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Survey and Prospect for Applying Knowledge Graph in Enterprise Risk Management
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作者 Pengjun Li Qixin Zhao +3 位作者 Yingmin Liu Chao Zhong Jinlong Wang Zhihan Lyu 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2024年第3期3825-3865,共41页
Enterprise risk management holds significant importance in fostering sustainable growth of businesses and in serving as a critical element for regulatory bodies to uphold market order.Amidst the challenges posed by in... Enterprise risk management holds significant importance in fostering sustainable growth of businesses and in serving as a critical element for regulatory bodies to uphold market order.Amidst the challenges posed by intricate and unpredictable risk factors,knowledge graph technology is effectively driving risk management,leveraging its ability to associate and infer knowledge from diverse sources.This review aims to comprehensively summarize the construction techniques of enterprise risk knowledge graphs and their prominent applications across various business scenarios.Firstly,employing bibliometric methods,the aim is to uncover the developmental trends and current research hotspots within the domain of enterprise risk knowledge graphs.In the succeeding section,systematically delineate the technical methods for knowledge extraction and fusion in the standardized construction process of enterprise risk knowledge graphs.Objectively comparing and summarizing the strengths and weaknesses of each method,we provide recommendations for addressing the existing challenges in the construction process.Subsequently,categorizing the applied research of enterprise risk knowledge graphs based on research hotspots and risk category standards,and furnishing a detailed exposition on the applicability of technical routes and methods.Finally,the future research directions that still need to be explored in enterprise risk knowledge graphs were discussed,and relevant improvement suggestions were proposed.Practitioners and researchers can gain insights into the construction of technical theories and practical guidance of enterprise risk knowledge graphs based on this foundation. 展开更多
关键词 Knowledge graph enterprise risk risk identification risk management review
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Mapping Climate Services for Disaster Risk Management: A Systematic Review and Research Gaps from a Policy Process Perspective
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作者 Aboubacar Issaka Ousman Gaoh Wolfram Laube +1 位作者 Georges Abbevi Abbey Moussa Waongo 《American Journal of Climate Change》 2024年第2期314-360,共47页
Climate services (CS) are crucial for mitigating and managing the impacts and risks associated with climate-induced disasters. While evidence over the past decade underscores their effectiveness across various domains... Climate services (CS) are crucial for mitigating and managing the impacts and risks associated with climate-induced disasters. While evidence over the past decade underscores their effectiveness across various domains, particularly agriculture, to maximize their potential, it is crucial to identify emerging priority areas and existing research gaps for future research agendas. As a contribution to this effort, this paper employs the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) methodology to review the state-of-the-art in the field of climate services for disaster risk management. A comprehensive search across five literature databases combined with a snowball search method using ResearchRabbit was conducted and yielded 242 peer-reviewed articles, book sections, and reports over 2013-2023 after the screening process. The analysis revealed flood, drought, and food insecurity as major climate-related disasters addressed in the reviewed literature. Major climate services addressed included early warning systems, (sub)seasonal forecasts and impact-based warnings. Grounded in the policy processes’ theoretical perspective, the main focus identified and discussed three prevailing policy-oriented priority areas: 1) development of climate services, 2) use-adoption-uptake, and 3) evaluation of climate services. In response to the limitations of the prevalent supply-driven and top-down approach to climate services promotion, co-production emerges as a cross-cutting critical aspect of the identified priority areas. Despite the extensive research in the field, more attention is needed, particularly pronounced in the science-policy interface perspective, which in practice bridges scientific knowledge and policy decisions for effective policy processes. This perspective offers a valuable analytical lens as an entry point for further investigation. Hence, future research agendas would generate insightful evidence by scrutinizing this critical aspect given its importance to institutions and climate services capacity, to better understand intricate facets of the development and the integration of climate services into disaster risk management. 展开更多
关键词 Climate Services Disaster risk management Policy Process Science-Policy Interface Institutional Analysis
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Outpatient management of obscure gastrointestinal bleeding:A new perspective in high-risk patients
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作者 Maria Elena Riccioni Clelia Marmo 《World Journal of Gastroenterology》 SCIE CAS 2024年第19期2502-2504,共3页
Mid-gastrointestinal bleeding accounts for approximately 5%-10%of all gastrointestinal bleeding cases,and vascular lesions represent the most frequent cause.The rebleeding rate for these lesions is quite high(about 42... Mid-gastrointestinal bleeding accounts for approximately 5%-10%of all gastrointestinal bleeding cases,and vascular lesions represent the most frequent cause.The rebleeding rate for these lesions is quite high(about 42%).We hereby recommend that scheduled outpatient management of these patients could reduce the risk of rebleeding episodes. 展开更多
关键词 Gastrointestinal bleeding Small bowel bleeding Recurrent bleeding Rebleeding risk REBLEEDING Outpatient management
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Understanding Osteoporosis: Pathophysiology, Risk Factors, Diagnosis, and Management
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作者 Mahmoud Ismail 《Advances in Aging Research》 CAS 2024年第3期25-40,共16页
Osteoporosis is a systemic skeletal disease characterized by low bone mineral density (BMD) and deterioration of bone architecture, resulting in reduced bone strength and, consequently, increased susceptibility to fra... Osteoporosis is a systemic skeletal disease characterized by low bone mineral density (BMD) and deterioration of bone architecture, resulting in reduced bone strength and, consequently, increased susceptibility to fractures which poses a significant public health concern worldwide, particularly in aging populations [1]. The health-economic impact of vertebral and hip fractures has been extensively explored and it is well known that these fractures are associated with morbidity/disability and increased mortality;they also account for a substantial portion of the direct fracture costs. This review aims to provide a comprehensive overview of osteoporosis, including its pathophysiology, risk factors, diagnostic approaches, and management strategies. By elucidating the multifaceted nature of this condition, healthcare providers can better identify individuals at risk, implement preventive measures, and optimize treatment to reduce the burden of osteoporotic fractures. 展开更多
关键词 OSTEOPOROSIS Bone Mineral Density Fractures risk Factors DIAGNOSIS management FRAX (Fracture risk Assessment Tool) Trabecular Bone Score (TBS)
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Systematic review of risk factors,prognosis,and management of colorectal signet-ring cell carcinoma
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作者 Frederiek Nuytens Vincent Drubay +2 位作者 Clarisse Eveno Florence Renaud Guillaume Piessen 《World Journal of Gastrointestinal Oncology》 SCIE 2024年第5期2141-2158,共18页
BACKGROUND Colorectal signet-ring cell carcinoma(CSRCC)is a rare clinical entity which accounts for approximately 1%of all colorectal cancers.Although multiple studies concerning this specific topic have been publishe... BACKGROUND Colorectal signet-ring cell carcinoma(CSRCC)is a rare clinical entity which accounts for approximately 1%of all colorectal cancers.Although multiple studies concerning this specific topic have been published in the past decades,the pathogenesis,associated risk factors,and potential implications on treatment are still poorly understood.Besides the low incidence,historically confusing histological criteria have resulted in confusing data.Nevertheless,the rising incidence of CSRCC along with relatively young age at presentation and associated dismal prognosis,highlight the actual interest to synthesize the known literature regarding CSRCC.AIM To provide an updated overview of risk factors,prognosis,and management of CSRCC.METHODS A literature search in the MEDLINE/PubMed database was conducted with the following search terms used:‘Signet ring cell carcinoma’and‘colorectal’.Studies in English language,published after January 1980,were included.Studies included in the qualitative synthesis were evaluated for content concerning epidemiology,risk factors,and clinical,diagnostic,histological,and molecular features,as well as metastatic pattern and therapeutic management.If possible,presented data was extracted in order to present a more detailed overview of the literature.RESULTS In total,67 articles were included for qualitative analysis,of which 54 were eligible for detailed data extraction.CSRCC has a reported incidence between 0.1%-2.4%and frequently presents with advanced disease stage at the time of diagnosis.CSRCC is associated with an impaired overall survival(5-year OS:0%-46%)and a worse stagecorrected outcome compared to mucinous and not otherwise specified adenocarcinoma.The systematic use of exploratory laparoscopy to determine the presence of peritoneal metastases has been advised.Surgery is the mainstay of treatment,although the rates of curative resection in CSRCC(21%-82%)are lower compared to those in other histological types.In case of peritoneal metastasis,cytoreductive surgery with hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy should only be proposed in selected patients.CONCLUSION CSRCC is a rare clinical entity most often characterized by young age and advanced disease at presentation.As such,diagnostic modalities and therapeutic approach should be tailored accordingly. 展开更多
关键词 Colorectal cancer Signet-ring cell histology Poorly cohesive cells Systematic review risk factors PROGNOSIS Therapeutic management
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Nursing Risk Management in the Prevention of Post-ERCP Pancreatitis
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作者 Ye Qiu Rui Cao 《Journal of Clinical and Nursing Research》 2024年第6期32-35,共4页
Objective:To study the role of nursing risk management in the prevention of post-ERCP pancreatitis.Methods:80 patients who underwent ERCP in our hospital from December 2023 to April 2024 were selected and randomly div... Objective:To study the role of nursing risk management in the prevention of post-ERCP pancreatitis.Methods:80 patients who underwent ERCP in our hospital from December 2023 to April 2024 were selected and randomly divided into an observation group and a control group using the random number table method,with 40 cases in each group.The observation group was given nursing risk management interventions and patients in the control group were given routine nursing interventions,and the patients in the two groups were compared in the incidence rate of pancreatitis and the satisfaction of nursing care.Results:The incidence of postoperative pancreatitis in the observation group was significantly lower than in the control group(P<0.05).The patient satisfaction of the observation group was significantly higher than that of the control group(P<0.05).Conclusion:Nursing risk management after ERCP can reduce the incidence of postoperative pancreatitis and improve patient satisfaction. 展开更多
关键词 Nursing risk management Post-ERCP PREVENTION PANCREATITIS
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Electronic Commerce Security and Risk Management: An Important Part of College Curriculum
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作者 Yongchang Cai 《Journal of Educational Theory and Management》 2024年第1期18-22,共5页
With the rapid expansion of e-commerce,its security and risk management problems become increasingly prominent.In the current business environment,the ability to understand and apply e-commerce security and risk manag... With the rapid expansion of e-commerce,its security and risk management problems become increasingly prominent.In the current business environment,the ability to understand and apply e-commerce security and risk management has become an important criterion to measure a good person.Therefore,the importance of e-commerce security and risk management courses in college education is self-evident.This course can not only help students master the basic knowledge of e-commerce,but also enable them to understand how to deal with various risks in practical work and ensure the safe operation of e-commerce.At the same time,through the study of e-commerce security and risk management,students can better understand the operation mode and law of e-commerce,and lay a solid foundation for their future career.In general,e-commerce security and risk management occupy an important position in the curriculum of colleges and universities,and play a crucial role in cultivating e-commerce professionals with practical operation ability and innovative thinking. 展开更多
关键词 Electronic commerce SECURE risk management College curriculum
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Cybersecurity Risk Management through Behavior-Based Contextual Analysis of Online Logs
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作者 Irawati Edlabadkar Vijay K. Madisetti 《Journal of Software Engineering and Applications》 2024年第6期487-507,共21页
This paper studies cyber risk management by integrating contextual log analysis with User and Entity Behavior Analytics (UEBA). Leveraging Python scripting and PostgreSQL database management, the solution enriches log... This paper studies cyber risk management by integrating contextual log analysis with User and Entity Behavior Analytics (UEBA). Leveraging Python scripting and PostgreSQL database management, the solution enriches log data with contextual and behavioral information from Linux system logs and semantic datasets. By incorporating Common Vulnerability Scoring System (CVSS) metrics and customized risk scoring algorithms, the system calculates Insider Threat scores to identify potential security breaches. The integration of contextual log analysis and UEBA [1] offers a proactive defense against insider threats, reducing false positives and prioritizing high-risk alerts. 展开更多
关键词 Cyber risk UEBA CVSS
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Research on Tax Risk Regulation and Strategic Management in the Context of Big Data
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作者 Shouzeng Gong 《Proceedings of Business and Economic Studies》 2024年第2期145-150,共6页
With the rapid development of big data,big data has been more and more applied in all walks of life.Under the big data environment,massive big data provides convenience for regional tax risk control and strategic deci... With the rapid development of big data,big data has been more and more applied in all walks of life.Under the big data environment,massive big data provides convenience for regional tax risk control and strategic decision-making but also increases the difficulty of data supervision and management.By analyzing the status quo of big data and tax risk management,this paper finds many problems and puts forward effective countermeasures for tax risk supervision and strategic management by using big data. 展开更多
关键词 Big data Tax risk Strategic management
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Internal Control Management and Risk Prevention Measures of State-Owned Enterprises
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作者 Bing Liu 《Journal of Electronic Research and Application》 2024年第3期1-6,共6页
As an important pillar of national economic development,state-owned enterprises,their operational efficiency,and risk management ability are directly related to the stability and security of the national economy.As an... As an important pillar of national economic development,state-owned enterprises,their operational efficiency,and risk management ability are directly related to the stability and security of the national economy.As an important part of enterprise management,internal control management plays an irreplaceable role.Especially in the current domestic and international economic situation is complex and changeable,market competition is increasingly fierce environment,to strengthen the internal control management of state-owned enterprises and risk prevention measures is particularly important.This paper starts with the importance of internal control management and risk prevention for state-owned enterprises,and analyzes the problems and strategies in the internal control management and risk prevention of state-owned enterprises,in order to build a more comprehensive and efficient risk management system for state-owned enterprises to adapt to the ever-changing market environment and realize sustainable development. 展开更多
关键词 State-owned enterprises Internal control management risk prevention
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The indispensable role of resilience in rational landslide risk management for social sustainability 被引量:2
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作者 Naiman Tian Hengxing Lan 《Geography and Sustainability》 CSCD 2023年第1期70-83,共14页
Landslide disasters reflect the conflict between human society and the natural environment,posing challenges to the sustainable development of mountain regions.Identification of potential landslides,estimation of the ... Landslide disasters reflect the conflict between human society and the natural environment,posing challenges to the sustainable development of mountain regions.Identification of potential landslides,estimation of the degree of damage and potential losses of elements at risk,and control of the loss are the major tasks of landslide risk management.Resilience is defined as a social system’s comprehensive abilities to cope with disasters,including the abilities to prepare,anticipate,preserve,absorb,respond,resist,recover,mitigate,learn,and adapt.As an indispensable role,resilience enables more rational landslide risk management for social sustainability.However,quantitative landslide risk management does not pay sufficient attention to the role of resilience.Hence,in this paper,the role of resilience in a landslide risk management framework is systematically discussed.A quantita-tive landslide risk management framework consists of hazard analysis,exposure analysis,risk estimation,risk evaluation,and risk control.In hazard analysis,resilience assessment could help identify potential landslides that could cause significant damage due to the poor resilience of the elements at risk.Resilience assessment in exposure analysis might aid in identifying the most vulnerable elements or regions to certain landslides.Consid-eration of resilience in risk estimation aids in the calculation of indirect losses and improves the results of direct losses analysis.In risk evaluation,resilience as a disaster-coping ability will impact the social system’s landslide risk tolerance threshold.Enhancing resilience is an essential strategy to reduce the vulnerability of social sys-tems.We also proposed that the efficient use of risk information will increase the accuracy of landslide resilience assessments. 展开更多
关键词 LANDSLIDE risk management RESILIENCE VULNERABILITY Social sustainability
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Online payment fraud:from anomaly detection to risk management
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作者 Paolo Vanini Sebastiano Rossi +1 位作者 Ermin Zvizdic Thomas Domenig 《Financial Innovation》 2023年第1期1788-1812,共25页
Online banking fraud occurs whenever a criminal can seize accounts and transfer funds from an individual’s online bank account.Successfully preventing this requires the detection of as many fraudsters as possible,wit... Online banking fraud occurs whenever a criminal can seize accounts and transfer funds from an individual’s online bank account.Successfully preventing this requires the detection of as many fraudsters as possible,without producing too many false alarms.This is a challenge for machine learning owing to the extremely imbalanced data and complexity of fraud.In addition,classical machine learning methods must be extended,minimizing expected financial losses.Finally,fraud can only be combated systematically and economically if the risks and costs in payment channels are known.We define three models that overcome these challenges:machine learning-based fraud detection,economic optimization of machine learning results,and a risk model to predict the risk of fraud while considering countermeasures.The models were tested utilizing real data.Our machine learning model alone reduces the expected and unexpected losses in the three aggregated payment channels by 15%compared to a benchmark consisting of static if-then rules.Optimizing the machine-learning model further reduces the expected losses by 52%.These results hold with a low false positive rate of 0.4%.Thus,the risk framework of the three models is viable from a business and risk perspective. 展开更多
关键词 Payment fraud risk management Anomaly detection Ensemble models Integration of machine learning and statistical risk modelling Economic optimization machine learning outputs
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COVID-19 and liver injury:Pathophysiology,risk factors,outcome and management in special populations 被引量:4
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作者 Romina Roshanshad Amirhossein Roshanshad +1 位作者 Reza Fereidooni Mahnaz Hosseini-Bensenjan 《World Journal of Hepatology》 2023年第4期441-459,共19页
The coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 is an ongoing health concern.In addition to affecting the respiratory system,COVID-19 can potentially damage other system... The coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 is an ongoing health concern.In addition to affecting the respiratory system,COVID-19 can potentially damage other systems in the body,leading to extra-pulmonary manifestations.Hepatic manifestations are among the common consequences of COVID-19.Although the precise mechanism of liver injury is still questionable,several mechanisms have been hypothesized,including direct viral effect,cytokine storm,hypoxic-ischemic injury,hypoxiareperfusion injury,ferroptosis,and hepatotoxic medications.Risk factors of COVID-19-induced liver injury include severe COVID-19 infection,male gender,advanced age,obesity,and underlying diseases.The presentations of liver involvement comprise abnormalities in liver enzymes and radiologic findings,which can be utilized to predict the prognosis.Increased gamma-glutamyltransferase,aspartate aminotransferase,and alanine aminotransferase levels with hypoalbuminemia can indicate severe liver injury and anticipate the need for intensive care units’hospitalization.In imaging,a lower liver-to-spleen ratio and liver computed tomography attenuation may indicate a more severe illness.Furthermore,chronic liver disease patients are at a higher risk for severe disease and death from COVID-19.Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease had the highest risk of advanced COVID-19 disease and death,followed by metabolic-associated fatty liver disease and cirrhosis.In addition to COVID-19-induced liver injury,the pandemic has also altered the epidemiology and pattern of some hepatic diseases,such as alcoholic liver disease and hepatitis B.Therefore,it warrants special vigilance and awareness by healthcare professionals to screen and treat COVID-19-associated liver injury accordingly. 展开更多
关键词 SARS-CoV-2 COVID-19 Liver injury Chronic liver disease management Liver transplant
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Management disclosure of risk factors and COVID‑19 被引量:1
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作者 Tim Loughran Bill McDonald 《Financial Innovation》 2023年第1期1557-1565,共9页
Public companies in the United States are required to file annual reports(i.e.,Form 10-K)and disclose,among other things,the risk factors that may harm their stock price.The risk of a pandemic was well-known before th... Public companies in the United States are required to file annual reports(i.e.,Form 10-K)and disclose,among other things,the risk factors that may harm their stock price.The risk of a pandemic was well-known before the recent crisis,and we now know that the initial impact on many shareholders was significant and negative.To what extent did managers forewarn their shareholders about this valuation risk?We examine all 10-K filings from 2018,before any knowledge of the current pandemic,and find that less than 21%of them contain any reference to pandemic-related terms.Given the management’s presumed in-depth knowledge of their business and the general awareness that pandemics have been identified as a significant global risk for at least the past decade,this number should have been higher.We find an unexpectedly posi-tive correlation(0.137)between the use of pandemic-related words in annual reports and realized stock returns during the actual pandemic at the industry level.Some industries most severely impacted by COVID-19 barely mentioned pandemic risk in their financial disclosures to shareholders,indicating that managers were ineffective in highlighting their exposure to pandemic risks to investors. 展开更多
关键词 PANDEMIC COVID-19 Form 10-K risk factors
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Enterprise Internal Control Based on Risk Management with Moutai Group as an Example
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作者 Shumin YU 《Asian Agricultural Research》 2023年第9期16-18,共3页
Focusing on the two themes of"internal control"and"risk management",this paper makes an in-depth analysis of the current situation of risk management and internal control of Moutai Group.It analyze... Focusing on the two themes of"internal control"and"risk management",this paper makes an in-depth analysis of the current situation of risk management and internal control of Moutai Group.It analyzes the current situation of risk management and internal control of Moutai Group.It is found that the risk management of Moutai Group is not perfect,the information exchange is not smooth,and the internal control assessment is not perfect.Finally,it puts forward some corresponding countermeasures,including establishing an effective information communication mechanism,perfecting the risk assessment system,and strengthening the construction of the professional talent team. 展开更多
关键词 Internal control risk management Moutai Group
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Risk Assessment and Management of Alien Invasive Species Corythucha ciliata in Guangde City
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作者 Jianmin REN 《Plant Diseases and Pests》 CAS 2023年第1期22-26,共5页
Through two years of systematic investigation,it was found that Corythucha ciliata occurred in the main streets of Guangde City and spread rapidly to roads and streets of some villages and towns.The investigation foun... Through two years of systematic investigation,it was found that Corythucha ciliata occurred in the main streets of Guangde City and spread rapidly to roads and streets of some villages and towns.The investigation found that C.ciliata could harm indigenous tree species such as Broussonetia papyrifera,and could also quickly occupy the living space of thrips,the original leaf pest of local Platanus acerifolia.Literature review also suggested that the pest would also be a potential threat to indigenous tree species,such as Rhododendron simsii Planch,Prunus cerasifera Ehrhar,etc.Guangde City,located in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River,was sunny,hot and dry in summer from 2021 to 2022.However,C.ciliata had no obvious diapause habits in summer,with strong adaptability.It was easy to control C.ciliata,but was difficult to eradicate the pest.According to the risk analysis index system of dangerous forest pests,the risk value of C.ciliata was determined as R=1.80,belonging to moderately dangerous pest in Guangde.Through quarantine,publicity,winter and summer management measures,the occurrence of C.ciliata was controlled to a certain extent,and the harm and transmission risk of the pest were reduced. 展开更多
关键词 Corythucha ciliata ADAPTABILITY risk analysis management Guangde
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Sources of Farm Risk and Management Strategies among Cowpea(Vigna unguiculata SSP)Producers in North East Nigeria
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作者 RABIU Mohammed Sani MOSES Joseph 《Journal of Agricultural Science and Technology(A)》 2023年第1期30-39,共10页
The study identified sources of farm risks and management strategies used among cowpea producers in North East,Nigeria.Data were collected using structured questionnaires from 595 cowpea producers.Multi-stage sampling... The study identified sources of farm risks and management strategies used among cowpea producers in North East,Nigeria.Data were collected using structured questionnaires from 595 cowpea producers.Multi-stage sampling procedure was used to select cowpea producers for the study.In the first stage purposive sampling was used to select three(3)states from the six(6)states in the region and these states include Adamawa,Bauchi and Gombe States.From these selected states two(2)local governments each were selected based on apriory information on cowpea production from the state Agricultural Development Programs(ADPs)and analysed using descriptive statistics,Likert scale and multiple regression model.The result revealed that,pest and diseases emerged as the common source of production risk at 74%.Also,uncertainty from product price 66%was a major source of marketing risk.Furthermore,inadequate credit was an important financial risk at 54%and lack of cooperative 51%were major sources of both financial and institutional risks.The valid management strategies used in mitigating/coping among cowpea producers were livestock production to complement income,sales of produce,engagement in other jobs/activities,access to ADP’s extension agent among others.Therefore,cowpea production is affected by production/environmental risk,marketing risk,financial risk,institutional risk and human/personnel risk and exhibited risk aversion attitude.The study recommends strategy of developing early varieties,disease resistant crops and products that are resistant to pest both in the farm and storage to raise the productivity of cowpea.Also,cowpea producers’cooperatives should be strengthened with priority given enlightened/educating members,create strong bargaining power for farm products as well as accessing credit facilities.Similarly,inputs such as fertilizers and certified improved high-quality seeds are available and accessible to cowpea producers to increase production and reduce risks. 展开更多
关键词 SOURCES FARM risks management bauchi NIGERIA
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Exploring the impacts of major events on the systemic risk of the international energy market
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作者 Ming-Tao Zhao Su-Wan Lu Lian-Biao Cui 《Petroleum Science》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第2期1444-1457,共14页
This study examines the systemic risk caused by major events in the international energy market(IEM)and proposes a management strategy to mitigate it. Using the tail-event driven network(TENET)method, this study const... This study examines the systemic risk caused by major events in the international energy market(IEM)and proposes a management strategy to mitigate it. Using the tail-event driven network(TENET)method, this study constructed a tail-risk spillover network(TRSN) of IEM and simulated the dynamic spillover tail-risk process through the cascading failure mechanism. The study found that renewable energy markets contributed more to systemic risk during the Paris Agreement and the COVID-19pandemic, while fossil energy markets played a larger role during the Russia-Ukraine conflict. This study identifies systemically important markets(SM) and critical tail-risk spillover paths as potential sources of systemic risk. The research confirms that cutting off the IEM risk spillover path can greatly reduce systemic risk and the influence of SM. This study offers insights into the management of systemic risk in IEM and provides policy recommendations to reduce the impact of shock events. 展开更多
关键词 International energy market Tail-risk spillover Cascading failure mechanism Systemic risk management
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Significant risk factors for intensive care unit-acquired weakness:A processing strategy based on repeated machine learning 被引量:5
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作者 Ling Wang Deng-Yan Long 《World Journal of Clinical Cases》 SCIE 2024年第7期1235-1242,共8页
BACKGROUND Intensive care unit-acquired weakness(ICU-AW)is a common complication that significantly impacts the patient's recovery process,even leading to adverse outcomes.Currently,there is a lack of effective pr... BACKGROUND Intensive care unit-acquired weakness(ICU-AW)is a common complication that significantly impacts the patient's recovery process,even leading to adverse outcomes.Currently,there is a lack of effective preventive measures.AIM To identify significant risk factors for ICU-AW through iterative machine learning techniques and offer recommendations for its prevention and treatment.METHODS Patients were categorized into ICU-AW and non-ICU-AW groups on the 14th day post-ICU admission.Relevant data from the initial 14 d of ICU stay,such as age,comorbidities,sedative dosage,vasopressor dosage,duration of mechanical ventilation,length of ICU stay,and rehabilitation therapy,were gathered.The relationships between these variables and ICU-AW were examined.Utilizing iterative machine learning techniques,a multilayer perceptron neural network model was developed,and its predictive performance for ICU-AW was assessed using the receiver operating characteristic curve.RESULTS Within the ICU-AW group,age,duration of mechanical ventilation,lorazepam dosage,adrenaline dosage,and length of ICU stay were significantly higher than in the non-ICU-AW group.Additionally,sepsis,multiple organ dysfunction syndrome,hypoalbuminemia,acute heart failure,respiratory failure,acute kidney injury,anemia,stress-related gastrointestinal bleeding,shock,hypertension,coronary artery disease,malignant tumors,and rehabilitation therapy ratios were significantly higher in the ICU-AW group,demonstrating statistical significance.The most influential factors contributing to ICU-AW were identified as the length of ICU stay(100.0%)and the duration of mechanical ventilation(54.9%).The neural network model predicted ICU-AW with an area under the curve of 0.941,sensitivity of 92.2%,and specificity of 82.7%.CONCLUSION The main factors influencing ICU-AW are the length of ICU stay and the duration of mechanical ventilation.A primary preventive strategy,when feasible,involves minimizing both ICU stay and mechanical ventilation duration. 展开更多
关键词 Intensive care unit-acquired weakness risk factors Machine learning PREVENTION Strategies
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Risk Assessment of Deep-Water Horizontal X-Tree Installation 被引量:1
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作者 MENG Wen-bo FU Guang-ming +3 位作者 HUANG Yi LIU Shu-jie HUANG Liang GAOYong-hai 《China Ocean Engineering》 SCIE EI CSCD 2024年第2期210-220,共11页
Due to the high potential risk and many influencing factors of subsea horizontal X-tree installation,to guarantee the successful completion of sea trials of domestic subsea horizontal X-trees,this paper established a ... Due to the high potential risk and many influencing factors of subsea horizontal X-tree installation,to guarantee the successful completion of sea trials of domestic subsea horizontal X-trees,this paper established a modular risk evaluation model based on a fuzzy fault tree.First,through the analysis of the main process oftree down and combining the Offshore&Onshore Reliability Data(OREDA)failure statistics and the operation procedure and the data provided by the job,the fault tree model of risk analysis of the tree down installation was established.Then,by introducing the natural language of expert comprehensive evaluation and combining fuzzy principles,quantitative analysis was carried out,and the fuzzy number was used to calculate the failure probability of a basic event and the occurrence probability of a top event.Finally,through a sensitivity analysis of basic events,the basic events of top events significantly affected were determined,and risk control and prevention measures for the corresponding high-risk factors were proposed for subsea horizontal X-tree down installation. 展开更多
关键词 subsea horizontal X-tree risk assessment fuzzy fault tree modular risk evaluation model
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