EXPERIMENTS ON ASSIMILATION OF INITIAL VALUES IN NUMERICAL PREDICTION OF A WARM-SECTOR PRECIPITATION IN SOUTH CHINA

In order to understand the impact of initial conditions upon prediction accuracy of short-term forecast and nowcast of precipitation in South China, four experiments i.e. a control, an assimilation of conventional sounding and surface data, testing with nudging rainwater data and the assimilation of radar-derived radial wind, are respectively conducted to simulate a case of warm-sector heavy rainfall that occurred over South China, by using the GRAPES_MESO model. The results show that (1) assimilating conventional surface and sounding observations helps improve the 24-h rainfall forecast in both the area and order of magnitude; (2) nudging rainwater contributes to a significant improvement of nowcast, and (3) the assimilation of radar-derived radial winds distinctly improves the 24-h rainfall forecast in both the area and order of magnitude. These results serve as significant technical reference for the study on short-term forecast and nowcast of precipitation over South China in the future.

Prediction of Soil Erosion on Different Underlaying Surface in Construction Period of Xichang to Panzhihua Expressway

In order to investigate the behavior of soil erosion on the slope of the different underlaying surface during construction, the experiment with natural rainfall on Xichang-Panzhihua highway was conducted, to quantify the runoff and soil loss. The results show that. （1） the main type of soil erosion is gully erosion, the amount of soil erosion caused by gully erosion is higher than that by surface erosion. （2） The principal factor causing soil erosion on the slope of the embankment is individual amount of precipitation, the width of the embankment and rain intensity. （3） The principal factor causing soil erosion on the cutting slope is individual amount of precipitation, the width of the cutting slope and rain intensity. （4） The principal factor causing soil erosion on the slope of the dumped soil area is individual amount of precipitation, the width of the flat roof and rain intensity. There are well linear relationships between the amount of soil erosion and the principal factor, and their correlation coefficient are 0.935 7-0.999 8.

Intercomparison measurements from commonly used precipitation gauges in the Qilian Mountains

Precipitation data is vital fundamental data for climate change.However,obtaining precise gauge-measured precipitation in high-altitude mountains is challenging,and the precipitation obtained from various gauge types at the same station may vary.To understand the differences in precipitation observations among the three commonly used gauges in China(Chinese Standard Precipitation Gauges(CSPG),Total Rain weighing Sensor(TRwS),and Geonor T-200B(T200B))in high-altitude mountains and to recommend a stable and cost-effective weighing gauge,a precipitation intercomparison experiment was conducted at Hulu-1 station in the Qilian Mountains.The wind-induced error in measurement was corrected with the‘universal’transfer function recommended by the Word Meteorological Organization.The comparison results,adjusted for systematic errors,showed that the rain,snow and mixed precipitation of CSPG and TRwS equipped with the same octagonal vertical double fence shields(CSPGDF and TRwSDF)and single-Alter shields(CSPG_(s)and TRwSs)were close,while the precipitation of Tretyakov-shielded T200B was notably higher than that of CSPG_(s)and TRwSs.The average differences in annual and daily precipitation between CSPGDF and TRwSDF from 2017 to 2021 were 12.9 mm and 0.10 mm,respectively.The daily precipitation difference between CSPG_(s)and TRwSs from April 2019–December 2021 was 0.10 mm,while the differences between T200Bs and CSPG_(s)and TRwSs was 0.28 mm and 0.38 mm,respectively.The wind shield performance of Alter and Tretyakov was not much different at Hulu-1 site with low wind speed,thus the measurement principle of T200Bs was the primary cause of the high observations.Taking the corrected CSPGDF measurement as the standard,the dynamic loss of CSPG_(s)was 17.6%,while that of CSPGUn was 55.6%,indicating that the single-Alter shield could effectively reduce the impact of wind on precipitation measurement.Considering the comparison results and the price difference of the instruments,it was recommended to use a single-Alter shielded TRwS gauge for precipitation observation in high-altitude mountains.