in order to project a reliable telecommunication network ,we have to measure the call lossrate of present traffic and to predzct the traffic of hajective network. In this paper we point out that afactor of real commun...in order to project a reliable telecommunication network ,we have to measure the call lossrate of present traffic and to predzct the traffic of hajective network. In this paper we point out that afactor of real communication needs for subscrihas should be added in studying the traffic source char-acterization. Generally, the predicted traffic does not equal to the real demends, Considered asubscriber's psychological facter for attempts in busy-hour, a mathematical medel of probable dertva-tive calls from each real communication demand is given,with which the calling-up probabity, andthe repeating attempt probability of original subscribers on line occupation are calculated and the rela-tionship between the traffic and the real cammunication need is predicted.展开更多
文摘in order to project a reliable telecommunication network ,we have to measure the call lossrate of present traffic and to predzct the traffic of hajective network. In this paper we point out that afactor of real communication needs for subscrihas should be added in studying the traffic source char-acterization. Generally, the predicted traffic does not equal to the real demends, Considered asubscriber's psychological facter for attempts in busy-hour, a mathematical medel of probable dertva-tive calls from each real communication demand is given,with which the calling-up probabity, andthe repeating attempt probability of original subscribers on line occupation are calculated and the rela-tionship between the traffic and the real cammunication need is predicted.