Mechanical Dispatch Reliability Prediction for Civil Aircraft Considering Operational Parameters

To effectively predict the mechanical dispatch reliability(MDR),the artificial neural networks method combined with aircraft operation health status parameters is proposed,which introduces the real civil aircraft operation data for verification,to improve the modeling precision and computing efficiency.Grey relational analysis can identify the degree of correlation between aircraft system health status(such as the unscheduled maintenance event,unit report event,and services number)and dispatch release and screen out themost closely related systems to determine the set of input parameters required for the prediction model.The artificial neural network using radial basis function(RBF)as a kernel function,has the best applicability in the prediction of multidimensional,small sample problems.Health status parameters of related systems are used as the input to predict the changing trend ofMDR,under the artificial neural network modeling framework.The case study collects real operation data for a certain civil aircraft over the past five years to validate the performance of the model which meets the requirements of the application.The results show that the prediction quadratic error Ep of the model reaches 6.9×10−8.That is to say,in the existing operating environment,the prediction of the number of delay&cancel events per month can be less than once.The accuracy of RBF ANN,BP ANN and GA-BP ANN are compared further,and the results show that RBF ANN has better adaptability to such multidimensional small sample problems.The efforts of this paper provide a highly efficientmethod for theMDR prediction through aircraft system health state parameters,which is a promising model to enhance the prediction and controllability of the dispatch release,providing support for the construction of the civil aircraft operation system.

Optimization and Mechanical Accuracy Reliability of a New Type of Forging Manipulator

Researches on forging manipulator have enormous influence on the development of the forging industry and national economy.Clamp device and lifting mechanism are the core parts of forging manipulator,and have been studied for longer time.However,the optimization and mechanical accuracy reliability of them are less analyzed.Based on General Function（G_F）set and parallel mechanism theory,proper configuration of 10t forging manipulator is selected firstly.A new type of forging manipulator driven by cylinders is proposed.After solved mechanical analysis of manipulator＇s core mechanisms,expressions of force of cylinders are carried out.In order to achieve smaller force afforded by cylinders and better mechanical characteristics,some particular sizes of core mechanisms are optimized intuitively through the combined use of the genetic algorithms（GA）and GUI interface in MATLAB.Comparing with the original mechanisms,optimized clamp saves at least 8 percent efforts and optimized lifting mechanism 20 percent under maximum working condition.Finally,considering the existed manufacture error of components,mechanical accuracy reliability of optimized clamp,lifting mechanism and whole manipulator are demonstrated respectively based on fuzzy reliability theory.Obtained results show that the accuracy reliability of optimized clamp is bigger than 0.991 and that of optimized lifting mechanism is 0.995.To the whole manipulator under maximum working condition,that value exceeds 0.986 4,which means that optimized manipulator has high motion accuracy and is reliable.A new intuitive method is created to optimize forging manipulator sizes efficiently and more practical theory is utilized to analyze mechanical accuracy reliability of forging manipulator precisely.

Improved Reliability Analysis Method Based on the Failure Assessment Diagram

With the uncertainties related to operating conditions,in-service non-destructive testing（NDT） measurements and material properties considered in the structural integrity assessment,probabilistic analysis based on the failure assessment diagram（FAD） approach has recently become an important concern.However,the point density revealing the probabilistic distribution characteristics of the assessment points is usually ignored.To obtain more detailed and direct knowledge from the reliability analysis,an improved probabilistic fracture mechanics（PFM） assessment method is proposed.By integrating 2D kernel density estimation（KDE） technology into the traditional probabilistic assessment,the probabilistic density of the randomly distributed assessment points is visualized in the assessment diagram.Moreover,a modified interval sensitivity analysis is implemented and compared with probabilistic sensitivity analysis.The improved reliability analysis method is applied to the assessment of a high pressure pipe containing an axial internal semi-elliptical surface crack.The results indicate that these two methods can give consistent sensitivities of input parameters,but the interval sensitivity analysis is computationally more efficient.Meanwhile,the point density distribution and its contour are plotted in the FAD,thereby better revealing the characteristics of PFM assessment.This study provides a powerful tool for the reliability analysis of critical structures.

STUDY ON THE MECHANICAL PROPERTIES OF SOLID CATALYSTS

The mechanics of porous catalyst paricles has been discussed and outlined. Concept of brittle fracture, statistical model of single-particle strength, and bulk crushing strength model were introduced. It is elucidated that the objective of catalyst mechanics research is to establish mechanical reliability model of converters using solid catalysts.

Study of the Service Reliability of Machines Based on Safety

From the point of safety being the basic requirement of machine operation, equivalent failure number, which is employed to replace the actual statistical failure number, is introduced. Calculating theory of service reliability indexes of machines based on safety is developed. The method proposed in this paper can reflect the damage degree of failure.

Manufacturability and mechanical reliability study for heterogeneous integration system in display(HiSID)

In this paper,the system on display panel(SoDP)architecture,the primary stage of heterogeneous integration system in display(HiSID),is introduced for the first time.In this architecture,the driving components of display,which are supposed to be on the display flexible print circuit(FPC)in traditional architecture,are innovatively integrated onto the backside of display panel.Through the SoDP architecture,the simulated impact strain in the panel fan-out region can decrease about 30%compared to the traditional architecture,and SoDP provides more the 10 mm extra space in the in-plane Y-direction for holding a larger battery.Also,the SoDP is compatible with the current organic laser emitted diode(OLED)and system in package(SiP)processes.Besides the primary stage,this paper also presents a comprehensive and extensive analysis on the challenges of the manufacturability for the advanced stage of HiSID from four key technologies perspectives:device miniaturization,massive manufacturing,driving technology,and advanced heterogeneous integration.

Highly impermeable and flexible silica encapsulation films synthesized by sol-gel process

Silica thin films synthesized sol–gel process are proposed as flexible encapsulation materials.A sol–gel process provides a dense and stable amorphous silica structure,yielding an extremely high elastic deformation limit of 4.9%and extremely low water vapor transmission rate(WVTR)of 2.90×10^(−4)g/(m^(2)∙day)at 60℃and relative humidity of 85%.The WVTR is not degraded by cyclic bending deformations for the bending radius corresponding to a tensile strain of 3.3%in the silica encapsulation film,implying that the silica thin film is robust against the formation of pinhole-type defects by cyclic bending deformations.Flexible organic solar cells encapsulated with the silica films operate without degradation in power conversion efficiency for 50,000 bending cycles for a bending radius of 6 mm.

Interaction between Weibull parameters and mechanical strength reliability of industrial-scale water gas shift catalysts

A fundamental step in the production of an industrial catalyst is its crushing strength assessment. Limited literature exists in which the strength reliability of supported catalysts is investigated from production to their application in a reactor. In this work, cylindrical supports were prepared by pelletizing high poros- ity γ-alumina powder, and Cu-Znf/γ-Al2O3 catalysts were prepared by impregnation of the pelletized γ-alumina supports with an aqueous solution of copper and zinc nitrates. The support-forming variables, such as binder concentration, compaction pressure, calcination temperature, and drying procedure were investigated. The Weibull method was used to analyze the crushing strength data of the supports, and the fresh and used catalysts before and after the low-temperature water gas shift reaction. Support formation at a 50 wt% binder concentration, 1148 MPa compaction pressure, 500 ℃ calcination temperature, and rapid drying （100 ℃, 8 h） led to the maximum support mechanical reliability. The most reliable catalyst with respect to simultaneous appropriate catalytic performance and mechanical strength was prepared from a support with the lowest mean crushing strength （26.25 MPa）. This work illustrates the impor- tance of the Weibull modulus as a useful mechanical reliability index in manufacturing a supported solid catalyst.

MECHANICAL STRENGTH AND RELIABILITY OF SOLID CATALYSTS

The mechanical strength of solid catalysts is one of the key parameters for reliable and efficient perform-ance of a fixed bed reactor. Some recent developments and their basic mechanics within this context are reviewed. The main concepts discussed are brittle fracture which leads to the mechanical failure of the catalyst pellets, measurement and statistical properties of the catalyst strength data, and mechanical reliability of the catalyst pellets and their packed bed. The scientific basis for the issues on the catalyst mechanical properties calls yet for further elucidation and ad-vancement.

A mechanical reliability study of 3-dB waveguide hybrid couplers in submillimeter and terahertz bands

This paper presents a mechanical reliability study of 3-dB waveguide hybrid couplers in submillimeter and terahertz bands.To show the necessity of improving the mechanical properties of the coupler’s branch in submillimeter and terahertz bands,a comprehensive study regarding the displacement of hybrid branch variation with varying width-length ratio and height-length ratio has been completed.In addition,a modified 3-dB waveguide hybrid coupler is designed and presented.Compared with the traditional branch structure,the proposed hybrid consists of a modified middle branch with circular cutouts at the top and bottom on both sides instead of the traditional rectangle branch,which increases the branch size and improves its mechanical reliability while achieving the same performance.Simulation results show that the deformation of the modified hybrid branch is 22%less than those of other traditional structure designs under the same stress.In practice,a vibration experiment is set up to verify the mechanical reliability of hybrid couplers.Measurement results show that the experiment deteriorates the coupling performance.Experimental results verify that the performance of the novel structure coupler is better than that of a traditional structure branch hybrid coupler under the same electrical properties.