Analysis of sea level changes in the Caspian Sea related to Cosmo-geophysical processes based on satellite and terrestrial data

Analysis results of the average annual sea levels in the Caspian Sea obtained from ground and satellite observations, corresponding to solar activity characteristics, magnetic field data, and length of day are presented. Spectra of the indicated processes were investigated and their approximation models were also built. Previously assumed statistical relationships between space-geophysical processes and Caspian Sea level(CSL) changes were confirmed. A close connection was revealed between the low-frequency models of the solar and geomagnetic activity parameters and the CSL changes. Predictions extending into the next decades showed a high probability of an increase in the CSL and a decrease of the compared space-geophysical parameters.

从局部到全局的规则模型:粒聚合研究

顾名思义,多视图模型是从不同的视角捕捉现实界系统的模型,通常包含本地可用的特性(如属性、输入变量)。综合考虑时,必须对一群多视图模型进行聚合。当建立一个包含所有属性的整体模型不可行且不能通过合理的计算实现时,多视图模型也会出现在包含大量变量的数据中。基于模糊规则体系结构,考虑和讨论2种情形。在构建多视图模型的聚合时,一个重要的任务是为整个全局模型设置一个可靠的质量度量,使用该度量可以有效地评估由规则模型生成的单个结果的相关性。提倡用输出的信息粒来量化结果的质量,而不是一个单一的数字结果。在上述2个情形中,使用合理粒度增强原理(粒计算的基础之一)聚合了一系列多视图模型产生的结果。认为多视图模型传递的结果多样性可以通过生成结果的粒度形式进行捕获和量化。最后,讨论了相关的优化准则和优化过程。