This article presents a novel approach to integrate a throughput prediction model for the ball mill into short-term stochastic production scheduling in mining complexes.The datasets for the throughput prediction model...This article presents a novel approach to integrate a throughput prediction model for the ball mill into short-term stochastic production scheduling in mining complexes.The datasets for the throughput prediction model include penetration rates from blast hole drilling(measurement while drilling),geological domains,material types,rock density,and throughput rates of the operating mill,offering an accessible and cost-effective method compared to other geometallurgical programs.First,the comminution behavior of the orebody was geostatistically simulated by building additive hardness proportions from penetration rates.A regression model was constructed to predict throughput rates as a function of blended rock properties,which are informed by a material tracking approach in the mining complex.Finally,the throughput prediction model was integrated into a stochastic optimization model for short-term production scheduling.This way,common shortfalls of existing geometallurgical throughput prediction models,that typically ignore the non-additive nature of hardness and are not designed to interact with mine production scheduling,are overcome.A case study at the Tropicana Mining Complex shows that throughput can be predicted with an error less than 30 t/h and a correlation coefficient of up to 0.8.By integrating the prediction model and new stochastic components into optimization,the production schedule achieves weekly planned production reliably because scheduled materials match with the predicted performance of the mill.Comparisons to optimization using conventional mill tonnage constraints reveal that expected production shortfalls of up to 7%per period can be mitigated this way.展开更多
In this paper,we investigate the minimization of age of information(AoI),a metric that measures the information freshness,at the network edge with unreliable wireless communications.Particularly,we consider a set of u...In this paper,we investigate the minimization of age of information(AoI),a metric that measures the information freshness,at the network edge with unreliable wireless communications.Particularly,we consider a set of users transmitting status updates,which are collected by the user randomly over time,to an edge server through unreliable orthogonal channels.It begs a natural question:with random status update arrivals and obscure channel conditions,can we devise an intelligent scheduling policy that matches the users and channels to stabilize the queues of all users while minimizing the average AoI?To give an adequate answer,we define a bipartite graph and formulate a dynamic edge activation problem with stability constraints.Then,we propose an online matching while learning algorithm(MatL)and discuss its implementation for wireless scheduling.Finally,simulation results demonstrate that the MatL is reliable to learn the channel states and manage the users’buffers for fresher information at the edge.展开更多
In the electricity market,fluctuations in real-time prices are unstable,and changes in short-term load are determined by many factors.By studying the timing of charging and discharging,as well as the economic benefits...In the electricity market,fluctuations in real-time prices are unstable,and changes in short-term load are determined by many factors.By studying the timing of charging and discharging,as well as the economic benefits of energy storage in the process of participating in the power market,this paper takes energy storage scheduling as merely one factor affecting short-term power load,which affects short-term load time series along with time-of-use price,holidays,and temperature.A deep learning network is used to predict the short-term load,a convolutional neural network(CNN)is used to extract the features,and a long short-term memory(LSTM)network is used to learn the temporal characteristics of the load value,which can effectively improve prediction accuracy.Taking the load data of a certain region as an example,the CNN-LSTM prediction model is compared with the single LSTM prediction model.The experimental results show that the CNN-LSTM deep learning network with the participation of energy storage in dispatching can have high prediction accuracy for short-term power load forecasting.展开更多
Accuracy in predictions leads to better planning with a minimum of opportunity lost. In open pit mining,the complexity of operations, coupled with a highly uncertain and dynamic production environment,limit the accura...Accuracy in predictions leads to better planning with a minimum of opportunity lost. In open pit mining,the complexity of operations, coupled with a highly uncertain and dynamic production environment,limit the accuracy of predictions and force a reactive planning approach to mitigate deviations from original plans. A simulation optimization framework/tool is presented in this paper to account for uncertainties in mining operations for robust short-term production planning and proactive decision making. This framework/tool uses a discrete event simulation model of mine operations, which interacts with a goalprogramming based mine operational optimization tool to develop an uncertainty based short-term schedule. Using scenario analysis, this framework allows the planner to make proactive decisions to achieve the mine's operational and long-term objectives. This paper details the development of simulation and optimization models and presents the implementation of the framework on an iron ore mine case study for verification through scenario analysis.展开更多
Energy storage devices can effectively balance the uncertain load and significantly reduce electricity costs in the community microgrids(C-MGs) integrated with renewable energy sources. Scheduling of energy storage is...Energy storage devices can effectively balance the uncertain load and significantly reduce electricity costs in the community microgrids(C-MGs) integrated with renewable energy sources. Scheduling of energy storage is a multi-stage decision problem in which the decisions must be guaranteed to be nonanticipative and multi-stage robust(all-scenario-feasible). To satisfy these two requirements, this paper proposes a method based on a necessary and sufficient feasibility condition of scheduling decisions under the polyhedral uncertainty set. Unlike the most popular affine decision rule(ADR) based multistage robust optimization(MSRO) method, the method proposed in this paper does not require the affine decision assumption, and the feasible regions(the set of all feasible solutions) are not reduced, nor is the solution quality affected. A simple illustrative example and real-scale scheduling cases demonstrate that the proposed method can find feasible solutions when the ADR-based MSRO fails, and that it finds better solutions when both methods succeed. Comprehensive case studies for a real system are performed and the results validate the effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed method.展开更多
In this paper, we present a novel cloud-based demand side management (DSM) optimization approach for the cost reduction of energy usage in heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC) systems in residential homes ...In this paper, we present a novel cloud-based demand side management (DSM) optimization approach for the cost reduction of energy usage in heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC) systems in residential homes at the district level. The proposed approach achieves optimization through scheduling of HVAC energy usage within permissible bounds set by house users. House smart home energy management (SHEM) devices are connected to the utility/aggregator via a dedicated communication network that is used to enable DSM. Each house SHEM can predict its own HVAC energy usage for the next 24 h using minimalistic deep learning (DL) prediction models. These predictions are communicated to the aggregator, which will then do day ahead optimizations using the proposed game theory (GT) algorithm. The GT model captures the interaction between aggregator and customers and identifies a solution to the GT problem that translates into HVAC energy peak shifting and peak reduction achieved by rescheduling HVAC energy usage. The found solution is communicated by the aggregator to houses SHEM devices in the form of offers via DSM signals. If customers’ SHEM devices accept the offer, then energy cost reduction will be achieved. To validate the proposed algorithm, we conduct extensive simulations with a custom simulation tool based on GridLab-D tool, which is integrated with DL prediction models and optimization libraries. Results show that HVAC energy cost can be reduced by up to 36% while indirectly also reducing the peak-to-average (PAR) and the aggregated net load by up to 9.97%.展开更多
The battery energy storage system(BESS)is regarded as one of the most promising address operational challenges caused by distributed generations.This paper proposes a novel multi-stage sizing model for utility-scale B...The battery energy storage system(BESS)is regarded as one of the most promising address operational challenges caused by distributed generations.This paper proposes a novel multi-stage sizing model for utility-scale BESS,to optimize the BESS development strategies for distribution networks with increasing penetration levels and growth patterns of dispersed photovoltaic(PV)panels.Particularly,an integrated model is established in order to accommodate dispersed PVs in short-term operation scale while facilitating appropriate profits in long-term planning scale.Clusterwise reduction is adopted to extract the most representative operating scenarios with PVs and BESS integration,which is able to decrease the computing complexity caused by scenario redundancy.The numerical studies on IEEE 69-bus distribution system verify the feasibility of the proposed multi-stage sizing approach for the utility-scale BESS.展开更多
This paper proposes a wireless network traffic prediction model based on long-term and short-term memory cyclic neural networks.Through simulation experiments,the throughput prediction of 5G wireless networks using di...This paper proposes a wireless network traffic prediction model based on long-term and short-term memory cyclic neural networks.Through simulation experiments,the throughput prediction of 5G wireless networks using different scheduling algorithms for many different types of services is studied.The results verify that the long short-term memory prediction model has acceptable prediction accuracy and algorithm training speed,meets the needs of wireless network traffic prediction,and has a good application prospect.展开更多
基金the National Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada(NSERC)under CDR Grant CRDPJ 500414-16NSERC Discovery Grant 239019the COSMO mining industry consortium(AngloGold Ashanti,BHP,De Beers,AngloAmerican,IAMGOLD,Kinross Gold,Newmont Mining,and Vale).
文摘This article presents a novel approach to integrate a throughput prediction model for the ball mill into short-term stochastic production scheduling in mining complexes.The datasets for the throughput prediction model include penetration rates from blast hole drilling(measurement while drilling),geological domains,material types,rock density,and throughput rates of the operating mill,offering an accessible and cost-effective method compared to other geometallurgical programs.First,the comminution behavior of the orebody was geostatistically simulated by building additive hardness proportions from penetration rates.A regression model was constructed to predict throughput rates as a function of blended rock properties,which are informed by a material tracking approach in the mining complex.Finally,the throughput prediction model was integrated into a stochastic optimization model for short-term production scheduling.This way,common shortfalls of existing geometallurgical throughput prediction models,that typically ignore the non-additive nature of hardness and are not designed to interact with mine production scheduling,are overcome.A case study at the Tropicana Mining Complex shows that throughput can be predicted with an error less than 30 t/h and a correlation coefficient of up to 0.8.By integrating the prediction model and new stochastic components into optimization,the production schedule achieves weekly planned production reliably because scheduled materials match with the predicted performance of the mill.Comparisons to optimization using conventional mill tonnage constraints reveal that expected production shortfalls of up to 7%per period can be mitigated this way.
基金supported in part by Shanghai Pujiang Program under Grant No.21PJ1402600in part by Natural Science Foundation of Chongqing,China under Grant No.CSTB2022NSCQ-MSX0375+4 种基金in part by Song Shan Laboratory Foundation,under Grant No.YYJC022022007in part by Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant LGJ22F010001in part by National Key Research and Development Program of China under Grant 2020YFA0711301in part by National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant 61922049。
文摘In this paper,we investigate the minimization of age of information(AoI),a metric that measures the information freshness,at the network edge with unreliable wireless communications.Particularly,we consider a set of users transmitting status updates,which are collected by the user randomly over time,to an edge server through unreliable orthogonal channels.It begs a natural question:with random status update arrivals and obscure channel conditions,can we devise an intelligent scheduling policy that matches the users and channels to stabilize the queues of all users while minimizing the average AoI?To give an adequate answer,we define a bipartite graph and formulate a dynamic edge activation problem with stability constraints.Then,we propose an online matching while learning algorithm(MatL)and discuss its implementation for wireless scheduling.Finally,simulation results demonstrate that the MatL is reliable to learn the channel states and manage the users’buffers for fresher information at the edge.
基金supported by a State Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Co.,Ltd.Economic and Technical Research Institute Project(Key Technologies and Empirical Research of Diversified Integrated Operation of User-Side Energy Storage in Power Market Environment,No.5211JY19000W)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Research on Power Market Management to Promote Large-Scale New Energy Consumption,No.71804045).
文摘In the electricity market,fluctuations in real-time prices are unstable,and changes in short-term load are determined by many factors.By studying the timing of charging and discharging,as well as the economic benefits of energy storage in the process of participating in the power market,this paper takes energy storage scheduling as merely one factor affecting short-term power load,which affects short-term load time series along with time-of-use price,holidays,and temperature.A deep learning network is used to predict the short-term load,a convolutional neural network(CNN)is used to extract the features,and a long short-term memory(LSTM)network is used to learn the temporal characteristics of the load value,which can effectively improve prediction accuracy.Taking the load data of a certain region as an example,the CNN-LSTM prediction model is compared with the single LSTM prediction model.The experimental results show that the CNN-LSTM deep learning network with the participation of energy storage in dispatching can have high prediction accuracy for short-term power load forecasting.
基金part of a PhD research, which was supported by Mine Optimization Laboratory, University of Alberta-Canada
文摘Accuracy in predictions leads to better planning with a minimum of opportunity lost. In open pit mining,the complexity of operations, coupled with a highly uncertain and dynamic production environment,limit the accuracy of predictions and force a reactive planning approach to mitigate deviations from original plans. A simulation optimization framework/tool is presented in this paper to account for uncertainties in mining operations for robust short-term production planning and proactive decision making. This framework/tool uses a discrete event simulation model of mine operations, which interacts with a goalprogramming based mine operational optimization tool to develop an uncertainty based short-term schedule. Using scenario analysis, this framework allows the planner to make proactive decisions to achieve the mine's operational and long-term objectives. This paper details the development of simulation and optimization models and presents the implementation of the framework on an iron ore mine case study for verification through scenario analysis.
基金supported in part by National Key R&D Program of China (No.2022YFA1004600)Science and Technology Project of State Grid Corporation of China (No.5400-202199524A-0-5-ZN)National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.11991023)。
文摘Energy storage devices can effectively balance the uncertain load and significantly reduce electricity costs in the community microgrids(C-MGs) integrated with renewable energy sources. Scheduling of energy storage is a multi-stage decision problem in which the decisions must be guaranteed to be nonanticipative and multi-stage robust(all-scenario-feasible). To satisfy these two requirements, this paper proposes a method based on a necessary and sufficient feasibility condition of scheduling decisions under the polyhedral uncertainty set. Unlike the most popular affine decision rule(ADR) based multistage robust optimization(MSRO) method, the method proposed in this paper does not require the affine decision assumption, and the feasible regions(the set of all feasible solutions) are not reduced, nor is the solution quality affected. A simple illustrative example and real-scale scheduling cases demonstrate that the proposed method can find feasible solutions when the ADR-based MSRO fails, and that it finds better solutions when both methods succeed. Comprehensive case studies for a real system are performed and the results validate the effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed method.
基金supported by the National Science Foundation(NSF)grant ECCF 1936494.
文摘In this paper, we present a novel cloud-based demand side management (DSM) optimization approach for the cost reduction of energy usage in heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC) systems in residential homes at the district level. The proposed approach achieves optimization through scheduling of HVAC energy usage within permissible bounds set by house users. House smart home energy management (SHEM) devices are connected to the utility/aggregator via a dedicated communication network that is used to enable DSM. Each house SHEM can predict its own HVAC energy usage for the next 24 h using minimalistic deep learning (DL) prediction models. These predictions are communicated to the aggregator, which will then do day ahead optimizations using the proposed game theory (GT) algorithm. The GT model captures the interaction between aggregator and customers and identifies a solution to the GT problem that translates into HVAC energy peak shifting and peak reduction achieved by rescheduling HVAC energy usage. The found solution is communicated by the aggregator to houses SHEM devices in the form of offers via DSM signals. If customers’ SHEM devices accept the offer, then energy cost reduction will be achieved. To validate the proposed algorithm, we conduct extensive simulations with a custom simulation tool based on GridLab-D tool, which is integrated with DL prediction models and optimization libraries. Results show that HVAC energy cost can be reduced by up to 36% while indirectly also reducing the peak-to-average (PAR) and the aggregated net load by up to 9.97%.
基金supported by the National High Technology Research and Development Program of China(863Program)(No.2014AA051901)
文摘The battery energy storage system(BESS)is regarded as one of the most promising address operational challenges caused by distributed generations.This paper proposes a novel multi-stage sizing model for utility-scale BESS,to optimize the BESS development strategies for distribution networks with increasing penetration levels and growth patterns of dispersed photovoltaic(PV)panels.Particularly,an integrated model is established in order to accommodate dispersed PVs in short-term operation scale while facilitating appropriate profits in long-term planning scale.Clusterwise reduction is adopted to extract the most representative operating scenarios with PVs and BESS integration,which is able to decrease the computing complexity caused by scenario redundancy.The numerical studies on IEEE 69-bus distribution system verify the feasibility of the proposed multi-stage sizing approach for the utility-scale BESS.
文摘This paper proposes a wireless network traffic prediction model based on long-term and short-term memory cyclic neural networks.Through simulation experiments,the throughput prediction of 5G wireless networks using different scheduling algorithms for many different types of services is studied.The results verify that the long short-term memory prediction model has acceptable prediction accuracy and algorithm training speed,meets the needs of wireless network traffic prediction,and has a good application prospect.