rainstorm weather process which occurred in Liaoning during August 18-20 in 2009 was comprehensively analyzed.The results showed that this process was a weather process which was affected by the upper trough and the subtropical high.Baikal Lake split cold air and Hetao cold air shifted eastward and formed the vortex.The subtropical high extended westward,lifted northward,and the warm wet airflow in the edge cut in.The low-altitude jet stream accelerated the transportation of water vapor,and several active meso-scale convective cloud clusters which appeared in 588 line periphery in the right side of high-altitude jet stream outlet gradually merged with the westerlies system.It caused that the strong mixed precipitation process occurred.

RENEWAL OF BASIC LAWS AND PRINCIPLES FOR POLAR CONTINUUM THEORIES (X) -MASTER BALANCE LAW

Through a comparison between the expressions of master balance laws and the conservation laws derived by Noether＇s theorem, a unified master balance law and six physically possible balance equations for micropolar continuum mechanics are naturally deduced. Among them, by extending the well-known conventional concept of energymomentum tensor, the rather general conservation laws and balance equations named after energy-momentum, energy-angular momentum and energy-energy are obtained. It is clear that the forms of the physical field quantities in the master balance law for the last three cases could not be assumed directly by perceiving through the intuition. Finally, some existing results are reduced immediately as special cases.

Temporal-spatial Distribution and Short-range Prediction Indicators of Hail Weather in East Central Haixi Prefecture of Qinghai Province

[ Objective] The study aimed to discuss the temporal-spatial distribution and short-range prediction indicators of hail weather in east central Haixi Prefecture of Qinghai Province. [Method] Using hail data of six stations in east central Haixi Prefecture from 1960 to 2010, the temporal and spatial distribution of hail weather was analyzed firstly. Afterwards, based on the high-altitude factual data of 30 case studies of hail during 2006 -2010, its high-altitude and ground weather situation and physical quantity field were studied to summarize short-term circulation pattern and shod- range prediction characteristics of hail weather. [ Result] In east central Haixi, hail appeared from April to September, and it was most frequently from May to August. Meanwhile, hail was frequent from 14：00 to 20：00. Among the six stations, hail was most frequent in Tianjun but least frequent in Wulan. Moreover, hail disaster mainly occurred in Wulan and Tianjun. In addition, there were three typos of circulation pattern of hail weather at 500 hPa. Hail mainly occurred under the effect of northwest airflow, and it had shortwave trough, cold center or trough, jet stream core or one of the three. Hail appeared frequently under the situation of upper-level divergence and low-level convergence, and abundant water vapor and water vapor flux convergence at low levels were important conditions for hailing. [ Conclusion] The research could provide scientific references for improving the accuracy of hail forecast.

Analysis of a Rare Continuous Rainy Process in Midsummer

[Objective] The research aimed to analyze a rare low temperature and rainy weather process which happened in Anhui Province from July 22 to August 14,2009.[Method] Based on the data of conventional observation,NCEP analysis field and automatic station,a rare low temperature and rainy weather process which occurred in Anhui Province from July 22 to August 14,2009 was analyzed.The formation reason of continuous rainy process in midsummer was discussed.The circulation characteristics and influence systems of continuous rainy process were revealed.On the base,the influences of configuration of circulation fields and difference of physical quantity fields at high and low layers on range and intensity of precipitation were analyzed.[Result] According to the circulation situation and influence system,the continuous rainy process could be divided into four stages:July 22-24,from July 27 to August 1,August 4-8 and August 9-14.Moreover,it was respectively affected by northeast low vortex,cold and warm air,high-level low trough,typhoon and periphery of subtropical high at four stages.The maintenance of big specific humidity zone provided sufficient water vapor condition for the continuous rainy weather.The rainstorm appeared in dense zone of specific humidity line,where the specific humidity >13 g/kg in the humidity front zone.A temperature trough maintained at 850 hPa.The cold air which continued to diffuse and go south was main reason of the abnormally low temperature during the continuous rainy period.Moreover,it provided ascending motion condition for precipitation maintenance.[Conclusion] The research provided references for actual forecast of continuous rainy weather.

Diagnosis and Analysis on the Heavy Rainstorm Weather Induced by " Higos" Weakened Circulation

The large-range heavy precipitation occurred in the central-southern coast of Fujian on October 6,2008.By using the conventional meteorological data and NCEP 1°×1° 6 h one time analysis data,we analyzed,diagnosed and discussed the reasons of this heavy rainstorm occurrence and maintenance.The results showed that this heavy rainstorm weather process was mainly formed by the low-pressure system which was remained after ' Higos' weakened.The low-pressure system was excited by the weak cold air in the low layer which was brought by 500 hPa westerly trough.The common effect of southwest jet stream in the low altitude in the southeast of low pressure and the northerly airflow in the northwest made that the low-pressure circulation strengthened and maintained.The calculation gained the physical quantity field configuration which was favorable for the appearance of heavy precipitation.The analysis on the relative helicity of windstorm showed that the distribution and the time evolution of helicity had the good corresponding relationship with the distribution and the time evolution of heavy precipitation.The intensity variation of helicity had the certain instruction significance on the rainstorm evolution.

Contrast and Analysis of Many Times Heavy Fog Processes in Zhangjiajie in December,2009

By using the observation data,routine data and NCEP reanalysis data in the automatic station,5 times heavy fog weather processes in Zhangjiajie City in December,2009 were contrasted and analyzed.The results showed that 3 conditions were the essential conditions of heavy fog occurrence in Zhangjiajie area.3 conditions were that the wind speed was during 0.1-3.0 m/s,the relative humidity ≥90% and the depression of dew point ΔT ≤1.5 ℃.The fog concentration had no positive correlation relationship with the above conditions.The accumulation of humidity condition in the previous period was also the main reason which affected the generation of heavy fog.The physical quantity field which related to the stability and the relative humidity field which related to the water vapor condition had the certain directive significance for forecasting the heavy fog weather.The fog concentration presented the positive correlation relationship with the inversion intensity.

Analysis of the Rainstorm Falling Zone in Guangxi during Influence Period of the 0906 Typhoon "Molave"

[ Objective] The research aimed to analyze rainstorm falling zone in Guangxi during influence period of the 0906 typhoon ＂ Molave＂. [ Method] For the heavy precipitation falling zone in southern and central parts of Guangxi after 0906 typhoon ＂ Molave＂ landed, 500 hPa circula- tion, physical quantity field, satellite cloud chart and terrain effect were analyzed. [ Result] 500 hPa subtropical high caused asymmetry of the ＂Me- lave＂ circulation, playing a key role for the strong precipitation falling zone in Guangxi. Physical quantity field analysis pointed out that after ＂ Me- lave＂ landed, water vapor convergence center was in southeast Guangxi, providing adequate moisture condition for the heavy precipitation in south- ern and central parts of Guangxi. The maximum positive vorticity center appeared at the middle and low layers in southern and central parts of Guangxi for a long time. At 200 hPa, there was a maximum divergence center. At 700 hPa, there was a maximum convergence center. High-level divergence and low-level convergence created conditions for heavy precipitation in the region. From satellite cloud chart, the heavy precipitation fall- ing zone related to asymmetric structure of the ~ Molave＂. In addition, uplifting effect of the terrain was conducive to occurrence of the large precipi- tation. [ Conclusion] The research provided reference for reduction and prevention of this kind of heavy precipitation.

Conventional Analysis on a Heavy or Torrential Rain Weather Process

[Objective] The research aimed to analyze a turning weather process in Binzhou City of Shandong Province in midsummer of 2010.[Method] Started from the short-term forecast ideas,the formation reason of heavy or torrential rain and local heavy rainstorm in Binzhou City during 4-5 August,2010 was analyzed from the circulation situation,physical quantity field,radar echo and so on.[Result] The westerly trough and cold air were the trigger mechanisms of precipitation.The warm wet air flow at the edge of subtropical high and the high-altitude low trough were the main systems of precipitation.It was the typical precipitation process that the northwest of subtropical high overlapped with the westerly trough.In the prior period,the high temperature continued.The cold air at 500 hPa made the convection strengthen.It was the main reason that the local precipitation was strong.In the forecast of rainstorm,the specific humidity,K index and SI index were the good physical quantities and reference indexes.In the formation process of rainstorm,K index had the increasing process.When the rainstorm finished,or the rain intensity weakened,K index decreased obviously.SI index indicated the development of convective precipitation.The radar echo analysis found that the mesocyclone appeared in the process for a short time.For it weakened quickly and disappeared in the shift process,the strong precipitation and gale were formed in the west of Binzou,but the hail wasn’t generated.[Conclusion] The research provided the experience for the forecast of such weather in future.

Analysis of the Process of Extreme Heavy Rainfall in the Cold Lake in Qinghai

[Objective] The aim was to analyze the process and reason of the extreme heavy rainfall on June 15,2011 in Cold Lake in Qinghai.[Method] The weather,physical field and satellite of one extreme heavy rain in the cold lake in Qinghai were expounded.[Result] The formation of the loop 'crooked neck' of high pressure,which on the one hand posed a typical situation in the circulation of heavy precipitation in Qinghai,and on the other hand,formed the southwest,southeast of the two water vapor transport in air,in addition to the small groove from the trough of Lake Balk hash and the split vortex plateau,resulted into the extreme heavy rainfall in Cold Lake.The presence of thermal low pressure 700 hPa was conducive to the accumulation of low energy and low-level moisture transport from the Qinghai region to the south of Qaidam Basin.[Conclusion] The resulting process was mainly due to heavy rain in the lower troposphere convergence,high-level divergence,high humidity areas and a strong vertical upward motion.

Comparative Analysis of Two Snowfall Weather Processes at Nanjing Airport in Early 2022

In early 2022,two snowfalls of different magnitudes occurred in southern Jiangsu and Anhui,which had different impacts on the operation of Nanjing Airport.Based on NCEP reanalysis data and the WRF3.9 model,the weather condition and the physical quantity fields of two different situations were mainly compared and analyzed.The results show that the snowstorm occurred in the left front of the low-level jet stream and in the wind speed convergence area of the 700 h Pa shear line.The reasonable configuration of the convergence area of the water vapor flux divergence and the rising motion field can be regarded as an important reason for the occurrence of the snowstorm.Through the comparative analysis of these two snowfalls of different magnitudes,the focus of the short-term forecast of heavy snowfall at Nanjing Airport was preliminarily drawn:the 0℃line at 700 h Pa basically pressed southward to the south of 31°N,and the 0℃line at 850 h Pa pressed southward to the south of 30°N.Surface temperature was≤0℃,and temperature at 925-800 h Pa was≤-3 or-4℃;temperature at 700 h Pa was<0℃,and there was temperature inversion in the middle and lower troposphere.In the model forecast output field,the proportion of the mixing ratio of frozen precipitation in the near-surface atmosphere to the mixing ratio of water vapor that can condense into precipitation is very important,and can be used to determine the evolution of rain and snow boundaries and sleet areas or the south of rain and snow transition zone and precipitation phase.