Real-Time Prediction of Urban Traffic Problems Based on Artificial Intelligence-Enhanced Mobile Ad Hoc Networks(MANETS)

Traffic in today’s cities is a serious problem that increases travel times,negatively affects the environment,and drains financial resources.This study presents an Artificial Intelligence(AI)augmentedMobile Ad Hoc Networks(MANETs)based real-time prediction paradigm for urban traffic challenges.MANETs are wireless networks that are based on mobile devices and may self-organize.The distributed nature of MANETs and the power of AI approaches are leveraged in this framework to provide reliable and timely traffic congestion forecasts.This study suggests a unique Chaotic Spatial Fuzzy Polynomial Neural Network(CSFPNN)technique to assess real-time data acquired from various sources within theMANETs.The framework uses the proposed approach to learn from the data and create predictionmodels to detect possible traffic problems and their severity in real time.Real-time traffic prediction allows for proactive actions like resource allocation,dynamic route advice,and traffic signal optimization to reduce congestion.The framework supports effective decision-making,decreases travel time,lowers fuel use,and enhances overall urban mobility by giving timely information to pedestrians,drivers,and urban planners.Extensive simulations and real-world datasets are used to test the proposed framework’s prediction accuracy,responsiveness,and scalability.Experimental results show that the suggested framework successfully anticipates urban traffic issues in real-time,enables proactive traffic management,and aids in creating smarter,more sustainable cities.

Estimating stock closing indices using a GA-weighted condensed polynomial neural network

Accurate forecasting of changes in stock market indices can provide financial managers and individual investors with strategically valuable information.However,predicting the closing prices of stock indices remains a challenging task because stock price movements are characterized by high volatility and nonlinearity.This paper proposes a novel condensed polynomial neural network(CPNN)for the task of forecasting stock closing price indices.We developed a model that uses partial descriptions(PDs)and is limited to only two layers for the PNN architecture.The outputs of these PDs along with the original features are fed to a single output neuron,and the synaptic weight values and biases of the CPNN are optimized by a genetic algorithm.The proposed model was evaluated by predicting the next day’s closing price of five fast-growing stock indices:the BSE,DJIA,NASDAQ,FTSE,and TAIEX.In comparative testing,the proposed model proved its ability to provide closing price predictions with superior accuracy.Further,the Deibold-Mariano test justified the statistical significance of the model,establishing that this approach can be adopted as a competent financial forecasting tool.

Comparative Study of Machine Learning Modeling for Unsteady Aerodynamics

Modern fighters are designed to fly at high angle of attacks reaching 90 deg as part of their routine maneuvers.These maneuvers generate complex nonlinear and unsteady aerodynamic loading.In this study,different aerodynamic prediction tools are investigated to achieve a model which is highly accurate,less computational,and provides a stable prediction of associated unsteady aerodynamics that results from high angle of attack maneuvers.These prediction tools include Artificial Neural Networks(ANN)model,Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Logic Inference System(ANFIS),Fourier model,and Polynomial Classifier Networks(PCN).Themain aim of the predictionmodel is to estimate the pitch moment and the normal force data obtained from forced tests of unsteady delta-winged aircrafts performing high angles of attack maneuvers.The investigation includes three delta wing models with 1,1.5,and 2 aspect ratios with four determined variables:change rate in angle of attack(0 to 90 deg),non-dimensional pitch rate(0 to.06),and angle of attack.Following a comprehensive analysis of the proposed identification methods,it was found that the newly proposed model of PCN showed the least error in modeling and prediction results.Based on prediction capabilities,it is seen that polynomial networks modeling outperformed ANFIS and ANN for the present nonlinear problem.

Polynomial networks based adaptive attitude tracking control for NSVs with input constraints and stochastic noises

This paper proposes a backstepping technique and Multi-dimensional Taylor Polynomial Networks(MTPN)based adaptive attitude tracking control strategy for Near Space Vehicles(NSVs)subjected to input constraints and stochastic input noises.Firstly,considering the control input has stochastic noises,and the attitude motion dynamical model of the NSVs is actually modeled as the Multi-Input Multi-Output(MIMO)stochastic nonlinear system form.Furthermore,the MTPN is used to estimate the unknown system uncertainties,and an auxiliary system is designed to compensate the influence of the saturation control input.Then,by using backstepping method and the output of the auxiliary system,a MTPN-based robust adaptive attitude control approach is proposed for the NSVs with saturation input nonlinearity,stochastic input noises,and system uncertainties.Stochastic Lyapunov stability theory is utilized to analysis the stability in the sense of probability of the entire closed-loop system.Additionally,by selecting appropriate parameters,the tracking errors will converge to a small neighborhood with a tunable radius.Finally,the numerical simulation results of the NSVs attitude motion show the satisfactory flight control performance under the proposed tracking control strategy.

Polynomial network autoregressive models with divergent orders

We propose a novel polynomial network autoregressive model by incorporating higher-order connected relationships to simultaneously model the effects of both direct and indirect connections. A quasimaximum likelihood estimation method is proposed to estimate the unknown influence parameters, and we demonstrate its consistency and asymptotic normality without imposing any distribution assumption. Moreover,an extended Bayesian information criterion is set for order selection with a divergent upper order. The application of the proposed polynomial network autoregressive model is demonstrated through both the simulation and the real data analysis.