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基于CRIME理论的康美药业财务造假分析及防范研究
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作者 方欣 刘龙青 《江苏商论》 2024年第7期97-100,共4页
随着经济的快速发展,资本市场中财务造假事件频繁发生,损害了中小股东的利益,给债权人、广大投资者乃至社会带来了巨大的损失。利用传统财务指标对舞弊手段进行识别的作用有限,提出的解决措施治标不治本。因此,需要采用系统的理论对上... 随着经济的快速发展,资本市场中财务造假事件频繁发生,损害了中小股东的利益,给债权人、广大投资者乃至社会带来了巨大的损失。利用传统财务指标对舞弊手段进行识别的作用有限,提出的解决措施治标不治本。因此,需要采用系统的理论对上市公司财务舞弊进行深入分析,才能提出针对性的治理对策。本文运用CRIME舞弊行为理论,从舞弊者、舞弊手段、舞弊动机、监管机制、舞弊后果五个角度,对康美药业舞弊现象进行剖析,针对产生的问题提出了相应的预防措施,以期增强投资者的风险辨识能力。 展开更多
关键词 康美药业 crime舞弊行为理论 财务舞弊
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基于CRIME理论的^(*)ST宜生财务舞弊案例研究 被引量:1
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作者 吕晶晶 《财务管理研究》 2024年第1期54-59,共6页
资本市场不断完善对我国经济发展起到重要的推动作用,但同时财务舞弊事件也层出不穷。上市公司财务舞弊行为严重侵害了投资者权益,扰乱了我国资本市场的正常运行,不利于社会经济健康发展。运用CRIME理论,分别从造假行为人、造假手段、... 资本市场不断完善对我国经济发展起到重要的推动作用,但同时财务舞弊事件也层出不穷。上市公司财务舞弊行为严重侵害了投资者权益,扰乱了我国资本市场的正常运行,不利于社会经济健康发展。运用CRIME理论,分别从造假行为人、造假手段、造假动因、监督机制、造假结果5个方面对^(*)ST宜生财务舞弊事件进行分析,厘清了财务舞弊的来龙去脉,并针对性地从公司、会计师事务所和监管机制3个角度提供启示,希望对相关主体具有借鉴意义,减少财务舞弊行为的发生,肃清资本市场不良风气。 展开更多
关键词 财务舞弊 crime理论 内部控制
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从CRIME理论看公司财务造假
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作者 张馨仪 吴留全 《合作经济与科技》 2024年第12期133-135,共3页
随着经济的飞速发展,我国上市公司数量逐年增加,但并不是所有的上市公司都能够保持持续盈利或者在行业中占据主导地位,财务造假严重影响着正常的经济运作规律,给社会带来巨大的危害。本文从CRIME理论五个因素出发,以中信国安公司财务造... 随着经济的飞速发展,我国上市公司数量逐年增加,但并不是所有的上市公司都能够保持持续盈利或者在行业中占据主导地位,财务造假严重影响着正常的经济运作规律,给社会带来巨大的危害。本文从CRIME理论五个因素出发,以中信国安公司财务造假为案例,对该公司造假者、造假手段、造假动机、监管机制、最终后果进行探究,从中寻找启示。 展开更多
关键词 上市公司 财务造假 crime理论
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A Survey of Crime Scene Investigation Image Retrieval Using Deep Learning
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作者 Ying Liu Aodong Zhou +1 位作者 Jize Xue Zhijie Xu 《Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology》 EI CAS 2024年第4期271-286,共16页
Crime scene investigation(CSI)image is key evidence carrier during criminal investiga-tion,in which CSI image retrieval can assist the public police to obtain criminal clues.Moreover,with the rapid development of deep... Crime scene investigation(CSI)image is key evidence carrier during criminal investiga-tion,in which CSI image retrieval can assist the public police to obtain criminal clues.Moreover,with the rapid development of deep learning,data-driven paradigm has become the mainstreammethod of CSI image feature extraction and representation,and in this process,datasets provideeffective support for CSI retrieval performance.However,there is a lack of systematic research onCSI image retrieval methods and datasets.Therefore,we present an overview of the existing worksabout one-class and multi-class CSI image retrieval based on deep learning.According to theresearch,based on their technical functionalities and implementation methods,CSI image retrievalis roughly classified into five categories:feature representation,metric learning,generative adversar-ial networks,autoencoder networks and attention networks.Furthermore,We analyzed the remain-ing challenges and discussed future work directions in this field. 展开更多
关键词 crime scene investigation(CSI)image image retrieval deep learning
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The Windy City’s Dark Side: A Statistical Exploration of Crime in the City of Chicago
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作者 Clement Odooh Somtobe Olisah +7 位作者 Jane Onwuchekwa Omoshola Owolabi Sevidzem Simo Yufenyuy Oluwadare Aderibigbe Echezona Obunadike Oghenekome Efijemue Saheed Akintayo Samson Edozie 《Journal of Data Analysis and Information Processing》 2024年第3期370-387,共18页
This paper presents a detailed statistical exploration of crime trends in Chicago from 2001 to 2023, employing data from the Chicago Police Department’s publicly available crime database. The study aims to elucidate ... This paper presents a detailed statistical exploration of crime trends in Chicago from 2001 to 2023, employing data from the Chicago Police Department’s publicly available crime database. The study aims to elucidate the patterns, distribution, and variations in crime across different types and locations, providing a comprehensive picture of the city’s crime landscape through advanced data analytics and visualization techniques. Using exploratory data analysis (EDA), we identified significant insights into crime trends, including the prevalence of theft and battery, the impact of seasonal changes on crime rates, and spatial concentrations of criminal activities. The research leveraged a Power BI dashboard to visually represent crime data, facilitating an intuitive understanding of complex patterns and enabling dynamic interaction with the dataset. Key findings highlight notable disparities in crime occurrences by type, location, and time, offering a granular view of crime hotspots and temporal trends. Additionally, the study examines clearance rates, revealing variations in the resolution of cases across different crime categories. This analysis not only sheds light on the current state of urban safety but also serves as a critical tool for policymakers and law enforcement agencies to develop targeted interventions. The paper concludes with recommendations for enhancing public safety strategies and suggests directions for future research, emphasizing the need for continuous data-driven approaches to effectively address and mitigate urban crime. This study contributes to the broader discourse on urban safety, crime prevention, and the role of data analytics in public policy and community well-being. 展开更多
关键词 crime Analysis Chicago Data Visualization crime Trends Power BI Urban Safety
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基于CRIME理论视角下东方金钰财务舞弊分析
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作者 任玥 《金融》 2024年第3期1020-1026,共7页
近年来,随着资本市场的不断完善,我国经济得到了高速发展,但与此同时伴随着上市公司财务舞弊行为的频繁发生,这不仅极大损害了投资者的利益,还严重影响了资本市场的诚信机制。因此,对上市公司财务舞弊行为进行有效识别与采取防范手段极... 近年来,随着资本市场的不断完善,我国经济得到了高速发展,但与此同时伴随着上市公司财务舞弊行为的频繁发生,这不仅极大损害了投资者的利益,还严重影响了资本市场的诚信机制。因此,对上市公司财务舞弊行为进行有效识别与采取防范手段极为重要。本文以东方金钰财务造假案件为例,运用CRIME理论,分别从舞弊行为人、舞弊手段、舞弊动因、监管机制、舞弊结果五个方面对东方金钰财务舞弊事件进行分析,并针对这五个方面提出有关的建议。希望对相关研究具有借鉴意义,以减少财务舞弊行为的发生。 展开更多
关键词 财务舞弊 crime理论 东方金钰 案例研究 舞弊手段
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基于CRIME理论的财务舞弊问题研究——以Z公司为例
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作者 郭学祯 《行政事业资产与财务》 2024年第6期94-96,共3页
随着数字经济和互联网的兴起,上市公司财务舞弊现象层出不穷。本文基于CRIME理论,从财务的舞弊者、舞弊手段、舞弊动机、舞弊监管机制、舞弊结果五个方面系统分析了Z公司的财务舞弊案例,从内部防范、人员素质、外部监管三个方面提出了建... 随着数字经济和互联网的兴起,上市公司财务舞弊现象层出不穷。本文基于CRIME理论,从财务的舞弊者、舞弊手段、舞弊动机、舞弊监管机制、舞弊结果五个方面系统分析了Z公司的财务舞弊案例,从内部防范、人员素质、外部监管三个方面提出了建议,希望对资本市场的完善有所启示。 展开更多
关键词 财务舞弊 crime理论 管理层
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基于CRIME理论的财务舞弊案例分析——以康美药业为例 被引量:1
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作者 刘佳琳 王雁书 《国际商务财会》 2023年第7期50-53,共4页
康美药业财务舞弊案作为A股史上最大的财务舞弊案,一直备受市场关注。文章基于CRIME理论,从舞弊行为人、舞弊手段、舞弊激励、监管机制、结果五个方面系统全面地分析了康美药业财务舞弊案,并从内部监管与外部监管两方面提出建议。
关键词 财务舞弊 crime理论 康美药业
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基于CRIME理论的瑞幸咖啡财务造假案例分析 被引量:1
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作者 李若琦 《现代商业》 2023年第11期189-192,共4页
伴随着我国资本市场的高速发展,财务造假事件频发,造假手法也越来越复杂,造假事件恶劣程度愈演愈烈。目前,识别造假行为难度越来越大。造假者对市场和投资者毫无敬畏之心,伤害投资者合法利益,扰乱市场秩序,甚至影响了我国经济的健康运... 伴随着我国资本市场的高速发展,财务造假事件频发,造假手法也越来越复杂,造假事件恶劣程度愈演愈烈。目前,识别造假行为难度越来越大。造假者对市场和投资者毫无敬畏之心,伤害投资者合法利益,扰乱市场秩序,甚至影响了我国经济的健康运行。瑞幸咖啡从闪电上市到跌落神坛,其财务造假涉案金额高达22亿元。本文以瑞幸咖啡为案例,首先对其财务造假事件进行回顾,使用CRIME五因素理论分析其财务造假动因,然后对其造假手段进行分析,最后针对瑞幸咖啡现状提出相应的治理措施。 展开更多
关键词 财务造假 crime五因素理论 瑞幸咖啡
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基于CRIME理论的紫晶存储财务舞弊案例分析 被引量:1
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作者 李佳欣 《经济管理学刊(中英文版)》 2023年第2期122-129,共8页
在以信息披露为“生命线”的注册制下,紫晶存储开了一个恶劣的顶风欺诈上市先例,引起广泛关注。这种行为破坏了市场规律,使众多投资者对市场失去信心。紫晶存储以及相关中介机构负有重大责任。因此,对于注册制上市公司财务舞弊行为的识... 在以信息披露为“生命线”的注册制下,紫晶存储开了一个恶劣的顶风欺诈上市先例,引起广泛关注。这种行为破坏了市场规律,使众多投资者对市场失去信心。紫晶存储以及相关中介机构负有重大责任。因此,对于注册制上市公司财务舞弊行为的识别与治理对策的研究具有重要意义。文章基于CRIME理论,从舞弊行为人(cooks)、舞弊手段(recipes)、舞弊动因(incentives)、监管机制(monitoring)、结果(end result)五个方面系统全面地分析了紫晶存储财务舞弊案,并针对这五个方面提出有关的建议。 展开更多
关键词 财务舞弊 crime理论 紫晶存储
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基于CRIME五因素论的浪奇财务舞弊案例研究 被引量:1
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作者 常皓然 钞倩倩 《现代商贸工业》 2023年第13期141-143,共3页
近年来,我国上市公司财务舞弊事件频发,这不仅损害了上市公司的声誉与形象,还使我国资本市场无法健康运行。此次通过CRIME五因素论模型,对浪奇的舞弊主体、舞弊手段、舞弊动机、舞弊监管机制和舞弊造成的后果进行全方位的分析,从上市公... 近年来,我国上市公司财务舞弊事件频发,这不仅损害了上市公司的声誉与形象,还使我国资本市场无法健康运行。此次通过CRIME五因素论模型,对浪奇的舞弊主体、舞弊手段、舞弊动机、舞弊监管机制和舞弊造成的后果进行全方位的分析,从上市公司层面、审计机构层面和政府层面提出预防上市公司舞弊的具体措施,促进我国市场经济健康可持续发展。 展开更多
关键词 crime五因素论 浪奇 财务舞弊
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Detection and Mapping of Violent Crime Hotspots in Southwestern Nigeria
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作者 Michael Ajide Oyinloye Suleiman Abdul-Azeez Adegboyega +4 位作者 Francis Omowonuola Akinluyi Akinola Adesuji Komolafe Joseph Olusola Akinyede Olabanji Odunayo Aladejana Samuel Olumide Akande 《Journal of Geographic Information System》 2023年第3期334-365,共32页
The increasing rate of insecurity in Nigeria, especially the southwest requires a paradigm shift from popular approach to crime hotspots detection. This study employed geospatial technologies to integrate spatio-tempo... The increasing rate of insecurity in Nigeria, especially the southwest requires a paradigm shift from popular approach to crime hotspots detection. This study employed geospatial technologies to integrate spatio-temporal crime, social media and field observation data from the communities in all the six states in the southwest to develop crime hotspots that can serve as preliminary information to assist in allocating resources for crime control and prevention. Historical crime data from January 1972 to April, 2021 were compiled and updated with rigorous field survey in September, 2021. The field data were encoded, input to the SPSS 17 and analyzed using descriptive statistics and multivariate analysis. A total 936 crime locations data were geolocated and exported to ArcGIS 10.5 for spatial mapping using point map operation and further imported to e-Spatial web-based and QGIS for the generation of hotspot map using heatmap tool. The results revealed that armed robbery, assassination and cultism were more pronounced in Lagos and Ogun States. Similarly, high incidences of farmers/herdsmen conflicts are observed in Oyo and Osun States. Increasing incidences of kidnapping are common in all the south-western states but very prominent in Ondo, Lagos and Oyo States. Most of the violent crime incidents took place along the highways, with forests being their hideouts. Violent crimes are dominantly caused by high rate of unemployment while farmer/herdsmen conflicts were majorly triggered by the scarcity of grazing fields and destruction of arable crops. The conflicts have resulted in the increasing cases of rape and disruption of social group, intake of hard drugs, cult-related activities, low income and revenue generation, and displacement of farmers and infrastructural damages. The study advocates regular retraining and equipping of security agents, establishment of cattle ranch, and installation of sophisticated IP Camera at the crime hotspots to assist in real-time crime monitoring and management. 展开更多
关键词 Violent crimes crime Hotspots Detection Geospatial Technologies Temporal crime Data Real-Time crime Information
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Ontology-Based Crime News Semantic Retrieval System
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作者 Fiaz Majeed Afzaal Ahmad +3 位作者 Muhammad Awais Hassan Muhammad Shafiq Jin-Ghoo Choi Habib Hamam 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2023年第10期601-614,共14页
Every day,the media reports tons of crimes that are considered by a large number of users and accumulate on a regular basis.Crime news exists on the Internet in unstructured formats such as books,websites,documents,an... Every day,the media reports tons of crimes that are considered by a large number of users and accumulate on a regular basis.Crime news exists on the Internet in unstructured formats such as books,websites,documents,and journals.From such homogeneous data,it is very challenging to extract relevant information which is a time-consuming and critical task for the public and law enforcement agencies.Keyword-based Information Retrieval(IR)systems rely on statistics to retrieve results,making it difficult to obtain relevant results.They are unable to understandthe user’s query and thus facewordmismatchesdue to context changes andthe inevitable semanticsof a given word.Therefore,such datasets need to be organized in a structured configuration,with the goal of efficiently manipulating the data while respecting the semantics of the data.An ontological semantic IR systemis needed that can find the right investigative information and find important clues to solve criminal cases.The semantic system retrieves information in view of the similarity of the semantics among indexed data and user queries.In this paper,we develop anontology-based semantic IRsystemthat leverages the latest semantic technologies including resource description framework(RDF),semantic protocol and RDF query language(SPARQL),semantic web rule language(SWRL),and web ontology language(OWL).We have conducted two experiments.In the first experiment,we implemented a keyword-based textual IR systemusing Apache Lucene.In the second experiment,we implemented a semantic systemthat uses ontology to store the data and retrieve precise results with high accuracy using SPARQL queries.The keyword-based system has filtered results with 51%accuracy,while the semantic system has filtered results with 95%accuracy,leading to significant improvements in the field and opening up new horizons for researchers. 展开更多
关键词 Web 3.0 crime ontology semantic web knowledge representation
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Crime Prediction Methods Based on Machine Learning:A Survey
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作者 Junxiang Yin 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2023年第2期4601-4629,共29页
The objective of crime prediction,one of the most important technologies in social computing,is to extract useful information from many existing criminal records to predict the next process-related crime.It can aid th... The objective of crime prediction,one of the most important technologies in social computing,is to extract useful information from many existing criminal records to predict the next process-related crime.It can aid the police in obtaining criminal information and warn the public to be vigilant in certain areas.With the rapid growth of big data,the Internet of Things,and other technologies,as well as the increasing use of artificial intelligence in forecasting models,crime prediction models based on deep learning techniques are accelerating.Therefore,it is necessary to classify the existing crime prediction algorithms and compare in depth the attributes and conditions that play an essential role in the analysis of crime prediction algorithms.Existing crime prediction methods can be roughly divided into two categories:those based on conventional machine learning and those based on contemporary deep learning.This survey analyses the fundamental theories and procedures.The most frequently used data sets are then enumerated,and the fundamental procedures of various algorithms are also analyzed in this paper.In light of the insufficient scale of existing data in this field,the ambiguity of data types used to predict crimes,and the absence of public data sets that have a significant impact on the research of algorithm models,this survey proposes the construction of a machine learning-based big data research model to address these issues.Future researchers who will enter this field are provided with a guide to the direction of future research development. 展开更多
关键词 crime prediction machine learning artificial intelligence deep learning
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Spatial Pattern and Distribution of Crime in Suleja Lga, Niger State, Nigeria
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作者 Isaac Utenwojo Ocholi Paul Ojochenemi Abuh +1 位作者 Ademu Samuel Aminu Musa 《Journal of Geographic Information System》 2023年第4期379-390,共12页
The study examines the Spatial Pattern and Distribution of Crime in Suleja LGA, Niger State, Nigeria. The study used GIS and statistical methods to analyse the pattern and distribution of crime incidence in the study ... The study examines the Spatial Pattern and Distribution of Crime in Suleja LGA, Niger State, Nigeria. The study used GIS and statistical methods to analyse the pattern and distribution of crime incidence in the study area. The records of each crime incidence were geocoded. Microsoft Excel was used to collate and organise the crime entries before they were imported into the ArcGIS Pro 2.0 environment. A geodatabase was created where the spatial and aspatial data were encoded and geospatial analysis was performed. The study reveals that the crime distribution pattern is generally clustered with a Global Moran’s I index of 0.097, a Z-score of 1.87, and a P-value < 0.06. Furthermore, the study reveals that armed robbery (61), kidnapping (40), car theft (33), culpable homicide (31), rape (29), and robbery (13) cases rank the highest in crime rate. Equally, findings of the study show that Chaza, Kwamba, Madalla, Suleja central, and Gaboda are the major crime hotspot zones at 90% confidence, as analysed using the Getis-Ord Gi* (Hot spot analysis) spatial statistics tool in ArcGIS Pro 2.0. The research therefore recommends that more effort be put into fighting crime, especially in areas where there are low-security formations, as they mostly have the highest record of crimes committed. Also, the patrol units should be equipped with GPS for better surveillance and real-time tracking of criminal activities. 展开更多
关键词 Urban Security Spatial Pattern crime GIS HOTSPOT INSECURITY
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Should Profit-seeking Fake Goods Buyers Be encouraged?
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《ChinAfrica》 2016年第5期12-13,共2页
To mark World Consumer Rights Day every year, China routinely exposes fraudulent transactions and business malpractices on March 15. This year, the spotlight was on people who knowingly purchase fake goods so that the... To mark World Consumer Rights Day every year, China routinely exposes fraudulent transactions and business malpractices on March 15. This year, the spotlight was on people who knowingly purchase fake goods so that they can make a killing by seeking compensation. 展开更多
关键词 Should profit-seeking Fake Goods Buyers Be encouraged BE
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基于CRIME理论的胜通集团财务造假案例研究
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作者 景涛 《国际会计前沿》 2023年第3期339-344,共6页
财务造假行为对我国资本市场造成多方面负面影响,研究如何防范该行为的发生具有重要的现实意义。胜通集团作为一家民营500强企业之一,仍未能避免实施财务造假行为,并被证监会收录为债券发行人财务造假的典型案件。CRIME理论以造假行为... 财务造假行为对我国资本市场造成多方面负面影响,研究如何防范该行为的发生具有重要的现实意义。胜通集团作为一家民营500强企业之一,仍未能避免实施财务造假行为,并被证监会收录为债券发行人财务造假的典型案件。CRIME理论以造假行为人、造假手段、造假动机、造假监督机制和造假产生的后果作为切入角度,通过对该理论的运用能够较为全面地对胜通集团财务造假行为进行剖析,在此基础上提出相应的治理建议,为财务造假行为的防范提供参考思路。 展开更多
关键词 财务造假 crime理论 案例研究 胜通集团
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刑事合规与单位犯罪立法的完善 被引量:2
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作者 孙国祥 《北京社会科学》 北大核心 2024年第1期65-70,91,共7页
在肯定法人犯罪的基础上,法人犯罪立法中的关键问题主要集中在法人犯罪的范围、法人犯罪的归责基础以及法人犯罪中法人与相关法人成员的关系。在刑法分则中挑出部分罪名进行立法的方式,固然有助于控制法人犯罪的范围,但还存在着罪名稳... 在肯定法人犯罪的基础上,法人犯罪立法中的关键问题主要集中在法人犯罪的范围、法人犯罪的归责基础以及法人犯罪中法人与相关法人成员的关系。在刑法分则中挑出部分罪名进行立法的方式,固然有助于控制法人犯罪的范围,但还存在着罪名稳定性缺乏、选择标准模糊等难以解决的问题,法人犯罪的成立范围宜采取普遍性的立法。由于替代责任与刑法责任主义原则相悖,容易导致法人责任认定过于宽泛,故法人犯罪的归责基础应采用组织体责任,法人成员的意思一旦转化为单位整体意志,该意志即成为单位犯罪的意志。基于组织体责任,立法应明确企业事前合规对法人犯罪成立的阻却作用。同时,在两罚制视野下,法人犯罪中法人与法人成员属于两个不同的犯罪主体,法人成员的犯罪并不依附于法人,立法应统一规定,法人成员的犯罪按自然人犯罪定罪量刑。 展开更多
关键词 单位犯罪 法人犯罪 组织体责任 两罚制 企业合规
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从消极惩罪到积极治理:中国特色轻罪治理体系的反思与完善 被引量:4
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作者 黎宏 袁方 《中州学刊》 北大核心 2024年第4期74-83,共10页
当今中国社会的犯罪现象正在经历从重罪到轻罪的重大变化,我国轻罪治理体系也应与时俱进地进行完善。这要求我们取轻罪之长,避轻罪之短。首先,要明确轻罪的定义,可以法定刑3年有期徒刑为上限、以处带有保安处分性质的限制或剥夺人身自... 当今中国社会的犯罪现象正在经历从重罪到轻罪的重大变化,我国轻罪治理体系也应与时俱进地进行完善。这要求我们取轻罪之长,避轻罪之短。首先,要明确轻罪的定义,可以法定刑3年有期徒刑为上限、以处带有保安处分性质的限制或剥夺人身自由措施为下限,这一轻罪概念既契合我国刑事立法和司法的现实,也是面向未来轻罪立法的一种前瞻性考虑。然后,对轻罪扩张现象进行反思,厘清轻罪扩张带来的正面功能和负面效应,指明其具有回应民意、完善立法、规范行为的优势,也揭示其简化司法、异化刑罚、附随后果过剩的缺陷。在此基础上,对我国轻罪治理体系进行完善,在实体层面依据《刑法》第13条的但书规定和第37条的定罪免刑规定,建立多元的轻罪处遇模式;在程序法层面贯彻“三分原则”;在附随后果上严格限制适用主体、对象和内容;在前科消灭上逐步建立犯罪记录封存、注销和复权制度。这样多措并举,推动我国轻罪治理体系从消极惩罪向积极治理的现代化转型。 展开更多
关键词 轻罪治理 风险社会 刑法处遇 犯罪附随后果 前科消灭
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中国拐卖儿童犯罪活动网络时空演变及形成机制——基于寻亲成功案例的分析 被引量:2
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作者 王静 李正 +2 位作者 王涛 师岱 余丽娇 《浙江大学学报(理学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第1期64-75,89,共13页
拐卖儿童犯罪活动屡禁不绝,给家庭和社会带来诸多负效应,打击拐卖儿童犯罪活动对人类社会可持续发展和国家权益保障意义重大。以“宝贝回家”公益平台数据资料为研究样本,借助GIS空间分析与社会网络分析方法,探讨中国拐卖儿童犯罪活动... 拐卖儿童犯罪活动屡禁不绝,给家庭和社会带来诸多负效应,打击拐卖儿童犯罪活动对人类社会可持续发展和国家权益保障意义重大。以“宝贝回家”公益平台数据资料为研究样本,借助GIS空间分析与社会网络分析方法,探讨中国拐卖儿童犯罪活动网络时空演变与形成机制。结果表明:(1)在时序演变上,1978—2020年中国拐卖儿童犯罪活动呈现“中段高发、两端低发”的倒V形态势,于1989年达到峰值后逐步回落。(2)在网络拓扑上,拐卖儿童犯罪活动网络总体规模先增后降,网络结构日趋疏松、联系强度与通达性降低,网络核心由豫、闽等中东部地区向川、黔等西南地区转移,买方、卖方市场分化显著。(3)在空间演化上,犯罪活动集中于胡焕庸线东南部,拐卖男童南方高于北方;犯罪活动空间分布格局重心转移显著,拐出高值区趋向于西南地区,拐入高值区多为中东部地区;贩运路径由“数地高发”转向“全国频发”后逐渐萎缩,跨省与省内贩运现象并存;犯罪网络形成了4个以滇-粤-桂-冀贩运社团为主导的犯罪社团,内部联系紧密,呈现地理邻近性与跳跃性并存的区位特征。(4)在形成机制上,网络节点、网络联系、网络社团3个层面对拐卖儿童犯罪活动的影响逐级递进,且受多因素影响,具有波动性、阶段性和地域性特征。 展开更多
关键词 拐卖儿童犯罪 社会网络分析 时空演变 形成机制 中国
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