Shaw's method used to correlate 40 sections across the Permo-Triassic boundary in South China is applied in the paper. Two steps are adopted to get an Integral Composite Section (ICS) by synthesizing these data : ...Shaw's method used to correlate 40 sections across the Permo-Triassic boundary in South China is applied in the paper. Two steps are adopted to get an Integral Composite Section (ICS) by synthesizing these data : First , South China is divided into five areas and composite section developed for each area . Then the second step . the Changxing composite section is regarded as a composite standard (CSRS) while the ICS is produced by matching the CSRS with composite sections of the other areas. Three biozones in the Changxingian and two biozones in the Griesbachian can be discerned on the basis of computing Z values in the ICS. These biozones are marked by the Z values which quantitatively represent their time ranges ; therefore , they may increase accuracy of stratigraphic time correlation . The mass extinction at the end of the Permian is an abrupt event that is supported by the relative rate of extinction near the P/T boundary . About 90% of invertebrate species died out by the end of the Permian . The duration of the mass extinction is rather short ,approximately 0.018Ma .展开更多
针对回声状态网络(Echo State Networks,ESNs)输入序列延迟时间(和嵌入维数D的选择以及储备池的适应性问题,利用自相关性分析法从被预测样本序列构建ESNs网络输入,并通过移动通信话务量的预测问题,采用实验分析的方法讨论了储备...针对回声状态网络(Echo State Networks,ESNs)输入序列延迟时间(和嵌入维数D的选择以及储备池的适应性问题,利用自相关性分析法从被预测样本序列构建ESNs网络输入,并通过移动通信话务量的预测问题,采用实验分析的方法讨论了储备池参数选择对于时间序列预测性能的影响.与采用ARMA和BP神经网络的预测方法相比,新方法在保证预测精度和效率的情况下,具有更好的泛化能力.展开更多
文摘Shaw's method used to correlate 40 sections across the Permo-Triassic boundary in South China is applied in the paper. Two steps are adopted to get an Integral Composite Section (ICS) by synthesizing these data : First , South China is divided into five areas and composite section developed for each area . Then the second step . the Changxing composite section is regarded as a composite standard (CSRS) while the ICS is produced by matching the CSRS with composite sections of the other areas. Three biozones in the Changxingian and two biozones in the Griesbachian can be discerned on the basis of computing Z values in the ICS. These biozones are marked by the Z values which quantitatively represent their time ranges ; therefore , they may increase accuracy of stratigraphic time correlation . The mass extinction at the end of the Permian is an abrupt event that is supported by the relative rate of extinction near the P/T boundary . About 90% of invertebrate species died out by the end of the Permian . The duration of the mass extinction is rather short ,approximately 0.018Ma .
文摘针对回声状态网络(Echo State Networks,ESNs)输入序列延迟时间(和嵌入维数D的选择以及储备池的适应性问题,利用自相关性分析法从被预测样本序列构建ESNs网络输入,并通过移动通信话务量的预测问题,采用实验分析的方法讨论了储备池参数选择对于时间序列预测性能的影响.与采用ARMA和BP神经网络的预测方法相比,新方法在保证预测精度和效率的情况下,具有更好的泛化能力.
文摘对带相关观测噪声和未知噪声统计的多传感器系统,用相关方法得到噪声统计在线估值器.在按分量标量加权线性最小方差最优信息融合准则下,用现代时间序列分析方法,基于滑动平均(moving average)新息模型的辨识,提出了自校正解耦融合Wiener预报器.用动态误差系统分析(dynamic error system analysis)方法证明了自校正融合Wiener预报器收敛于最优融合Wiener预报器,因而它具有渐近最优性.它的精度比每个局部自校正Wiener预报器精度都高.它的算法简单,便于实时应用.一个目标跟踪系统的仿真例子说明了其有效性.