THE DISTRIBUTION OF SOLID PARTICLES SUSPENDED IN A TURBULENT FLOW:A STOCHASTIC APPROACH

Basic fluid mechanics and stochastic theories are applied to show that the concentration distribution of suspended solid particles in a direction normal to the mean streamlines of a two-dimensional turbulent flow is greatly influenced by the lift force exerted on them in the vicinity of the wall.Analytic solution shows that,when the direction of the mean flow is horizontal,the probability density function p(y,t)for random displacements of the particles will have a maximum value at a point from the wall where the perpendicular component of the lift force precisely balances particle gravity.Interpretation of experimental observations is presented using this theory.

Wind Power Probability Density Prediction Based on Quantile Regression Model of Dilated Causal Convolutional Neural Network

Aiming at the wind power prediction problem,a wind power probability prediction method based on the quantile regression of a dilated causal convolutional neural network is proposed.With the developed model,the Adam stochastic gradient descent technique is utilized to solve the cavity parameters of the causal convolutional neural network under different quantile conditions and obtain the probability density distribution of wind power at various times within the following 200 hours.The presented method can obtain more useful information than conventional point and interval predictions.Moreover,a prediction of the future complete probability distribution of wind power can be realized.According to the actual data forecast of wind power in the PJM network in the United States,the proposed probability density prediction approach can not only obtain more accurate point prediction results,it also obtains the complete probability density curve prediction results for wind power.Compared with two other quantile regression methods,the developed technique can achieve a higher accuracy and smaller prediction interval range under the same confidence level.

Regional moment-independent sensitivity analysis with its applications in engineering

Traditional Global Sensitivity Analysis（GSA） focuses on ranking inputs according to their contributions to the output uncertainty.However,information about how the specific regions inside an input affect the output is beyond the traditional GSA techniques.To fully address this issue,in this work,two regional moment-independent importance measures,Regional Importance Measure based on Probability Density Function（RIMPDF） and Regional Importance Measure based on Cumulative Distribution Function（RIMCDF）,are introduced to find out the contributions of specific regions of an input to the whole output distribution.The two regional importance measures prove to be reasonable supplements of the traditional GSA techniques.The ideas of RIMPDF and RIMCDF are applied in two engineering examples to demonstrate that the regional moment-independent importance analysis can add more information concerning the contributions of model inputs.

Modified Moment-based Image Watermarking Method Robust to Cropping Attack

Developing a watermarking method that is robust to cropping attack is a challenging task in image watermarking. The moment-based watermarking schemes show good robustness to common signal processing attacks and some geometric attacks but are sensitive to cropping attack. In this paper, we modify the moment-based approach to deal with cropping attack. Firstly, we find the probability density function （PDF） of the pixel value distribution from the original image. Secondly, we reshape and normalize the pdf of the pixel value distribution （PPVD） to form a two dimensional image. Then, the moment invariants are calculated from the PPVD image. Since PPVD is insensitive to cropping, the proposed method is robust to cropping attack. Besides, it also has high robustness against other common attacks. Theoretical analysis and experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.