Dynamic Reliability Evaluation and Life Prediction of Transmission System of Multi-Performance Degraded Wind Turbine

Wind power is a kind of important green energy.Thus,wind turbines have been widely utilized around the world.Wind turbines are composed of many important components.Among these components,the failure rate of the transmission system is relatively high in wind turbines.It is because the components are subjected to aerodynamic loads for a long time.In addition,its inertial load will result in fatigue fracture,wear and other problems.In this situation,wind turbines have to be repaired at a higher cost.Moreover,the traditional reliability methods are difficult to deal with the above challenges when performing the reliability analysis of the transmission system of wind turbines.To solve this problem,a stress-strength interference model based on performance degradation is introduced.Based on considering the strength degradation of each component,the improved Monte Carlomethod simulation based on the Back Propagation neural network is used to obtain the curve of system reliability over time.Finally,the Miner linear cumulative damage theory and the Carten-Dolan cumulative damage theory method are used to calculate the cumulative damage and fatigue life of the gear transmission system.

Availability Capacity Evaluation and Reliability Assessment of Integrated Systems Using Metaheuristic Algorithm

Contemporarily,the development of distributed generations(DGs)technologies is fetching more,and their deployment in power systems is becom-ing broad and diverse.Consequently,several glitches are found in the recent studies due to the inappropriate/inadequate penetrations.This work aims to improve the reliable operation of the power system employing reliability indices using a metaheuristic-based algorithm before and after DGs penetration with feeder system.The assessment procedure is carried out using MATLAB software and Mod-ified Salp Swarm Algorithm(MSSA)that helps assess the Reliability indices of the proposed integrated IEEE RTS79 system for seven different configurations.This algorithm modifies two control parameters of the actual SSA algorithm and offers a perfect balance between the exploration and exploitation.Further,the effectiveness of the proposed schemes is assessed using various reliability indices.Also,the available capacity of the extended system is computed for the best configuration of the considered system.The results confirm the level of reli-able operation of the extended DGs along with the standard RTS system.Speci-fically,the overall reliability of the system displays superior performance when the tie lines 1 and 2 of the DG connected with buses 9 and 10,respectively.The reliability indices of this case namely SAIFI,SAIDI,CAIDI,ASAI,AUSI,EUE,and AEUE shows enhancement about 12.5%,4.32%,7.28%,1.09%,4.53%,12.00%,and 0.19%,respectively.Also,a probability of available capacity at the low voltage bus side is accomplished a good scale about 212.07 times/year.

Statistics and Analysis on Reliability of HVDC Transmission Systems of SGCC

Reliability level of HVDC power transmission systems becomes an important factor impacting the entire power grid.The author analyzes the reliability of HVDC power transmission systems owned by SGCC since 2003 in respect of forced outage times,forced energy unavailability,scheduled energy unavailability and energy utilization eff iciency.The results show that the reliability level of HVDC power transmission systems owned by SGCC is improving.By analyzing different reliability indices of HVDC power transmission system,the maximum asset benef its of power grid can be achieved through building a scientif ic and reasonable reliability evaluation system.

Short-Term Reliability Evaluation of Transmission System under Strong Wind and Rain

The impact of strong wind and rain loads will adversely affect the reliability of the overhead lines, it’s necessary to study changes in risk of transmission system and establish the reliability model of overhead lines through the strong wind and rain loads. In this article, the stochastic properties of overhead lines’ strength and loads were used, according to principles of structural reliability, time-dependent failure probability model of overhead lines was established under the impact of strong wind and rain loads. Simulation of the IEEE-79 system demonstrates that failure probability model is effective. This simulation result also shows that the impact of strong wind and rain loads will seriously affect reliability indices of system loads, rain loads cannot be ignored under strong wind and rain loads.

A Reliability Impact and Assessment of Distributed Generation Integration to Distribution System

The main purpose of this paper is to study the reliability due to the employment of distributed generations (DG) integrated to distribution system. The system under this study is from Provincial Electricity Authority (PEA) that is a part of Thailand’s distribution system. Data of geographic information systems (GIS) including the distance of distribution line and location of load that are parameter of PEA is simulated using digital simulation and electrical network calculation program (DIgSILENT) to analyze the impact of reliability with the installing DG into the distribution system. The system average interruption frequency index (SAIFI), the system average interruption duration index (SAIDI) and interruption cost are assessed as index of reliability by comparing the SAIFI, SAIDI, and interruption cost between the base case (no DG) and the case that DG connected to the distribution system. The results can be summarized by focusing on location of DG, the capacity of DG, the size of load, and the distance of load which are factors able to impact to SAIFI, SAIDI, and interruption cost.

Reliable Data Collection Model and Transmission Framework in Large-Scale Wireless Medical Sensor Networks

Large-scale wireless sensor networks(WSNs)play a critical role in monitoring dangerous scenarios and responding to medical emergencies.However,the inherent instability and error-prone nature of wireless links present significant challenges,necessitating efficient data collection and reliable transmission services.This paper addresses the limitations of existing data transmission and recovery protocols by proposing a systematic end-to-end design tailored for medical event-driven cluster-based large-scale WSNs.The primary goal is to enhance the reliability of data collection and transmission services,ensuring a comprehensive and practical approach.Our approach focuses on refining the hop-count-based routing scheme to achieve fairness in forwarding reliability.Additionally,it emphasizes reliable data collection within clusters and establishes robust data transmission over multiple hops.These systematic improvements are designed to optimize the overall performance of the WSN in real-world scenarios.Simulation results of the proposed protocol validate its exceptional performance compared to other prominent data transmission schemes.The evaluation spans varying sensor densities,wireless channel conditions,and packet transmission rates,showcasing the protocol’s superiority in ensuring reliable and efficient data transfer.Our systematic end-to-end design successfully addresses the challenges posed by the instability of wireless links in large-scaleWSNs.By prioritizing fairness,reliability,and efficiency,the proposed protocol demonstrates its efficacy in enhancing data collection and transmission services,thereby offering a valuable contribution to the field of medical event-drivenWSNs.

Reliability Analysis of Hydraulic Transmission Oil Supply System of Power-Shift Steering Transmission with GO Methodology

GO methodology is a success-oriented method for system reliability analysis. There are components with multi-fault modes in repairable systems. It is a problem to use the existing GO method to make reliability analysis of such repairable systems. A new GO method for reliability analysis of such repairable systems with multifault modes was presented. Firstly, calculation equations of reliability parameters of operators which were used to describe components with multi-fault modes in reparable systems were derived based on Markov process theory. Then, this new GO method was applied in reliability analysis of a hydraulic transmission oil supply system( HTOSS) of a power-shift steering transmission at low and high speeds. Finally,Compared with fault tree analysis( FTA) and Monte Carlo simulation,the results show that this new GO method is correct and suitable for reliability analysis of repairable system with multi-fault modes.

Evaluating the reliability of distributed photovoltaic energy system and storage against household blackout

Distributed energy resources have been proven to be an effective and promising solution to enhance power system resilience and improve household-level reliability.In this paper,we propose a method to evaluate the reliability value of a photovoltaic(PV)energy system with a battery storage system(BSS)by considering the probability of grid outages causing household blackouts.Considering this reliability value,which is the economic profit and capital cost of PV+BSS,a simple formula is derived to calculate the optimal planning strategy.This strategy can provide household-level customers with a simple and straightforward expression for invested PV+BSS capacity.Case studies on 600 households located in eight zones of the US for the period of 2006 to 2015 demonstrate that adding the reliability value to economic profit allows households to invest in a larger PV+BSS and avoid loss of load caused by blackouts.Owing to the differences in blackout hours,households from the 8 zones express distinct willingness to install PV+BSS.The greater the probability of blackout,the greater revenue that household can get from the PV+BSS.The simulation example shows that the planning strategy obtained by proposed model has good economy in the actual operation and able to reduce the economic risk of power failure of the household users.This model can provide household with an easy and straightforward investment strategy of PV+BSS capacity.

A review of in situ transmission electron microscopy study on the switching mechanism and packaging reliability in non-volatile memory

Non-volatile memory(NVM)devices with non-volatility and low power consumption properties are important in the data storage field.The switching mechanism and packaging reliability issues in NVMs are of great research interest.The switching process in NVM devices accompanied by the evolution of microstructure and composition is fast and subtle.Transmission electron microscopy(TEM)with high spatial resolution and versatile external fields is widely used in analyzing the evolution of morphology,structures and chemical compositions at atomic scale.The various external stimuli,such as thermal,electrical,mechanical,optical and magnetic fields,provide a platform to probe and engineer NVM devices inside TEM in real-time.Such advanced technologies make it possible for an in situ and interactive manipulation of NVM devices without sacrificing the resolution.This technology facilitates the exploration of the intrinsic structure-switching mechanism of NVMs and the reliability issues in the memory package.In this review,the evolution of the functional layers in NVM devices characterized by the advanced in situ TEM technology is introduced,with intermetallic compounds forming and degradation process investigated.The principles and challenges of TEM technology on NVM device study are also discussed.

Grey Problems of a Mechanical Transmission System in a Reliability Study

In the light of the Grey characters of reliability on a mechanical transmission system, Grey problems that could assist in the study on mechanical transmission system were analyzed. For example, the factors of time function，the factors of environment and the factors of people have some relationships with the system in this paper. And then, the methods and procedures, which were based upon the theory of Grey system, were elaborated.

Study on the Fuzzy Reliability of the Bearing in Planetary Transmission System for Heavy-Loaded Vehicles

Based on the fuzzy mathematics theory and reliability design methods, the fuzzy reliability of the rolling bearing in the planetary transmission system for heavy-loaded vehicles is analysed. The reliability and the fuzzy life expectancy of bearings in a practical planetary gear box are calculated in detail. The results show that the methods give a reference to the correct assessment of such type of bearing. Some measures to improve the reliability are also

Validity and Reliability of a Measuring Device Based on Sound Transmission for Diagnosis of Hip Dysplasia in Newborns

Sound transmission has been used for diagnosis of hip dysplasia in newborns and infants with tunning fork and sthetoscope. The study aims to identify the validity of a device based on sound transmission. Male and female newborns from Celaya, Gto, ranging from 4 to 28-day-old were selected for the study. The sound transmission device was used both, in bilateral assessment (compared sound transmission) and on each hip separately (sound transmission with extension/flexion). In the first application if the sound is lower by a digit, there is a hip unhealthy. In the second application if the sound is increased by a digit, there is also an alteration of the hip. A hip ultrasound was applied using the Graf technique as a gold standard. Sensitivity, specificity and predictive values were calculated to identify validity. The intra-observer and inter-observer Kappa Test was applied to identify reliability. The hips of 103 newborns were assessed, obtaining a sensitivity of 60.9%, and a specificity of 92%;it should be a positive predictive value of 51.9% and a negative predictive value of 95% for the compared sound transmission test. In the sound transmission test with extension/flexion, the values were 82.6%, 96.2%, 73.1% and 97.8% for sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value, respectively. The result of the intra-observer kappa was 0.80 and the inter-observer was 0.70 for the compared sound transmission. The intra-observer Kappa was 0.88 and the inter-observer was 0.78 for the compared sound transmission test with extension/flexion. The device for sound transmission is valid and reliable for the diagnosis of dysplastic development hip disease in newborns.

Short-Term Reliability Evaluation of Transmission System Using Lightning Strike Probability Prediction

The transmission lines are exposed to the atmosphere nature and will be affected by adverse weather such as lightning storm, so that it will affect the reliability of transmission system. This paper studies the fault probability model of transmission line during the lightning storm, and evaluates the short-term reliability of transmission system in the forecasting weather condition. Firstly, build the lightning strike fault probability model of the transmission line based on historical lightning record information, then calculate the lightning strike probability under the forecasting weather conditions, furthermore evaluate the reliability index of transmission system. Utilizing IEEE RTS-79 system to verify the validity of the proposed model and the results show that lightning has great negative influence on the transmission lines and the reliability of transmission system. The reliability evaluation model proposed in this paper can guide the short-term operation and online scheduling for transmission system operators.

Optimal Placement of Distributed Generation for Reliability Benefit in Distribution Systems

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Reliability of Power Transmission and Transformation Facilities in 2010

Through the reliability analysis on transmission and transformation facilities with 220 kV or above voltage level in China in 2010, particularly by investigating the planned and unplanned outage of transformers, circuit breakers and overhead transmission lines with 220 kV, 330 kV and 500 kV level, the weak parts that may influence the operational reliabilities are figured out from technical and liability causes. Moreover, through the research on the device models and comparison of performance indices between domestic and imported devices, the trend of the reliability changes are identified so that the references can be provided for power enterprises to determine corresponding effective reliability measures during planning, design, implementation and production stages.

Reliability Evaluation of Distribution Systems under <i>μ</i>Grid-Tied and Islanded <i>μ</i>Grid Modes Using Monte Carlo Simulation

Reliability evaluation of distribution networks under grid-tied and islanded μ grid modes is presented. The Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) algorithm is applied to a modified RBTS Bus 2 distribution network. The network includes three types of distributed energy resources, namely, solar photovoltaic (PV), wind turbine (WT), and diesel turbine generator (DTG). These distributed generators contribute to supply part of the load during grid-connected mode, but supply 100% of the load in the islanded μ grid mode. A storage system is included to decrease the peak load since the peak of the output power of the PV’s and the peak load do not match time wise in most load profiles. The impact of implementing renewable distributed generation, storage systems, and conventional generation on the reliability of distribution network is studied. This study shows that the penetration of distributed generations can improve the reliability indices of the distribution network.

Generation Reliability Evaluation in Deregulated Power Systems Using Game Theory and Neural Networks

Deregulation policy has caused some changes in the concepts of power systems reliability assessment and enhancement. In the present research, generation reliability is considered, and a method for its assessment is proposed using Game Theory (GT) and Neural Networks (NN). Also, due to the stochastic behavior of power markets and generators’ forced outages, Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) is used for reliability evaluation. Generation reliability focuses merely on the interaction between generation complex and load. Therefore, in the research, based on the behavior of players in the market and using GT, two outcomes are considered: cooperation and non-cooperation. The proposed method is assessed on IEEE-Reliability Test System with satisfactory results. Loss of Load Expectation (LOLE) is used as the reliability index and the results show generation reliability in cooperation market is better than non-cooperation outcome.

Reliability Analyses of Transmission and Substation Facilities and Electricity Supply to Urban Consumers in 2007

Reliabilities of transmission and substation facilities with voltage levelof220 kVoraboveIn 2007, there were totally 356 power supply enterprises, including 28 EHV transmission and substation enterprises, and 245 power generation enterprises submitting reliability performances of electric facilities at a voltage level of 220 kV or above to the Electric Power Reliability Management Center. The reliability indices of transmission and

Generation Reliability Assessment in Electricity Markets Using Cooperative and Non-cooperative Concepts and Intelligent Systems

Deregulation policy has caused some changes in the concepts of power systems reliability assessment and enhancement. In the present research, generation reliability is considered, and a method for its assessment is proposed using game theory and NN （neural networks）. Also, due to the stochastic behavior of power markets and generators＇ forced outages, MCS （monte carlo simulation） is used for reliability evaluation. Generation reliability merely focuses on the interaction between generation complex and load. Therefore, in the research, based on the behavior of players in the market and using game theory, two outcomes are considered： cooperation and non-cooperation. The proposed method is assessed on IEEE-Reliability Test System with satisfactory results. LOLE （loss of load expectation） is used as the reliability index and it will be shown that generation reliability in cooperation market is better than non-cooperation outcome.

Manufacturing Development Emphases on Power Generation and Transmission Apparatus in 11th Five-Year Plan Period and Prospect to the Year 2020

Based on predictions on Chinese power development in the coming 20 years, this paper introduces the emphases and key technologies in power sources and power network construction, and puts for ward the major tasks and technological orientation for machinery manufacturers to supply qualified equipment to China power industry.