Development,validation,and transportability of several machine-learned,non-exercise-based VO_(2max)prediction models for older adults

Background:There exist few maximal oxygen uptake(VO_(2max))non-exercise-based prediction equations,fewer using machine learning(ML),and none specifically for older adults.Since direct measurement of VO_(2max)is infeasible in large epidemiologic cohort studies,we sought to develop,validate,compare,and assess the transportability of several ML VO_(2max)prediction algorithms.Methods:The Baltimore Longitudinal Study of Aging(BLSA)participants with valid VO2_(max)tests were included(n=1080).Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator,linear-and tree-boosted extreme gradient boosting,random forest,and support vector machine(SVM)algorithms were trained to predict VO_(2max)values.We developed these algorithms for:(a)the overall BLSA,(b)by sex,(c)using all BLSA variables,and(d)variables common in aging cohorts.Finally,we quantified the associations between measured and predicted VO_(2max)and mortality.Results:The age was 69.0±10.4 years(mean±SD)and the measured VO_(2max)was 21.6±5.9 mL/kg/min.Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator,linear-and tree-boosted extreme gradient boosting,random forest,and support vector machine yielded root mean squared errors of 3.4 mL/kg/min,3.6 mL/kg/min,3.4 mL/kg/min,3.6 mL/kg/min,and 3.5 mL/kg/min,respectively.Incremental quartiles of measured VO_(2max)showed an inverse gradient in mortality risk.Predicted VO_(2max)variables yielded similar effect estimates but were not robust to adjustment.Conclusion:Measured VO_(2max)is a strong predictor of mortality.Using ML can improve the accuracy of prediction as compared to simpler approaches but estimates of association with mortality remain sensitive to adjustment.Future studies should seek to reproduce these results so that VO_(2max),an important vital sign,can be more broadly studied as a modifiable target for promoting functional resiliency and healthy aging.

Carbon Emission Factors Prediction of Power Grid by Using Graph Attention Network

Advanced carbon emission factors of a power grid can provide users with effective carbon reduction advice,which is of immense importance in mobilizing the entire society to reduce carbon emissions.The method of calculating node carbon emission factors based on the carbon emissions flow theory requires real-time parameters of a power grid.Therefore,it cannot provide carbon factor information beforehand.To address this issue,a prediction model based on the graph attention network is proposed.The model uses a graph structure that is suitable for the topology of the power grid and designs a supervised network using the loads of the grid nodes and the corresponding carbon factor data.The network extracts features and transmits information more suitable for the power system and can flexibly adjust the equivalent topology,thereby increasing the diversity of the structure.Its input and output data are simple,without the power grid parameters.We demonstrated its effect by testing IEEE-39 bus and IEEE-118 bus systems with average error rates of 2.46%and 2.51%.

Failure Prediction and Intelligent Maintenance of a Transportation Company’s Urban Fleet

The present work deals with intelligent vehicle fleet maintenance and prediction. We propose an approach based primarily on the history of failures data and on the geographical data system. The objective here is to predict the date of failures for a fleet of vehicles in order to allow the maintenance department to efficiently deploy the proper resources;we further provide specific details regarding the origins of failures, and finally, give recommendations. This study used the Société de transport de Montréal (STM)’s historical bus failure data as well as weather data from Environment Canada. We thank Facebook’s Prophet, Simple Feed-forward, and Beats algorithms (Uber), we proposed a set of computer codes that allow us to identify the 20% of buses that are responsible for the 80% of failures by mean of the failure history. Then, we deepened our study on the unreliable equipments identified during the diffusion of our computer code This allowed us to propose probable predictions of the dates of future failures. To ensure the validity of the proposed algorithm, we carried out simulations with more than 250,000 data. The results obtained are similar to the predicted theoretical values.

Prediction-based protocol for mobile target tracking in wireless sensor networks

Remote tracking for mobile targets is one of the most important applications in wireless sensor networks （WSNs）. A target tracking protoco–exponential distributed predictive tracking （EDPT） is proposed. To reduce energy waste and response time, an improved predictive algorithm–exponential smoothing predictive algorithm （ESPA） is presented. With the aid of an additive proportion and differential （PD） controller, ESPA decreases the system predictive delay effectively. As a recovery mechanism, an optimal searching radius （OSR） algorithm is applied to calculate the optimal radius of the recovery zone. The simulation results validate that the proposed EDPT protocol performes better in terms of track failed ratio, energy waste ratio and enlarged sensing nodes ratio, respectively.

Employment of predictive search algorithm in digital image correlation

A predictive search algorithm to estimate the size and direction of displacement vectors was presented.The algorithm decreased the time of calculating the displacement of each pixel.In addition,the updating reference image scheme was used to update the reference image and to decrease the computation time when the displacement was larger than a certain number.In this way,the search range and computational complexity were cut down,and less EMS memory was occupied.The capability of proposed search algorithm was then verified by the results of both computer simulation and experiments.The results showed that the algorithm could improve the efficiency of correlation method and satisfy the accuracy requirement for practical displacement measuring.

A Novel Vertical Handoff Algorithm Based on Fuzzy Logic in Aid of Grey Prediction Theory in Wireless Heterogeneous Networks

To coordinate the various access technologies in the 4G communication system,intelligent vertical handoff algorithms are required.This paper mainly deals with a novel vertical handoff decision algorithm based on fuzzy logic with the aid of grey theory and dynamic weights adaptation.The grey prediction theory(GPT) takes 4 sampled received signal strengths as input parameters,and calculates the predicted received signal strength in order to reduce the call dropping probability.The fuzzy logic theory based quantitative decision algorithm takes 3 quality of service(QoS)metric,received signal strength(RSS),available bandwidth(BW),and monetary cost (MC)of candidate networks as input parameters.The weight of each QoS metrics is adjusted along with the networks changing to trace the network condition.The final optimized vertical handoff decision is made by comparing the quantitative decision values of the candidate networks.Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed algorithm provides high performance in heterogeneous as well as homogeneous network environments.

An improved algorithm for noise-robust sparse linear prediction of speech

The performance of linear prediction analysis of speech deteriorates rapidly under noisy environments. To tackle this issue, an improved noise-robust sparse linear prediction algorithm is proposed. First, the linear prediction residual of speech is modeled as Student-t distribution, and the additive noise is incorporated explicitly to increase the robustness, thus a probabilistic model for sparse linear prediction of speech is built, Furthermore, variational Bayesian inference is utilized to approximate the intractable posterior distributions of the model parameters, and then the optimal linear prediction parameters are estimated robustly. The experimental results demonstrate the advantage of the developed algorithm in terms of several different metrics compared with the traditional algorithm and the l1 norm minimization based sparse linear prediction algorithm proposed in recent years. Finally it draws to a conclusion that the proposed algorithm is more robust to noise and is able to increase the speech quality in applications.

NONLINEAR MODELING AND CONTROLLING OF ARTIFICIAL MUSCLE SYSTEM USING NEURAL NETWORKS

The pneumatic artificial muscles are widely used in the fields of medicalrobots, etc. Neural networks are applied to modeling and controlling of artificial muscle system. Asingle-joint artificial muscle test system is designed. The recursive prediction error (RPE)algorithm which yields faster convergence than back propagation (BP) algorithm is applied to trainthe neural networks. The realization of RPE algorithm is given. The difference of modeling ofartificial muscles using neural networks with different input nodes and different hidden layer nodesis discussed. On this basis the nonlinear control scheme using neural networks for artificialmuscle system has been introduced. The experimental results show that the nonlinear control schemeyields faster response and higher control accuracy than the traditional linear control scheme.

Novel real-time safety algorithm for predicting multi-targets in the farmland road

The more information obtained about the driving environment,the more ensures driving safety.Due to the complex driving environment of farmland roads,targets beside the road sometimes have an important impact on driving safety.To achieve this goal,a novel real-time detection and prediction algorithm of targets was proposed.The whole image was divided into four parts by RCM:driving region,crossroad region,roadside region,and the other region.In addition,a safety policy for every part was enforced by the algorithm,which was based mainly on the combination of the YOLACT and GPM.On this basis,a self-collected data set of 5000 test samples is used for testing.The detection accuracy of the algorithm in the data set could reach up to 90%,and the processing speed to 30.4 fps.In addition,experiments were carried out on actual farmland roads,and the results showed that the proposed algorithm was able to detect,track,and predict targets on the farmland road,and alarm to driver in time before the targets rush into the road.This study provides an important reference for the safe driving of agricultural vehicles.

Alleviating limit cycling in training GANs with an optimization technique

In this paper,we undertake further investigation to alleviate the issue of limit cycling behavior in training generative adversarial networks(GANs)through the proposed predictive centripetal acceleration algorithm(PCAA).Specifically,we first derive the upper and lower complexity bounds of PCAA for a general bilinear game,with the last-iterate convergence rate notably improving upon previous results.Then,we combine PCAA with the adaptive moment estimation algorithm(Adam)to propose PCAA-Adam,for practical training of GANs to enhance their generalization capability.Finally,we validate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm through experiments conducted on bilinear games,multivariate Gaussian distributions,and the CelebA dataset,respectively.

Instance-Specific Algorithm Selection via Multi-Output Learning

Instance-specific algorithm selection technologies have been successfully used in many research fields,such as constraint satisfaction and planning. Researchers have been increasingly trying to model the potential relations between different candidate algorithms for the algorithm selection. In this study, we propose an instancespecific algorithm selection method based on multi-output learning, which can manage these relations more directly.Three kinds of multi-output learning methods are used to predict the performances of the candidate algorithms：（1）multi-output regressor stacking;（2） multi-output extremely randomized trees; and（3） hybrid single-output and multioutput trees. The experimental results obtained using 11 SAT datasets and 5 Max SAT datasets indicate that our proposed methods can obtain a better performance over the state-of-the-art algorithm selection methods.

Ensemble Prediction of Monsoon Index with a Genetic Neural Network Model

After the consideration of the nonlinear nature changes of monsoon index,and the subjective determination of network structure in traditional artificial neural network prediction modeling,monthly and seasonal monsoon intensity index prediction is studied in this paper by using nonlinear genetic neural network ensemble prediction（GNNEP）modeling.It differs from traditional prediction modeling in the following aspects： （1）Input factors of the GNNEP model of monsoon index were selected from a large quantity of preceding period high correlation factors,such as monthly sea temperature fields,monthly 500-hPa air temperature fields,monthly 200-hPa geopotential height fields,etc.,and they were also highly information-condensed and system dimensionality-reduced by using the empirical orthogonal function（EOF）method,which effectively condensed the useful information of predictors and therefore controlled the size of network structure of the GNNEP model.（2）In the input design of the GNNEP model,a mean generating function（MGF）series of predictand（monsoon index）was added as an input factor;the contrast analysis of results of predic- tion experiments by a physical variable predictor-predictand MGF GNNEP model and a physical variable predictor GNNEP model shows that the incorporation of the periodical variation of predictand（monsoon index）is very effective in improving the prediction of monsoon index.（3）Different from the traditional neural network modeling,the GNNEP modeling is able to objectively determine the network structure of the GNNNEP model,and the model constructed has a better generalization capability.In the case of identical predictors,prediction modeling samples,and independent prediction samples,the prediction accuracy of our GNNEP model combined with the system dimensionality reduction technique of predictors is clearly higher than that of the traditional stepwise regression model using the traditional treatment technique of predictors,suggesting that the GNNEP model opens up a vast range of possibilities for operational weather prediction.