Variation Character of Grain Yield per Unit Area in Main Grain-producing Area of Northeast China

Based on the surveys and the statistic data during 1980-2003, the variation character of grain yield per unit area in Northeast China and its main factors have been discussed by the methods of statistics and grey correlation analysis. The results show that: 1) the grain yield per unit area has been taking on an increasing trend in the recent 20 years. It increased from 2519.80kg/ha in 1980 to 4216.11kg/ha in 2003, with an increasing rate of 67.32%; 2) the variation of grain yield per unit area is considerably prominent and its range is also very great, with the maximal increase rate of 42.59% and maximal decrease rate of 21.13%, respectively, which are far above the whole Chinese average level; 3) the variation of main crops' yield per unit area is remarkable, which takes on the character that the yield of corn is much higher than that of soybean and rice; and 4) the grey correlation analysis shows that the most important factors impacting the variation of grain yield per unit area are the total power of agricultural machinery, the consumption of chemical fertilizer and effective irrigated area. However, the influence of natural disaster and income level should not be ignored. Effective ways to improve grain yield per unit area are to construct farmland improvement groundwork, reclaim the middle- and low-yield farmland, etc.

The inversion of density structure by graphic processing unit(GPU) and identification of igneous rocks in Xisha area

Organic reefs, the targets of deep-water petro- leum exploration, developed widely in Xisha area. However, there are concealed igneous rocks undersea, to which organic rocks have nearly equal wave impedance. So the igneous rocks have become interference for future explo- ration by having similar seismic reflection characteristics. Yet, the density and magnetism of organic reefs are very different from igneous rocks. It has obvious advantages to identify organic reefs and igneous rocks by gravity and magnetic data. At first, frequency decomposition was applied to the free-air gravity anomaly in Xisha area to obtain the 2D subdivision of the gravity anomaly and magnetic anomaly in the vertical direction. Thus, the dis- tribution of igneous rocks in the horizontal direction can be acquired according to high-frequency field, low-frequency field, and its physical properties. Then, 3D forward model- ing of gravitational field was carried out to establish the density model of this area by reference to physical properties of rocks based on former researches. Furthermore, 3D inversion of gravity anomaly by genetic algorithm method of the graphic processing unit （GPU） parallel processing in Xisha target area was applied, and 3D density structure of this area was obtained. By this way, we can confine the igneous rocks to the certain depth according to the density of the igneous rocks. The frequency decomposition and 3D inversion of gravity anomaly by genetic algorithm method of the GPU parallel processing proved to be a useful method for recognizing igneous rocks to its 3D geological position. So organic reefs and igneous rocks can be identified, which provide a prescient information for further exploration.

Application Effects of Ultra-fine Powder Shaped Maize Seed Coating Agent in Spring Sowing areas in northeast China

The research explored adaptability maize seed coating agent in spring sowing and effects of ultra-fine powder shaped areas in northeast China. The results showed that germination potential and rate both improved around 5% and the num- ber of root increased by 4% in the treatments with ultra-fine powder shaped maize seed coating agent compared with the control group without seed coating. What＇s more, the treatments with ultra-fine powder shaped maize seed coating agent took advantages in terms of fresh weight of seeding, stem diameter, and dry weight. It is notable that control effects on underground insects performed the best, with per- centage over 94%, which is more excellent relative to other agents in markets. Therefore, ultra-fine powder shaped maize seed coating agent can be widely applied in spring sowing areas in northeast China, without side effects.

Development unit division and favorable area evaluation for joint mining coalbed methane

Based on the productivity equation of coalbed methane (CBM) well, considering the impact of coal reservoir reformability on gas well productivity, the main production layer optimization index in the “three-step method” of optimal combination of production layers is corrected, and then the CBM production layer potential index is introduced to evaluate favorable areas for commingled multi-coal seam production. Through analysis of the key parameters of coal reservoirs affecting the CBM productivity index, a development unit division method for areas with multi-coal seams is established, and a quantitative grading index system is proposed. On this basis, the evaluation process of CBM development favorable area is developed: the mature 3-D modeling technology is used to characterize the reservoir physical properties of multi-coal seams in full-scale;the production layer potential index of each grid is calculated, and the production layer potential index contour under single-layer or commingled multi-layer production are plotted;according to the distribution of the contour of production layer potential index, the quantitative index of CBM development unit is adopted to outline the grade I, II, III coal reservoir distribution areas, and thus to pick out the favorable development areas. The practical application in the Yuwang block of Laochang in Yunnan proved that the favorable area evaluation process proposed can effectively overcome the defects of selecting favorable development areas only relying on evaluation results of a major coal seam pay, and enhance the accuracy of the evaluation results, meeting the requirements of selecting favorable areas for multi-coal seam commingled CBM production.

Analysis on Wheat Yield in China Based on the Prediction of Yield Potential

The maximum yield growth range of wheat yield per unit in China is analyzed from three aspects including photosynthesis production potential of wheat,the changing trend of per unit wheat in the previous years and potential of distribution area agricultural crops.In the paper,the potential of using light,the external potential of historical yield evolution tend and AEZ (agricultural ecological zone) are applied to calculate the per unit yield potential of Chinese wheat.The results assume that the maximum growth range of per unit yield in different stages was different:before 1991,the growth range was 10%;before 1996,the growth range was 9%;before 2000,the growth range was 8%.Any variety of wheat and planting technology higher than the above growth range can only be promoted in restricted area and has the statistical error.The results are of reference significance to Chinese wheat production.

Comparative Advantage of Maize Production in Jilin Province

The comparative advantage of maize production in Jilin Province was analyzed based on the sow area index,unit yield index,benefit index and comprehensive comparative advantage index in this study.The results showed that compared with other provinces in China,there was obvious comparative advantage in sow area index and unit yield index of maize in Jilin,the average of which stood for the first and the fourth in China from 2002 to 2006;there was no comparative advantage of benefit index compared with the average value of the whole countries,the average of which stood for the 14th in China from 2002 to 2006;the comprehensive comparative advantage in Jilin provincial maize production showed significant comparative advantage,the average of which stood for the fourth in China from 2002 to 2006.On the basis of the above,the suggestions to develop maize production in Jilin province had been put forward.

气候变化对黄淮海地区粮食单产影响的HP滤波法分析

【目的】探究气候变化因素对黄淮海地区粮食单产长时间序列的波动性影响。【方法】基于1949—2021年黄淮海地区小麦和玉米的单产数据,采用HP滤波法进行单产分离,得到受技术进步和经济发展影响的长周期分量趋势单产,及受气候变化引起的短周期分量气候单产。【结果】对比实际单产数据,HP滤波分离得到的趋势单产与作物实际单产具有相似的年际变化特征,趋势单产变化更为平滑,波动幅度小于实际单产;气候单产年际波动幅度最大,其变化情况直接影响当年实际单产;气候单产对实际单产的影响分为正反两方面;不同作物同一年份受气候单产影响程度不同。【结论】尽管气候变化对农业生产影响很大,但是在长期层面来讲,小麦和玉米的单产主要受种植技术、作物品种改良、数智化技术等科学技术发展因素的影响。

Effects of deficit irrigation with saline water on spring wheat growth and yield in arid Northwest China

Field experiments were conducted in 2008 and 2009 to study the effects of deficit irrigation with saline water on spring wheat growth and yield in an arid region of Northwest China. Nine treatments included three salinity levels sl, s2 and s3 （0.65, 3.2, and 6.1 dS/m） in combination with three water levels wl, w2 and w3 （375, 300, and 225 mm）. In 2008, for most treatments, deficit irrigation showed adverse effects on wheat growth; meanwhile, the effect of saline irrigation was not apparent. In 2009, growth parameters of wl treatments were not always optimal under saline irrigation. At 3.2 and 6.1 dS/m in 2008, the highest yield was obtained by wl treatments, however, in 2009, the weight of 1,000 grains and wheat yield both followed the order w2 〉 wl 〉 w3. In this study, spring wheat was sensitive to water deficit, especially at the booting to grain-filling stages, but was not significantly affected by saline irrigation and the combination of the two factors. The results demonstrated that 300-mm irrigation water with a salinity of less than 3.2 dS/m is suitable for wheat fields in the study area.

Changes and Effecting Factors of Grain Production in China

Based on the data from the Cost-benefit Data of Farm Produce and the China Agricultural Yearbook, this paper aims to examine the spatial and temporal change characteristics of total grain production and its affecting factors. The results show that： 1） During 1980 to 2007, total grain production increased from 3.20 ~ 108 t to 5.02 x 108 t in China, with annual increasing rate of 1.68%. From the regional disparities, most of the regions present increasing trend of total grain production except for several regions with higher level of economic development; 2） Grain sown area decreased from 1.17 × 108 ha in 1980 to 1.06 x 108 ha in 2007, which has negative effect on total grain production; 3） The increase of grain yield per unit area caused by land use intensity changes contributed to the increase of total grain yield greatly. However, as the land use intensity showed that farmers pay more attention to labor-saving input but not yield-increasing input, the less enthusiasm of farmers in grain production may become an important constraint on fu- ture grain production increase in China; 4） Based on the results, this paper proposed different land management poli- cies in different regions, for example, the government should protect cultivated land, promote large scale production. As to the less developed regions, the government should pay more attention to agricultural subsidies to promote farm- ers＇ enthusiasm in grain production.

Influences of Different Distances between Ridges or Plants on Yield of Sweet Potatoes

Based on the combination test of various distances between ridges or plants, the influences of corresponding cultivation techniques on the per unit area yield of a variety of sweet potatoes Xushu 22 in Xianning City were analyzed. The results show that different distances between ridges or plants had significant effects on the per unit area yield of Xushu 22; when the distances between ridges and plants for Xushu 22 planted in the city were 80 and 21 cm respectively, the per u- nit area yield of Xushu 22 was the highest, up to 48 340.7 kg/hm2.

Effect of Climate Change on Yield of Winter Wheat in Jiangsu Province

The spike-grain structure and yield data of winter wheat observed at 10 winter wheat observation stations in Jiangsu agrometeorological observation stations in the China Meteorological Observation Network were used to design the assessment model and evaluation criteria of the effects of climate change on spikegrain structure and yield of winter wheat. The linear regression method was used to determine the parameters of the assessment model,and the climate fact extrapolation method was used to determine future climate change scenarios. The effects of climate change on spike-grain structure and yield of winter wheat in Jiangsu Province were calculated and analyzed finally. The results showed that with the climate change,the meteorological conditions during the growth and development of winter wheat changed,which caused the number of effective spikes to decrease,and the number of grains per spike and thousand-grain weight to increase,and this new type of spike-grain structure combination was beneficial to the increase of the unit yield of winter wheat. The variations of meteorological elements caused by climate change during winter wheat growth and development had different effects on spike-grain structure at different growth stages. The spike-grain structure had an "increasing-decreasing" periodic variation with the growth period overall,with a period of one to three stages. The relationship between winter wheat growth and development and meteorological conditions can be adjusted in real time through stress-resistant cultivation techniques to achieve the high-yield and high-quality cultivation target of winter wheat production.

Analysis of Rubber Planting in Malaysia

There are state-owned and privately-owned rubber plantations in Malaysia,of which most of them are privately owned. In Malaysia,most rubber gardens are small,and the ratio of small rubber gardens to large rubber plantations is approximately 10∶ 1. In Malaysia,the plating area of rubber trees was only 4 200 ha in 1900,1. 30 million ha in 1961,and 1. 07 million ha in 2014. It was the highest in 1978,up to 1. 89 million ha. It was the lowest in 2010,only 1. 02 million ha. The per unit area yield of rubber in Malaysia was 6 074 hg/ha in 1961 and 6 274 hg/ha in 2014. The maximum 10 285 hg/ha appeared in 1987,while the minimum 5 492 hg/ha appeared in 1999. The per unit area yield of rubber in Malaysia fluctuated greatly. Rubber yield in Malaysia was 790 000 t in 1961,and it was the highest in 1988( 1. 66 million t) and the lowest in 2014( 670 000 t).

Is the Farmland of China Sufficient?——Analysis Based on the Second National Land Survey

According to the data of the second national land survey,the farmland area of China at the end of 2009 was 200 million mu more than the original statistical data.This raises widespread concern.Analysis is carried out from the perspective of task,technique,necessities and effect on China's grain security of the second national land survey.Through analysis,it can be deemed that data of the second national land survey are reliable.It overcomes defects of traditional survey projects and will be of profound significance for grasping current situations of farmland resources in China.Farmers are grain production entities,while the grain yield survey of farmers is calculated through sampling survey of per unit area yield and the sown area.Therefore,the increase in farmland area may indicate underestimation of the grain yield,and the grain security risk of China will decline accordingly.

Analysis of Yield Components of Japonica Rice Tong Jing 981 under Different Density and Fertilization Conditions

The yield and yield components of Japonica variety Tongjing 981 under different density and fertilization levels were studied through regression and correlation and path analysis. The results showed that the number of panicles per unit area, number of filled grains per panicle and 1 000-grain weight all had very significant yield increasing effects, and the number of panicles per unit area played a leading role. However, the yield increasing effects of the number of panicles per unit area and number of filled grains per panicle are equally important when the basic seedlings are more or the N fertilizer application rate is large. In practical production, a major factor should be determined among the yield components, and rational cultivation measures should be taken accordingly, to improve yield.

Advancement in Wide Area Monitoring Protection and Control Using PMU’s Model in MATLAB/SIMULINK

A big step forward to improve power system monitoring and performance, continued load growth without a corresponding increase in transmission resources has resulted in reduced operational margins for many power systems worldwide and has led to operation of power systems closer to their stability limits and to power exchange in new patterns. These issues, as well as the on-going worldwide trend towards deregulation of the entire industry on the one hand and the increased need for accurate and better network monitoring on the other hand, force power utilities exposed to this pressure to demand new solutions for wide area monitoring, protection and control. Wide-area monitoring, protection, and control require communicating the specific-node information to a remote station but all information should be time synchronized so that to neutralize the time difference between information. It gives a complete simultaneous snap shot of the power system. The conventional system is not able to satisfy the time-synchronized requirement of power system. Phasor Measurement Unit (PMU) is enabler of time-synchronized measurement, it communicate the synchronized local information to remote station.

有土斯有粮:高标准农田建设提高了粮食单产吗?

作为“藏粮于地,藏粮于技”战略的重要政策实践,高标准农田建设被期待能够有效实现粮食增产和更好保障国家粮食安全。基于27个省(市、自治区)的面板数据,探索了高标准农田建设对粮食单产的影响及其可能机制。研究发现:(1)高标准农田建设能显著提高粮食单产。替换核心变量、进行非参数估计和考虑内生性的稳健性检验,均证实上述发现可信。(2)机制验证表明,高标准农田建设主要通过提升规模经营、促进技术进步和降低生产风险三大路径来提高粮食单产。(3)异质性分析发现,高标准农田建设对起伏度较小地形、粮食主产区、较发达地区的粮食单产促进效应更大。研究结果表明高标准农田建设确实是夯实粮食安全根基的重要举措,需扎实推进新一轮高标准农田建设工作。

Study on Development of Oil Palm in Malaysia

In the 1960 s,Malaysia planted oil palm on a large scale. In the 1970 s,it became the world's largest producer and exporter of palm oil. To further explore the development prospects of the oil palm industry in Malaysia,this paper first introduced the development of oil palm in Malaysia,and analyzed the world's share of Malaysian oil palm harvested area,production,yield during 1980 and 2016. The results showed that the oil palm harvested area in Malaysia reached the peak value 5. 23 million ha in 2013; the yield of oil palm fruit reached the peak value98. 34 million t in 2015; the yield of oil palm fruit fluctuated between 14-20 t/ha; the ratio of Malaysian oil palm yield to world oil palm production reached its peak 51. 99% in 1989. Therefore,Malaysia should update the old oil palm plantation. The development of oil palm harvested area and yield has reached the peak value,it is difficult to increase the harvested area. The proportion of Malaysian oil palm industry to the world oil palm industry is constantly declining. In future,the per unit area yield of Malaysian fresh oil palm fruit is expected to reach a new peak,and fresh oil palm fruit will exceed 20 t/ha.

藏粮于地:土地利用对粮食单产的影响

基于“藏粮于地”战略背景,采用全国10省(区、市)950户农户数据,在将土地利用分为规模经营、可持续耕作、结构调整的基础上,利用普通最小二乘法、两阶段最小二乘法和调节效应模型实证分析土地利用对农户粮食单产的影响效应与路径。结果表明:规模经营对粮食单产的影响呈先增后减趋势,即呈倒“U”形关系,可持续耕作能够显著提升粮食单产,而结构调整显著负向影响粮食单产;规模经营在可持续耕作、结构调整影响农户粮食单产中具有正向调节效应;对于耕地禀赋不同的农户,规模经营、可持续耕作对农户粮食单产的影响存在差异性。

福建漳州平和柚天气指数保险产品设计与定价

柚产业是福建省漳州市平和县的支柱产业,为分散当地柚生产的经营风险,基于福建省漳州市平和县1985−2022年柚产量及对应年份3月中旬至8月上旬的天气数据,将柚单产数据分解成趋势单产和气象单产,并调整单产数据使其转化到2024年的生产力水平下的单产,选用核密度估计法拟合该序列的概率密度函数并用于纯费率厘定;而后利用调整后单产数据和天气数据进行相关性分析,筛选显著的天气指数。结果显示:4月中下旬降雨量指数与调整后单产的线性关系最为显著。对于2024年约定的保障产量51000 kg·hm^(−2)和保险价格2.8元·kg^(−1),即每667m^(2)保险金额为9520元,厘定纯费率为4.0191%、保险费率为4.6220%;对于降雨量指数RI的保险赔付触发值160 mm以及RI的8个分级赔付区间,分别计算得到了对应的赔付事件发生概率,并给出了对应的赔付金额计算公式。

农机作业服务提高了粮食单产吗?——来自139个县农机购置补贴十年的历史证据

农业社会化服务是否能促进农业生产率,是推进中国式农业现代化需要回答的重要问题。以粮食生产中的农机作业服务为例,利用全国139个县域在实施农机购置补贴政策后十年间的面板数据,对农机作业服务水平与粮食单产之间的关系进行实证检验。结果发现,在控制了土地、劳动力、资本等投入要素之后,农机作业服务水平对粮食单产具有显著的促进作用,并且该作用在粮食主产区更为凸显;农业机械购置补贴政策使农机作业服务对粮食单产的影响出现阶段性差异,即在政策实施初期“购机”有效促进了“用机”,农机作业服务的粮食增产效应较为明显,而后期着力于“购机”的政策无法保障持续发挥农机作业服务的粮食增产作用。因此,需通过设立农机作业补贴等形式持续有效地发挥农机作业服务的粮食增产效应。