Farmers’contract breach behavior is cited as one of the major stumbling blocks in the sustainable expansion of contract farming in many developing countries.This paper examines farmers’contract breach decisions from...Farmers’contract breach behavior is cited as one of the major stumbling blocks in the sustainable expansion of contract farming in many developing countries.This paper examines farmers’contract breach decisions from the perspective of time preferences.The empirical analysis is based on a household survey and economic field experiments of poultry households participating in contract farming conducted in Jiangsu Province,China.A discounted utility model and a maximum likelihood technique are applied to estimate farmers’time preferences and the effect of time preferences on contract breach in the production and sales phases are explored with a bivariate probit model.The results show that,on average,the poultry farmers in the sample are generally present biased and impatient regarding future utility.The regression results show that farmers with a higher preference for the present and a higher discount rate are more likely to breach contracts,and time preferences play a greater role in the production phase than in the sales phase.When considering heterogeneity,specific investments and transaction costs promote contract stability only for farmers with a low degree of impatience.Moreover,compared with large-scale farmers,small-scale farmers’contract breach decisions are more significantly affected by their time preferences.These results have implications for contract stability policies and other issues that are impacted by the linking of behavioral preferences to agricultural decisions.展开更多
The double moral hazard of ＂company ＋ farmer＂ and the time preference cost of company and farmer was analyzed. According to static game model, it re-vealed that the reason for low compliance rate of ＂company ＋ fa...The double moral hazard of ＂company ＋ farmer＂ and the time preference cost of company and farmer was analyzed. According to static game model, it re-vealed that the reason for low compliance rate of ＂company ＋ farmer＂ model was the existence of market risk, namely, the fluctuation of market price, and the stable market price in contracts was actualy a kind of interval, instead of a specific value. Furthermore, the effect of default penalty, market transaction cost and time prefer-ence cost on the stability of contract was studied. The results showed that default penalty, market transaction cost and time preference cost had positive influence on the price interval range of a contract.展开更多
This study considers a delayed biological system of predator-prey interactions where the predator has stage-structured preference. It is assumed that the prey population has two stages: immature and mature. The predat...This study considers a delayed biological system of predator-prey interactions where the predator has stage-structured preference. It is assumed that the prey population has two stages: immature and mature. The predator population has different preference for the stage-structured prey. This type of behavior has been reported in Asecodes hispinarum and Microplitis mediator. By some lemmas and methods of delay differential equation, the conditions for the permanence, existence of positive periodic solution and extinction of the system are obtained. Numerical simulations are presented that illustrate the analytical results as well as demonstrate certain biological phenomena. In particular, overcrowding of the predator does not affect the persistence of the system, but our numerical simulations suggest that overcrowding reduces the density of the predator. Under the assumption that immature prey is easier to capture, our simulations suggest that the predator’s preference for immature prey increases the predator density.展开更多
现有的大多数兴趣点(point of interest,POI)推荐系统由于忽略了用户签到序列中的顺序行为模式,以及用户的个性化偏好对于POI推荐的影响,导致POI推荐系统性能较低,推荐结果不可靠,进而影响用户体验。为了解决上述问题,提出一种融合时序...现有的大多数兴趣点(point of interest,POI)推荐系统由于忽略了用户签到序列中的顺序行为模式,以及用户的个性化偏好对于POI推荐的影响,导致POI推荐系统性能较低,推荐结果不可靠,进而影响用户体验。为了解决上述问题,提出一种融合时序门控图神经网络的兴趣点推荐方法。运用时序门控图神经网络(temporal gated graph neural network,TGGNN)学习POI embedding;采用注意力机制捕获用户的长期偏好;通过注意力机制融合用户的最新偏好和实时偏好,进而捕获用户的短期偏好。通过自适应的方式结合用户的长期和短期偏好,计算候选POI的推荐得分,并根据得分为用户进行POI推荐。实验结果表明,与现有方法相比,该方法在召回率和平均倒数排名这两项指标上均有较为明显的提升,因此可以取得很好的推荐效果,具有良好的应用前景。展开更多
兴趣点(Point-Of-Interest,POI)推荐是基于位置的社交网络(Location-based Social Networks,LBSNs)研究中最重要的任务之一。为了解决POI推荐中的空间稀疏性问题,提出一种用于位置推荐的长短期偏好时空注意力网络(LSAN)。首先,构建了签...兴趣点(Point-Of-Interest,POI)推荐是基于位置的社交网络(Location-based Social Networks,LBSNs)研究中最重要的任务之一。为了解决POI推荐中的空间稀疏性问题,提出一种用于位置推荐的长短期偏好时空注意力网络(LSAN)。首先,构建了签到序列的时空关系矩阵,使用多头注意力机制从中提取非连续签到和非相邻位置中的时空相关性,缓解签到数据稀疏所带来的困难。其次,在模型中设置用户短期偏好和长期偏好提取模块,自适应的将二者结合在一起,考虑了用户偏好对用户决策影响。最后,在Foursquare数据集上进行测试,并与其它模型结果进行对比,证实了提出的LSAN模型结果最优。研究表明LSAN模型能够获得最佳的推荐效果,为POI推荐提供新思路。展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(72003082 and 71573130)the Project of Philosophy and Social Science Research in Colleges and Universities in Jiangsu Province of China(2020SJA1015)+1 种基金the Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions,China(PAPD)the China Center for Food Security Studies,Nanjing Agricultural University,China。
文摘Farmers’contract breach behavior is cited as one of the major stumbling blocks in the sustainable expansion of contract farming in many developing countries.This paper examines farmers’contract breach decisions from the perspective of time preferences.The empirical analysis is based on a household survey and economic field experiments of poultry households participating in contract farming conducted in Jiangsu Province,China.A discounted utility model and a maximum likelihood technique are applied to estimate farmers’time preferences and the effect of time preferences on contract breach in the production and sales phases are explored with a bivariate probit model.The results show that,on average,the poultry farmers in the sample are generally present biased and impatient regarding future utility.The regression results show that farmers with a higher preference for the present and a higher discount rate are more likely to breach contracts,and time preferences play a greater role in the production phase than in the sales phase.When considering heterogeneity,specific investments and transaction costs promote contract stability only for farmers with a low degree of impatience.Moreover,compared with large-scale farmers,small-scale farmers’contract breach decisions are more significantly affected by their time preferences.These results have implications for contract stability policies and other issues that are impacted by the linking of behavioral preferences to agricultural decisions.
基金Supported by Humanities and Social Sciences of Ministry of Education(12YJC630050)Soft Science Bidding Project of Ministry of Agriculture(20140203)+1 种基金Jiangxi Soft Science Fund(20141BBA10065)Jiangxi’s Jiangxi Provincial Education Department(GJJ13727)~~
文摘The double moral hazard of ＂company ＋ farmer＂ and the time preference cost of company and farmer was analyzed. According to static game model, it re-vealed that the reason for low compliance rate of ＂company ＋ farmer＂ model was the existence of market risk, namely, the fluctuation of market price, and the stable market price in contracts was actualy a kind of interval, instead of a specific value. Furthermore, the effect of default penalty, market transaction cost and time prefer-ence cost on the stability of contract was studied. The results showed that default penalty, market transaction cost and time preference cost had positive influence on the price interval range of a contract.
文摘This study considers a delayed biological system of predator-prey interactions where the predator has stage-structured preference. It is assumed that the prey population has two stages: immature and mature. The predator population has different preference for the stage-structured prey. This type of behavior has been reported in Asecodes hispinarum and Microplitis mediator. By some lemmas and methods of delay differential equation, the conditions for the permanence, existence of positive periodic solution and extinction of the system are obtained. Numerical simulations are presented that illustrate the analytical results as well as demonstrate certain biological phenomena. In particular, overcrowding of the predator does not affect the persistence of the system, but our numerical simulations suggest that overcrowding reduces the density of the predator. Under the assumption that immature prey is easier to capture, our simulations suggest that the predator’s preference for immature prey increases the predator density.
文摘兴趣点(Point-Of-Interest,POI)推荐是基于位置的社交网络(Location-based Social Networks,LBSNs)研究中最重要的任务之一。为了解决POI推荐中的空间稀疏性问题,提出一种用于位置推荐的长短期偏好时空注意力网络(LSAN)。首先,构建了签到序列的时空关系矩阵,使用多头注意力机制从中提取非连续签到和非相邻位置中的时空相关性,缓解签到数据稀疏所带来的困难。其次,在模型中设置用户短期偏好和长期偏好提取模块,自适应的将二者结合在一起,考虑了用户偏好对用户决策影响。最后,在Foursquare数据集上进行测试,并与其它模型结果进行对比,证实了提出的LSAN模型结果最优。研究表明LSAN模型能够获得最佳的推荐效果,为POI推荐提供新思路。
