Customer Churn Prediction Framework of Inclusive Finance Based on Blockchain Smart Contract

In view of the fact that the prediction effect of influential financial customer churn in the Internet of Things environment is difficult to achieve the expectation,at the smart contract level of the blockchain,a customer churn prediction framework based on situational awareness and integrating customer attributes,the impact of project hotspots on customer interests,and customer satisfaction with the project has been built.This framework introduces the background factors in the financial customer environment,and further discusses the relationship between customers,the background of customers and the characteristics of pre-lost customers.The improved Singular Value Decomposition(SVD)algorithm and the time decay function are used to optimize the search and analysis of the characteristics of pre-lost customers,and the key index combination is screened to obtain the data of potential lost customers.The framework will change with time according to the customer’s interest,adding the time factor to the customer churn prediction,and improving the dimensionality reduction and prediction generalization ability in feature selection.Logistic regression,naive Bayes and decision tree are used to establish a prediction model in the experiment,and it is compared with the financial customer churn prediction framework under situational awareness.The prediction results of the framework are evaluated from four aspects:accuracy,accuracy,recall rate and F-measure.The experimental results show that the context-aware customer churn prediction framework can be effectively applied to predict customer churn trends,so as to obtain potential customer data with high churn probability,and then these data can be transmitted to the company’s customer service department in time,so as to improve customer churn rate and customer loyalty through accurate service.

User Behavior Traffic Analysis Using a Simplified Memory-Prediction Framework

As nearly half of the incidents in enterprise security have been triggered by insiders,it is important to deploy a more intelligent defense system to assist enterprises in pinpointing and resolving the incidents caused by insiders or malicious software(malware)in real-time.Failing to do so may cause a serious loss of reputation as well as business.At the same time,modern network traffic has dynamic patterns,high complexity,and large volumes that make it more difficult to detect malware early.The ability to learn tasks sequentially is crucial to the development of artificial intelligence.Existing neurogenetic computation models with deep-learning techniques are able to detect complex patterns;however,the models have limitations,including catastrophic forgetfulness,and require intensive computational resources.As defense systems using deep-learning models require more time to learn new traffic patterns,they cannot perform fully online(on-the-fly)learning.Hence,an intelligent attack/malware detection system with on-the-fly learning capability is required.For this paper,a memory-prediction framework was adopted,and a simplified single cell assembled sequential hierarchical memory(s.SCASHM)model instead of the hierarchical temporal memory(HTM)model is proposed to speed up learning convergence to achieve onthe-fly learning.The s.SCASHM consists of a Single Neuronal Cell(SNC)model and a simplified Sequential Hierarchical Superset(SHS)platform.The s.SCASHMis implemented as the prediction engine of a user behavior analysis tool to detect insider attacks/anomalies.The experimental results show that the proposed memory model can predict users’traffic behavior with accuracy level ranging from 72%to 83%while performing on-the-fly learning.

A Prediction Framework for Turning Period Structures in COVID-19 Epidemic and Its Application to Practical Emergency Risk Management

The aim of this paper is first to establish a general prediction framework for turning(period)term structures in COVID-19 epidemic related to the implementation of emergency risk management in the practice,which allows us to conduct the reliable estimation for the peak period based on the new concept of“Turning Period”(instead of the traditional one with the focus on“Turning Point”)for infectious disease spreading such as the COVID-19 epidemic appeared early in year 2020.By a fact that emergency risk management is necessarily to implement emergency plans quickly,the identification of the Turning Period is a key element to emergency planning as it needs to provide a time line for effective actions and solutions to combat a pandemic by reducing as much unexpected risk as soon as possible.As applications,the paper also discusses how this“Turning Term(Period)Structure”is used to predict the peak phase for COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan from January/2020 to early March/2020.Our study shows that the predication framework established in this paper is capable to provide the trajectory of COVID-19 cases dynamics for a few weeks starting from Feb.10/2020 to early March/2020,from which we successfully predicted that the turning period of COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan would arrive within one week after Feb.14/2020,as verified by the true observation in the practice.The method established in this paper for the prediction of“Turning Term(Period)Structures”by applying COVID-19 epidemic in China happened early 2020 seems timely and accurate,providing adequate time for the government,hospitals,essential industry sectors and services to meet peak demands and to prepare aftermath planning,and associated criteria for the Turning Term Structure of COVID-19 epidemic is expected to be a useful and powerful tool to implement the so-called“dynamic zero-COVID-19 policy”ongoing basis in the practice.

An Improved Machine Learning Technique with Effective Heart Disease Prediction System

Heart disease is the leading cause of death worldwide.Predicting heart disease is challenging because it requires substantial experience and knowledge.Several research studies have found that the diagnostic accuracy of heart disease is low.The coronary heart disorder determines the state that influences the heart valves,causing heart disease.Two indications of coronary heart disorder are strep throat with a red persistent skin rash,and a sore throat covered by tonsils or strep throat.This work focuses on a hybrid machine learning algorithm that helps predict heart attacks and arterial stiffness.At first,we achieved the component perception measured by using a hybrid cuckoo search particle swarm optimization(CSPSO)algorithm.With this perception measure,characterization and accuracy were improved,while the execution time of the proposed model was decreased.The CSPSO-deep recurrent neural network algorithm resolved issues that state-of-the-art methods face.Our proposed method offers an illustrative framework that helps predict heart attacks with high accuracy.The proposed technique demonstrates the model accuracy,which reached 0.97 with the applied dataset.

An Improved Robust Model Predictive Control Approach to Systems with Linear Fractional Transformation Perturbations

In this paper, a robust model predictive control approach is proposed for a class of uncertain systems with time-varying, linear fractional transformation perturbations. By adopting a sequence of feedback control laws instead of a single one, the control performance can be improved and the region of attraction can be enlarged compared with the existing model predictive control （MPC） approaches. Moreover, a synthesis approach of MPC is developed to achieve high performance with lower on-line computational burden. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is verified by simulation examples.

Multivariate Two-stage Adaptive-stacking Prediction of Regional Integrated Energy System

To reduce environmental pollution and improve the efficiency of cascaded energy utilization, regional integrated energy system(RIES) has received extensive attention. An accurate multi-energy load prediction is significant for RIES as it enables stakeholders to make effective decisions for carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals. To this end, this paper proposes a multivariate two-stage adaptive-stacking prediction(M2ASP) framework. First, a preprocessing module based on ensemble learning is proposed. The input data are preprocessed to provide a reliable database for M2ASP, and highly correlated input variables of multi-energy load prediction are determined. Then, the load prediction results of four predictors are adaptively combined in the first stage of M2ASP to enhance generalization ability. Predictor hyper-parameters and intermediate data sets of M2ASP are trained with a metaheuristic method named collaborative atomic chaotic search(CACS) to achieve the adaptive staking of M2ASP. Finally, a prediction correction of the peak load consumption period is conducted in the second stage of M2ASP. The case studies indicate that the proposed framework has higher prediction accuracy, generalization ability, and stability than other benchmark prediction models.

Toward a Real-Time Framework in Cloudlet-Based Architecture

In this study, we present a framework based on a prediction model that facilitates user access to a number of services in a smart living environment. Users must be able to access all available services continuously equipped with mobile devices or smart objects without being impacted by technical constraints such as performance or memory issues, regardless of their physical location and mobility. To achieve this goal, we propose the use of cloudlet-based architecture that serves as distributed cloud resources with specific ranges of influence and a realtime processing framework that tracks events and preferences of the end consumers, predicts their requirements,and recommends services to optimize resource utilization and service response time.

Machine learning study on time-temperature-transformation diagram of carbon and low-alloy steel

Time-temperature-transformation(TTT)diagram plays a critical role in designing appropriate heat treatment process of steels by describing the relationship among holding time,temperature,and quantities of phase transformation.Making predictions for TTT diagrams of new steel rapidly and accurately is therefore of much practical importance,especially for costly and time-consuming experimental determination.Here,TTT diagrams for carbon and low-alloy steels were predicted using machine learning methods.Five commonly used machine learning(ML)algorithms,backpropagation artificial neural network(BP network),LibSVM,k-nearest neighbor,Bagging,and Random tree,were adopted to select appropriate models for the prediction.The results illustrate that Bagging is the optimal model for the prediction of pearlite transformation and bainite transformation,and BP network is the optimal model for martensite transformation.Finally,the ML framework composed of Bagging and BP network models was applied to predict the entire TTT diagram.Additionally,the ML models show superior performance on the prediction of testing samples than the commercial software JMatPro.