Regional Economic Development Trend Prediction Method Based on Digital Twins and Time Series Network

At present,the interpretation of regional economic development(RED)has changed from a simple evaluation of economic growth to a focus on economic growth and the optimization of economic structure,the improvement of economic relations,and the change of institutional innovation.This article uses the RED trend as the research object and constructs the RED index to conduct the theoretical analysis.Then this paper uses the attention mechanism based on digital twins and the time series network model to verify the actual data.Finally,the regional economy is predicted according to the theoretical model.The specific research work mainly includes the following aspects:1)This paper introduced the development status of research on time series networks and economic forecasting at home and abroad.2)This paper introduces the basic principles and structures of long and short-term memory(LSTM)and convolutional neural network(CNN),constructs an improved CNN-LSTM model combined with the attention mechanism,and then constructs a regional economic prediction index system.3)The best parameters of the model are selected through experiments,and the trained model is used for simulation experiment prediction.The results show that the CNN-LSTM model based on the attentionmechanism proposed in this paper has high accuracy in predicting regional economies.

Intelligent Resources Management System Design in Information Centric Networking

Information centric networking(ICN) is a new network architecture that is centred on accessing content. It aims to solve some of the problems associated with IP networks, increasing content distribution capability and improving users' experience. To analyse the requests' patterns and fully utilize the universal cached contents, a novel intelligent resources management system is proposed, which enables effi cient cache resource allocation in real time, based on changing user demand patterns. The system is composed of two parts. The fi rst part is a fi ne-grain traffi c estimation algorithm called Temporal Poisson traffi c prediction(TP2) that aims at analysing the traffi c pattern(or aggregated user requests' demands) for different contents. The second part is a collaborative cache placement algorithm that is based on traffic estimated by TP2. The experimental results show that TP2 has better performance than other comparable traffi c prediction algorithms and the proposed intelligent system can increase the utilization of cache resources and improve the network capacity.

Complex Networks from Chaotic Time Series on Riemannian Manifold

Complex networks are important paradigms for analyzing the complex systems as they allow understanding the structural properties of systems composed of different interacting entities. In this work we propose a reliable method for constructing complex networks from chaotic time series. We first estimate the covariance matrices, then a geodesic-based distance between the covariance matrices is introduced. Consequently the network can be constructed on a Riemannian manifold where the nodes and edges correspond to the covariance matrix and geodesic-based distance, respectively. The proposed method provides us with an intrinsic geometry viewpoint to understand the time series.

Network autoregression model with grouped factor structures

Network autoregression and factor model are effective methods for modeling network time series data.In this study,we propose a network autoregression model with a factor structure that incorporates a latent group structure to address nodal heterogeneity within the network.An iterative algorithm is employed to minimize a least-squares objective function,allowing for simultaneous estimation of both the parameters and the group structure.To determine the unknown number of groups and factors,a PIC criterion is introduced.Additionally,statistical inference of the estimated parameters is presented.To assess the validity of the proposed estimation and inference procedures,we conduct extensive numerical studies.We also demonstrate the utility of our model using a stock dataset obtained from the Chinese A-Share stock market.

Adaptive Iterative Learning Control for Nonlinear Time-delay Systems with Periodic Disturbances Using FSE-neural Network

An adaptive iterative learning control scheme is presented for a class of strict-feedback nonlinear time-delay systems, with unknown nonlinearly parameterised and time-varying disturbed functions of known periods. Radial basis function neural network and Fourier series expansion （FSE） are combined into a new function approximator to model each suitable disturbed function in systems. The requirement of the traditional iterative learning control algorithm on the nonlinear functions （such as global Lipschitz condition） is relaxed. Furthermore, by using appropriate Lyapunov-Krasovskii functionals, all signs in the closed loop system are guaranteed to be semiglobally uniformly ultimately bounded, and the output of the system is proved to converge to the desired trajectory. A simulation example is provided to illustrate the effectiveness of the control scheme.

Inventory Management and Demand Forecasting Improvement of a Forecasting Model Based on Artificial Neural Networks

Forecasting is predicting or estimating a future event or trend.Supply chains have been constantly growing in most countries ever since the industrial revolution of the 18th century.As the competitiveness between supply chains intensifies day by day,companies are shifting their focus to predictive analytics techniques to minimize costs and boost productivity and profits.Excessive inventory(overstock)and stock outs are very significant issues for suppliers.Excessive inventory levels can lead to loss of revenue because the company's capital is tied up in excess inventory.Excess inventory can also lead to increased storage,insurance costs and labor as well as lower and degraded quality based on the nature of the product.Shortages or out of stock can lead to lost sales and a decline in customer contentment and loyalty to the store.If clients are unable to find the right products on the shelves,they may switch to another vendor or purchase alternative items.Demand forecasting is valuable for planning,scheduling and improving the coordination of all supply chain activities.This paper discusses the use of neural networks for seasonal time series forecasting.Our objective is to evaluate the contribution of the correct choice of the transfer function by proposing a new form of the transfer function to improve the quality of the forecast.

SERIES QUEUING NETWORK SCHEDULING APPROACH TO CO-SCHEDULING MODEL OF THREE GORGES-GEZHOU DAM

This paper provides a mathematical model for Three Gorges-Gezhou dam co-scheduling problem, based on full analysis of Three Corges-Gezhou dam＇s actual needs, to maximize the total throughput of Three Gorges-Cezhou dam and the utilization ratio of shiplock area and minimize the total navigation shiplock waiting time under multiple constraints. This paper proposes a series queuing network （SQN） scheduling algorithm to divide the total ships that intend to pass through the shiplocks into four queues and calculate dynamically the weight of priority for each ship. The SQN scheduling algorithm schedules ships according to their priority weights which is determined by the characteristics of each ship, such as length, width, affiliation, waiting time, and so on. In the process, the operation conditions of Gezhou dam related to the navigable shiplocks and the task balancing among different shiplocks also should be considered. The SQN algorithm schedules ships circularly and optimizes the results step by step. Real operation data from our project shows that our SQN scheduling algorithm outperforms the traditional manual scheduling in which the less computational time is taken, the area utilization ratio of the five shiplocks is increased, the waiting time of high-prioritized ships is shorten, and a better balanced and alternating run-mode is provided for the three shiplocks in the Gezhou dam.

A displacement-relay videometric method for surface subsidence surveillance in unstable areas

When measuring the surface subsidence of unstable areas such as railroad beds and large construction fields, it is not practical to always find stable positions to install measurement instruments. Yet installing those instruments in unstable positions will cause measurement errors or even the complete failure of long-term subsidence surveillance. In this paper, the innovative concept and its method of "displacement-relay videometrics" are proposed. With the method, a double-headed camera is designed, and two constraints, the "fixation constraint" and the "homologous constraint", are established to construct the displacement-relay measurement equations, which can concurrently give the subsidence of the points to be measured and the positions where the cameras are fixed. The method and its measurement system are thus capable of automatically measuring the surface subsidence under the condition that the cameras are mounted on unstable locations over long durations. Therefore, the method has the broad prospect of undertaking automatic, long-term and continuous measurement for surface subsidence in engineering projects such as railroad beds, bridges and the ground beds of tall buildings. The proposed method opens a new area that cameras can be mounted on unstable platform to make high accuracy measurements, which is of great significance for applications.

Application of Neural Network in Prediction of Radionuclide Diffusion in Receiving Water

It needs long time to predict radioactive contaminant diffusion in receiving water under accident condition by using computational fluid dynamics （CFD） model. In order to shorten the computation time, a hybrid model based on CFD and time series neural network （TSNN） is proposed in this paper. The concentration change of radioactive contamination in an inland reservoir after a postulated accident is studied as a case. The result shows that this hybrid model can predict the contaminant diffusion trend and shorten at least 50% of iteration time. Priori knowledge integrated into the neural network model is able to reduce the mean square error of network output to 9.66×10 8 , which makes neural network output more close to the simulated contaminant concentration.