Traditional intercept probability model has some drawbacks and can not meet the demands of command and control system. Aiming at this problem, a new calculation method based on search theory, terminal control area dis...Traditional intercept probability model has some drawbacks and can not meet the demands of command and control system. Aiming at this problem, a new calculation method based on search theory, terminal control area distribution function of anti-ship missile, target distribution function and missile's radar scan feature is proposed. Under the condition of common target distribution, an intercept probability model for present point attacking is determined. The simulation verifies its effectiveness and establishes the selecting model for aiming point when enemy ships evade in high speed.展开更多
Suppose that a moving target moves randomly between two sites and its movement is modeled by a homogeneous Markov chain. We consider three classical problems： （1） what kind of strategies are valid？ （2） what stra...Suppose that a moving target moves randomly between two sites and its movement is modeled by a homogeneous Markov chain. We consider three classical problems： （1） what kind of strategies are valid？ （2） what strategy is the optimal？ （3） what is the infimum of expected numbers of looks needed to detect the target？ Problem （3） is thoroughly solved, and some partial solutions to problems （1） and （2） are achieved.展开更多
The FCSE controlling equation of pinned thinwalled curve box was derived and the indeterminate problem of continuous thin-walled curve box with diaphragm was solved based on flexibility theory. With Bayesian statistic...The FCSE controlling equation of pinned thinwalled curve box was derived and the indeterminate problem of continuous thin-walled curve box with diaphragm was solved based on flexibility theory. With Bayesian statistical theory,dynamic Bayesian error function of displacement parameters of indeterminate curve box was founded. The corresponding formulas of dynamic Bayesian expectation and variance were deduced. Combined with one-dimensional Fibonacci automatic search scheme of optimal step size,the Powell optimization theory was utilized to research the stochastic identification of displacement parameters of indeterminate thin-walled curve box. Then the identification steps were presented in detail and the corresponding calculation procedure was compiled. Through some classic examples,it is obtained that stochastic performances of systematic parameters and systematic responses are simultaneously deliberated in dynamic Bayesian error function. The one-dimensional optimization problem of the optimal step size is solved by adopting Fibonacci search method. And the Powell identification of displacement parameters of indeterminate thin-walled curve box has satisfied numerical stability and convergence,which demonstrates that the presented method and the compiled procedure are correct and reliable.During parameters鈥？iterative processes,the Powell theory is irrelevant with the calculation of finite curve strip element（FCSE） partial differentiation,which proves high computation effciency of the studied method.展开更多
文摘Traditional intercept probability model has some drawbacks and can not meet the demands of command and control system. Aiming at this problem, a new calculation method based on search theory, terminal control area distribution function of anti-ship missile, target distribution function and missile's radar scan feature is proposed. Under the condition of common target distribution, an intercept probability model for present point attacking is determined. The simulation verifies its effectiveness and establishes the selecting model for aiming point when enemy ships evade in high speed.
文摘Suppose that a moving target moves randomly between two sites and its movement is modeled by a homogeneous Markov chain. We consider three classical problems： （1） what kind of strategies are valid？ （2） what strategy is the optimal？ （3） what is the infimum of expected numbers of looks needed to detect the target？ Problem （3） is thoroughly solved, and some partial solutions to problems （1） and （2） are achieved.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (10472045, 10772078 and 11072108)the Science Foundation of NUAA(S0851-013)
文摘The FCSE controlling equation of pinned thinwalled curve box was derived and the indeterminate problem of continuous thin-walled curve box with diaphragm was solved based on flexibility theory. With Bayesian statistical theory,dynamic Bayesian error function of displacement parameters of indeterminate curve box was founded. The corresponding formulas of dynamic Bayesian expectation and variance were deduced. Combined with one-dimensional Fibonacci automatic search scheme of optimal step size,the Powell optimization theory was utilized to research the stochastic identification of displacement parameters of indeterminate thin-walled curve box. Then the identification steps were presented in detail and the corresponding calculation procedure was compiled. Through some classic examples,it is obtained that stochastic performances of systematic parameters and systematic responses are simultaneously deliberated in dynamic Bayesian error function. The one-dimensional optimization problem of the optimal step size is solved by adopting Fibonacci search method. And the Powell identification of displacement parameters of indeterminate thin-walled curve box has satisfied numerical stability and convergence,which demonstrates that the presented method and the compiled procedure are correct and reliable.During parameters鈥？iterative processes,the Powell theory is irrelevant with the calculation of finite curve strip element（FCSE） partial differentiation,which proves high computation effciency of the studied method.
