The method of determining the structures and parameters of radial basis function neural networks(RBFNNs) using improved genetic algorithms is proposed. Akaike′s information criterion (AIC) with generalization error t...The method of determining the structures and parameters of radial basis function neural networks(RBFNNs) using improved genetic algorithms is proposed. Akaike′s information criterion (AIC) with generalization error term is used as the best criterion of optimizing the structures and parameters of networks. It is shown from the simulation results that the method not only improves the approximation and generalization capability of RBFNNs ,but also obtain the optimal or suboptimal structures of networks.展开更多
文摘The method of determining the structures and parameters of radial basis function neural networks(RBFNNs) using improved genetic algorithms is proposed. Akaike′s information criterion (AIC) with generalization error term is used as the best criterion of optimizing the structures and parameters of networks. It is shown from the simulation results that the method not only improves the approximation and generalization capability of RBFNNs ,but also obtain the optimal or suboptimal structures of networks.
文摘为了解决单个神经网络预测的局限性和时间序列的波动性,提出了一种奇异谱分析(singular spectrum analysis,SSA)和Stacking框架相结合的短期负荷预测方法。利用随机森林筛选出与历史负荷相关性强烈的特征因素,采用SSA为负荷数据降噪,简化模型计算过程;基于Stacking框架,结合长短期记忆(long and short-term memory,LSTM)-自注意力机制(self-attention mechanism,SA)、径向基(radial base functions,RBF)神经网络和线性回归方法集成新的组合模型,同时利用交叉验证方法避免模型过拟合;选取PJM和澳大利亚电力负荷数据集进行验证。仿真结果表明,与其他模型比较,所提模型预测精度高。
