A generation company(GENCO)which has a conventional power plant(CPP)intends to add an energy storage system(ESS)beside the CPP to increase its flexibility and profitability.For this purpose,a new model is proposed for...A generation company(GENCO)which has a conventional power plant(CPP)intends to add an energy storage system(ESS)beside the CPP to increase its flexibility and profitability.For this purpose,a new model is proposed for coordinated operation planning of the CPP and ESS in energy and spinning reserve markets in the presence of a bilateral contract.The proposed model is based on the stochastic price based unit commitment(PBUC)and price based storage commitment(PBSC).The uncertainties of the energy and spinning reserve prices and delivery requests in the spinning reserve market are modeled via scenarios based upon historical data.The proposed model maximizes the profitability of the ESS beside the CPP and encourages the GENCO to invest the ESS.ESS technology options to use beside the CPP are determined by economic assessments.Numerical results show that utilization of ESSs improves the technical operation of CPPs,as well as GENCOs’profitability.展开更多
With the increasing number of quantitative models available to forecast the volatility of crude oil prices, the assessment of the relative performance of competing models becomes a critical task. Our survey of the lit...With the increasing number of quantitative models available to forecast the volatility of crude oil prices, the assessment of the relative performance of competing models becomes a critical task. Our survey of the literature revealed that most studies tend to use several performance criteria to evaluate the performance of competing forecasting models;however, models are compared to each other using a single criterion at a time, which often leads to different rankings for different criteria—A situation where one cannot make an informed decision as to which model performs best when taking all criteria into account. In order to overcome this methodological problem, Xu and Ouenniche [1] proposed a multidimensional framework based on an input-oriented radial super-efficiency Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) model to rank order competing forecasting models of crude oil prices’ volatility. However, their approach suffers from a number of issues. In this paper, we overcome such issues by proposing an alternative framework.展开更多
面向园区综合能源系统中供能方与用能方的角色互换,以及园区低碳经济运行的强约束,提出了一种考虑动态参数的阶梯型碳交易机制和需求响应的园区级综合能源系统主从博弈优化调度方法。首先,将园区级综合能源系统中能源运营商(energy syst...面向园区综合能源系统中供能方与用能方的角色互换,以及园区低碳经济运行的强约束,提出了一种考虑动态参数的阶梯型碳交易机制和需求响应的园区级综合能源系统主从博弈优化调度方法。首先,将园区级综合能源系统中能源运营商(energy system operator,ESO)设定为上层领导者、综合能源系统园区设定为下层跟随者,并且能源运营商以最大化自身效益为目标,通过制定与园区间的购售电价格、碳交易基价、价格增长幅度,引导下层园区优化;下层园区以最小化其运行成本为目标,对上层发布的价格信息做出反应,从而构建主从博弈模型。其次,充分考虑园区级综合能源系统的低碳经济运行约束,在博弈模型中引入考虑动态参数的阶梯型碳交易机制以限制二氧化碳排放量,并在园区侧引入需求响应。最后,利用水母搜索算法对上层发布的购售电价、碳交易基价、价格增长幅度进行优化,利用CPLEX优化下层园区设备出力、需求响应以及购售电计划。仿真结果证明了所提模型和方法的有效性。展开更多
文摘A generation company(GENCO)which has a conventional power plant(CPP)intends to add an energy storage system(ESS)beside the CPP to increase its flexibility and profitability.For this purpose,a new model is proposed for coordinated operation planning of the CPP and ESS in energy and spinning reserve markets in the presence of a bilateral contract.The proposed model is based on the stochastic price based unit commitment(PBUC)and price based storage commitment(PBSC).The uncertainties of the energy and spinning reserve prices and delivery requests in the spinning reserve market are modeled via scenarios based upon historical data.The proposed model maximizes the profitability of the ESS beside the CPP and encourages the GENCO to invest the ESS.ESS technology options to use beside the CPP are determined by economic assessments.Numerical results show that utilization of ESSs improves the technical operation of CPPs,as well as GENCOs’profitability.
文摘With the increasing number of quantitative models available to forecast the volatility of crude oil prices, the assessment of the relative performance of competing models becomes a critical task. Our survey of the literature revealed that most studies tend to use several performance criteria to evaluate the performance of competing forecasting models;however, models are compared to each other using a single criterion at a time, which often leads to different rankings for different criteria—A situation where one cannot make an informed decision as to which model performs best when taking all criteria into account. In order to overcome this methodological problem, Xu and Ouenniche [1] proposed a multidimensional framework based on an input-oriented radial super-efficiency Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) model to rank order competing forecasting models of crude oil prices’ volatility. However, their approach suffers from a number of issues. In this paper, we overcome such issues by proposing an alternative framework.
文摘面向园区综合能源系统中供能方与用能方的角色互换,以及园区低碳经济运行的强约束,提出了一种考虑动态参数的阶梯型碳交易机制和需求响应的园区级综合能源系统主从博弈优化调度方法。首先,将园区级综合能源系统中能源运营商(energy system operator,ESO)设定为上层领导者、综合能源系统园区设定为下层跟随者,并且能源运营商以最大化自身效益为目标,通过制定与园区间的购售电价格、碳交易基价、价格增长幅度,引导下层园区优化;下层园区以最小化其运行成本为目标,对上层发布的价格信息做出反应,从而构建主从博弈模型。其次,充分考虑园区级综合能源系统的低碳经济运行约束,在博弈模型中引入考虑动态参数的阶梯型碳交易机制以限制二氧化碳排放量,并在园区侧引入需求响应。最后,利用水母搜索算法对上层发布的购售电价、碳交易基价、价格增长幅度进行优化,利用CPLEX优化下层园区设备出力、需求响应以及购售电计划。仿真结果证明了所提模型和方法的有效性。
