Development of a Sports Safety Promotion Framework Based on KABP Theory and 4M Management

This study explores the significance,current research landscape,and conceptualization of sports safety promotion.Safety in sports is fundamental to youth physical activities,and an excessive focus on or neglect of safety is unwarranted.Globally,numerous countries have extensively researched sports safety promotion and implemented diverse strategies.Drawing from KABP(Knowledge,Attitude,Behavior,Practice)theory and 4M(Man,Machine,Medium,Management)management,this paper presents a conceptual framework for sports safety promotion.It integrates these theories to devise a comprehensive accident prevention model within a sports safety promotion system.The framework prioritizes enhancing students’safety literacy and underscores the practical application of safety knowledge and skills in simulated sports settings following structured safety education.It aims to enhance students’competency and proficiency in averting sports-related injuries.

Safety thickness analysis of tunnel floor in karst region based on catastrophe theory

Based on the tunnel shape, span and depth, the previous elliptical plate model and clamped beam model were modified.The modified model was applied to different situations. For the elliptical plate model, the water effects were considered. For the clamped beam model, water and horizontal stress were considered. Corresponding potential functions and cusp catastrophe models of rock system were established based on the catastrophe theory. The expressions of critical safety thickness were derived with necessary and sufficient conditions. The method was applied to the practical engineering. Some parameters related to the stability were discussed. The results show that elastic modulus and thickness are advantageous to the floor stability, and that the load, span,horizontal stress and water are disadvantageous to the floor stability.

Research on the Risk Associated with Rural Drinking Water Safety Based on Catastrophe Theory

In this study, based on the analysis of the catastrophic risk of rural drinking water, with the representative villages in Ya’an as study objects and setting the four evaluation standards: water quality, water quantity, the Guarantee Probability for water Supply and the Convenience Level of the Access to Water Supply as the ba- sic framework, a Rural Drinking Water Safety Assessment was developed (RDWSA). Research showed that Catastrophe Theory was applicable in the RDWSA. Adding RDWSA based on Catastrophe Theory to the supportive system for decision-making in Ecological Hydrographic Management Decision Support System of Ya’an helped obtain the rank and results of RDWSE by the automatic calculation of programs, which could assist the risk assessment and risk management associated with rural drinking water in Ya’an.

Establishing Patient Safety in Intensive Care—A Grounded Theory

Background: The modern intensive care unit (ICU) is a complex and high-risk environment, and even small adverse events and changes may deteriorate the patient’s conditions and eventually cause harm. Many factors can potentially be associated within an increased amount of errors, leading to adverse events. Nurses, nurse managers, and other leaders all play important roles in establishing patient safety. Aim: This study aimed to obtain a deeper understanding of leaders’ and nurses’ main concerns in establishing patient safety in Swedish intensive care units. Method: A grounded theory methodology was used. Data from 15 interviews with leaders and nurses involved in critical care in Sweden were collected, analysed and constant compared. Findings: The main concern in establishing patient safety was promoting quality of care, work engagement, and staffs well-being in strained ICUs. The core category building trust explained how the leaders’ and nurses’ strove for quality of care and wished a healthy, safe work environment. This is further explained in the categories “Being an accessible and able leader”, “Creating knowledge and understanding”, and “Establishing collaborative practice”. Conclusion: Establishing patient safety in the ICU requires that staffs enjoy going to work, have good work relations, are committed and want to stay at the unit. A healthy, salutogenetic unit with a work environment marked by trust provides a better opportunity to establish patient safety, and various leaders have potential to achieve this.

基于集成因子优选算法的面板堆石坝变形预测模型

面板堆石坝变形主要受外部荷载和内部材料蠕变影响,而影响因子过多会造成特征冗余,引起预测精度过拟合问题;因子过少导致信息表达不全,造成预测效果差,模型泛化能力不足等问题.因此构建涵盖面广,可解释性强的因子集并从中优选格外重要.针对上述问题,文中提出基于集成因子优选算法的面板堆石坝变形预测模型,使用ReliefF与沙普利加性解释(SHAP)算法通过权重集成获得因子贡献值排序,再分析因子累计贡献率差量阈值剔除非关键因子,获得关键因子.以新疆某混凝土面板堆石坝为例,以特征缩减率FRR、归一化平均绝对百分比误差nMAPE、平均绝对误差MAE、均方误差MSE以及决定系数R^(2)为评价指标,试验结果表明文中提出的算法面对不同的预测模型都可准确地获得最佳因子,有效地提升了预测精度.相对于传统因子优选算法适应性更强,预测能力提升最显著,解决了影响因子冗余或者欠缺带来的预测能力较低的问题,提高了模型的泛化能力,为大坝安全监测研究提供了行之有效的因子优选方法.

使用合规农药能确保农产品“地头”质量安全吗?——基于豇豆农户的扎根理论分析

新的农产品质量安全法首次将小农户施药行为纳入监管范围,进一步厘清农户施药行为的影响机理与因素,有助于政府精准施策。通过对海南3个村32户农民豇豆种植过程的全程蹲点跟踪,对豇豆施药环节的参与式观察与深度访谈,运用扎根理论分析了访谈资料。研究发现:农户施药环节是一个复杂的行为选择过程,即使施用合规农药也不能确保农产品在产地的质量安全。在合规农药视角下影响农户施药行为选择的最重要因素是信息渠道,其次是农产品质量安全管理的政策强度、农产品市场价格和农村劳动用工成本。同时,邻里效应在农户施药行为选择中的作用越来越弱。在此基础上提出,要增加农户用药信息的有效供给渠道,加强农产品质量安全的全面检测,坚持为农户提供形式多样的有针对性的有效培训,增加重要食用农产品质量安全关键技术供给与推广,加强农产品“优质优价”市场建设的政策建议,并进一步指出海南自贸港建设和RECP协议实施背景下提升海南农产品质量安全水平的紧迫性。

Laws of strata energy release and corresponding safety warning system in metal mine

The strata deformation in mining area was monitored in Dabaoshan copper-iron mine,and an analytical method of strata energy release was put forward.On the basis of chaotic theory,by reconstructing the phase space for time series data of strata energy release,the saturated embedding dimension and the correlation dimension of the dynamic system were obtained to be 4 and 1.212 8,respectively,and the evolution laws of distances between phase points of strata energy release in the phase space were revealed.With grey theory,a prediction model of strata energy release was set up,the maximum error of which was less than 6.7%.The results show that there are chaotic characters in strata energy release during mining;after reconstructing phase space,the subtle changing characteristics of energy release can be magnified,and the internal rules can be fully demonstrated.According to the laws,a warning system for strata stability in mining area was established to provide a technical safeguard for safe mining.

基于博弈论-可拓云模型的养老机构消防安全韧性评估

为评估养老机构消防安全韧性水平,首次系统构建了由4个一级指标、25个二级指标组成的养老机构消防安全韧性评估指标体系。其后运用博弈论理论,综合了分别以G1法和CRITIC法计算的指标权重,构建了养老机构消防安全韧性博弈论-可拓云评估模型。最后,应用该评估指标体系和模型实证研究了西安市某养老机构的消防安全韧性,得出其消防安全韧性等级为Ⅲ级(较高韧性),通过了可信度评价,且其结果与基于博弈论-物元可拓模型评估结果一致,表明该评估体系的适用性和有效可靠性,研究结果可为养老机构消防安全韧性评估提供一种新方法。

基于WSR-TSS理论的高校涉化实验室安全评估与分析

开展涉化实验室安全管理的系统性评估与分析是高校实验室有序运行的前提与保障。该文首先基于WSR理论框架,从物理属性、事务逻辑及人性因素三个维度出发,构建实验室安全风险识别体系,奠定风险评估的基础;然后运用TSS理论构建二维及三维风险情景模型,模拟实验室事故可能发生的多维度风险因素;最后通过实证分析与问卷调查,量化了风险因素的发生概率,绘制了二维及三维风险情景概率热图,识别出涉化实验室主要风险源。为验证这一风险评估模型的有效性与实用性,该文以反应釜爆炸事故为例进行分析,结果表明WSR-TSS综合分析为高校涉化实验室的安全管理工作提供了科学的指导与借鉴。

食品安全治理的嵌入式协作何以实现:基于Z农业企业的案例研究

中国食品安全治理的多主体特征越来越显著,除了政府部门及政府授权的第三方认证机构等,各种类型的生产者和消费者发挥着日益重要的作用。社区支持农业(CSA)通过经济嵌入社会的形式推动食品安全治理,是非政府主体融入农业食品系统多元治理模式的实践案例。本文以Z农业企业为例,在嵌入性理论指导下,构建了CSA多维度嵌入推动食品安全治理的分析框架,从制度嵌入、关系嵌入、文化嵌入、认知嵌入四个方面厘清CSA推动食品安全治理的内在逻辑及作用机制。研究表明:双重认证制度的保障机制、社会关系信任机制、文化柔性约束机制、认知引导激励机制、社会共治多要素互动机制共同作用于生产者和消费者对食品质量保障的认知和行动,为有效的食品安全治理提供可选路径。CSA协作的有效性与“适合交叉”的认证制度策略选择、“恰当有度”的社会关系网络建立密切相关,一方面可以成为推行农产品质量认证制度的借鉴,另一方面呈现出生产者与消费者之间维系信任的多种方法。

基于证据的熔融金属作业Safety Case方法

为定量表征熔融金属作业安全状态,采用Safety Case,GSN方法,对熔融金属作业影响因素、生产周期、作业区段等进行安全性分析,构建1种基于证据的熔融金属作业Safety Case方法框架;在此基础上,基于证据理论,构建安全论证数学模型,提出熔融金属作业Safety Case方法。最后,以某熔融金属作业系统为实例,对其安全状态进行论证,得出该熔融金属作业系统安全状态量值及安全状态。结果表明该方法在熔融金属作业安全论证方面具有一定的可行性与有效性,可为熔融金属作业安全论证提供思路与方法。

Aviation Accident Causation Analysis Based on Complex Network Theory

Accident causation analysis is of great importance for accident prevention.In order to improve the aviation safety,a new analysis method of aviation accident causation based on complex network theory is proposed in this paper.Through selecting 257 accident investigation reports,45 causative factors and nine accident types are obtained by the three-level coding process of the grounded theory,and the interaction of these factors is analyzed based on the“2-4”model.Accordingly,the aviation accident causation network is constructed based on complex network theory which has scale-free characteristics and small-world properties,the characteristics of causative factors are analyzed by the topology of the network,and the key causative factors of the accidents are identified by the technique for order of preference by similarity to ideal solution(TOPSIS)method.The comparison results show that the method proposed in this paper has the advantages of independent of expert experience,quantitative analysis of accident causative factors and statistical analysis of a lot of accident data,and it has better applicability and advancement.

Flight Safety System Evaluation and Optimal Linear Prediction

The complexity of flight safety system is usually affected by a variety of uncertainties.The uncertainty of overall security situation of flight safety system are hardly determined.In this work,flight safety assessment index system is firstly established based on software hardware environment liveware management(SHELM)model.And flight safety assessment is also carried out with matter-element theory algorithm to obtain safety state.According to correlation degree values of each evaluation index,key indexes affected flight safety are obtained.Under the assumption that the flight safety system is a linear dynamic system and combining the above evaluation analysis,Kalman filter algorithm is used to carry out prediction analysis on security situation.A simulation analysis is carried out based on an actual flight safety situation of an airline.The results show that the security state of airline flight safety system in a short period of time can be obtained,and main factors affecting flight safety are found out.This provides a viable way for airlines to further strengthen flight safety management.

Risk management modeling and its application in maritime safety

Quantified risk assessment(QRA) needs mathematicization of risk theory.However,attention has been paid almost exclusively to applications of assessment methods,which has led to neglect of research into fundamental theories,such as the relationships among risk,safety,danger,and so on.In order to solve this problem,as a first step,fundamental theoretical relationships about risk and risk management were analyzed for this paper in the light of mathematics,and then illustrated with some charts.Second,man-machine-environment-management(MMEM) theory was introduced into risk theory to analyze some properties of risk.On the basis of this,a three-dimensional model of risk management was established that includes:a goal dimension;a management dimension;an operation dimension.This goal management operation(GMO) model was explained and then emphasis was laid on the discussion of the risk flowchart(operation dimension),which lays the groundwork for further study of risk management and qualitative and quantitative assessment.Next,the relationship between Formal Safety Assessment(FSA) and Risk Management was researched.This revealed that the FSA method,which the international maritime organization(IMO) is actively spreading,comes from Risk Management theory.Finally,conclusion were made about how to apply this risk management method to concrete fields efficiently and conveniently,as well as areas where further research is required.

STUDY ON VARIATION OF SETTING AND STOPPING PRESSURES OF SAFETY VALVE WITH STRUCTURAL MODIFICATION

The possibility of pressure control with the structural change of a safety valve is investigated Safety valve is commonly used as safety devices for numerous applications which include boilers,ships,industrial plants,and piping Setting and stopping pressures of a safety valve, p set and p sto ,are traditionally adjusted with a fine tuning of seat ring and valve ring heights, h sr and h vr However, it is not easy to achieve the proper setting and stopping pressures of a safety valve in practice The depth of inside and outside grooves in a valve, d i and d o are modified and their effects on setting and stopping pressures of a safety vlave are tested The most appropriate values appear 1 0 mm in d i and 0 5～1 0 mm in d o,respectively The valve ring height, h vr ,shows that the best results can be achieved at 2 3 mm for setting pressures of 0 1～0 4 MPa and 1 0 mm for setting pressures of 0 5～1 0 MPa The stopping pressures increases with the increase of seat ring height, h sr , upto certain h sr value and then becomes independent to the seat ring height This implies that there exists the optimum h sr ,which provides the largest flow rate and the proper stopping pressure Stopping pressures of a safety valve are adjusted with the seat ring and valve ring heights This study,however,demonstrated that the modification of value grooves also changes setting and stopping pressures of a safety valve Therefore,the proper selection in dimensions of the inside and outside grooves should be considered for the safety valve design

Using self-determination theory to identify organizational interventions to support coal mineworkers’ dust-reducing practices

Advancing the application of safety and health(S&H)technologies is likely to remain a value in the mining industry.However,any information that technologies generate must be translated from the organization to the workforce in a targeted way to result in sustainable change.Using a case study approach with continuous personal dust monitors(CPDMs),this paper argues for an organizational focus on technology integration.Although CPDMs provide mineworkers with near real-time feedback about their respirable coal dust exposure,they do not ensure that workers or the organization will continuously use the information to learn about and reduce exposure sources.This study used self-determination theory(SDT)to help three mines manage and communicate about information learned from the CPDM technology.Specifically,35 mineworkers participated in two mixed-method data collection efforts to discuss why they do or do not use CPDMs to engage in dust-reducing practices.Subsequently,the data was analyzed to better understand how organizations can improve the integration of technology through their management systems.Results indicate that using the CPDM to reduce sources of dust exposure is consistent with mineworkers’self-values to protect their health and not necessarily because of compliance to a manager or mine.

Safety of barricades in cemented paste-backfilled stopes

In underground mining,there has been an increasing use of"cemented paste"for the backfilling of stopes.As this cemented paste backfill(CPB)enters the stope as a fluid,shotcrete barricades are often used to retain the fill material during and after the filling operations.However,failures of barricades have been reported around the world in recent years.This paper presents an analytical solution based on the elastic thin plate theory for calibrating the design of shotcrete barricades in underground mines using CPB.This solution was used to determine the quantitative relationships between the lateral loading from the paste and the barricade response during the backfilling process.The results show that the proposed solution agrees well with in situ data.According to the actual barricade responses,the acceptable tensile stress and an analysis method of cracks development are proposed.The proposed solution has practical significance for underground mines.

Fluid–solid coupling analysis of rock pillar stability for concealed karst cave ahead of a roadway based on catastrophic theory

In order to study the mechanism of water inrush from a concealed, confined karst cave, we established a fluid–solid coupling model of water inrush from a concealed karst cave ahead of a roadway and a strength reduction method in a rock pillar for preventing water inrush based on catastrophic theory. Fluid–solid coupling effects and safety margins in a rock pillar were studied. Analysis shows that rock pillar instability, exerted by disturbance stress and seepage stress, is the process of rock pillar catastrophic destabilization induced by nonlinear extension of plastic zones in the rock pillar. Seepage flow emerges in the rock pillar for preventing water inrush, accompanied by mechanical instability of the rock pillar. Taking the accident of a confined karst cave water-inrush of Qiyi Mine as an example, by studying the safety factor of the rock pillar and the relationship between karst cave water pressure and thickness of the rock pillar,it is proposed that rock pillar thickness with a safety factor equal to 1.5 is regarded as the calculated safety thickness of the rock pillar, which should be equal to the sum of the blasthole depth, blasting disturbance depth and the calculated safety thickness of the rock pillar. The cause of the karst water inrush at Qiyi Mine is that the rock pillar was so small that it did not possess a safety margin. Combining fluid–solid coupling theory, catastrophic theory and strength reduction method to study the nonlinear mechanical response of complicated rock engineering, new avenues for quantitative analysis of rock engineering stability evaluation should be forthcoming.

Destabilization analysis of overlapping underground chambers induced by blasting vibration with catastrophe theory

According to the main characters of overlapping underground chambers, the roof (floor) of two adjacent underground chambers is simplified to the mechanical model that is the beam with build-in ends. And vibration load due to blasting is simplified to harmonic wave. The catastrophic model of double cusp for underground chambers destabilization induced by blasting vibration has been established under the circumstances of considering deadweight of the beam, and the condition of destabilization has been worked out. The critical safety thickness of the roof (floor) of underground chambers has been confirmed according to the destabilization condition. The influence of amplitude and frequency of blasting vibration load on the critical safety thickness has been analyzed, and the quantitative relation between velocity, frequency of blasting vibration and critical safety thickness has been determined. Research results show that the destabilization of underground chambers is not only dependent on the amplitude and frequency of blasting vibration load, but also related to deadweight load and intrinsic attribute. It is accordant to testing results and some related latest research results of blasting seismic effect. With increasing amplitude, the critical safety thickness of underground chambers decreases gradually. And the possibility of underground chambers destabilization increases. When the frequency of blasting vibration is equal to or very close to the frequency of beam, resonance effect will take place in the system. Then the critical safety thickness will turn to zero, underground chambers will be damaged severely, and its loading capacity will lose on the whole.

The Research on Safety Evaluation of High-pile Wharf Structure

Due to a combination of the sea erosion,the ship collision,the change of ground condition,the effect of alternative static and dynamic load and the material deterioration,the structure of high-pile wharf is easily damaged.Once the structure of high-pile wharf destroyed,it is bound to be a great threat to the safety of various facilities and personnel in the port.Given all of that,the multi-level comprehensive evaluation method based on the extension theory is proposed in this paper.Using this method to assess the safety of high-pile wharf structure,the reasonable advice on its maintenance and reinforcement can be given in time.What’s more,the method is simple and can give more objective result of the evaluation.