Introduction: The incidence of twin pregnancies has increased significantly in recent decades. These pregnancies require more attention due to their worse outcomes than singleton pregnancies. Objective: To analyze the...Introduction: The incidence of twin pregnancies has increased significantly in recent decades. These pregnancies require more attention due to their worse outcomes than singleton pregnancies. Objective: To analyze the characteristics and perinatal outcomes of twin pregnancies at the Caxias do Sul General Hospital. Methods: This is a descriptive and retrospective study that included all births related to twin pregnancies between March 1998 and June 2018. Maternal and perinatal variables were analyzed. Descriptive analyses were carried out using measures of central tendency and dispersion for continuous variables (mean and standard deviation or median and interquartile range), according to a prior assessment of distribution using the Shapiro-Wilk test, and absolute (n) and relative (n%) frequencies for categorical variables. Results: 172 pairs of twins/21,972 births (0.8%) were identified. There was a high percentage of interpartum interval of less than 12 months, adherence and prenatal visits, body mass index, and need for neonatal intensive care. Stillbirth and neomortality rates were within acceptable parameters. Conclusion: The sample studied showed a percentage similar to that in the literature, a high rate of maternal and perinatal complications, characterizing it as a high-risk fetal pregnancy.展开更多
Objective To explore the relevant risk factors of tramatic arthritis resulting from the surgery of acetabular fractures. Methods From January 2000 to January 2009,88 patients aged from 20 to 60 years old with acetabul...Objective To explore the relevant risk factors of tramatic arthritis resulting from the surgery of acetabular fractures. Methods From January 2000 to January 2009,88 patients aged from 20 to 60 years old with acetabular fractures展开更多
The paper articulates the need for a paradigm shift in defining the basis of what constitutes a disaster. This new framework must be sensitive to the need for a more theoretical approach to inform disaster and hazard ...The paper articulates the need for a paradigm shift in defining the basis of what constitutes a disaster. This new framework must be sensitive to the need for a more theoretical approach to inform disaster and hazard management. Central to this is that the resulting approach cannot be muddled in linear rational and procedural doctrines but appreciate the dynamics of complex nonlinearity of disaster events. By engaging in thought experiment and critical analysis of existing literature, the paper deconstructs the normative paradigm of defining disaster. The end is to inform disaster management and risk reduction intervention and mitigation programmes. The presented alternative approach is sensitive of the need to equally include;spatial, political, social, parameters. These are appreciated as being equally important as those dealing with ecological and economic. The resulting not only include other elements, but also expands the definition to the complex conditions inherent in the origin of phenomena to the interaction of the phenomena with multiple and complex socio-spatial and demographic dynamics, and then appreciating the complex results of this nonlinear interaction. The need for a more substantive definition of disaster underlines the pre-analysis that is necessary for implementation of mitigation and prevention strategies. That disasters are becoming more complex is synonymous with the complexities inherent in post-war development dynamics.展开更多
Compound Poisson risk model has been simulated. It has started with exponential claim sizes. The simulations have checked for infinite ruin probabilities. An appropriate time window has been chosen to estimate and com...Compound Poisson risk model has been simulated. It has started with exponential claim sizes. The simulations have checked for infinite ruin probabilities. An appropriate time window has been chosen to estimate and compare ruin probabilities. The infinite ruin probabilities of two-compound Poisson risk process have estimated and compared them with standard theoretical results.展开更多
目的:探讨原发性肝癌患者预后的危险因素,为该病患者的临床诊疗和预后判断提供科学依据。方法:以2018年监测、流行病学和结果(Surveillance,Epidemiology,and End Results,SEER)数据库原发性肝癌患者作为研究对象,收集人口学资料、临床...目的:探讨原发性肝癌患者预后的危险因素,为该病患者的临床诊疗和预后判断提供科学依据。方法:以2018年监测、流行病学和结果(Surveillance,Epidemiology,and End Results,SEER)数据库原发性肝癌患者作为研究对象,收集人口学资料、临床指标和预后随访信息,运用单因素和多因素logistic回归分析影响患者术后生存的危险因素。采用一致性指数评价模型的预测能力,构建受试者工作特征曲线分析预测模型的效能。采用绘制森林图的方法对不同分期下肝癌患者的治疗方式进行分析。结果:该研究共收集2018年原发性肝癌患者1750例。单因素logistic回归结果表明,肿瘤分期、淋巴结转移、远处转移、婚姻状况、放化疗及手术是影响原发性肝癌患者生存的危险因素(P<0.05);多因素logistic回归分析结果表明,肿瘤分期[T2/T3相对于T1,OR=5.142/3.390,95%CI=(3.654~7.236)(/2.327~4.939),P<0.001]、远处转移(OR=4.810,95%CI=3.384~6.839,P<0.001)、婚姻状况(OR=0.729,95%CI=0.575~0.925,P=0.009)、放疗(OR=0.361,95%CI=0.260~0.503,P<0.001)、化疗(OR=0.512,95%CI=0.381~0.687,P=0.001)以及手术(OR=0.245,95%CI=0.105~0.574,P=0.028)是影响肝癌患者生存的危险因素。将logistic回归中有意义的变量如肿瘤分期、远处转移、婚姻状况、放化疗和手术情况进行预测模型的构建,研究显示该模型一致性指数为0.786(95%CI=0.762~0.810),曲线下面积(area under the curve,AUC)为0.790(95%CI=0.764~0.812)。仅放疗这种干预方式在任何肿瘤分期的患者中都展现出了优势(P=0.003、P=0.013、P=0.003)。在未发生淋巴结转移的患者中无论哪种干预方式都会降低肝癌患者的病死率(P<0.001,P=0.001,P<0.001,P=0.004),但是在发生淋巴结转移的患者中,是否进行干预对肝癌患者的生存没有影响(P>0.05)。在未发生远处转移的患者中,仅进行放疗、化疗或化疗+放疗干预方式的患者与未进行干预的患者相比生存率更高(P<0.001,P=0.001,P<0.001,P=0.004),在发生远处转移的患者中,仅进行放疗的干预方式展现出优势(P=0.002)。结论:肿瘤分期、远处转移、婚姻状况、放化疗和手术情况是影响原发性肝癌预后的危险因素。展开更多
文摘Introduction: The incidence of twin pregnancies has increased significantly in recent decades. These pregnancies require more attention due to their worse outcomes than singleton pregnancies. Objective: To analyze the characteristics and perinatal outcomes of twin pregnancies at the Caxias do Sul General Hospital. Methods: This is a descriptive and retrospective study that included all births related to twin pregnancies between March 1998 and June 2018. Maternal and perinatal variables were analyzed. Descriptive analyses were carried out using measures of central tendency and dispersion for continuous variables (mean and standard deviation or median and interquartile range), according to a prior assessment of distribution using the Shapiro-Wilk test, and absolute (n) and relative (n%) frequencies for categorical variables. Results: 172 pairs of twins/21,972 births (0.8%) were identified. There was a high percentage of interpartum interval of less than 12 months, adherence and prenatal visits, body mass index, and need for neonatal intensive care. Stillbirth and neomortality rates were within acceptable parameters. Conclusion: The sample studied showed a percentage similar to that in the literature, a high rate of maternal and perinatal complications, characterizing it as a high-risk fetal pregnancy.
文摘Objective To explore the relevant risk factors of tramatic arthritis resulting from the surgery of acetabular fractures. Methods From January 2000 to January 2009,88 patients aged from 20 to 60 years old with acetabular fractures
文摘The paper articulates the need for a paradigm shift in defining the basis of what constitutes a disaster. This new framework must be sensitive to the need for a more theoretical approach to inform disaster and hazard management. Central to this is that the resulting approach cannot be muddled in linear rational and procedural doctrines but appreciate the dynamics of complex nonlinearity of disaster events. By engaging in thought experiment and critical analysis of existing literature, the paper deconstructs the normative paradigm of defining disaster. The end is to inform disaster management and risk reduction intervention and mitigation programmes. The presented alternative approach is sensitive of the need to equally include;spatial, political, social, parameters. These are appreciated as being equally important as those dealing with ecological and economic. The resulting not only include other elements, but also expands the definition to the complex conditions inherent in the origin of phenomena to the interaction of the phenomena with multiple and complex socio-spatial and demographic dynamics, and then appreciating the complex results of this nonlinear interaction. The need for a more substantive definition of disaster underlines the pre-analysis that is necessary for implementation of mitigation and prevention strategies. That disasters are becoming more complex is synonymous with the complexities inherent in post-war development dynamics.
文摘Compound Poisson risk model has been simulated. It has started with exponential claim sizes. The simulations have checked for infinite ruin probabilities. An appropriate time window has been chosen to estimate and compare ruin probabilities. The infinite ruin probabilities of two-compound Poisson risk process have estimated and compared them with standard theoretical results.
文摘目的:探讨原发性肝癌患者预后的危险因素,为该病患者的临床诊疗和预后判断提供科学依据。方法:以2018年监测、流行病学和结果(Surveillance,Epidemiology,and End Results,SEER)数据库原发性肝癌患者作为研究对象,收集人口学资料、临床指标和预后随访信息,运用单因素和多因素logistic回归分析影响患者术后生存的危险因素。采用一致性指数评价模型的预测能力,构建受试者工作特征曲线分析预测模型的效能。采用绘制森林图的方法对不同分期下肝癌患者的治疗方式进行分析。结果:该研究共收集2018年原发性肝癌患者1750例。单因素logistic回归结果表明,肿瘤分期、淋巴结转移、远处转移、婚姻状况、放化疗及手术是影响原发性肝癌患者生存的危险因素(P<0.05);多因素logistic回归分析结果表明,肿瘤分期[T2/T3相对于T1,OR=5.142/3.390,95%CI=(3.654~7.236)(/2.327~4.939),P<0.001]、远处转移(OR=4.810,95%CI=3.384~6.839,P<0.001)、婚姻状况(OR=0.729,95%CI=0.575~0.925,P=0.009)、放疗(OR=0.361,95%CI=0.260~0.503,P<0.001)、化疗(OR=0.512,95%CI=0.381~0.687,P=0.001)以及手术(OR=0.245,95%CI=0.105~0.574,P=0.028)是影响肝癌患者生存的危险因素。将logistic回归中有意义的变量如肿瘤分期、远处转移、婚姻状况、放化疗和手术情况进行预测模型的构建,研究显示该模型一致性指数为0.786(95%CI=0.762~0.810),曲线下面积(area under the curve,AUC)为0.790(95%CI=0.764~0.812)。仅放疗这种干预方式在任何肿瘤分期的患者中都展现出了优势(P=0.003、P=0.013、P=0.003)。在未发生淋巴结转移的患者中无论哪种干预方式都会降低肝癌患者的病死率(P<0.001,P=0.001,P<0.001,P=0.004),但是在发生淋巴结转移的患者中,是否进行干预对肝癌患者的生存没有影响(P>0.05)。在未发生远处转移的患者中,仅进行放疗、化疗或化疗+放疗干预方式的患者与未进行干预的患者相比生存率更高(P<0.001,P=0.001,P<0.001,P=0.004),在发生远处转移的患者中,仅进行放疗的干预方式展现出优势(P=0.002)。结论:肿瘤分期、远处转移、婚姻状况、放化疗和手术情况是影响原发性肝癌预后的危险因素。
